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Climate Ostriches: Why Russia's and Pakistan's Extreme Weather Is About To Become the Norm
Record-setting temperatures in Russia, floods in Pakistan: it's tempting to categorize these as simply fluke weather events. And many media outlets are doing just that. But to do so is a disservice to the public. Acting like ostriches won't help us solve the problem. The media should be helping to connect the dots: what seems extreme now will be tomorrow's norm if we continue to ignore that these events are harbingers of climate change, and they're patterns with real human consequences.
If Moscow were in the United States, it would be located somewhere just south of Juneau, Alaska. Yet since July 29, Muscovites have endured at least five days that have been hotter than the previous record of 99 degrees, set back in the 1920s. Prior to this summer, Moscow had never seen a day with triple-digit temperatures. Now, it's seen several.
These are more than just a few hot days that can be endured by camping out near an air conditioner. The extreme heat -- the worst weather to occur in Russia in 1,000 years -- and the resulting acute air pollution, have caused the death rate in Moscow to double. Over 15,000 people are likely to have died in this summer's heat wave. Wildfires are burning rampantly, releasing more carbon dioxide, the heat-trapping gas that does the most to cause climate change, into the air. A section of the Siberian tundra one-and-a-half times the size of Texas continues to thaw out.
Potentially more devastating is the effect the heat has had on Russia's grain harvest. Nearly a third of it will be lost from drought and wildfires. This loss will be felt globally; Russia is currently the world's third-largest exporter of grain, and some analysts expect its export to be halved this year, causing prices to skyrocket.
The floods in Pakistan have been equally devastating. They're "worse than the Southeast Asia tsunami ... and the Haiti earthquake." 14 million people have been affected by the flooding, and several thousand have died. Villages that had yet to fully recover from a devastating 2005 earthquake have been essentially washed away. And the rain continues to pour, destroying more lives and keeping rescue efforts from proceeding. Food prices in Pakistan have quadrupled, making basic nutrition unattainable for many.
As Lester Brown explains in Plan B 4.0, climate disruption will have a devastating effect on our food supply. Two different and catastrophic weather patterns in two totally different parts of the world have resulted in the decimation of harvests and widespread food shortages. Even after the temperature in Moscow goes down or the rain stops in Pakistan, these tragic events will continue to pile up casualties from starvation. As grain prices rise around the world and extreme weather patterns become the norm, starvation and malnutrition, already an overwhelming problem, will become more persistent and farther reaching. The scope of climate change goes far beyond simple environmentalism -- it's a fundamental question of how we power ourselves, or grid, and our economy.
The other day, I heard a news story that made reference to the "debate" on climate change. The only "debate" is the willful deception funded by Exxon and peddled by science-denying ideologues like Sen. James Inhofe, Lord Monckton and Glenn Beck. These ideologues, for example, used last winter's vicious snowstorms in Washington, DC to mock those who have been pushing for strong action on climate disruption, not recognizing that those storms were another example of the weather we will soon be forced to accept as normal if we do nothing about climate disruption. While some are starting to change their tune, the media continues to give the more stubborn ideologues credence and legitimize the fallacy of their "debate."
The connection between these weather events and climate change couldn't be more unambiguous. But the mainstream media first avoided referencing climate change, when it should be the headline. CNN, for example, at first seemed to care more about the political fallout from the Russian heat wave. Instead of simply remarking how unprecedented these weather events are, outlets should be asking why they're happening now and what it means for our future, and that means pointing readers to the many scientific studies that help contextualize this activity and show that climate destabilization will cause more extreme weather. That's not advocacy of one viewpoint or another, it's journalism. (Despite some encouraging signs that the media has finally begun to wake up to the relationship between this summer's brutal weather and climate change, this report by the New York Times shows that some editors are still asleep at the wheel.)
We can keep our heads stuck in the sand and pretend what's happening will go away. Or we can disabuse ourselves of any responsibility, just to say "I told you so." Or we can, for once, look at what's happening now and do what's necessary to mitigate and adapt to the forces of our changing planet.
It's clear what our choice has to be.- Posted in
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69 Comments so far
Show AllI think Nature is killing us in every possible way, and making plain that our species's choice has to be ZERO POPULATION GROWTH.
We don't inhabit this planet, we infest it. We destroy earth at each opportunity; everything on land, everything in the oceans, everything in the air and in our atmosphere. We do so in our arrogant quest for immortality and escape from a reality that does not kiss our anthropocentric ass.
"We don't inhabit this planet,we infest it."
Trylon you nailed it.Baby you are smoothe igota go squeeeze this cutie.
later
peace
Our cultures on Earth have largely been collectively disconnect from the natural instincts that once kept man in touch with the spirit in the Earth. Nature is sounding the alarm in the ways described by Erich Pica and Lester Brown and others who get it. But too many leaders in business and government are unable to sense what is going on with Nature. The media too is senseless and some in the media are outright hostile to the notion of man's contribution to the overheating atmosphere. We are in peril right now. I just wrote to this issue myself. http://www.stevedrinkard.com/archives/44
"Our cultures on Earth have largely been collectively disconnect from the natural instincts that once kept man in touch with the spirit in the Earth."
This is a good definition of Freud's "death drive," which he argued after WWI was inherent to homo sapiens. A pessimistic vision, but maybe one we have to acknowledge and deal with once and for all. He also defined humans' tendency to disavow reality under his concept of fetishism. So, if he was right, we pretty much are just fulfilling the destiny of our species: pursue the death drive and disavow it at the same time.
"So, if he (Freud) was right, we pretty much are just fulfilling the destiny of our species"
The concept of "fulfilling destiny" is a religious one, and not scientific.
Ah, yet another Freudian notion, linked to the death drive, blurs the boundary between science and religion as you appear to be defining these terms: the "compulsion to repeat" or "repetition compulsion." According to this idea, we are all bound to compulsive, repetitive behaviors and rituals that are a "repetition" of and quest for some forgotten, repressed, and irrecoverable infantile trauma. Unless this trauma is brought to consciousness in some way, we are condemned to repeat behaviors and actions that may even be destructive to ourselves and others.
Take it for what it's worth. I know invoking the name of Freud these days can not but inspire ire in many people ("Freud has been proven wrong!!" is exclaimed even as psychologists continue to rip off his ideas and claim they are new), but I think his insights are still valid. Unfortunately, most people get their Freud from watered down Psych 101 text books filtered through American individualistic, free market ideology, instead of reading his work first hand.
//According to this idea, we are all bound to compulsive, repetitive behaviors and rituals that are a "repetition" of and quest for some forgotten, repressed, and irrecoverable infantile trauma. Unless this trauma is brought to consciousness in some way, we are condemned to repeat behaviors and actions that may even be destructive to ourselves and others. //
All right, let's map this individual, microcosmic fact onto the species H. sapiens in the aggregate and figure out what the hell happened to (macroscopic) us in our species' infancy to set us on this path of destruction. What trauma befell early H. sapiens? Did it have something to do with fire? Is that why we tackle all of our problems by setting something on fire?
But a good metaphor for the inevitability of consequences following actions. Modern philosophers and psychologists agree that we make decisions based on emotions and not on reason. The reason (and, usually, the justification) come after.
The oil/coal billionaires and their banking/armanents/pharma friends are good at justifying their selfishness, greed and hatred of the peasants and lumpen-proletariat, us, who want a share of what they have.
Form peer groups of like minded family and friends and start the transition from individual self motivated capitalists to more sustainable and natural living styles. This would include sharing of resources, food, land and lodging with emphasis on food growing, small cash cottage industry (could be selling something as simple selling honey), and renewable energy systems like solar and wind.
One would start slowly with the closest of friends but always with the goal of more integration toward shared and sustainable living. Creating "pockets of living environmental change" will go a long way in setting visible examples of living lifestyles for a sane world.
Emphasis should be placed on simple positive change starting with kindergarden basics like food growing and conservation methods of living and travel.
Criticism of establishment practices should be done in sympathetic manners as to have compassion for individuals still trapped in the world defeating selfish competitive lifestyles with all it's alienation, guilt and loss of connectedness, whether these people are billionaires or the homeless.
Billionaires should be looked as as people that have a deep almost pornographic compulsive bulimic greed disorder and like any ....oholic are desperately crying out (with each new vila purchase) for control, counsel and healing.
Let's get together with friends and just start the conversation about a shared and positive lifestyle. Look for small old farms or bigger houses (multiple houses) with something approaching a acre of land or more. Hell it could be better then the late 60's because this time it's for real and what do we have to lose anyway but a lot of primitive, narcissistic, capitalistic addictions.
It will sure beat holing up in your own private bunker with some gold sovereigns, survival meals and huge cash of guns and ammo and waiting to be burned out.
Set the example for the positive not the negative and we will be imitated.
ralph 442
As soon as you get your "sustainable" community in place... and productive - you can be sure that the "unsustainables" of the rich prick oligarchy will visit you with their "Xe mercinaries" to relieve you of your necessities for survival. You had better be well fortified... cuz survival will likely come down to who has the greatest firepower.
Trying to wried the "old school" thought and methods with old school thought and methods is a sure recipe for eternal disaster. Stop using Hollywood action pictures as your new world blueprint and you might discover some transcendence. This is a 11th hour test of humanity to see if it can step to the next level or be plowed under to fallow in regret and shame for a millennium or 50. To read many of the posts here on CD they have already given up the fight with some type of deep seated loathing of their position as maximum free and potential species. This "extra" free will brings tremendous responsibility that human kind has not lived up to yet. Nature and our destruction is forcing our consciousness in a new direction in which we will either against all odds of our primitive instincts and behavior overcome or die in our old world habits.
As an X hippy that has never grown up I would prefer to die planting food rather then shooting people for food. If survival is all your interested in then look for a bunker or fighting tribe that suits your beliefs and you will surly find the fight that you envision. Good luck to you friend .... but really the human universe is not built on luck but moral integrity.
Great stuff, ralph 442 - both posts. Well said. A much needed reminder. I think it would be even more insane to give up just because the world at large is insane.
IMO it is built on the erroneous interpretation of the Golden Rule as: Those with the gold rule.
Hi Ralph,
This past weekend in Berkeley, as part of our Neighborhood Vegetables program, we had two garden work parties of about 12 volunteer workers each; double digging vegetable beds for women who otherwise would not have done it. Enormously satisfying - the creativity that comes from the workers, and the gratitude and amazement of the recipients. We are working against cynicism, not by argument, but through hard work and example.
Caution, however, is not unjustified. I remember a commune in the late 60's in Northern California named Wheeler's Ranch. The hippies there were mostly stoned. They didn't know how to dig latrines, so they gave each other hepatitis. And later that Summer of Love, 1967, the ranch was taken over by an invasion of Hell's Angels.
I am not necessarily saying that we will have to go armed. But we will have to acquire survival skills, both physical and social, starting now. And we will have to keep our wits about us, which does not contradict the idea of moral integrity.
Warm regards,
Laurenceofberk@aol.com
CA has great weather and I like their fruits and vegetables. We have some good crops too out here in ND but CA usually does best on crops I think. I got to see if farmers west of Fargo do what the farmers in your place do. I know people do sports hunting together for survival too once in a while but the Neighborhood Vegetables program sounds interesting.
Hi Michael,
We're not talking about "farmers," just about gardeners in their back and front yards, and in community spaces. (Although the organic farmers in rural Northern California definitely do help each other.) Certainly in North Dakota your growing season is shorter than in California, but you can still gather a small group and help a neighbor to dig or weed or plant. The sense of accomplishment and of community is magnificent.
Here is a copy of our basic leaflet and our intake form. (Best on cardstock) The best place to look for likely people is at a farmers' market, but shopping districts or just door-to-door on your block also works.
LEAFLET
NEIGHBORHOOD VEGETABLES
We Can Grow Food and Community
Here Where we Live
Back Yards, Front Yards, Empty Lots.
If you need help in your garden
We can arrange a volunteer
GARDEN WORK PARTY
Expert advice and perhaps a steady helper
As food prices rise,
We can grow our own good food,
IF WE COOPERATE
NEIGHBOR TO NEIGHBOR
With our skills, land and labor.
Whether or not you have a yard,
We can garden together
If you are interested, call
510-540-1975, or write
Laurenceofberk@aol.com
Tell us where you live so we can connect you.
Include phone & email
level of garden skill, if you have a yard,
And if you need garden help.
SIGN UP CARD
NEIGHBORHOOD VEGETABLES
Working with Neighbors to Grow Food
Name _______________________________________________
Email ________________________________________________
Phone (H) ___________________________________________
Cell or Work _________________________________________
Address or Cross Streets _____________________________
_______________________________ City _________________
Garden Skill: Some ____ Skilled_______
Can Mentor Others? ______ How? _____________________
Have Yard? ______ Surplus produce? __________________
Want a Work Party in your yard?_________
Ongoing Help? Need_____ Provide_____
Talk to Neighbors__Join a Committee___
Anybody can send me an email and I will send you the leaflet and sign-up in PDF so you can print it up right away.
Enjoy,
Laurenceofberk@aol.com
PS. Doing this keeps me from brooding too much about the necessary but painful decline of American civilization.
Thanks and thumbs up. I shall have a look and pass this around. :)
I would suggest that your plan is fine for a few people, but what about everyone else? It obviously is very limited in application.
Also, if you are not interested in survival, you won't. So what good is any plan?
Not rhetorical.
Yes, Ralph, you are right, and there are already some people who are starting to live an independent, simple, healthy and sutainable life. And it will spread. Like any idea whose time has come, it will spread and endure. So don't let the 'not my style' fools depress or discourage you.
I'm almost 83, still a radical and idealist, though I'm deeply pessimistic about how much of the human race will survive the next 50-100 years. Whoever does survive might well learn something from the mess we've made so far.
Have you ever read 'Islandia' by A T Wright? It's fiction but it's wonderful. It was a cult book during the 70's, went out of print but is still available second-hand. I bought 3 copies for $25 each about 15 years ago. Get it, it will make you happy.
Sorry, but farms and/or bigger houses out in the country aren't my cup of tea, ralph.
We had a flood out here in North Dakota but did anyone go big on global warming back then? NO ! Natural disasters strike and POOF, the "global warming" ding-a-ling bells are at it again.
"The extreme heat -- the worst weather to occur in Russia in 1,000 years -- and the resulting acute air pollution, have caused the death rate in Moscow to double. Over 15,000 people are likely to have died in this summer's heat wave."
Heat wasn't measured the same way 1000 years ago and that 15000 number comes off a blog. Wonderblog could be right but his numbers are dubious.
"Potentially more devastating is the effect the heat has had on Russia's grain harvest. Nearly a third of it will be lost from drought and wildfires. This loss will be felt globally; Russia is currently the world's third-largest exporter of grain, and some analysts expect its export to be halved this year, causing prices to skyrocket. "
But what if they grow genetically modified wheat that can grow despite the soil and why can't rice be grown here at home and hold off on the imports?
"As Lester Brown explains in Plan B 4.0, climate disruption will have a devastating effect on our food supply."
Overblown projections. If prices of foreign imports goes up, then growing it at home will go up too. Adjustments can be made. How about growing lots of rice in TX and the southwest US and then return to business as usual?
"Heat wasn't measured the same way 1000 years ago and that 15000 number comes off a blog. Wonderblog could be right but his numbers are dubious."
I question if we 'measured' heat at all 1000 years ago. . . but we can measure today what happened 1000 years ago. I think that's what's being said here..
And can you point to the blog you're referring to with the dubious stats? Or are you just parroting what you've been shown on Fox?
And can you point to the blog you're referring to with the dubious stats?
Go back to the article and click the link under "Over 15,000 people are likely to have died"
I would suggest that even though whenever there is a diviation in the weather these kind of doomsday articles appear.
Though the kneejerk prediction is usually wrong or the short term focus is silly and yes the models are faulty the fact remains that we do have Climate Change. And thanks to Alcyon and Ubrew12 providing me with enough real information to indicate it is aided by Man,I believe thats the situation.
Ask those two for a little thought about this, they don't blow smoke.
The real problem as I see it now, is not that its taking place, but that no one really has an answer of how to deal with it.
James Hansen does. He's been studying it for NASA about as long as anyone. See my post about it in the comments section of the Amy Goodman article today, a short way from the top.
My state of ND has a state owned flour mill. I wonder if each state could something like that on other main staples and get the production roling. Maybe a state owned rice factory or likes in TX would be nice.
Just to let you know, I'm not denying climate change or global warming either. I question the way it's being handled but I'm still learning about the complex nature of climate change. Sorry my college education on physics was sappy.
I'd like to point out Reichler and Kim (2006) found that some of the coupled models are as accurate as on site thermometry. The models are getting pretty good.
Problem with them is that they are erratic. One hits it on the nose, 4 missed by a mile this year, next year the reverse...(not numerically correct, just an example)
Not consistent enough. Not even as consistent as the ones used for Cooling years ago.
Interesting that North Dakota has had TWO "500-year floods" in the last 12 or 13 years. And now a river diversion is in the works that apparently wasn't needed before. Seems the whole world has been having a lot of floods lately.
North Dakota's Devil's Lake is again at a record height, a whole story in itself.
As for measurement of heat, there are those pesky glacial ice cores that give a climate history going back not hundreds, but thousands of years.
Genetically modified crops are a nonstarter: - it is not an exact science: unwanted genetic traits tend to accompany the desired ones - requiring people to buy seed from Monsanto instead of growing their own seed is a nonstarter in the third world; and fact is, Europeans DON'T WANT THEM! GMO's threaten the world's food supply by replacing varieties that have proven their viability over thousands of years, with those which may or may not cause problems, and may not survive over the long haul at all. There is the well-known genetically modified corn which caused stomach pain. Lots more.
In general, most people don't want sudden change, or a lot of change, when they're used to things as they are. They may have to, but it probably won't be much fun.
I've heard of both good and bad things on GMO. I've been told that GMO is supposed to help feed the poor but I hear all sorts of things from skeptics too. I'm still undecided on it.
Like any good scientist, Michael takes his time deciding whether what he's heard makes sense (in the light of what he wants to believe, that is). With Michael the jury is always still out, whether it's GMO (what good things have you heard, Michael?) or global warming. 'I hear things from skeptics?' I'll bet you do, and I'll bet we know where that static is coming from.
Dear Michael Goodhart:
But what IF the hurricane season with BP's oily ocean does come far inland and rains oil on farms?
But what IF genetically modified crops also produce genetically modified people?
But what IF more and more people are unemployed; how will they make the food cost adjustment?
But what IF rice likes water and the Southwest runs out of it?
But what IF in North Dakota it gets too warm for hard red winter wheat?
But what IF all nations have food shortages; will you eat one of Trylon's cockroaches?
Those are good questions albeit with a hard negative slant to think about as I worry about our reliance on imports gone too far. We have to balance between imports and our own soon anyway.
Here's Michael again! On every comment thread about the climate, there he is reassuring us that it's all overblown nonsense. I think we'd all be happy to know what his credentials as a scientist are. Maybe then we'd take heart, order a steak, buy a bigger tv and an SUV and carpe diem with abandon.
Michael claims to have an undergraduate degree in physics with a C average. Since he claims to be from North Dakota, his grasp of basic physics indicates he must have attended the University of Southern North Dakota at Hoople.
Someone in denial, for whatever reason, such as fear of having to change one's lifestyle, or heavily influenced by the denial industry, may be called a "climate ostrich". But not those who have a stake in maintaining status quo. Those who are **actively** underplaying or distorting certain types of information should be called "climate criminals".
Yes!
....with climate criminals made up of politicians, large corporations and MSM.
While my heart goes out to all the people facing disaster, reality bites. It is time to face the inevitable:
http://www.peakoil.org.au/limits.htm "...results in collapse of the global system midway through the 21st Century."
What politics and social planning have not had the courage to address, nature will.
"what seems extreme now will be tomorrow's norm if we continue to ignore that these events are harbingers of climate change, and they're patterns with real human consequences."
Even if we don't ignore it, unless we go far enough in trying to correct it, what we do may be too little too late. There's a lot that can be debated certainly (only a few basic things are certain), but the conservative course of action is to do what we think is necessary now (get back down to 350ppm...which is possibly still too high), so as to avoid potential species extinction of the homo sapien sapiens (the two "sapiens" are debatable). I disagree that we are only a scourge on the planet. Humans have done some good things too!
As for individual events being due to climate change, we can't answer that yet (unfortunately) with any certainty. Remember that global warming is about average surface temperatures globally, and we are talking about long-term increases projected now in the low single digits. These extreme high temperatures tend to get averaged out by low temps elsewhere. However, the melting of Siberia (among other cool places) is a long term trend and very worrying to anyone who is paying attention.
That said, climate models do predict increasingly extreme weather events as global warming increases, so they could perhaps be held up in aggregate over time as signs of warming.
Isn't this one of the reasons we elected Obama and the Democrats? Oh wait--they betrayed us on the climate bill also! Third party anyone?
The elite are making a killing on the status quo, so don't expect them to change anything. On the contrary expect them to do whatever they can to keep things just the way they are.
First they denied the possibility that the climate might be changing. Then they denied human activity was the cause of it. Now we find ourselves in this weird place where we are having extreme weather all over the planet and it gets reported almost nonchalantly.
Here is an exchange I imagine happening in the near future between the mouthpieces of the elite, Katie Couric and Lara Logan concerning climate change.
Logan: "We are now experiencing the tenth continuous year of the warmest temperatures ever in Moscow, and records go back 1000 years".
Couric: "Is that anything to be worried about?"
Logan: "No not yet, and for two good reasons. First our records only go back 1000 years so we don't know what the previous 1000 years were like. Who knows maybe the Ruskies were hotter than hell in the previous millennium. Plus "some", well make that one or two scientists say we really need at least 1000 more years of weather data before we take any action. After all weather is not climate, and we need to know for sure the climate is really changing before we act."
Couric: "Excellent points Lara. On a different , have you decided what you are going to wear to next years White House Correspondents' Association Dinner?"
Logan: "No I don't know for sure, but most likely it will be short and sparkly. How about you?"
Couric: "No idea here yet. Now back to this climate thingy. We are seeing severe flooding in Pakistan, and the three Gorges dam in China failed last year due to flooding. We have experienced 500 year floods for the past 5 years in Europe and parts of the US. There has been a record 10 year drought in Australia, and the largest forest fires ever recorded in the US for the last three years. Any chance these could be related to climate change caused by human activity?"
Logan: "Well Katie we only have 40 years of noticeable changes in weather, and only 10 years of extreme changes, but again these are only changes in weather, and not the climate itself. It will take centuries to a millennium of collecting this weather data before we can confirm for sure any change in the climate itself."
Couric: "So does this mean we shouldn't do anything to curb CO2 emissions?"
Logan: "Nope, not a damn thing!"
Couric: "Great! I am so glad to hear you say that, Laura.
When we come back from a break with our sponsor, Trane, we will be talking to the Duggar family that were just blessed with their 25th child,. We will also speak with the doctor that confirmed Lady Gaga's third immaculate conception, and on this 25th year of the war in Afghanistan will speak with a family that has won the Dick Cheney Purple LVAD medal for having three generations of family members wounded fighting our eternal war on terror."
Well, I argued on another thread that people should go vegan to help save the planet, and people called me an arrogant selfish jackbooted totalitarian. And that's just the beginning of the sacrifices people would have to make in order to make a real difference on climate change.
As for stages of denial, remember the old chestnut "longer growing season?" How about "FUBAR growing season!"?
"Well, I argued on another thread that people should go vegan to help save the planet, and people called me an arrogant selfish jackbooted totalitarian"
Where was that? Thats a hoot!
It was in the "views" section "eating meat is indefensible." I think I was called other things too.
Consider the source, poitou, and regard these criticisms as compliments.
What do cockroaches eat? They preceded dinosaurs, and will be on Earth when our sun becomes a red giant then goes supernova.
Dear Trylon;
Cockroaches seem to love the glue that binds books together. While humans ignore their libraries, the cockroaches love them! True though, when the sun goes super nova, there will be ( inspite of their love of books) NO Cockroaches Left Behind! NCLB! Wow, even the insects bought into that Bush crap. I think they might eat that too.
How about "eating meat is self-destructive"? In the long run, you may find this out.
For those who don't get it about going vegan or vegetarian, and just making fun of it, it might be good to know that people live longer, healthier lives on a vegetarian diet, and save money in the process. You're much likelier to have lower blood pressure due to avoidance of artery clogging fats, less likely to get a stroke or heart attack, less risk of intestinal cancer from processed meat products, and less stomach upset.
The varieties of tasty vegetarian food are many, and not many people seem to realize that. What I find strange is that there are very few places where one can eat out and still eat healthy. Most businesses climb onto the red meat bandwagon, and ordinary people have to be pretty cagey to avoid being caught up in group-think. Smart people will think for themselves and investigate all these things, and if you learn to cook for yourself, as I finally did, you can get smart about these things, and save a ton of money in the process.