Subscribe to Common Dreams News Updates
Most Popular This Week
Popular content
Today's Top News
Published on Friday, December 4, 2009 by CommonDreams.org
An Open Letter to Congress From US Scientists on Climate Change and Recently Stolen Emails
As U.S. scientists with substantial expertise on climate change and its impacts on natural
ecosystems, our built environment and human well-being, we want to assure policy makers and
the public of the integrity of the underlying scientific research and the need for urgent action to
reduce heat-trapping emissions. In the last few weeks, opponents of taking action on climate
change have misrepresented both the content and the significance of stolen emails to obscure
public understanding of climate science and the scientific process.
We would like to set the record straight.
The body of evidence that human activity is the dominant cause of global warming is overwhelming. The content of the stolen emails has no impact whatsoever on our overall understanding that human activity is driving dangerous levels of global warming. The scientific process depends on open access to methodology, data, and a rigorous peer-review process. The robust exchange of ideas in the peer-reviewed literature regarding climate science is evidence of the high degree of integrity in this process.
As the recent letter to Congress from 18 leading U.S. scientific organizations, including the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Meteorological Society, states:
These “multiple independent lines of evidence” are drawn from numerous public and private research centers all across the United States and beyond, including several independent analyses of surface temperature data. Even without including analyses from the UK research center from which the emails were stolen, the body of evidence underlying our understanding of human-caused global warming remains robust.
We urge you to take account of this as you make decisions on climate policy.
^ = Member of National Academy of Sciences
Institutional affiliation for identification purposes only
Signed:
David Archer, Ph.D.
Professor
Department of the Geophysical Sciences
University of Chicago
Chicago, IL
William C. Clark, Ph.D.^
Harvey Brooks Professor of International Science, Public Policy, and Human Development
John F. Kennedy School of Government
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Peter C. Frumhoff, Ph.D.
Director of Science and Policy
Chief Scientist, Climate Campaign
Union of Concerned Scientists
Cambridge, MA
Inez Fung, Ph.D.^
Professor of Atmospheric Science
Co-Director, Berkeley Institute of the Environment
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA
Neal Lane, Ph.D.
Professor
Rice University
Former Director, National Science Foundation
Former Director, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
Houston, TX
Michael MacCracken, Ph.D.
Chief Scientist for Climate Change Programs
The Climate Institute
Washington, DC
Pamela Matson, Ph.D.^
Professor
School of Earth Sciences
Stanford University
Stanford, CA
James J. McCarthy, Ph.D.
Alexander Agassiz Professor of Biological Oceanography
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Jerry Melillo, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist and Director Emeritus
The Ecosystems Center
Marine Biological Laboratory
Woods Hole, MA
Edward L. Miles, Ph.D.^
Bloedel Professor of Marine Studies and Public Affairs
School of Marine Affairs
Co-Director, Center for Science in the Earth System, JISAO
University of Washington
Seattle, WA
Mario J. Molina, Ph.D.^
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
Nobel Laureate, Chemistry
San Diego, CA
Ellen Mosley-Thompson, Ph.D.^
Director, Byrd Polar Research Center
Professor of Geography and University Distinguished Scholar
The Ohio State University
Columbus, OH
Gerald R. North, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Sciences and Oceanography
Texas A&M University
College Station, TX
Michael Oppenheimer, Ph.D.
Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs
Department of Geosciences and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ
Jonathan T. Overpeck, Ph.D.
Co-Director, Institute of the Environment
Professor
Department of Geosciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Arizona
Tucson, AZ
Ronald G. Prinn, Ph.D.
TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Science
Director, Center for Global Change Science
Co-Director, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
Alan Robock, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor
Rutgers University
President, Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union
Chair-Elect, Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences Section, American Association for the Advancement of Science
New Brunswick, NJ
Benjamin D. Santer, Ph.D.
Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Livermore, CA
William H. Schlesinger, Ph.D.^
President, Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Millbrook, NY
Daniel P. Schrag, Ph.D.
Sturgis Hooper Professor of Geology
Professor of Environmental Science and Engineering
Director, Harvard University Center for the Environment
Cambridge, MA
Drew Shindell, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
New York, NY
Richard C. J. Somerville, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor Emeritus and Research Professor
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, CA
Warren M. Washington, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Boulder, CO
Donald J. Wuebbles, Ph.D
. The Harry E. Preble Professor of Atmospheric Sciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Urbana, IL
Carl Wunsch, Ph.D.^
Cecil and Ida Green Professor of Physical Oceanography
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
We would like to set the record straight.
The body of evidence that human activity is the dominant cause of global warming is overwhelming. The content of the stolen emails has no impact whatsoever on our overall understanding that human activity is driving dangerous levels of global warming. The scientific process depends on open access to methodology, data, and a rigorous peer-review process. The robust exchange of ideas in the peer-reviewed literature regarding climate science is evidence of the high degree of integrity in this process.
As the recent letter to Congress from 18 leading U.S. scientific organizations, including the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Meteorological Society, states:
“Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver. These conclusions are based on multiple independent lines of evidence, and contrary assertions are inconsistent with an objective assessment of the vast body of peer-reviewed science. … If we are to avoid the most severe impacts of climate change, emissions of greenhouse gases must be dramatically reduced.”
These “multiple independent lines of evidence” are drawn from numerous public and private research centers all across the United States and beyond, including several independent analyses of surface temperature data. Even without including analyses from the UK research center from which the emails were stolen, the body of evidence underlying our understanding of human-caused global warming remains robust.
We urge you to take account of this as you make decisions on climate policy.
^ = Member of National Academy of Sciences
Institutional affiliation for identification purposes only
Signed:
David Archer, Ph.D.
Professor
Department of the Geophysical Sciences
University of Chicago
Chicago, IL
William C. Clark, Ph.D.^
Harvey Brooks Professor of International Science, Public Policy, and Human Development
John F. Kennedy School of Government
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Peter C. Frumhoff, Ph.D.
Director of Science and Policy
Chief Scientist, Climate Campaign
Union of Concerned Scientists
Cambridge, MA
Inez Fung, Ph.D.^
Professor of Atmospheric Science
Co-Director, Berkeley Institute of the Environment
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA
Neal Lane, Ph.D.
Professor
Rice University
Former Director, National Science Foundation
Former Director, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
Houston, TX
Michael MacCracken, Ph.D.
Chief Scientist for Climate Change Programs
The Climate Institute
Washington, DC
Pamela Matson, Ph.D.^
Professor
School of Earth Sciences
Stanford University
Stanford, CA
James J. McCarthy, Ph.D.
Alexander Agassiz Professor of Biological Oceanography
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Jerry Melillo, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist and Director Emeritus
The Ecosystems Center
Marine Biological Laboratory
Woods Hole, MA
Edward L. Miles, Ph.D.^
Bloedel Professor of Marine Studies and Public Affairs
School of Marine Affairs
Co-Director, Center for Science in the Earth System, JISAO
University of Washington
Seattle, WA
Mario J. Molina, Ph.D.^
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
Nobel Laureate, Chemistry
San Diego, CA
Ellen Mosley-Thompson, Ph.D.^
Director, Byrd Polar Research Center
Professor of Geography and University Distinguished Scholar
The Ohio State University
Columbus, OH
Gerald R. North, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Sciences and Oceanography
Texas A&M University
College Station, TX
Michael Oppenheimer, Ph.D.
Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs
Department of Geosciences and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ
Jonathan T. Overpeck, Ph.D.
Co-Director, Institute of the Environment
Professor
Department of Geosciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Arizona
Tucson, AZ
Ronald G. Prinn, Ph.D.
TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Science
Director, Center for Global Change Science
Co-Director, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
Alan Robock, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor
Rutgers University
President, Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union
Chair-Elect, Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences Section, American Association for the Advancement of Science
New Brunswick, NJ
Benjamin D. Santer, Ph.D.
Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Livermore, CA
William H. Schlesinger, Ph.D.^
President, Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Millbrook, NY
Daniel P. Schrag, Ph.D.
Sturgis Hooper Professor of Geology
Professor of Environmental Science and Engineering
Director, Harvard University Center for the Environment
Cambridge, MA
Drew Shindell, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
New York, NY
Richard C. J. Somerville, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor Emeritus and Research Professor
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, CA
Warren M. Washington, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Boulder, CO
Donald J. Wuebbles, Ph.D
. The Harry E. Preble Professor of Atmospheric Sciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Urbana, IL
Carl Wunsch, Ph.D.^
Cecil and Ida Green Professor of Physical Oceanography
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
- Posted in
Comments are closed



166 Comments so far
Show AllI believe them.
Our addiction to drama and controversy seldom serves us well. It's all about pursuing Truth.
I cannot. For the simple reason that this statemnt is demonstrably NOT true....
"The body of evidence that human activity is the dominant cause of global warming is overwhelming."
Till it is, this will remain a theory and is certainly open to question. Declarations are not proof nor are they definite results.
"... demonstrably NOT true..."
'debatably', 'arguably', 'questionably', but 'demonstrably'?
In the matter of the future of my children's children, and their children's children, I'd rather err on the side of a preponderance of evidence than requiring proof beyond all reasonable doubt.
There are many useful "theories" some of which have opened the door to a great many discoveries, and useful corollaries.
A well reasoned scientific declaration is a hypothesis, which stands as true until proven false...
so by the same standard as you put forth, your declaration is not proof nor a definite result - so prove the hypothesis of the greater scientific community false.
"A well reasoned scientific declaration is a hypothesis, which stands as true until proven false..."
Absolutely untrue.
From what university did you get which degree in what field of science, troll?
You're nothing but a photocopier for right-wing boilerplate.
A soulless, gutless, mindless ideologue--about as low on the mental food chain as Sarah Palin, without the personal moxie.
An anonymous cipher defending exploitation, injustice, and ecological disaster as the justly earned deserts of people just as soul-dead and brain-dead as he.
Henry8, why is this statement not true because you say it isn't? What the hell is wrong with you and others like you? There are almost 7 billion of us on this planet, probably close to 1 billion cars/trucks and then there are power plants and almost a billion cows to feed us that fart methane, which is worse than CO2 in trapping heat. It's a simple equation, you make more CO2 and it traps more heat, but you and the knuckleheads who want to believe the earth is flat or that that Copernicus was wrong and that the earth is the center of the universe just won't believe that the earth is heating up until you're underwater from melting ice of Greenland and the poles. It's idiots like you that make me feel like we are doomed as a species.
"...Statistics 101 "Correlation does not equal causation".
"However, the link between human activity and climate change remains unproven (see statistics 101 above), so we shouldn't be in such a rush to chop off our hand to fix a splinter."
First off, I am not asking to chop off any hands. As I posted later in this thread I suspect that we will do nothing meaningful to cut our CO2 emissions. All I am asking is a very simple question here which I will GUARANTEE will not be answered in a rational way.
Again the question is: If we are not the source of this steady rise in CO2 what is the NATURAL source?
PLEASE no digressions. As I stated scientists have observed rising CO2 levels and identified US as the source for those observations. If you have proof this is not correct PLEASE TELL ME, PLEASE!!!! I REALLY want to be informed on this issue. I want to know the TRUTH!!!!! Please, Please, Please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Mr statistics 101, if humans are not the source, then PLEASE TELL ME what IS the NATURAL source for the rise in CO2! What is at least one other legitimate causation?!?!?!?!?
I knew this was going to be frustrating but I didn't think it would get this bad this fast!
Ugggghhhhh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Tom
Most of us understand that correlation does not equal causation. But there is evidence of causation in the shape of the curve that relates global temperature rise and carbon dioxide increase. First, if volcanoes caused a rise in carbon dioxide followed by global warming, that burst of carbon dioxide would show up on the graph as a jump. But the rise appears to be steady (within the natural noise that most phenomena exhibit), exactly what you would expect through burning of fossil fuels and the destruction of forests. Second, if sunspot cycles, or solar radiation, or peculiarities of the Earth's orbit with respect to the sun were operating, you would expect a cyclical pattern in the temperature data. But you don't get that. We have laboratory data supporting global warming caused by carbon emissions, we have good correlations from ice cores showing high carbon dioxide levels are associated with warmer climate, we have astronomical observations of other planets, and we have computer models that explain observed warming quite well in terms of gas emissions. What more evidence do you need?
King Henry the Eighth is simply trying to defend the throne.
The proof that human activity is causing global warming is easy to see when one accepts the laws of physic. Global warming is not caused by the glacial cycle because those changes do not follow the trajectory of human causal factors, and besides, the glacial cycle does not cause greenhouse gases.
Nothing else creates greenhouse gases in synch with human fossil emission and deforestation. If something else could, the emissions advocates would have proposed it along time ago. Since they haven't, their campaign is clearly exposed as a classic FUD campaign, as empty as Coke. Microsuft used FUD to achieve illegitimate monopoly share of the computer market. Insurance/litigation racketeers use FUD to deviously scare USans into buying insurance. They're currently FUDDing nurses into the ground to carry malpractice insurance. These rackets destroy the public trust, the foundation of a healthy society.
And all the rackets are now being exposed. King Henry the Eighth is wearing no clothes today. Let him show that something else can create greenhouse gases in synch with human fossil emission/deforestation. Let the emitters, and the advocates of economic growth at all cost, and exploitation of everything that moves and doesn't, bear the burden of proof, against the obvious.
Here is a link to a graph showing the rise in C02 for the last 50 years as measured from Hawaii. You'll see two lines. The red zig zag line shows the seasonal change caused by plants going active in the summer and dormant in the winter in the northern hemisphere. The black line represents the average rise between the seasonal changes. You'll see it rises very steadily at roughly a 35 degree angle.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/co2_data_mlo.html
Now climate scientists say that this rise is caused by humans steadily pumping CO2 into the atmosphere. So they have identified a source that explains this VERY steady rise.
Henry8, or anyone else, please identify the natural source that would explain a steady rise in CO2 for the last 50 years that these observations have been made. This is a very simple question, and no volcanoes don't count. This is because volcanoes would cause spikes in the rise in CO2 when they erupt if they were the main CO2 source.
After doing a lot of reading on the subject over several years I have come to the conclusion that global climate change is being caused by human activity. But this is not some religious belief of mine, and I could easily change my view if someone presents a PLAUSIBLE alternative theory that matches the observations that are being seen.
It will be very interesting to see if any climate change deniers will answer my simple question or will they just ignore it and post later down the thread like this post doesn't exist.
People who don't think human activity can't change the environment need to realize how thin our atmosphere really is. The troposphere which contains 80% of the mass of our atmosphere, is only between 5 miles thick at the poles, and 10 miles thick at the equator. That's it. That is all there is between life on Earth and death in outer space.
Where I live, my 10 minute drive to the grocery store is longer than it would be to drive to the edge of the Troposphere. Think about that for a minute, seriously think about it...
Tom
NC-Tom: Thanks for posting the link to the CO2 measurements at Mauna Loa. Since you've read a lot about this, perhaps you can answer a couple of questions.
How do the researchers know that the increasing amount of CO2 isn't coming from Mauna Loa itself. It's a volcano; might it be spewing CO2 into the atmosphere in increasing amounts for some reason?
According to Wikipedia, Mauna Loa's most recent eruption was in 1984, yet the graph you referred to doesn't show any dramatic changes in 1984. Do volcanic eruptions change the CO2 concentration by a significant amount (or more properly, the mole-fraction, as I learned from http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/about/co2_measurements.html)?
Before I sign off, I want to stress that these questions are to be taken at face value. I'm not trying to deny anything or to press a personal agenda, and I realize that these are not the only measurements that climatologist rely on. I say this because merely asking questions about this topic elicits hysterical responses from some people (though I don't expect such from you).
I do my best not to get hysterical in my discussions or resort to personal attacks. Doing that does nothing in making the point one is trying to make more credible. But sometimes I do get frustrated when people don't use common sense and reasoning.
To your first question there are monitoring stations all over the world even at the south pole. A Google search will show you where they are. For example my Google search turned up a CO2 monitoring station in Norway that was reporting readings of 390 ppm which matches nicely with the Mauna Loa stations observations.
70% - 95% of volcanic eruption gasses are water vapor, so for one eruption to make a noticeable effect on CO2 in the atmosphere it would have to be huge. But volcanoes do release roughly 130 million tones of CO2 into the atmosphere every year. This has been going on for millions of years. Fortunately the biosphere and oceans have been able to absorb that level of CO2. Our burning of fossil fuels has added an additional 500 billion tons into the atmosphere and that is where the problem lies. We are putting additional CO2 into the atmosphere beyond what is naturally put into the atmosphere and this combination is overwhelming the Earths ability to absorb it. Below is a link that explains what I just stated in more detail.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2004/12/how-do-we-know-that-recent-cosub2sub-increases-are-due-to-human-activities-updated/
As far as volcanos effect on the Earths climate go, large eruptions usually cool the atmosphere because of the release of Sulfur Dioxide. The massive 1815 Tambora eruption caused the year with a summer in 1816 when snow fell in June July and August in New England and Europe.
At some point we will once again have a truly massive eruption like Tambora so it will be interesting to see how much of a long term effect a huge eruption will have on CO2 amounts in the atmosphere now that the planet can no longer absorb all the CO2 that is currently being pumped into it on an annual basis.
Thanks for taking time to respond. The realclimate.org site looks interesting.
John
I enjoyed our discussion. A thoughtful exchange is always much appreciated.
Take care,
Tom
Actually, real climate is a poor source of informatin.
Go to the US dept of energy site. The carbon ratio determines how much co2 is currently in the atmosphere as a result of fossil fuel buring. It is approx 15ppm or the rise from 280 ppm.
Also, Mauna, Loa is inactive, probably extinct. The active volcano, Kilauea is the the southeast and much lower in elevation, while Hawaii is subject to almost unvarying trade winds from the northeast. Mauna Loa, at over 14,000 ft elevation, lies well above a near-permanent inversion layer, (do the denialist's even know what a inversion is?) so even if the winds would switch to the southeast, little CO2 will mix above the inversion. Finally, if volcanic activity were the source it would be wildly variable with the volcano's burps and changes in wind and weather. Instead, it is so steady that it detects seasonal vegetation effects from distant continents.
Any other questions?
Henry, it *IS* overwhelming. All you have to do is look at the longitudinal temperature record to have an *inescapable* Thoreau Moment.
As far as I can tell, you always do your best to play it straight, which is something I greatly admire, respect, and appreciate. Please, *please* look at the data!
do your homework. look at the data. the evidence is overwhelming and definitive. data comes from many many sources including ice cores, sea surface water temperatures, tree rings, etc, over vasts periods of times between glacial cycles. we have a background standard. the current time period isn't just an anomaly, but one that has a cause; namely, us. all previous anomalies were never as big in scope and their causes were well understood, none of which are exhibited today.
climate change deniers choose 5 industry scientists to listen to, and for some reason, choose to ignore the 5000 scientists who are in a consensus on this issue.
agreed. evidence is overwhelming. deniers are about 5. Astonishing how much attention they get.
Actually, there have been temperature swings much larger than the past 30 years. Ref Alley....greenland ice cores NOAA.
Also, the Youngeur Dyas periods are much more rapid temp swings than right now. We do not know why that happens, but it certainly does happen.
The current temp is not out of the noise range at all for the Holocene period. In fact, the current temp is approx 2.3C cooler than 8,000 YBP.
good points. i was referring to the current context, in which we can estimate the quantity of green house gases released by industrial activity, something we know is caused by human activity, in comparison to past anomalies. while we may not know the exact causes of the anomalies you refer to, we do know that it wasn't caused by industrial forces. the next question is, what other mechanisms exist that we know about, and which ones are active today? methane, solar flares, the obliquity of the earth's orbit, etc? i think it's reasonable to conclude, as other scientists have, that the evidence is pretty overwhelming for human activity being the primary cause in the "Anthropocene"
You claim that "declarations are not proof" one sentence after making the declaration "this statement is demonstrably NOT true" (while providing no evidence whatsoever).
There's way, way too much of this kind of anti-intellectual, anti-science nonsense on Common Dreams.
Henry8
I take issue with your premise, first. If I and the scientists are wrong as to the cause, I do not believe that it can be reasonably disputed that man made emissions will serve to make more severe whatever "Naturally occurring" warming might be, if it be due to some poorly or not at all understood phenomenon. That being the case, we have reason enough to do whatever we can to ameliorate rather than aggravate said phenomenon. It could be that what we do might keep us from passing some "tipping point" that takes us to total, but unnecessary destruction. If we fry anyway, we can go down with the knowledge that we did our best to recognize and correct our folly. If we do not ---- Well I am sure you see the implication.dh
Henry 8,
Your CV (USA Resume) please?
Henry8, why is this statement not true because you say it isn't? What the hell is wrong with you and others like you? There are almost 7 billion of us on this planet, probably close to 1 billion cars/trucks and then there are power plants and almost a billion cows to feed us that fart methane, which is worse than CO2 in trapping heat. It's a simple equation, you make more CO2 snd it traps more heat, but you and the knuckleheads who want to believe the earth is flat or that that Copernicus was wrong and that the earth is the center of the universe just won't believe that the earth is heating up until you're underwater from melting ice of Greenland and the poles. It's idiots like you that make me feel like we are doomed as a species.
Unfortunately I really doubt we will be able to do anything MEANINGFUL to reduce our world wide CO2 production. Too much money is being made with the status quo, plus there really is no alternative to fossil fuels that has the same energy content and transportability. As far as an energy source, fossil fuels really do rock!
For the most part I suspect it will be business as usual for several more decades, unless we run into Peak Oil, but that is a whole other discussion... ;-)
Tom
Several more decades? We'll be lucky to get several more years.
You maybe right but I decided to say decades because I didn't want to cause panic in the streets... ;-)
Actually, peak oil is centuries away. The worlds known reserves right now are 3x more than 10 years ago. IF useage doesn't drop, there is enough oil at present consumption to last over 200 years.
Got a citation for that claim? You *are* talking about petroleum that can be extracted and processed without wrecking Earth further, or producing a net energy loss to extract and process, right?
Realistically, assuming anthropogenic GW is real-- and I believe it is -- aren't we all "doomed?" Does anyone really believe people will stop driving, stop having children, stop eating meat, stop flying, living in free-standing houses, using computers, or all the other things that contribute to the greenhouse effect? Are India and China, Brazil etc. going to go back to near-universal poverty to protect the future?
I mean, I wish we all would would, but it's no surprise that we haven't. To even begin to make such changes, you would need an authoritarian government, as the Chinese Communist Party demonstrated with their 1-child policy. Are you willing to give up democracy and individual freedom to save the planet? And if you do, what makes you think the new authorities would be ecology-minded?
I've minimized my "carbon footprint" for 30 years, except for doing Google searches. No cars, no meat, minimal travel, buying everything used etc. But individual efforts have no effect. That's why, at this point, to maintain any hope that there is a future at all, I'm tempted to believe the skeptics might be right. I think a lot of people feel this way. And for those of you who trash them, do any of you really believe there's a way out?
The trouble is that education isn't COOL.
The mass soporifics that are now in use by our rulers preclude any chance of reality penetrating the consiousness of most of the world's population.
The problem here is that the science addressing concerns of global warming is forensic in nature; it addresses the evidence of the world as it is. Demonstrating the story of cause and effect has to be accomplished by means of experiment, however. Unfortunately we do not have other earths on which to run experiments. We must recognize and address perils before they occur while never being able to prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that no catastrophe would have occurred in the absence of action.
The real issues here are economic and that is where those who can see no system other than capitalism, i.e. the management of economy for non-existant profits (which would include all "communist" systems to date) must founder against the laws of thermodynamics. That profits (which require victims) are conceived as freedoms by those who collect them leads inevitably to the new political slogan of the age, "Give me liberty and give me death for a chaser."
Do the willfully blind GW Deniers even know the urban myth that started the 'debate?'
Here it is:
Global Warming is a 'hoax' devised by two - that's right, just two - researchers in the late 60s as a way to increase government research funding into the causes of Global Warming.
When the rest of the 'science fascists' saw how readily governments threw money at fake Global Warming researchers, they jumped on the scienceNazi bandwagon, and the next thing we knew, a worldwide conspiracy of fake Global Warming researchers and scientists was born, dedicated to convincing 6 billion people that more and more money was needed to find a solution to a problem that they made up in the first place.
Also, the fake Global Warming worldwide scienceNazi conspiracy hates Capitalism for reasons not yet fully explained. One of the many secrets they keep from 'the people'...
Seriously. That's it.
Would sane humans believe that? Sorry, I meant sane Americans?
Yikes that's quite an amazing conspiracy! Would you be kind enough to supply the names of these scientists and at least two sources that back up your claim?
Thanks, much appreciated.
Tom
You misunderstood, Tom. He's saying that's the myth underlying the denialists' nonsense.
Opps. Sometimes its hard to figure out when someone is using satire. Sorry about that.
Tom, pin the conspiracy on the Democrats.
As we received our government-mandated time extra hour of daylight last spring, it went unmentioned that Savings Time was formally adopted under Democratic President Woodrow Wilson in 1918, though but briefly. Democrat FDR reestablished it in 1942, calling it "War Time". Under Democrat Johnson in 1966 Congress passed the Uniform Time Act; since 2007 (guess who controlled Congress) Daylight Savings Time now starts three weeks earlier and ends a week later. It's now up to Sean, Glenn, and Rush to point out that with all that accumulated extra Democrat-delivered daylight striking the earth, no wonder we have global warming.
Sure, I'll believe it and if the opponents get to steal enough emails we can look forward to the Artic sea ice reforming ;-).
In any complex homeostatic system, a change on the order of magnitude that we have seen in the CO2 content of the atmosphere, would mean serious illness and dangerous levels of instability.
Those who most appreciate the complexity of the planetary ecosystem (James Lovelock for example) are the most alarmed.
Even if the evidence were not compelling, prudence dictates that we take steps to avert the worst case scenario.
Sam Abrams
Years ago, Jacques Cousteau made the best argument--It went something like this: The CO2 argument cannot be definitive until it is too late. We should be using clean, renewable energy whether or not CO2 is a problem. If we act and we're wrong we still have clean, renewable energy. If we don't act and we're right about CO2 we're in big trouble. The risk is too great not to act.
This whole CO2 argument seems to be a delaying and diversionary tactic.
"This whole CO2 argument seems to be a delaying and diversionary tactic."
That's exactly it. Now that it has been agreed by rational people after decades of obfuscation by the fossil fuel industry that the world is indeed warming, the obfuscation switches to the cause and the solutions to level it off. It is nothing but a delaying tactic so they can keep polluting and keep making their record profits.
Absolutely true. As someone 'of a certain age' I've seen the deniers argument evolve in a predictable pattern:
1. What global warming?
2. What 'bad' global warming?
3. What human-caused, bad, global warming?
4. What human-caused, bad, global warming that we can do anything about?
5. What human-caused, bad, global warming that we can do anything about, that won't destroy the human economy in the doing of it?
The irony is, in delaying to step 5, they mold the issue to where they are right. By the time we HAVE to take step 5 to control global warming, it really WILL destroy the economy to do so.
Lets look at how this might work for McDonalds (instead of Exxon):
1. What weight gain?
2. What 'bad' weight gain?
3. What 'bad' weight gain that is really because we like Big Macs?
4. What 'bad' weight gain that is because we like Big Macs that requires us to enter a program to solve?
5. What 'bad' weight gain that is because we like Big Macs that requires us to enter a hospital program, that won't require an stomach-stapling operation to solve (which might kill us)?
And, so it goes...
The argument is good. In fact the danger we face is so extreme the slightest chance of the global warming predictions being correct are sufficient argument to drop all fossil fuels with extreme haste and redefine our needs accordingly.
But the greatest danger we face is the people who deny this, or who chisel away at it.
It is clear they are eyeing their neighbour's land and possessions. Far from disbelieving the evidence, many will be preparing to safeguard self in order to be able to take possession.
Common Dreams is showing dreadfully poor editorial prerogative by siding with "global warming" ignorance. I am disheartened to see such a low level of analysis given to a matter this substantive.
1) The content "hacked" from CRU was probably made by a whistleblower - someone who could no longer live with themselves.
2) The content "hacked" clearly demonstrates the impotence of the CO2-linked anthropogenic global warming theory.
3) Even grade 11 students are able to work out the absurdity in thinking human-produced CO2 has any effect on the climate.
4) Many of the suppositions made by this "august" list of "dignitaries" are outright *wrong*. But then they're probably all deeply invested in their positions, so we can't really expect them to be representing the interests of the people (cf. Al Gore the Carbon-billionaire).
5) Que bono? Follow the $.
I could go on, but "global warming fanatics" are every bit as faith-based as the most mindless of religious fundamentalists. No amount of facts can dissuade them.
Nevertheless, here's some slightly more critical coverage of the subject:
• "ManBearPig Meets the Vikings" (http://sophrosyne.radical.r30.net/wordpress/?p=2873)
• "ManBearPig on Life Support?" (http://sophrosyne.radical.r30.net/wordpress/?p=2833)
• "Environmental Propaganda" (http://sophrosyne.radical.r30.net/wordpress/?p=1033)
• "Polar Bear Propaganda" (http://sophrosyne.radical.r30.net/wordpress/?p=998)
• "Environmental Consensus: A Shared Hallucination" (http://sophrosyne.radical.r30.net/wordpress/?p=993)
You could go on, but you've said absolutely nothing.
Khephra bluntly states, --the suppositions made by this "august"(sarcastic quotes)list of "dignitaries"(sarcastic quotes) are outright *wrong*(for Kephra the self-evident, unproven but definitely RIGHT conclusion on the 'corrupt' work and 'bad' judgement of ALL these scientists). But then, they're probably all deeply invested in their positions(that is, they are all just pigging at the trough, and worried about their grub instead of the science to which they've devoted their lives, and despite tenured positions) so we can't really expect them to be representing the interests of the people cf. Al Gore the Carbon-billionaire.--
Yup, like all the kookoo deniers, for Khephra ALL THE CLIMATE SCIENTISTS ARE WRONG!- 'cept the couple that agree with Khephra, and the oil and coal companies for which they work. And of course those scientists, just like that goldurn, rich-commie, dirty-librul Al Gore, cannot be representing the interests of Kheph.. er, the people.
But Al did not make up all this global warming folderol, he learned of it through his association with Roger Revelle, the noted Scripps Institute earth scientist and director, a scientist so honored he has a UC College of Science named after him. Just like Keph... oops. Well, those eleventh graders know better anyway.
Hey, it is just obvious that all the climatologists are all wrong! Kephra sez, so it must be. And so's that old fuddyduddy, Lovelock, a guy so confused he made no money at all off of saving the Earth from ozone depletion... but who now thinks it is all too little, too late for humanity this time. Yeah, forget all that scientist stuff, nature and reality are just political makebelieve, and Frank Luntz, the Republican PhD of Spin, says it is Clear Skies and Healthy Forests now, not global warming, desertification of Earth, polluted skies and deforestation, so there... hey, who ya gonna believe, rabid-right-wing Republicans, Frank Luntz and Kephra, or your own lyin' eyes, and those conniving scientific "experts"!
Yeah, you can't trust these scientist types (even though they may have the expertise to place monitoring satellites one million miles from Earth in space which can, for example, look back and measure Earth's vitally protective ozone layer... and you don't) to tell people the "truth" (and not Get With the Republican corpo-fascist Program) about the atmosphere that these same scientists themselves have to live in... even though, simply put, humans are injecting into the atmosphere the carbon dioxide output equivalent to 17,000 volcanos going off all at once...and continuously. Ya think that might after a while affect some natural systems in the thin thin layer of goo we call the living biosphere of Earth?
Nahh! Nothing to see here, move along. Kephra right. Scientists bad. Fire good. Burn! Baby! Burn!
Sioux Rose
FV HORN: Excellent post. The selfish aspect of the climate deniers almost makes me believe that such a trait owns its own genetic marker. I wonder how many climate deniers are perfectly OK with the priorities of the US budget insofar as its bloated investment in militarism and endless weapons' development are concerned? Few mentioned the military's footprint on global warming; and it is substantial, added to that of the wastelands of chemical detritus left in its wake. The recent article about the babies born in Iraq with two heads or one cyclops eye placed front and center are chilling reminders of karma's long legacy. It's the boomerang that keeps on keeping on... I wonder if some of the climate deniers here will reconsider their positions if and when it's their homes on the front lines of strange floods, freak storms, high-powered hurricanes, unprecedented tornado outbreaks, earthquakes in unexpected zones, etc.
"Common Dreams is showing dreadfully poor editorial prerogative by siding with "global warming" ignorance."
They clearly have a high tolerance for ignorance, otherwise we wouldn't be reading your post.
"3) Even grade 11 students are able to work out the absurdity in thinking human-produced CO2 has any effect on the climate."
Get back to us when you get to grade 11.
Attacking those who have claimed collusion amongst climate scientists as 'conspiracy theorists' constitutes an 'ad hominem' attack. It ignores some real evidence of collusion and attempts to paint them as a bunch of nuts in order to hide an unpleasant reality.
Psychiatrists have a saying that goes "It ain't paranoia when they're really after you." In this case, it is no longer a conspiracy THEORY once the conspiracy is demonstrated.
The recent email release shows leaders in the climate research field engaged in some extraordinarily unprofessional behavior -- including suborning the peer review process, denying access to and threatening destruction of raw data and cooking the analysis to fit preordained conclusions.
Such actions, if proven, would end the careers of many scientists.
Whatever your views on CO2 and climate, dismissing these acts as 'no big deal' and painting those who call attention to them as 'conspiracy nuts' only strengthens the deniers arguments. --PEACE. --Michael Santomauro