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US Weighs Risks of Civilian Harm in Cyberwarfare
It would have been the most far-reaching case of computer sabotage in history. In 2003, the Pentagon and American intelligence agencies made plans for a cyberattack to freeze billions of dollars in the bank accounts of Saddam Hussein and cripple his government's financial system before the United States invaded Iraq. He would have no money for war supplies. No money to pay troops.
"Cyber war!" flashes on the screen at an Internet security conference. A "new arms race" is taking shape in cyberspace, Canada's security czar said Wednesday, lamenting ever bolder and more sophisticated attacks on government websites by Russia, China and others. (AFP/File/Roslan Rahman) "We knew we could pull it off - we had the tools," said one senior official who worked at the Pentagon when the highly classified plan was developed.
But the attack never got the green light. Bush administration officials worried that the effects would not be limited to Iraq but instead create worldwide financial havoc, spreading across the Middle East to Europe and perhaps to the United States.
Fears of such collateral damage are at the heart of the debate as the Obama administration and its Pentagon leadership struggle to develop rules and tactics for carrying out attacks in cyberspace.
While the Bush administration seriously studied computer-network attacks, the Obama administration is the first to elevate cybersecurity - both defending American computer networks and attacking those of adversaries - to the level of a White House director, whose appointment is expected in coming weeks.
But senior White House officials remain so concerned about the risks of unintended harm to civilians and damage to civilian infrastructure in an attack on computer networks that they decline any official comment on the topic. And senior Defense Department officials and military officers directly involved in planning for the Pentagon's new "cyber command" acknowledge that the risk of collateral damage is one of their chief concerns.
"We are deeply concerned about the second- and third-order effects of certain types of computer network operations, as well as about laws of war that require attacks be proportional to the threat," said one senior officer.
This officer, who like others spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the classified nature of the work, also acknowledged that these concerns had restrained the military from carrying out a number of proposed missions. "In some ways, we are self-deterred today because we really haven't answered that yet in the world of cyber," the officer said.
In interviews over recent weeks, a number of current and retired White House officials, Pentagon civilians and military officers disclosed details of classified missions - some only considered and some put into action - that illustrate why this issue is so difficult.
Although the digital attack on Iraq's financial system was not carried out, the American military and its partners in the intelligence agencies did receive approval to degrade Iraq's military and government communications systems in the early hours of the war in 2003. And that attack did produce collateral damage.
Besides blowing up cellphone towers and communications grids, the offensive included electronic jamming and digital attacks against Iraq's telephone networks. American officials also contacted international communications companies that provided satellite phone and cellphone coverage to Iraq to alert them to possible jamming and ask their assistance in turning off certain channels.
Officials now acknowledge that the communications offensive temporarily disrupted telephone service in countries around Iraq that shared its cellphone and satellite telephone systems. That limited damage was deemed acceptable by the Bush administration.
Another such event took place in the late 1990s, according to a former military researcher. The American military attacked a Serbian telecommunications network and accidentally affected the Intelsat satellite communications system, whose service was hampered for several days.
These missions, which remain highly classified, are being scrutinized today as the Obama administration and the Pentagon move into new arenas of cyberoperations. Few details have been reported previously; mention of the proposal for a digital offensive against Iraq's financial and banking systems appeared with little notice on Newsmax.com, a news Web site, in 2003.
The government concerns evoke those at the dawn of the nuclear era, when questions of military effectiveness, legality and morality were raised about radiation spreading to civilians far beyond any zone of combat.
"If you don't know the consequences of a counterstrike against innocent third parties, it makes it very difficult to authorize one," said James Lewis, a cyberwarfare specialist at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
But some military strategists argue that these uncertainties have led to excess caution on the part of Pentagon planners.
"Policy makers are tremendously sensitive to collateral damage by virtual weapons, but not nearly sensitive enough to damage by kinetic" - conventional - "weapons," said John Arquilla, an expert in military strategy at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, Calif. "The cyberwarriors are held back by extremely restrictive rules of engagement."
Despite analogies that have been drawn between biological weapons and cyberweapons, Mr. Arquilla argues that "cyberweapons are disruptive and not destructive."
That view is challenged by some legal and technical experts.
"It's virtually certain that there will be unintended consequences," said Herbert Lin, a senior scientist at the National Research Council and author of a recent report on offensive cyberwarfare. "If you don't know what a computer you attack is doing, you could do something bad."
Mark Seiden, a Silicon Valley computer security specialist who was a co-author of the National Research Council report, said, "The chances are very high that you will inevitably hit civilian targets - the worst-case scenario is taking out a hospital which is sharing a network with some other agency."
And while such attacks are unlikely to leave smoking craters, electronic attacks on communications networks and data centers could have broader, life-threatening consequences where power grids and critical infrastructure like water treatment plants are increasingly controlled by computer networks.
Over the centuries, rules governing combat have been drawn together in customary practice as well as official legal documents, like the Geneva Conventions and the United Nations charter. These laws govern when it is legitimate to go to war, and set rules for how any conflict may be waged. Two traditional military limits now are being applied to cyberwar: proportionality, which is a rule that, in layman's terms, argues that if you slap me, I cannot blow up your house; and collateral damage, which requires militaries to limit civilian deaths and injuries.
"Cyberwar is problematic from the point of view of the laws of war," said Jack L. Goldsmith, a professor at Harvard Law School. "The U.N. charter basically says that a nation cannot use force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any other nation. But what kinds of cyberattacks count as force is a hard question, because force is not clearly defined."

18 Comments so far
Show AllIn other words, what we do to others, we do to ourselves. Karmic law can be a bitch.
'bush administration officials worried that the effects would not be limited to iraq but instead create worldwide financial havoc'................
they seem to have acheived this without the 'cyberattack'...
I would tell some of the real story behind their antics, but nausea prevents me except to say that the dod people will continue to shoot themselves in the feet as they move into this new showcase for their incompetence.
Considering some of the other world actors whom have no hesitation using cyberwarfare when it suits them, Russia, China, India, North Korea, etc., the reluctance of the US military not to do so is most off-putting. It really makes one question the competence level of the higher-ups.
Good one Coco!
Always grab your wallet when the government shows up to "help" its citizens "out of great concern for their welfare."
Translation: They're going to set up a phony virus of some sort and use it as an excuse to shut down the internet (which is wayyy too much free speech for a totalitarian gov like this one.)
Thank God for Google and Yahoo (well that's one's gone) otherwise nobody would be on the side of free speech.
TJ
"All tyranny needs to gain a foothold is for people of good conscience to remain silent." - Thomas Jefferson
"Thank God for Google and Yahoo"
i wouldn't put too much faith in either one of those....
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Censorship_by_Google
http://www.rsf.org/Information-supplied-by-Yahoo.html
"Thank God for Google and Yahoo"
Don't hold your breath; China has demonstrated that it can control Google, which is not bad considering they have absolutely ZERO influence over its Board of Directors and stakeholders, unlike our own Government.
So that leaves who, exactly, left in our corner?
Just our 1776 rusty musket?
damn
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check out the eff.org
Reminds me of at least one Star Trek episode.
At first, I assumed that "cyberwarfare" referred to the abominable unmanned drones that are so much the rage in Af-Pak nowadays.
But this is a different kind of cyberwarfare.
Now Af-pak wedding and funeral arrangers can expect to have all of their data suddenly deleted-- collateral damage, of course.
ยท Yr Obd't Servant
'data deleted':
Death in the NEW WORLD ORDER.
'data activated':
Life in the NEW WORLD ORDER.
Switch on, switch off. ON/OFF ON/OFF ON/OFF
And so it goes.
Collateral damage (dead civilians) from drone attacks on Afghan and Pakistani villages seems to be acceptable but it is not acceptable when economic interests are involved. As Alice said, "things are getting curiouser and curiouser."
'things are getting curiouser and curiouser'
(m)Alice in Wonderland.
Oh, lovely day.
Bush nixed the cyber attack because it would not show him as a "typical" War President, where men and machines meet heroic and noble warrior deaths.
There were too many of them "internets" (sic) for bush to get even with anyway.
Luckily for us, he thought a "Browser" is a NeoCon at a gunshow......
Hee hee hee. We are going to give another contract to some fast talking company to protect against something so ill-defined that it eludes description. There will be no way to define whether the company has fulfilled its mission. But yes, they will be paid and paid well.
You cannot build enormous spy and surveillance capabilities on the internet and in telecommunications for purposes of Homeland Security or whatever and not open it up to be used in unintended ways. The word is blowback. All over the world, there are young and sophisticated computer people whose agility surpasses ours and whose morality and intentions vary.
I wish we would start being the good guys. Lawfulness, in the long run, depends on people accepting the usefulness and benefits of the law. There is no protection against malice.
Joe
I have a hunch that the only reason we still have internet contact is that the government is still monitoring our communications to continue building its database of identified "Violent Radicals" and "Homegrown Terrorists." When they have all the thinkers and critics of the system identified, with reams of e-mails and articles stored on some hard drive, the system will be shut down and the camps will be open for business. All for our own health and safety, of course.
The latest on the non-cyber homefront is putting plainclothesmen at controlled intersections. They stand like they are waiting to cross with the light, then when the traffic stops, they run down the rows of cars and give a several hundred dollar ticket to anybody they see without their seatbelt fastened. This is all for our health and safety, of course.
The level of intrusion into our lives is being slowly escalated and we are becoming accustomed to being monitored, watched, and increasingly regulated. As we become used to it, it is ratcheted up another notch. By the time we get to mandatory implanted RFID chips, we will accept it as just another annoyance to improve our health and safety.
Possibly we are not too far from "Logan's Run" at that.
Good bet minitrue. Will the frogs in the pot notice it or not? The gradual boiling of the water?
No doubt the RTG powered RFID chip will have a secret taser in it, and later a "termination" virus trapped in a micro-vile so as to get rid of all "undesirables" and dissenters.
The "Island of Dr Mourea" is coming closer and closer, where the cross-bred animal/humans are controlled as a experimental population outside the civility of the Good Doctor's Mansion.
"You understand of course, ORDER must be maintained".
ZZZZZZZAAAAAAAPPPPPPPPP!!!!
TJ
"All tyranny needs to gain a foothold is for people of good conscience to remain silent." - Thomas Jefferson