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Why Stewart Brand is Wrong on Nukes - and is Losing
Stewart Brand has become a poster boy for a "nuclear renaissance" that has just suffered a quiet but stunning defeat. Despite $645 million spent in lobbying over the past decade, the reactor industry has thus far failed to gouge out major new taxpayer funding for new commercial reactors.
In an exceedingly complex series of twists and turns, no legislation now pending in Congress contains firm commitments to the tens of billions reactor builders have been demanding. They could still come by the end of the session. But the radioactive cake walk many expected the industry to take through the budget process has thus far failed to happen.
The full story is excruciatingly complicated. But the core reasons are simple: atomic power can't compete, and makes global warming worse.
In support of this failed 20th Century technology, the industry has enlisted a 20th Century retro-hero, Stewart Brand. Back in the 1960s Brand published the Whole Earth Catalog. Four decades later, that cachet has brought him media access for his advocacy of corporate technologies like genetically modified foods and geo-engineering.....and, of course, nuclear energy.
In response to a cover interview in Marin County's Pacific Sun, I wrote the following to explain why Stewart is wrong wrong wrong:
- Stewart
Brand now seems to equate "science" with a tragic and dangerous
corporate agenda. The technologies for which he argues--nuclear power,
"clean" coal, genetically modified crops, etc.--can be very profitable
for big corporations, but carry huge risks for the rest of us. In too
many instances, tangible damage has already been done, and more is
clearly threatened.
If there is a warning light for what Stewart advocates, it is the Deepwater Horizon disaster, which much of the oil industry said (like Three Mile Island and Chernobyl) was "impossible." Then it happened. The $75 million liability limit protecting BP should be ample warning that any technology with a legal liability limit (like nuclear power) cannot be tolerated.
Thankfully, there is good news: We have true green alternatives to these failed 20th-century ideas. They're cheaper, safer, cleaner, more reliable and more job-producing than the old ways Stewart advocates.
Stewart and I have never met. But we have debated on the radio and online. Thank you, Pacific Sun, for bringing us to print.
Stewart's advocacy does fit a pattern. He appears to have become a paladin for large-scale corporate technologies that may be highly profitable to CEOs and shareholders, but are beyond the control of the average citizen, and work to our detriment. Because he makes so many simple but costly errors, let's try a laundry list:
1. Like other reactor advocates, Stewart cavalierly dismisses the nuclear waste problem by advocating, among other things, the stuff be simply dumped down a deep hole. This is a terribly dangerous idea and will not happen. Suffice it to say that after a half-century of promises (the first commercial reactor opened in Pennsylvania in 1957) the solution now being offered by government and industry is...a committee!!! Meanwhile, more than 60,000 tons of uniquely lethal spent fuel rods sit at some 65 sites in 31 states with nowhere to go. Like the reactors themselves, they are vulnerable to cooling failure, terror attack, water shortages, overheating of lakes, rivers and oceans, flooding, earthquakes, tornadoes and hurricanes, and much more. This is no legacy to leave our children.
2. Equally disturbing is the industry's inability to get meaningful private liability insurance. The current federally imposed limit is $11 billion, which would disappear in a meltdown even faster than BP's $75 million in the Gulf. According to the latest compendium of studies, issued this spring by the New York Annals of Science, Chernobyl has killed some 985,000 people, and is by no means finished. It has done at least a half-trillion dollars in damage. The uninsured death toll and financial costs of a similar-scaled accident in the U.S. are incalculable, but would clearly kill millions and bankrupt our nation for the foreseeable future.
3. Stewart points out that there are also risks with wind and solar power. But clearly none that begin to compare with nukes, coal or deep-water drilling. If reactor owners were forced to find reasonable liability insurance, all would shut. A similar demand for renewables and efficiency would leave them unaffected.
4. Renewable/efficiency technologies today are cheaper, faster to deploy and more job-creating than nukes. It takes a minimum of five years to license and build a new reactor. The one being done by AREVA in Finland is hugely over budget and behind schedule. There is no reason to expect anything better here. Among other things, the long lead time ties up for too many years the critical social capital that could otherwise go to technology that can quickly let the planet heal.
5. Like others who doubt the possibility of a green-powered Earth, Stewart posits the straw man of reliance on a deployment of solar panels that would blanket the desert and do ecological harm. In fact, the National Renewable Energy Lab estimates 100 percent of the nation's electricity could come from an area 90 miles on a side, or a relatively modest box of 8,100 square miles. But as we all know, that's not how it will be done. Solar panels belong on rooftops, where there is ample area throughout the nation, and an end to transmission costs. Likewise, wind farms do not "cover" endless acres of prairie, their tower bases take up tiny spots that remain surrounded by productive farmland. In this case, currently available wind turbines spinning between the Mississippi and the Rockies could generate 300 percent of the nation's electricity. There's sufficient potential in North Dakota, Kansas and Texas alone to do 100 percent. Cost and installation times put nukes to shame. The liability is nil, as is the bird kill, which primarily affects obsolete, badly sited fast-spinning machines in places like Altamont Pass. Those must come down, and there will certainly be other surprises along the way. No technology is perfect, and we need to be careful even with those that are green-based. But as we have seen, further threats on the scale of Chernobyl and the Deepwater Horizon cannot be sustained.
6. As for GMO crops, Darwin was right. Plants evolve to avoid herbicides just as bugs work their way around pesticides (which Stewart correctly decries). Now we see that "super-weeds" are outsmarting the carefully engineered herbicides meant to justify the whole GMO scheme, bringing a disastrous reversion to horrific, lethal old sprays. Chemical farming may be good for corporate profits, but it can kill global sustainability. In the long run, only organics can sustain us.
7. Stewart mentions that he is paid only for speeches. But a single such fee can outstrip an entire year's pay for a grassroots organizer or volunteer. What's remarkable is that the nuclear power industry spent some $645 million lobbying for its "renaissance" over the past decade--more than $64 million/year. It has bought an army of corporate lobbyists and legislators. Yet only a handful of folks with rear guard environmental credentials has stepped forward to fight for the old fossil/nuclear/GMO technologies.
Stewart is certainly welcome to his own opinions. But not to his own facts. Pushing for a nuclear "renaissance" concedes that it's a Dark Age technology, defined by unsustainable costs, inefficiencies, danger, eco-destruction, radiation releases, lack of insurance, uncertain decommissioning costs, vulnerability to terrorism and much more.
That the industry must desperately seek taxpayer help, and cannot find insurance for even this "newer, safer" generation, is the ultimate testimony to its failure. By contrast, renewables and efficiency are booming, and are a practical solution to our energy needs, which the corporate clunkers of the previous century simply cannot provide.
It's been a long time since the Whole Earth Catalog was published. Its hallowed founder should wake up to the booming holistic green technologies that are poised to save the Earth. They are ready to roll over the obsolete corporate boondoggles that are killing Her. Chernobyl, Three Mile Island, the disasters in the coal mines and the Gulf remind us we need to make that green-powered transition as fast as we possibly can.
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28 Comments so far
Show AllA strong analysis for why Harry Wasserman is right and Stewart Brand is wrong on nuclear power is explained by energy expert Amory Lovins. Here is an interview Amy Goodman did with him:
http://www.democracynow.org/2008/7/16/amory_lovins_expanding_nuclear_power_makes
His work is also found on his website:
http://www.rmi.org
Utilities, the nuke industry and lawmakers are not missing any opportunity to attempt to sneak big taxpayer-funded and ratepayer-funded nuclear power subsidies into other, mostly unrelated legislation. It will take constant vigilance to thwart their efforts since they will never give up. Thanks for continuing to fight the fight, Harvey !
To exacerbate the problem, when many utilities increase rates, they apply the very regressive and anti-renewable strategy of increasing the monthly base fee customers pay rather than increasing the charge per kilowatt hour.
Unless and until the issue of waste disposal is addressed, and I am peripherally aware of new developments in energy generation in which the waste products are much reduced and less volatile already being much discussed in such circles, the generation of more of our electricity needs using nuclear power is an industry not yet ready for prime time.
Couple that issue with the great cost of building such plants and the undoubted resistance of lobbyists for the Coal and Oil industries I think this is an idea yet in our future. I should add that France generates most of its energy needs today by these means, and is the largest exporter of electricity in Europe. Nuclear power is the primary source of electricity in France.
In 2004, 425.8 TWh out of the country's total production of 540.6 TWh of electricity was from nuclear power (78.8%), the highest percentage in the world.
So...shame on the French for contributing so much toxic radioactive pollution to the planet.
Have you such data? Will you share it?
The difference between backyard renewable energy and enormously dangerous centralized energy is that thousands of inventors are constantly improving the backyard energy, constantly raising the bar year after year. I'm one such backyard inventor. I know that I'm raising the bar pretty fast. I wish my 1000 friendly competitors all the best. (They're on my tail! Gulp!)
Research and development for commercial nuclear power plants is advertising hype if anything. Dozens of shockingly ignorant nuclear bloggers are paid by the nuclear industry's ad agency to pretend that they are authoritative. Sometimes they make up facts on the spot when pressed, but mostly they just act snotty and hostile online to anyone with a real opinion.
Engineers have occasionally drawn out new designs for nuclear power plants in the past 30 years, and the plans have gotten lots of hype in Popular Science, but I wouldn't like to live next to the first actual prototype.
People who lend scientific credibility to people like Stuart Brand need to understand that although many of the Whole Earth Catalog's customers were environmentalists, the Whole Earth Catalog was a retailing project, not an environmental project.
Stuart Brand has always been a corporate tool.
Forget not his intro to "The Whole Earth Catalogue":
"We are as gods, and better get good at it."
A 40 something year reign as a poo-bah from then to now.
He's been irrelevant all his life.
Do you mean insurance like BP had regarding the remote possibility of an oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico? Do you further posit that there are types of insurance that can raise the dead and cure the cancers caused by leakage or disasters?
I see no way to initiate a new comment, so this is posted as a nominal reply to Bill.
Our government and its regulatory agencies have been "captured" by industry and investment/banking interests --to the point that the United States might soon be too poor to support much growth in anything, including electrical energy, which would make reactors a moot issue on our shores. As Bill points out, other nations are investing heavily in nuclear energy. Perhaps what we do with nukes might not make a whole lot of difference to the outcome of this absurdly irresponsible technology.
Otherwise I pretty much agree with Mr. Wasserman, except to say that industry has found a way to make solar power yet another potential threat to our health and the future. It's been proposed to build the largest solar panel plant in America here in Oregon. It will manufacture panels that use nano crystals of Cadmium telluride. I gather from reading the entry at:
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cadmium_telluride
--that such products are banned in Europe and only permitted in China for export.
Late last year Scientific American published an editorial warning against going ahead with nano technology in general before the research is completed (or even begun) to determine which types might be too dangerous to develop. See:
> http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=big-need-for-a-little-testing
Craig
I thought Brand's C-Span replay the other day was quite interesting. Some of his facts and figures sounded wrong, but I enjoyed his talk. His info on the many small nuclear reactor designs that are out there was new to me. He talked of each town having there own little reactor and one design was such that when the useful life of the reactor ended after 25 or more years, the reactor itself was built as a 'dry cask' storage system. I hope we do not need to bother with any of this, but I do sometimes wonder. Getting a good handle on all the different pros and cons of our energy choices is more than confusing.
I was a big fan of "new nukes" too, until the gaping wound in the gulf. I'm all for self reliant/self-contained (NOT isolated feudal estates) little cities with "the powerplant" at the center of it all (underground). I thought that powerplant would be nuclear. I now think tom bearden's "energy from the vacuum" ideas must be pursued with "manhattan project" intensity, to find that powerplant. The other green/efficiency technologies should also be pursued for diversity's sake (a mirror of ecological diversity). To finish the self-contained cities idea, it would have an outer ring of farmland (the agri district), an underground industrial district,an inner ring of housing/commerce district, a circular "central park" at the center. One or two hundred thousand in population, times 2 or 3 thousand cities, would house all of america. Just a sci-fi dream I have. Finding new/green tech is very real however.
Thank you Harvey for reminding us of the truth that it seems some have forgotten.
Nuclear power still means higher utility and tax rates and more incidence of cancer.
The simple truth is there is no safe way to dispose of radioactive waste. The poison this technology has already created will be here long after the death of our childens' childrens' children. That it will still be causing death and mutations long after our civilization, technology, language and probably species has ceased to exist.
Stewart has either turned his back or forgotten that nuclear power was first conceived as a means for the wealthy to become wealthier.
Another example of privatized profits and socialized costs.
There is a reason why private sector insurance companies refuse to insure nuclear power without the government first stepping forward and guaranteeing that the taxpayers will underwrite the liability.
To use an incredibly complex, unbelievably expensive technology just to boil water is the pipe dream of the same crowd that has been attempting to privatize social security (and still wants to get their hands on our retirement money) who succeeded in deregulating the banks (and left us to pay for the damage) who support wars (without a word about the cost in life and wealth) and a hundred and one other schemes designed to raid the public treasury and to leave us that much poorer as a nation and people.
That Stewart Brand has forgotten doesn't mean the rest of us have.
I followed the link provided to see how Wassermann is claiming that atomic power makes global warming worse.
The science was a complete joke--from a retired physician about as sophisticated and accurate as Sarah Palin.
Nuclear power contributes far less to air pollution and climate change than fossil fuels do.
That's accurate.
I would like to see real arguments, based on science and evidence, with respect to how beneficial nuclear power really is, when all factors are taken into consideration, for ameliorating global warming.
It needs a lot of carbon-intensive concrete and sturdy construction, for one thing. And it does produce waste-heat, which should be deducted from its amortized GHG reduction, and it's less safe, probably, to use that waste heat.
This is an argument that was lost, irrevocably, a generation ago, but continues to rise from the dead like an army of zombies simply because there's money behind it. Nukes don't produce net positive energy, it takes more BTU's to build, maintain, run and de-commission than the plant will produce in its lifetime, even a lifetime artificially extended to 40 years as the (leaky) current 40-yr-old plants demonstrate.... As regards our needs for power: The implicit assumption in some of the posts is that reducing energy use equals reducing convenience. Living in an under-insulated house in a cold climate is NOT a convenience… uses more heating oil, has a cold “feel’ to it (from radiant heat loss). Here in L.A. efficient, mass transit could outrun our gas-burning traffic jams at 1/10th the energy use for 70-80% of all travelers. Organic farming is carbon negative in addition to being better for you and better tasting. There’s plenty of energy and if we use it well we’ll use less and live BETTER as a result. What you can’t do is replicate this culture’s waste, a concern only to the unimaginative.
The facts of France's electrical generation by using nuclear plants would seem to refute your (unlinked) statistics. France is Europe's largest exporter of electricity in fact. I would be most interested in any evidence you have on your position.
The anti-nuclear case can be made without nonsense. It's not a net user of energy. It's not producing more waste heat than the equivalent MWH waste heat of a coal plant, and far less warming than the GHGs of a coal plant, etc. etc.
"Organic farming is carbon negative..." This is not true. Organic can be carbon positive, neutral, or negative, depending on the methods used. Sometimes organic farmers use multiple tillage passes to reduce weeds. This can release large amounts of carbon, hurt the soil and increase erosion. I no-till with gm seeds. My methods are better than SOME organic farmers.
Greg, you forget to mention that your 'no till' farming is contaminating the environment with increasing amounts of petroleum based herbicides, pesticides and fertilizers.
And since you want to add gmo seeds to your chemical heavy tilling practices. let's also consider gmo's. A new one, BT corn, even boggles the minds of many industry supporters. What sort of a company would pay its genesplicers to ruin a great natural pesticide by genesplicing it into corn when they know full well that their actions will create bt resistant corn ear worms and resistant cabbage loopers, just to mention two, that will be undermining BT's effectiveness within a few years..
WAIT ...now that I think of it, that probably was their goal! To ruin bt's effectiveness so corn and broccoli growers would be forced to turn to more toxic and dangerous and yes, profitable proprietary pesticides to control pests that BT has been controlling cheaply, effectively and without major ecological damage for decades.
Is this the sort of company you support with your seed and herbicide money?
But back to the subject, let's be honest Greg, you know darn well that calling no-till soil friendly, is nothing more than chemical industry hype. Its nothing more than advertising camouflage for yet another way of poisoning our soil and environment in the name of making chemical companies more profits.
You didn't say which gmo seeds you were spending your seed money on but if they are any of the round-up-ready varieties how does it feel to be spending more and more money spraying more and more herbicides on weeds that are becoming round-up resistant? Which is that good for, your soil or your pocketbook?
Also, Greg, if you are really a regular reader of Commondreams (and not just part of the 'doubt' companies paid by the nuke industry to cause doubt and suspicion aboutthe articles Harvey writes. One of the techniques used by the 'doubt' pr firms hired by the various people unfriendly industries is to put Google bugs on the names of industry critics and whenever they raise their troublemaking heads to attack their honesty and credibility. And Harvey, after, what is it, 35 years, of writing and saying things that causes the industry trouble, does qualify as an industry critic) if you are a believer in the principles advocated by Commmondreams I doubt that you really want to be supporting genesplicers that do not honor the precautionary principle? Do we really need a seed and environmental disaster on the scale of Chernobyl or larger?
And before you scoff at the possibility of that sort of thing happening in the world of the largely unregulated gmo seed industry remember, that is exactly how the nuclear industry acted towards its critics until they lost their credibility with first Three Mile Island and then Chernobyl.
Which brings us around to the original topic again. Technologies that pose huge risk to life and property (and the insurance industry rates the nuclear industry -- new and old-- as just that) need to be carefully considered before we further allow them to endanger the environment and lives of our children. Short term profits at the expense of long term environmental harm is not in anyone's interest.
Wow, morningsun, that's a long post. I'll respond to a couple of your statements. First, "calling no-till soil friendly, is nothing more than chemical industry hype" is I think, the worst statement you make. Tilling the soil releases carbon into the air. Tilling the soil leads to erosion. Now, fast-forward a few hundred years. Global Warming has pretty much decimated the planet and all the topsoil is in the rivers and oceans. Just great! Gm technology will do great things. It may do bad things. There are gm technologies out there that could save people's lives, save their eyesight, and much more, but because of assorted fears they are not allowed. Is this a good thing, or is it an evil thing? Sometimes the answers are very murky.
I've been using gm pretty much ever since it's been available, Perhaps 2 decades now. (?) As I see it, so far, so good.
Screw it. I'm 60. I'm retired. I GOT MINE. Build all the god damned nuclear plants you want. I'll be long gone before the next generations have to suffer the consequences. Like I give a shit anyway. Build them. Maybe if you build enough electricity really will be too cheap to meter as promised in the 1950's. The planet is pretty much used up anyway. Another 50 years and 12 billion people will be fighting over the last kilogram of uranium anyway. Who gives a shit? The next quarter's bottom line is all that matters. Ever. Party on, Garth, you stupid fuck. NUKES NOW!!!
The link purporting to show atomic power ... makes global warming worse, doesn't.
Waste heat is not the cause of anthropogenic global warming. A chronic, human-caused imbalance in the carbon in the atmosphere is. Worse, that link promotes fossil-fuel industry-funded anti-science in false balance with actual science.
That is exactly the sort of anti-science a Stewart Brand can cite smugly to show his critics just don't know what they're talking about.