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Expanding Network of Drone Bases to Hit Somalia, Yemen
WASHINGTON - As Somalia undergoes its worst famine in six decades and Yemen slides into civil war, the administration of President Barack Obama is expanding its network of bases to carry out drone strikes against suspected terrorists in both countries, according to reports published in two major U.S. newspapers Thursday.
The reports come amid considerable controversy about the increased use by the Obama administration of armed drones, ominously named Predators, and the longer-range Reapers, in its counterterrorism campaign. Based in part on newly disclosed U.S. diplomatic cables recently posted by Wikileaks, the Washington Post reported that the U.S. military has been flying armed drones over both countries from a base in Djibouti and is planning to build a second base in Ethiopia.
The Post and the Wall Street Journal also reported that a base in the Seychelles that the U.S. military has previously used to fly surveillance drones will now host armed drones capable of flying their lethal payloads the more than 1,500 kms that separate the Indian Ocean island chain from Somalia and the African mainland and back.
The "constellation" of drone bases will also include a secret new Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) base that the administration announced earlier this year would be situated somewhere on the Arabian Peninsula.
That facility will be hosted by Saudi Arabia, according to an unnamed "senior U.S. military official" quoted in a FoxNews.com report also published Thursday.
"Operations in Saudi (Arabia) are (the) only new expansion to this plan," the official was quoted as saying. "The rest has been working for over a year when we long ago realised danger from AQAP (Al-Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula)," a Yemen-based affiliate which, according to recent statements by U.S. intelligence officials, has been consolidating links with al Shabaab, the Somali group which Washington claims also has ties to Al-Qaeda.
IPS calls to the Pentagon press office for confirmation that Saudi Arabia is hosting the new base were not returned. But a former U.S. ambassador to Riyadh who has retained good ties with its government, Amb. Chas Freeman (ret.), said the report was "highly plausible" given both the "close and robust" cooperation on counterterrorism between the U.S. and the kingdom and its geographical proximity to Yemen.
According to one of the authors of the Post report, the expanding network is designed to "avoid the mistakes of the past".
"When al-Qaeda fled Afghanistan into Pakistan in 2001 and 2002, it took years before the CIA had assembled a drone program capable of putting the terrorist network under pressure," wrote Greg Miller on the Post's website. "That delay, and costly deals for air-basing access in neighboring countries, allowed al-Qaeda to flourish."
The reports come amid considerable controversy about the increased use by the Obama administration of armed drones, ominously named Predators, and the longer-range Reapers, in its counterterrorism campaign.
In Pakistan, where the CIA greatly sharply increased unilateral drone strikes - to nearly 200 - against "high-value" Al-Qaeda and Taliban targets in the first two years of the Obama administration, the tactic has contributed heavily to an increase in anti-Americanism. An overwhelming 97 percent of respondents in a recent Pew Research Center poll in Pakistan, where anti-Americanism is at an all-time high, said they viewed drone attacks negatively.
Indeed, none other than Obama's first top intelligence chief, Adm. Dennis Blair (ret.), told an elite gathering of foreign policy and national security wonks in July that it was a mistake "to have (an air-only) campaign dominate our overall relations" with Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia.
"Because we're alienating the countries concerned, because we're treating countries just as places where we go attack groups that threaten us, we are threatening the prospects of long-term reform," he said. Such strikes should only be carried out with the consent of the host government.
But Obama's new Pentagon chief and former CIA director Leon Panetta rejected that criticism, insisting that the tactic had been and would continue to be "effective at undermining Al-Qaeda and their ability to plan …attacks (against the U.S.)".
Panetta and the Pentagon have also reportedly led the charge in an ongoing debate within the administration to broaden the current target list in Yemen and Somalia from high-level leaders of AQAP and al-Shabaab, who are presumed to share Al-Qaeda's global aims, to include low-level foot soldiers, whose motivation for joining such groups may be more parochial and less ambitious.
The drone has increasingly become the administration's "weapon of choice" in its efforts to subdue Al-Qaeda and its affiliates, although it has been used far less frequently against targets in Yemen and Somalia than in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iraq.
At least six drone strikes targeted alleged militants in Yemen in 2010 and 2011, but that number may have risen recently due to the collapse amid the ongoing political turmoil of the central government's authority over various parts of the country. Militias which Washington believes are tied to AQAP have taken control of towns near the Gulf of Aden.
"There's an assumption that the U.S. has used a lot of aerial strikes in recent months, but it's difficult to get verification," said Gregory Johnson, a Yemen expert at Princeton University.
In Somalia, where Washington has also used cruise missiles and heliborne Special Operations Forces (SOF) against senior al Shabaab leaders, there are believed to have been only two drones strikes since 2007.
According to the Post and Journal accounts, Washington used a base in the Seychelles in 2009 and 2010 to fly drones for surveillance of both Somalia and Somali piracy activity in the Indian Ocean. According to the Wikileaks cables cited by the Post, Seychelles President James Michel has concurred with the idea of arming the drones.
Somalia's prime minister, Abdiweli Mohamed Ali, told the Journal that he did not object to armed drone attacks on members of Al Shabaab, provided that such operations were coordinated with his government, but that he opposed attacks on pirates.
The Post reported that the U.S. has negotiated with Ethiopia, with which Washington also cooperates closely on counterterrorism activities, for four years over building a base for armed drones on its territory. Fox News reported that the U.S. has flown surveillance drones from several Ethiopian bases.
"There could certainly be a lot of internal discussion before they would agree to authorise the use of a base (for armed drones)," said David Shinn, a former U.S. ambassador to Addis Ababa. "They don't want to be seen as a pawn of anyone."
Shinn, who teaches at George Washington University, said the use of armed drones should be highly constrained and warned against its becoming "the default policy for dealing with Somalia".
"I don't see a problem with using an aerial strike with a couple of huge caveats," he told IPS. "First, that you have intelligence which is 95 percent accurate or better on a high value target - which is a pretty tough standard - and, second, that there's little or no likelihood of collateral damage. If you're using these things willy- nilly on the basis of not very good intelligence, then it will be counter-productive."
Johnsen voiced similar caution, noting that "Washington has drifted into this tactic, because it can't seem to find any other good options in Yemen."
"But it runs the very real risk of actually exacerbating the situation," he noted. "The problem with drones is that the U.S. doesn't have a very good track record on killing who it's aiming at in Yemen. So it often ends up killing civilians, which drives their brothers, fathers, sons, nephews, etc. into the hands of Al-Qaeda and makes it easier for Al-Qaeda to argue that Yemen is an active theatre of Jihad, no different from Iraq or Afghanistan."
He also expressed concern about the CIA building a base in Saudi Arabia. "One of the primary motivations for Osama bin Laden's jihad against the U.S. were military bases housing U.S. troops in Saudi Arabia after the end of the Gulf War," he wrote on his blog, Waq al- Waq. "Does the U.S. think this current of thought no longer holds sway in Arabia?
Jim Lobe's blog on U.S. foreign policy can be read at http://www.lobelog.com.

13 Comments so far
Show AllThe construction of U.S. drone-bases around the world demonstrates glaringly that the "war on terrorists" has been a dismal failure. Instead of defeating the "terrorists" the war has obviously created many thousands of new ones almost everywhere. The drones will only create even more. They are the horses and their missiles are the swords of a modern crusade.
You've only managed succeeded admirably in demonstrating why, in the minds of pursuing the War on Turrrr, it's been such a resounding success.
The war on terror has been dismal failure? The war on terror is the best thing that ever happened for the war profiteers and its defense contracters. It would be a dismal failure for them if it could somehow be stopped. " Instead of defeating the terrorists the war has obviously created thousands of new ones everywhere". And that is exactly how they want it! Read war is a racket by General Smedley Butler. "
War is a racket, it always has been ".
Are we announcing this because we think they will pre-emptively surrender? Are they just supposed to lie down and take this? Why are we doing this?!
"We" aren't doing this...the MICC is.
Profit uber alles!
The drones are coming, the drones are coming to your neighborhood soon.
Yes indeed. They're ultimately for our neighborhoods too, should there be uppities in them. Anyone remember MOVE?
I think the last paragraph of this article is the most important.
No shit, vehement animosity over permanent US military bases on the Saudi Arabian penninsula was the core ideological focus of bin Laden and Al Qaeda, dating back to Persian Gulf War I. No shit, substituting secret CIA bases for secret Pentagon bases on the Arabian penninsula is a distinction without a difference to the locals, and to Islamists worldwide who are angry with US-initiated violence in Muslim lands.
Also notice how the soldier/spook, neither-fish-nor-fowl American military presence creates inevitable blowback. Either the "host" government "knows" about the drone bases or they don't. Either the local government's current political leadership approves and cooperates, or else they disapprove and are uncooperative.
This latest leak about expansion of the Obama drone wars (apparently by Fox News and the Washington Post) puts the government regimes of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Somalia, and the Seychelles squarely on the griddle, in the same hot spot where the civilian government and national security establishment of Pakistan have been twisting and turning for several years now.
If the host government does not know or does not approve, then they are a bunch of wimps for not standing up to the US bullies who are blatantly violating national sovereignty.
If however the host government does know and does approve, then they are a bunch of traitors who have crawled into bed with the US bullies who are violating national sovereignty.
Either way, the tentative host government invites the wrath of the local population when things go boom in the night, especially when the boom goes badly. Either way, the most radical and violence prone elements within the Muslim religious community are handed a pristine issue, tailor made for escalating anti-Americanism and rallying wannabe jihadists to unify against the incumbent regime.
And of course clandestine undeclared war, and clandestine US drone war basing, is the straw that stirs, and perpetually will stir, this Bloody merry drink.
Time to take the toys away from the boys.
Bill from Saginaw
The United States plans to employ unpiloted drones and unmanned vehicles in a fully automated killing mission as the country boots its use of robotics in its war industry, a report says.
In an article titled “A future for drones: Automated killing,” Washington Post writer Peter Finn refers to an automated drone attack demonstration at Fort Benning -- a United States Army post in Georgia -- in the fall of 2010.
Finn argues that the demo of autonomous robotics could indicate a looming robotic war where aerial "Terminators” would hunt, identify and kill the enemy based on calculations made by software, not decisions made by humans.
A scientist at the Georgia Tech Research Institute, which developed the software to run the demonstration, described the simple Fort Benning example as a surrogate.
"You can imagine real-time scenarios where you have 10 of these things up in the air and something is happening on the ground and you don't have time for a human to say, 'I need you to do these tasks.' It needs to happen faster than that," Charles E. Pippin said.
The demonstration represents the groundwork for the technology that would allow drones to search for a human target and identify the target based on facial-recognition or other software, before a drone could launch a missile to kill the victim once an ID match was made, the article said.
Washington's efforts to develop such killing machines come despite sharp criticism the US has received over its unauthorized drone attacks against alleged terror suspects in Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia -- countries that are not at war with the United States.
The prospect of what experts call “lethal autonomy” that would allow for machines to perceive, decide and act in unscripted environments could further challenge the current understanding of international humanitarian law, Finn argued.
The Geneva Conventions require parties at war to use discrimination and proportionality, standards that would demand that machines distinguish among enemy troops, surrendering forces and civilians.
"The deployment of such systems would reflect a paradigm shift and a major qualitative change in the conduct of hostilities," the article cited President of the International Committee of the Red Cross Jakob Kellenberger as saying at a conference in Italy earlier in September.
"It would also raise a range of fundamental legal, ethical and societal issues, which need to be considered before such systems are developed or deployed," he urged.
Your comment reminds me of the description of the war in "Fahrenheit 451"
"The reports come amid considerable controversy about the increased use by the Obama administration of armed drones, ominously named Predators, and the longer-range Reapers, in its counterterrorism campaign."
It would not make any difference if the drones were called "Sky Lilies" and "Cloud Drifters," they are still unmanned killing machines.
In an article titled “A future for drones: Automated killing,” Washington Post writer Peter Finn refers to an automated drone attack demonstration at Fort Benning -- a United States Army post in Georgia -- in the fall of 2010. Finn argues that the demo of autonomous robotics could indicate a looming robotic war where aerial "Terminators” would hunt, identify and kill the enemy based on calculations made by software, not decisions made by humans.
Does anybody remember the self actuated killing machine intended to replace cops in RoboCop?
By the way, you don't have to worry about a "terrorist attack" here in the United States until PNAC decides it needs a new "Pearl Harbor" to further its ends of world control.
I'm sure the CIA, the NSA, Homeland "Security" and other agencies already have a Plan A, Plan B, Plan C and Plan D already programmed to be actuated on command.
"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same for any country."
Herman Goering to Gustave Gilbert at Nuremberg, 18 April, 1946
Isn't is sad that nothing changes, no matter how hard we try?
Just today, the slaughtered 10 people in Yemen. Of course, they were all al Qaeda operatives 1 thru 10 and under the age of 15. It appears that we're not all that financially broke after all.
deleted because the first amendment has been repealed