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Was Rosy Gulf Oil Report A White House PR Move?
Questions Mount About White House's Overly Rosy Report On Oil Spill
Two congressmen on Thursday questioned why the Obama administration made a major announcement about what happened to the oil in the Gulf of Mexico earlier this month without the science to back it up .
From left, Carol Browner, assistant to the President for energy and climate change, NOAA chief Jane Lubchenco, and national incident commander of the BP oil spill Thad Allen, update reporters at the White House, in Washington, Wednesday, Aug. 4, 2010.
(AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite) Massachusetts Democratic Rep. Ed Markey demanded that NOAA surrender
the data and algorithms behind its increasingly controversial estimate,
so that independent scientists could assess the credibility of its
conclusion that the vast majority of the oil BP spilled in the Gulf is
gone,
At a subcommittee hearing he chaired, Markey said the report was premature, has led to false confidence, and could be flat wrong. See my story on the hearing.
And California Republican Rep. Darrell Issa accused the White House of releasing the report prematurely for PR purposes. "This is yet another in a long line of examples where the White House's pre-occupation with the public relations of the oil spill has superseded the realities on the ground," the ranking member of the House oversight committee said in a press release.
"It is deeply troubling that White House officials apparently preempted the completion and review of a scientific study on the oil spill by NOAA scientists in order to tout conclusions that many experts believe may be deeply flawed."
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration director Jane Lubchenco, meanwhile, dismissed the growing controversy as "a tempest in a teapot."
"The report and the calculations that went into it were reviewed by independent scientists," Lubchenco said in a conference call to reporters. "And we are pulling together the full background information that would go into a more comprehensive report." The due date for that report: about two months.
Bill Lehr, a senior scientist at NOAA and one of the lead authors of the report, continued to defend its findings in his testimony at Markey's congressional hearing. But Lehr also made clear that the report -- called an "oil budget" -- was put together in a hurry and that its purpose was to inform the emergency response, not the general public.
As a result, it focused on oil that could still potentially be recovered, he said, and it also had not yet been thoroughly documented or reviewed.
On Wednesday, Lehr held a conference call with congressional investigators. Contradictory reports have emerged about what exactly he said.
According to two congressional sources who were on the call, Lehr said the decision to release the oil budget to the media was made by the White House -- not by administration scientists. Lehr reportedly also said that scientists had concerns about it being released.
But two other congressional sources who were on the call, and who also talked to the Huffington Post, said they did not recall Lehr making any such statements.
At Thursday's hearing, Lehr didn't specifically address who decided to make the report public. He refused to answer reporters' questions as he left the hearing room. And NOAA public affairs officials declined to make him available afterwards.
But Shannon Gilson, a spokeswoman for the Commerce Department, released the following statement on behalf on NOAA, which is part of Commerce: "Dr. Lubchenco and the Incident Command decided to release the estimate to the American people given the heightened interest in the fate of the oil. Any speculation that Bill Lehr suggested otherwise on a call with Congressional staffers is false."
However it came to pass, the oil budget was leaked on August 3 to New York Times reporter Justin Gillis, whose credulous account led to a deluge of similarly unquestioning media coverage the following day.
Coming along with the capping of the well, it was a public relations coup for a White House eager to get the oil spill story off the front pages, reassert control over a narrative that had gotten away from them, and calm fears.
The White House also spun the report in a particularly favorable way. Deciding whether most of the oil is gone or not depends primarily on one's views about oil that's dissolved or been dispersed. When the report came out, administration officials encouraged the view that the approximately 50 percent of oil estimated to be dissolved or dispersed no longer posed a risk -- was, essentially, gone. By contrast, some independent scientists have been saying for months that subsurface oil is likely causing massive environmental damage, even if it can't easily be seen.
Since the oil budget went public, several independent scientists have called for the release of its supporting data. Others have reached their own, conflicting conclusions.
One group organized by the Georgia Sea Grant this week calculated that 70 to 79 percent of the oil remains underwater, and concluded that "the media interpretation of the report's findings has been largely inaccurate and misleading."
Scientists from the University of South Florida have found oil deep on the Gulf seafloor that they say may be more toxic to marine microorganisms than previously believed.
And in a major, peer-reviewed article in Science magazine, scientists at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution on Thursday described their discovery in June of a plume of hydrocarbons that is at least 22 miles long and more than 3,000 feet below the surface of the Gulf of Mexico. That's about the size of Manhattan.
Furthermore, the scientists found that contrary to the NOAA report, the oil was not "biodegrading quickly"-- at least not at that depth.
What seems increasingly clear is that the government's oil budget did not come close to meeting the kinds of scientific standards that Lubchenco herself had previously cited as the reason she for so long declined to officially acknowledge the existence of massive amounts of subsurface oil.
Lehr's statement that the oil budget was initially only intended for responders explains a lot. For instance, its lack of emphasis on subsurface oil is consistent with the fact that, as Lehr said, "it's not available for response, which was the purpose of the oil budget numbers." That's also why the report didn't address how much poisonous methane gas was released by the well, he said.
But that doesn't mean all that oil and gas doesn't continue to do untold damage to the ecosystem. Under questioning by Markey, Lehr acknowledged that most of the oil is still in the Gulf -- even "the stuff that evaporated into the atmosphere is still in the environment," he said.
So why, then, was the report misleadingly pitched to the media and the public as the authoritative answer to the question: where did the oil go? And who exactly made that call? Whose interests did that serve?
Why did White House environmental advisor Carol Browner go on the morning shows and announce: "More than three-quarters of the oil is gone. The vast majority of the oil is gone"? Why did she and Lubchenco tell reporters in the White House briefing room about their "high degree of confidence" and "so much certainty"? Why did they insist that the study had been peer reviewed, when it hadn't?
And why does NOAA still refuse to provide independent scientists and the public with any additional information about how they arrived at those numbers in the first place?
Those questions remain.
Sam Stein contributed to this report.

32 Comments so far
Show AllShades of Slick Willy.
The oil is gone...it just depends on what your definition of "gone" is.
I did not have sex with Tony Hayward!
That last sentence is very funny, indeed.
What? We're still looking for reasons why the Obama administration lies, and lies, and lies? We've got to get this back-stabbing, lying SOB out of the WH--just to show the democrats that progressive votes really do count.
Politics trumps science. And money trumps everything.
The energy and natural resources sector paid Barry nearly $2.8 million during the last presidential campaign, according to opensecrets.org.
Do you think that might have had something to do with Barry's administration "polishing the apple" regarding the oil disaster in the Gulf of Mexico?
$2.8 million was "walking around" money in that campaign. Surely it takes more than that to buy a modern politician.
Apparently it didn't take more than that to buy Barry.
Call him Barky or President Zero, it sounds better!
Of course! This:
"The energy and natural resources sector paid Barry nearly $2.8 million during the last presidential campaign, according to opensecrets.org.
Do you think that might have had something to do with Barry's administration "polishing the apple" regarding the oil disaster in the Gulf of Mexico?"
is obvious!
¿Isn`t most of what comes out of the White House PR? Wake up you silly gringos...
Dear Obama,
You made a beach brief visit with your family to Florida to show the country how safe the water is in the Gulf of Mexico. Sure you splashed in the water for a brief amount of time; however, are you willing to put you and your family on a diet of Gulf of Mexico seafood for a month (from random fishing locations without testing) to show your confidence in the cleanliness of the water?
Sadly, with all the mercury and POP's a diet of seafood for a month would not be healthy no matter wher the seafood comes from.
Among the fish-dependent Inuit people, they are having twice as many girls as boys, and birth defects are very high.
Remember the days when the oil was still in the Gulf water?
I saw a video clip where kids were swimming in the water, which still had many visible, floating oil-terds (before God slurped them all up).
A reporter questioned the mother-on-a-blanket about it. She replied, "I told them to keep their mouths closed."
Ah, the True Believers. Our Salvation.
Splashed in which water?
http://www.uruknet.info/?p=m68900&hd=&size=1&l=e
"Obama's Gulf Swim Was Fake
by Stephen Lendman
August 16, 2010
On August 15, AP reported that Obama gave his "personal assurances of (the) Gulf's safety," saying:
"Beaches all along the Gulf Coast are clean, they are safe, and they are open for business."
He lied.
[...]
As for Obama's swim, on August 16, the London Independent reported that Obama and his daughter, Sasha, swam in a private Panama City Beach, FL beach off Alligator Point in St. Andrew Bay, not part of the Gulf.
[...]"
Oringinal blog post at http://sjlendman.blogspot.com/2010/08/obamas-gulf-swim-was-fake.html
Wouldn't it be ironic if the Republican majorities in the House decided to launch a big investigation to determine if the White House engaged in any criminal activities regarding the possible cover-up of BP's criminal negligence in the Gulf.
BP dissolves and becomes UKP. The Republicans demagogue the thing to death and we end up with a Republican President and majorities in Congress in 2012. The Administration figures that two years of the Republicans running the House (they wont' win the Senate) will give us enough of a taste of even shittier leadership that we'll reelect O in a resounding victory with majorities in Congress again. They misunderstand the desperation and ignorance of the citizens of a crumbling empire.
Fascism will come riding a horse, wrapped in the flag, and carrying a cross. Free Market solutions, tax cuts and other expressions of the self-interest of their masters will only make things worse. They may not plan for totalitarian fascism, but that's how they'll react when shit starts hitting the fan. Anarchists will probably bomb a few things, a few riots in the streets and that'll be all she wrote for the Bill of Rights (such as it is :( .
Of course at some point a military coup may be in the cards, which could even happen under Obama, should our economic situation take a sudden nose dive, or something or someone blows up.
None of this is by any means certain, but given what we know of how the ruling class operates (both now and in the course of history), at least highly plausible.
Fascism is not inevitable, the working class organized can stop just about anything and make just about anything happen. Consciousness where art thou?
Cheers,
RR
They want desperately to restore some financial order down there. It isn't the "people" that they care about, at the end of the day its the BANKS that really own those businesses. Businesses that can't pay the bills or mortgages on properties.
Yeah, it was a PR move and was easy enough to see it was. It was almost comical to watch.
Was the Rosy PR Move an Oily White House Report?
Yes.
Was the Oily White House Rosy at PR's report?
Likely.
This is always done in such cases and has been done hundreds of times in relation to accidents in the nuclear industry, particularly those minor enough to remain hidden.
It is a matter of straightforward policy, all worked out in advance. No one in any position of power and responsibility seriously considered telling the whole truth about this spill. Not once. They will not on the next one either.
When something like this occurs, get away. The public has no way to know the extent of the danger.
And I used to admire NOAA...or is it No, uh...
Do you know where the oil is? No, uh...
Is the seafood tainted? No, uh...
Will BP compensate the fishermen? No, uh...
Our Navy has been attacked in the Gulf of Tonkin...
All that untaxed profit will trickle down...
I never had sex with her...it depends on your definition of sex....
NAFTA will promote job growth and prosperity for America...
Two aircraft dropped WTC1,2, and 7 into their own footprint....
Commercial aircraft struck the pentagon...
The air is fit to breathe now in NY city after 9/11....
There are weapons of mass destruction in Iraq...
Saddam Hussein was behind 9/11....
Mission Accomplished....
When I am president I will end torture...close gitmo....
This healthcare bill is good for America...
All combat troops are out of Iraq....
All the BP spilled oil has been cleaned up....
If your husband said that he never cheated on you and you found out that he had lied the above many times would you jump back in bed with him or kick him to the curb and then run over him in your car?
Yes, he lies, cheats, beats me and worse, but I still love him and deep down I think he really loves me.
Thanks, Abe, for your compilation!
I'm saving it and adding to it.
Documentation.
You might want to title it "Plausible Deniability Gone Awry"
“Our Navy has been attacked in the Gulf of Tonkin.”
Alex Bennett, Sirius Left, presented an interesting chronicle relating to this incident. It was probably a year or so ago when he told this story. I’ll paraphrase – you’ll get the point – it’s a very interesting tale.
Alex was at the time working for one of the major TV networks. He had recently been discharged from the Navy and happened to know some sailors on the Maddox and Turner Joy (either or both).
He managed to contact some of them, shortly after the ‘incident’ was reported, and commented, “I hear you guys had some excitement, huh? “
“What excitement? There was no excitement; it’s been quiet.”
Alex rushed to the Network News Chief with his exclusive, breaking story.
The News Chief listened, and then commented that he’d have to get clearance from the Authorities before he could go with that.
It sure boggles my mind Why the streets are empty, in this Country and not full of Protesters. This is either the laziest bunch on Earth, or the stupidest, maybe both. So much has happened, and the proof is all around us, no matter which side of the political fence you think your on, it doesn't change the truth ! We must March. There are 15 million people out of work, sitting on their sofas, I don't understand why they don't get out and do something ? If even half of those people would start a revolution things would change, they would have to. Land of the Brave, ha ha ha, this is the land of lazy cowards, sheep... babaaabaa... thats all I hear in the stores, and gas stations,bunch of idiots. Most people in Virgina think we should Nuke the Middle East, what a fine bunch we have here. I am alone in my neck of the woods, I have a few freinds that listen to me, and agree, but they would never go out and say anything, they are afraid. For a Country that likes to War Monger so much, we sure are a bunch a puseeeees........
Was Rosy Gulf Oil Report A White House PR Move?
Is the pope catholic?
You didn't hear? The Pope's a Muslim!
Wouldn't it be ironic if the Republican majorities in the House decided to launch a big investigation to determine if the White House engaged in any criminal activities regarding the possible cover-up of BP's criminal negligence in the Gulf.
BP dissolves and becomes UKP. The Republicans demagogue the thing to death and we end up with a Republican President and majorities in Congress in 2012. The Administration figures that two years of the Republicans running the House (they wont' win the Senate) will give us enough of a taste of even shittier leadership that we'll reelect O in a resounding victory with majorities in Congress again. They misunderstand the desperation and ignorance of the citizens of a crumbling empire.
Fascism will come riding a horse, wrapped in the flag, and carrying a cross. Free Market solutions, tax cuts and other expressions of the self-interest of their masters will only make things worse. They may not plan for totalitarian fascism, but that's how they'll react when shit starts hitting the fan. Anarchists will probably bomb a few things, a few riots in the streets and that'll be all she wrote for the Bill of Rights (such as it is :( .
Of course at some point a military coup may be in the cards, which could even happen under Obama, should our economic situation take a sudden nose dive, or something or someone blows up.
None of this is by any means certain, but given what we know of how the ruling class operates (both now and in the course of history), at least highly plausible.
hey, a military coupe would look good about now. Down with corrupt civilian government, up with military dictatorship.
Good Grief.
Yeah - why believe those crazy scientists!
I'd rather put my faith in all those white men in dark suits - why on earth should I believe anyone with mussed hair, plastic penguards and hush-puppies. So what if the scientists don't have an axe to grind here - I'm sticking with the suits - they'd never lie to us.
Heck, all that oil will probably be gone by next Monday.
Now, can we get back to that Lindsay Lohan thing?
The question that should be asked is: who is running the country? BP or the White House???
Gee, and the White House never did measure the amount of oil pouring out of BP's whole, did it?
Many people here brought up this little over site months ago.
We know that the White House did not want to measure the amount of oil because that would be solid evidence to get reparations from BP. And Obama doesn't want to upset one of his masters, does he.
Obama is a shill. Don't forget.
Good Grief.
Obama's Gulf War –
"Science Advisors"
(In over their heads)
How do 'science' advisors get in over their heads?
Political pressure? Public relations?
A partisan audience predisposed to be gullible?
Do overfed egos forget their limitations?
Imagine advising on oil spill containment
Without knowing beans about drilling for oil.
No knowledge of oil rigs, except what they're reading –
Is that how they learned who's a boy? Who's a goil?
Though a butterfly specialist may also know moths,
Does that make him an expert at dealing with gout?
Is the doctor you go to for a slight inflammation
The one you'd be asking to take something out?
Who'd promote their "findings" but promise their data
Two years from now when it's finally ready?
You suppose the advisor who touted those "findings"
Is in, just a little bit, over her heady?
Don't let them eat cake. Make sure they eat seafood.
Assure them Marie A. would have eaten the fish,
Knowing some poisons take several years
Before symptoms appear and you get one final wish.
Bob Carlson
www.politicalboondoggles.com
On Twitter @PBoondoggles
8/23/10
To 'So, All This Was the Government's Idea?'
To 'Chu: The buck stops here'
To 'Lubchenco: All clear'
To 'Browner: Let's eat'
To 'BP Incompetence'