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Obama Payroll Tax Cuts Seen Undermining Social Security
NEW YORK -- Some Democratic lawmakers say that, while President Barack Obama's plan to cut payroll taxes may strengthen the U.S. economy, it may have some unintended fallout: weakening Social Security.
President Obama delivers a statement at the White House urging Congress to act to extend the payroll tax cut. (Alex Wong / Getty Images / December 5, 2011) The lawmakers and advocacy groups say they are concerned the tax cuts may undermine political support for the retirement program, which provides benefits to almost 55 million Americans and is funded by the payroll levies.
"I don't object to putting more money in people's pockets, and there are lots of ways to do that, but not with Social Security," said Representative Rush Holt of New Jersey, who said he will have a hard time supporting the White House plan.
Should Congress fail to extend the break, set to expire in four weeks, millions of Americans will see their paychecks start shrinking in January. That would be a setback for the economy and could subtract 0.7 percentage point from economic growth, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics.
Still, Obama's proposal comes amid growing concern about Social Security's finances. The program has begun spending more on benefits each year than it receives in payroll tax revenue and, starting in 2036, won't be able to pay full scheduled benefits, according to the trustees' latest report.
The system is funded by a 12.4 percent payroll tax equally divided between workers and employers. Congress cut the employee portion this year by 2 percentage points. Obama wants to reduce it further next year, to 3.1 percent, while offering the same rate to employers that take on new workers. The Social Security funding that is lost would be made up through general revenue.
Not the Last?
Social Security advocates say they fear these cuts won't be the last. It may not be any easier for Congress to allow them to lapse next year, with the elections in November and the unemployment rate projected by the Congressional Budget Office to average 8.5 percent. Forcing the government to tap further into general revenue could lead to the kind of funding fights that Social Security has avoided until now.
Representative Jerrold Nadler, a New York Democrat, said he supports extending the payroll tax cut, though reluctantly.
"To take it away would be a body blow to the economy," said Nadler, who called the tax cut a "very bad" change in Social Security policy. So "we've got to live with it for another year or two." Massachusetts Democrat Barney Frank said that while he didn't like the tax cuts initially, it would be a "great mistake" not to continue them now.
'Straight Politics'
Some critics of Obama's proposal say their wariness stems from Social Security's unique character. It was designed in 1935 by President Franklin Roosevelt to be an autonomous program that paid its own way through a dedicated tax.
Though the payroll tax is regressive -- it hits lower- income Americans harder -- Roosevelt believed the levy would make the program politically impregnable. That's because Americans would feel their benefits had been "bought and paid for" by their payroll taxes by the time they reached retirement, said tax historian Joseph Thorndike.
"We put those payroll contributions there so as to give the contributors a legal, moral, and political right to collect their pensions," Roosevelt said, according to a 1941 memorandum written by Luther Gulick, an adviser. "With those taxes in there, no damn politician can ever scrap my Social Security program. Those taxes aren't a matter of economics; they're straight politics."
Threat to Legacy
Until recently, the program's special status was underscored by statements the government mailed to more than 150 million workers tallying how much they have paid in Social Security taxes and how much they can expect to receive in retirement. The government said it is suspending those mailings to save money and plans to make them available online.
Critics say the administration's tax-cut plan threatens that legacy because it would replace with other revenue the $265 billion the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation estimated would be forgone by Social Security next year.
While transferring other revenue into the program would ensure benefits aren't cut because of the tax reduction, Social Security advocates may have a harder time arguing that seniors' benefits were bought and paid for by their payroll taxes.
Chuck Blahous, a former Bush administration economic adviser who now sits on Social Security's Board of Trustees, called the Obama plan a "very fundamental transformation" in how the program operates.
'Severe Trouble'
"When you start funding Social Security that way, you basically destroy any notion that people really paid for their Social Security benefits," he said. "Once we destroy that, we're going to destroy a lot of the political protections that Social Security has long enjoyed."
Blahous added, "We've got this political dynamic that says, 'Well, if you don't extend this, then you're in favor of raising taxes on poor working people. If that's the dynamic, then Social Security is in really severe trouble."
The ambivalence over tapping into the funding for the popular retirement program is underscored by a split among advocacy organizations for the elderly. AARP, the largest group, supports the payroll tax cuts -- as long as they are temporary - - while the National Commission to Preserve Social Security & Medicare has criticized the administration's plan.
No Danger
Alan Krueger, the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, denies there is any danger to the system. He told reporters in a Nov. 29 briefing, "I don't think this jeopardizes the Social Security trust fund or the solvency of Social Security. The trust fund is made whole by general revenues." And he said Obama has proposed a way to fully pay for his tax-cut plan.
Senator Dick Durbin, the chamber's second-ranking Democrat, also rejected the complaints. He said the government has been borrowing surplus Social Security revenue to pay for other programs, and promising to repay it later with other tax revenue, so the money has already been mixed.
"This is not the first time," he said. Durbin, of Illinois, said he hoped the tax cut would be allowed to lapse next year though he said he couldn't rule out another extension.
It's that uncertainty that concerns some lawmakers.
"We shouldn't let the federal government undermine Social Security by convincing Americans that they don't really have to pay for it," said Senator Joe Manchin, a West Virginia Democrat. "If we extend the cuts this year, what about the next year and the year after? When does it stop?"



78 Comments so far
Show Allkey word promising
"I will gladly pay you on Friday for a hamburger you give me today"
Wimpy from Popeye
and now, a token "we must make them" statement
We must make them cross their hearts and hope to die.
I agree with your sentiment. But, where does the government get the money to repay with interest that which they have borrowed? It has to raise taxes -- hopefully on the wealthy but I doubt that's going to happen.
Yes, those that saw through this from the beginning understood that the cut was not for the purposes of helping the economy but rather for the purpose of destroying the SS system. The argument that has "saved" SS from the privateers for the many years it has been under attack (I believe since that B grade actor was in the White House) is the fact that it has always been solvent, and estimates projected it would remain so until 2025 to 2050 depending on estimate methods, the tax cuts were solely for the purpose of destroying that solvency.
And a note to those that don't fully understand the government "borrowing" from the fund, according to my understanding the fund is made up solely of I.O.U.s from the government, they "borrow" ALL the money that goes into SS, not just a portion of it, and use it for other purposes. Part of the motive for eliminating SS is to get out of paying off those I.O.U.s, which will be as worthless as Confederate Bonds were once the Civil War ended.
The whole "insurance" aspect of this seems completely lost in our bizzaro country. It was called insurance for a reason, not a savings account that you only get out what you put in, maybe with a little interest. We have paid our premiums through payroll tax deductions our entire working lives. How do people miss what the howling would be if they could only pay for their health needs with the amount they put into their health insurance premiums? Or only repair their car as much as the amount they paid for their auto insurance?
To paraphrase the country song, Wall street got the gold mine and we got the shaft.
I think workers can use the extra 1000 bucks a year cause without it at this time the economy and people will suffer even more. We need to end the War Economy and the FED system before we worry about trimming retirement 25 years from now because the general revenue is already in the hole.
The Social Security scare is a political distraction by members of both parties who are doing nothing to fix anything. Just making the rich pay a little more into Social Security now it would be fixed.
I hear there is a more favorable opinion of Communism in America than Congress.
I have never heard a fellow worker say “The Government is not takin enough out of my Check, and that is killing the unemployed!”
But I don’t know the same folks as you, so do you have too little taken out of your check?