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Debt Burden Cripples Poorer Nations
Between 1970 and 2002, the continent of Africa received some $540 billion in loans. However, a U.N. study showed that, despite repaying some $550 billion in principal and interest over the same period, there was still some $295 billion outstanding.
In 2005, as a result of its outstanding debt, Kenya was obliged to spend as much on the servicing of its debt as it allocated to health, water, roads, agriculture, transport and finance combined. Indonesia, whose debt was largely run up by previous dictators, used up almost 25 percent of its budget on debt service, some four times its combined spending on health and education.
The origins of the current debt crisis can be traced back to the 1970s. In 1973, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) quadrupled the price of oil. Given the relatively inelastic demand for oil, particularly in the northern hemisphere, OPEC accumulated vast profits, generally stored in U.S. dollars, commonly known as petro-dollars.
Large banks in the northern hemisphere were inundated with these petro-dollars and were faced with the dilemma of where and how to invest them at a profit. Given the slackening growth in the North, states in the South were actively encouraged by these banks to take out loans.
The effects of this policy can be seen in the massive rise in borrowing by poorer states in the southern hemisphere that led to a twelve-fold rise in their debt burden between 1968 and 1980. However, as long as the interest rates on the loans contracted remained low and the debtor countries earned sufficient export-based revenues to cover their repayments, the debt incurred remained sustainable.
Initially, the interest rates were relatively low in the region—4 to 5 percent—but at the turn of the 1980s this all changed as the interest rates began to soar upwards. Within a relatively short period, they went as high as 16 to 18 percent, and debtor states found themselves having to allocate three times as much to cover their debt.
Most importantly, this imposition of higher rates was completely one-sided. It was imposed by the richer northern hemisphere states on the loans poorer nations had taken out. These nations, mainly based in the southern hemisphere, had no input or chance to challenge this massive increase in their debt burden.
This situation was aggravated by the fact that the loans were denominated in "hard" currencies, such as the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen and Swiss franc. These currencies tend to remain relatively stable over time. On the other hand, the borrower countries had "soft" currencies, which frequently depreciate in value. As a result, they had to devote ever-increasing quantities of their currency to purchase the hard currency necessary to repay the same amount of debt.
The difficulty in meeting debt repayment obligations, provoked by these interest increases, was compounded by the decline in the value of the southern hemisphere's raw materials and agricultural exports. Debtor countries now had to radically increase their exports of primary produce and raw materials. However, as demand in the northern hemisphere remained relatively stable, this led to a flooding of the international market in a range of commodities.
The resulting glut and over-supply led to a severe fall in their prices. To take just a few examples (all in cents/kg), between 1980 and 2001 the price of coffee fell from 411.7 to 63.3, sugar from 80.2 to 19.9, lead from 115 to 49.6, and palm oil from 740.9 to 297.8. As a result, the southern hemisphere was left unable to access sufficient foreign currency to repay their loans.
Unable to cover their debt repayments, states in the southern hemisphere frequently found themselves obliged to resort to the tender mercies of the International Financial Institutions (IFI). The best known and most powerful of these IFI are the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank.
However, in order to access IMF and World Bank funds, borrowing states had to introduce and adhere to a range of neoliberal economic measures, commonly known as the Washington Consensus. These conditions included limiting state involvement in the economy, removing protection from local industries and companies, opening their domestic market to foreign competition and facilitating the free movement of goods and investment.
With the removal of state protection, local industries and companies found themselves faced with competition from large-scale transnational corporations with which they were unable to compete. This frequently led to foreign companies owning and controlling crucial industries in developing economies, effectively preventing the creation of a sustainable, indigenous commercial sector.
In addition, public-sector expenditure cutbacks were demanded. These cuts usually targeted areas such as education and health and therefore had the greatest negative impact on the more vulnerable members of the population. Such policies led to the southern hemisphere states accusing the IFI as being primarily concerned with protecting the interests of the lenders to the detriment of the debtor countries' citizens.
Given the growing international criticism of their operations, the IFI reacted by introducing a number of initiatives aimed at relieving the debt burdens of heavily indebted poorer countries. The latest of these programmes is the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI), launched at the G8 meeting in July 2005.
Unlike preceding schemes, MDRI provided relief to multilateral debt, that is, debt to multi-state membership institutions such as the World Bank and IMF, in addition to bilateral debt, that is, debt owing to individual states. Specifically, the MDRI would cancel all debts owed to the World Bank, the IMF and the African Development Bank (AfDB) to states that satisfied certain conditions.
While this deal was obviously an extremely positive development for many countries, it fails to prove a solution to the overall problem. Although participating states will benefit to the tune of billions of dollars, many other heavily indebted countries have been excluded.
The MDRI's limitations become clear when one compares its estimated $50 billion debt relief with the total estimated low-income country debt of some $500 billion. Furthermore, debt owing to multilateral institutions apart from the IMF, World Bank and AfDB was not cancelled. This is a particularly critical issue for Latin American countries who have significant debts outstanding to banks such as the Inter-American Development Bank.
Moreover, the MDRI imposes a range of conditions on the debtor countries to be approved for debt relief. In the case of the IMF, eligibility to the MDRI initiative requires debtor countries to be "up to date" on their IMF obligations. Furthermore, they are required to implement "satisfactory" macroeconomic policies, a poverty reduction strategy and public expenditure management.
Similar to previous initiatives, the MDRI does not take illegitimate debts, otherwise known as odious debts, into consideration. Odious debts refer to debts that should be regarded as illegitimate given they were lent to oppressive regimes and corrupt administrations who were well known to be misappropriating the funds borrowed. Creditors are refusing to assume responsibility for their lending practices while still expecting repayment from the poor. In the case of South Africa, the citizens were expected to repay debts incurred by the previous apartheid government that had oppressed them.
Of course, there are many who would argue that debt cancellation would only result in corrupt regimes having more money to pilfer and squander. While corruption is undoubtedly a problem in many countries, not just in the southern hemisphere, this should not obscure the fact that much of the debt contracted was odious debt or that punitive debt repayments are preventing the successful tackling of poverty. Furthermore, research has shown that debt relief has led to a significant rise in allocations for health and education.
Prior to its debt cancellation, Zambia was obliged to spend twice as much on repaying debt as on health care in 2003. Following its debt relief, user fees were abolished at rural clinics so that all citizens could access free basic medical services. The government also committed to providing anti-retroviral drugs for 100,000 citizens. The removal of primary school fees in Uganda, following debt relief, saw enrolments double over the next four years, with a further 50 percent increase in the subsequent four-year period.
In addition, there is a danger that the debt crisis could re-emerge in the near future, even amongst those states that have already received debt relief. Countries more open to financial investment, often as a result of IFI persuasion, now find themselves extremely vulnerable to capital flight, as institutions in the North withdraw funds as a result of the current recession. Furthermore, the continued slide in commodity prices has meant that countries such as Zambia, which did receive debt relief, are now in danger of seeing their debt appreciate to twice the level deemed sustainable by the IMF and World Bank.
It is clear, therefore, that if we are to be serious about changing the debt crisis cycle, cancelling international debt, although essential, will not be sufficient on its own. There is an urgent need to change the whole structure of our current financial framework if a sustainable solution is ever to be realized. We need to move away from a monetary system based on debt and interest payments that enables control to be kept in the hands of a small and prosperous elite.
Above all, if there is to be any real hope for global development and an end to poverty, it is imperative that developing countries regain their sovereignty and dignity, free from the crippling dependency the burden of debt has placed on them.
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11 Comments so far
Show AllEveryone of these nations has repaid their debts in full many times over with the pain and suffering of their people. In fact they are owed a rebate on their overpayments
It is depressing greed on the part of "haves" but this is civilization,is it not?Drawing a parallel to the rant on parents by Bill Mahar about the teaching of their children and to the firing of teachers.Parents and teachers are in the same boat as these countries when the haves put the countries/parents in an untenable positition caused by the greed of the haves with no thought as to the people involved.Go in colonize,exploit the people,country for whatever is there to steal and when done leave.Wait til country goes bellyup and then make more money with loans.Sound familiar?It is happening here.The gov. here has the mindset of the banks.What can you give me today that make me more lucre?Tony
Justin Frewer writes, "In 1973, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) quadrupled the price of oil" without explaining why they did that, as though it were a capricious act. It was not.
In 1971 (IIRC -- it might have been 1972) Nixon took the US dollar off the gold standard, destroying the Bretton Woods system of managed currency exchange rates. Under Bretton Woods, the US dollar was pegged at US$54 per ounce of gold (IIRC), and the currencies of the other industrialized countries were semi-pegged to the US dollar (there was a provision to let currencies creep against each other to reflect changes in value). This was good for everyone except the big players, who desired the huge gains that they could make with unregulated currency speculation. So Nixon let the US dollar float, forcing the other parties to let their currencies float as well (or sink, as in the case of the British pound). On the other hand, the most pernicious part of the system -- the use of the US dollar as the international reserve currency -- remained. In the course of the 1970s the US dollar was devaluated by a factor of three twice. The oil exporters who had agreed to sell their oil only for US dollars now had to massively increase the price of oil in that currency just to retain the value of the transaction.
Justin Frewer writes, "at the turn of the 1980s ... the interest rates began to soar upwards." By using the passive voice, Frewer nicely disguises the fact that this too was the result of US policy. This was the time when Reagan's Treasury and Fed declared war on inflation and didn't care how many ordinary Americans they had to throw out of work in order to win. Rentiers everywhere were impressed by the lengths the US government would go to protect the value of investments. Everyone else suffered, and I'm sure many people died in indirect consequence.
The rest of the story can be summarized as "colonialism by other means". It's important to add, however, that even the industrialized countries were colonized to a certain extent. Under Bretton Woods, the stability of exchange rates allowed governments considerable latitude to set domestic economic policy. Since then, governments must answer first to the international currency speculators, who can inflict massive pain on any country that implements policies they don't like. In short, the destruction of Bretton Woods significantly decreased sovereignty. As one of the 19th-century Rotschilds put it, "Give me control of a nation's currency and I care not who makes its laws."
It should be noted that Bretton Woods agreement also gave us the IMF and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), now part of the World Bank. So not all of the agreement collapsed when the United States stopped pegging the dollar to gold. (Damn that Nixon!)
Today we refer to the screwed-up monetary system as Bretton Woods II.
Some good news:
>> (1) African poverty is falling and is falling rapidly; (2) if present trends continue, the poverty Millennium Development Goal of halving the proportion of people with incomes less than one dollar a day will be achieved on time; (3) the growth spurt that began in 1995 decreased African income inequality instead of increasing it; (4) African poverty reduction is remarkably general: it cannot be explained by a large country, or even by a single set of countries possessing some beneficial geographical or historical characteristic. All classes of countries, including those with disadvantageous geography and history, experience reductions in poverty. In particular, poverty fell for both landlocked as well as coastal countries; for mineral-rich as well as mineral-poor countries; for countries with favorable or with unfavorable agriculture; for countries regardless of colonial origin; and for countries with below- or above-median slave exports per capita during the African slave trade.<<
http://www.nber.org/papers/w15775
Gary
"Poverty cannot deprive us of many consolations. It cannot rob us of the affection we have for each other, or degrade us in our own opinion, of in that of any person, whose opinion we ought to value."
-- Ann Radcliffe, The Mysteries of Udolpho (1764)
Debt? What is that? Nothing but a Political obligation. Even Feudal Serfs had no "Debt". Debt is merely an invention of our 'modern' System of governance. Good old Thomas Jefferson - slave fucker that he was - spoke Strongly against it. And now they want to write him out of Texas schoolbooks. Hahahahaha.
It is time we take back what is ours. After all, just who the f#@k IS JP Morgan. Who the f@#k is Chase Manhattan Bank (Rockerfellers) Who the f#@k is Goldman, and who the f#@k is Sachs. Who are these people?!?!?!?!?
Aaron Burr was Correct - That face on every 10$ Bill - Hamilton - was wrong. Hamilton was a 'Central Banker' 1st and 2nd Bank of America - Private control of the Public Money.
There IS no "Debt" except what these people - and I use that term lightly - OWE US !
There have to be institutional reforms in the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund that exist largely to protect creditors. The hypocrisy is that when a financial crisis hits a poor country, these institutions demand a balanced budget and slashing programs for the poor. The United States government, except during the Clinton years, has produced record deficits. What is needed is funding social programs for countries in crisis as well as debt assistance. This means a much longer payback period but a lower price in human suffering.
There has to be international reform in lending practices. Currently, governments and banks give loans to notoriously corrupt dictators with massive human rights atrocities. The dictator and his assistants put their money in Swiss bank accounts or tax havens. When a reform group sweeps the dictator from power, the creditors look to the new government to pay the dictator’s loans. The proposed international rule is that banks lending to dictator governments may only seek payment from the dictator and his followers and the new government is not held responsible for the old debts.
At a time when ecological balance is also divided and separated from spread sheets and dynamics we also face the engine of exploitation and extinction.
Though apparently separate from IMF WB and transnational finance concerns, and shared with innumerable other situations, we do have opportunities of voice such as in the case of African elephants and the lethal ivory trade.
Avazz has gathered 300,000 signatures in a two day deadline to petition sustaining protections. They seek 1 million signatures.
http://www.avaaz.org/en/protect_the_elephants/?cl=509425491&v=5596
"Prior to its debt cancellation, Zambia was obliged to spend twice as much on repaying debt as on health care in 2003. Following its debt relief, user fees were abolished at rural clinics so that all citizens could access free basic medical services."
That's good to hear. Why not in the U.S.?!
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Although it would not solve the whole problem, it would help if no countries could be held responsible for debts incurred unless they were incurred by a legitimate and freely-elected government. No repayments for juntas on buying sprees!