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Clash on Investment: Global Trade and an Opportunity for Civil Society
During the past several months, I spent nearly 30 hours in meetings of a private sector committee tasked with advising the Obama administration on a particular set of international economic policies.
My seat at the table was one of many signs of the new opportunities for advocates of progressive change in Washington. At the same time, my experience was an up-close-and-personal look at how hard corporate lobbyists are fighting to make sure nothing changes.
The committee was made up of about 30 people, with one-third from labor, environmental, and other public interest groups and nearly all the rest representing global corporations, including Citigroup, ExxonMobil, and Procter and Gamble, as well as the major corporate lobby groups.
Our assignment was to review the U.S. approach to bilateral investment treaties (BITs), deals that are nearly identical to the investment chapters of our trade agreements. The topic may sound obscure. But for all those many hours, we grappled with what I see as the critical question of our time: What is the proper role of government in our economy?
Investor Protections
Even before uncontrolled corporate greed drove the global economy off a cliff, civil society groups around the world had pointed to so-called "international investor protections" as dangerous tools in a deregulatory agenda.
In a nutshell, these rules give private foreign investors the right to bypass domestic courts and sue governments directly in international tribunals. The most controversial is the right to sue over government actions - including health, environment, and other public interest regulations - that diminish the value of an investment.
For example, Mexico had to pay off a U.S. company that had been denied local permission to build a hazardous waste facility in an environmentally sensitive area. Canada repealed a public health law in the face of a threatened lawsuit by a U.S. chemical company. The U.S. government has spent millions of dollars defending itself against claims over legitimate environmental regulations.
A growing number of international cases demonstrates how these rules threaten democracy and the public interest. Even more disturbing are the hidden costs. We'll never know how many times governments have decided to not take actions in the public interest - for fear of provoking an expensive investor lawsuit.
On the campaign trail, President Obama committed to changing these rules, stating "With regards to provisions in several free trade agreements that give foreign investors the right to sue governments directly in foreign tribunals, I will ensure that foreign investor rights are strictly limited and will fully exempt any law or regulation written to protect public safety or promote the public interest. And I will never agree to granting foreign investors any rights in the U.S. greater than those of Americans."
The economic crisis has added even more urgency. Beyond their overall deregulatory thrust, these investment agreements specifically prohibit certain policies designed to mitigate or prevent financial crisis. Surely, I thought, the time had come for some serous rethinking. The advisory committee seemed to present just such an opportunity.
Corporate Pushback
The corporate representatives on the advisory committee didn't quite see it that way. Instead, as the final report to the Obama administration reveals, they fought back hard against nearly every proposal to increase policy flexibility. In fact, in several areas, they pushed to further curtail regulatory powers. Their favorite argument was that if U.S. investment deals were to allow governments more policy space, U.S. corporations would be at a disadvantage relative to foreign competitors. By that logic, the regulatory race to the bottom would never end.
There was a modicum of consensus on a few narrow issues. For example, in light of concerns over a new debt crisis in the poorest countries, we were all able to agree that the administration should at least take a look at the potential danger of international investors using these treaties to undermine debt restructuring programs.
But the page numbers alone reflect the high degree of polarization. The main body of the report is dwarfed by the annexes, where committee members were allowed to express their views unedited.
I worked with eight others to submit a joint set of recommendations for a dramatic overhaul of the rules that govern international investment. While it was a shame that we weren't able to find much common ground with the corporate representatives, this annex demonstrates how much was learned.
Key Recommendations
We made four major recommendations: dispute settlement should be consistent with the public interest; foreign investors should not have greater rights than U.S. investors; our investment agreements should protect health, safety, and the environment as well as promote good jobs; and such agreements should help mitigate and prevent financial crises.
More specifically, we argued that the current "investor-state" process should be replaced with a "state-state" process. Since these cases often concern matters of broad social impact, they should be handled by governments representing the public interest. This is the position supported by the more than 125 members of the House of Representatives who have endorsed a pending bill in Congress called the TRADE Act (HR 3012). The U.S.-Australia free trade agreement also uses a state-state process.
We also made several recommendations to fix the fuzzy language that some tribunals have interpreted in ways that go beyond the investor rights under U.S. law (and most likely the laws in other countries). For example, these rules give investors the right to so-called "fair and equitable" treatment. These are subjective terms with no clear legal meaning.
Similarly fuzzy language applies to the treaty's impact on the environment and workers' rights. For example, the U.S. model bilateral investment treaty says governments shall "strive to ensure" to protect the environment and worker rights. I might strive to be seven feet tall or to never eat another potato chip, but neither of those aspirations is very serious.
Finally, current rules restrict governments from placing even temporary controls on capital flows, despite the fact that many countries have used this policy tool effectively in crisis situations. We also recommended fixes for vague language that could open the door to investor-state cases over other financial regulatory reforms.
What Next?
Our report will be part of an internal, interagency process coordinated by the State Department to produce a new model bilateral investment treaty. Then the Obama administration will need to figure out what to do about BIT negotiations begun by the Bush administration with China and India. The corporate lobby is pushing hard for new deals based on the current model, particularly with China.
Of course, those of us who devoted much of our summer vacations to the advisory committee are hopeful that our work will have broader repercussions as well. Candidate Obama promised to revisit some existing trade pacts, and the BIT advisory report should inform any review of the investment chapters of U.S. trade agreements. Moreover, several governments that already have a BIT with the United States would be eager to renegotiate those pacts. Particularly in South America, policymakers are increasingly challenging these rules as a threat to sovereignty.
The Institute for Policy Studies has partnered with the Bolivia-based Democracy Center to help better link the U.S. debate with those in other countries. We have just launched a bilingual (English-Spanish) website as a tool for activists, policymakers, and academics working to build a more just and democratic system for governing global investment.
The fact that the Obama administration, early in its term, launched a process to gather civil society input into our bilateral investment treaties was a huge positive step toward the broad-based debate we need about our whole approach to international economic policy. Let's hope it's just a first step and not the last step in the process.
For More Information
Click here to read the Subcommittee's consensus report. Click here to read an annex produced by Anderson and several other members of `the subcommittee.
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Show AllNov 6, 2009
Empty boasts of glory
By John Browne
To the delight of its media cheerleaders, the United States government last week announced that economic growth had returned and the recession had ended. But before we start celebrating one quarter of modest growth, we should realize the only force driving this apparent recovery is an enormous increase in government spending.
To finance its largesse, the government is now borrowing at a rate that has ordinary citizens and the international community extremely concerned.
Leading into the first election season under Barack Obama's reign, this unprecedented government borrowing and spending is creating a false sense of security. The activity has allowed gross
domestic product (GDP) to increase despite stagnation in corporate and consumer spending.
Small businesses, the most important creators of new jobs, are nervous. Due to uncertain economic conditions and a high degree of regulatory uncertainty, they are hoarding cash rather than investing. Indeed, their largest expenditures are often solely to replenish inventories.
Likewise, consumers are rationally hoarding their resources. Year over year, consumer spending, which constitutes 70% of GDP, is essentially flat. With such a large segment of the economy quiescent, the percentage increase in public sector spending has to be very large in order to push the GDP upward.
The new government spending spree has focused on major stimulus initiatives, including the new homebuyer tax credit and "cash for clunkers".
Early results are showing that spending on autos dropped to recession-levels immediately after "cash for clunkers" ended. Meanwhile, some reports are estimating that the program cost US$24,000 for every additional vehicle it caused to be sold.
The multi-billion-dollar tax credit for first-time homebuyers juiced real estate sales and provided a strong boost to GDP in the third quarter. But the net result is that many responsible young people, who had chosen to rent and save in the face of a declining housing market, are now saddled with mortgages they cannot afford. These "homeowners" will quickly join the ranks of the foreclosed.
Perhaps the most concerning aspect of GDP growth is that, even with a deeply progressive administration spending our children's children's money, the best we can achieve is a modest, fleeting boost in growth. Even the government's biggest apologists have a hard time explaining how these gains can last without continued stimulus. In short, this country is not just bankrupt today, but for generations to come. This is the real truth and should concern those with investments within the United States.
The unhappy situation in America, of which we have long warned, should be contrasted with the healthy growth experiences of other countries such as Australia, New Zealand, China and India.
The Australian central bank is now so confident in its growth potential that it has raised interest rates two months in a row. Though they have a center-left government, the Aussies have managed to control stimulus spending and overall debt.
New Zealand is seeing an increase in real wages amid a strong Kiwi dollar. Much more than GDP, this is a signal that economic growth is truly returning to this island nation.
China, a place where 9% annual GDP growth is considered a recession, is still developing its market economy while Obama cripples that of the United States. Much fanfare was showered upon the launch last week of ChiNext, a stock exchange for privately owned, small- and mid-cap Chinese companies. It surged in its first day of trading, showing the strength of that economy even outside the state-owned enterprise sector.
Finally, there is India. Though still far too closed to foreign investment, this country is making shrewd moves to protect its internal capital. In a deal announced this week, India bolstered its gold reserves by 50% by trading $6.7 billion of its US dollar reserve to the IMF. Not only is this a positive sign for India, it is a crushing verdict on America's lauded "GDP growth".
A currency's value reflects investors' faith in a particular nation. Though commentators are seizing on this figure or that to make the bull case, the dollar index belies their claims.
Rather than dancing in the dollars falling from helicopters, we should be concerned about their worth when they hit the ground. Unfortunately, fiscal responsibility has moved abroad - and the smart money isn't far behind.
John Browne is senior market strategist, Euro Pacific Capital. Euro Pacific Capital commentary and market news is available at http://www.europac.net. It has a free on-line investment newsletter.
(Copyright 2009 Euro Pacific Capital)
Right. Stimulus spending by governments is awful.
So say the supply side free market uber alles people.
And he convenient avoids mentioning that the Chinese government was engaging in various stimulus spending measures too.
Sarah,
About 1/3 of actual people who gave a dam about anything other than $$$ sitting in meetings with lawyers and corporate lackeys who represent or should I say are paid by very powerful corporations. You really didn't expect them to listen to you did you?
They don't care about people except what can be extracted from their labor and pockets. I would love to know how and very effectively to stop playing their games. Buy only essentials and then pare that list down again would probably do it and/or lets look at what other ideas are out there in the ether beyond this box we have constructed.
Obama can say whatever he wants on the campaign trail but when push comes to shove, actions matter in the end. The minute you include the vested corporate interests who were already given an unfair advantage while excluding the non-monied folks and giving room for fake labor groups, it's obvious that Obama and his gang have no intention of changing or scrapping those "free" trade scams passed in the Clinton and Dubya admins. Try including a blue collared American worker or for that matter a regular foreign worker at the debating table next time for real change.
"international investor protections"
Please, someone, stop the insanity.