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Welcome to the Recovery
Soothed,
fortified and frankly vindicated by the cheerful effluvium that the
recession is indeed over, I set out for a walk on this Saturday morning.
No doomsayer, I’ll refute, if not taser outright, all unpatriotic
spoilsports who would point to crumbling factories, empty malls and
capsized mortgages as evidences that we’re eternally shafted. Our
elevators are still yoyoing, thank you, except for those in aforesaid
factories. Speaking of shafts, is that a foot sticking out of the frozen
puddle?
At the corner of 9th and Washington,
there’s a quaint sign, “AVOID FORECLOSURE — 215 543-4941.” At the corner
of 7th and Washington, “WE BUY HOUSES FOR CASH — NO BANK NEEDED.”
Strutting towards Philadelphia’s brand new casino, Sugar House, I pass a
billboard promising me, personally, 23 million bucks
if only I had the juju and stamina to outfox the Pennsylvania Lottery
Board, Jesus and Satan. Luck favors the righteous, and that’s us, all
right. Soon, every bum diddling settlement from sea to shining sea will
have its own casinos. Do bet on it. There will be more certified dealers
than playas.
Speaking of bums, there are
more idlers than ever. What’s up with that? According to these gaseous
experts, the recession has been over since last June, yet dazed loafers
keep sprawling all over town, all over the country, actually. Just look
around you. The newly homeless are easily identifiable by all the stuff
they’re trying to hang on to. They pull wheeled luggage, push carts with
way too much on them. They’re relatively clean, for now. Soon, they’ll
let go of everything. On the median of Delaware Avenue, a man walks back
and forth with the classic sign, “HOMELESS AND HUNGRY. PLEASE HELP. GOD
BLESS YOU.” Poverty isn’t very original, is it? But I’ve also seen
“FREE ADVICE. DONATIONS ACCEPTED,” “HELP SUPPORT MY MARIJUANA HABIT” and “NEED MONEY TO GET DRUNK
SO 2 WOMEN CAN TAKE ME HOME AND MOLEST ME.” It’s not cool that jokers
are mixing with genuine beggars, but we don’t have beggars anyway.
That’s so Third World. We
only have panhandlers.
A couple months ago, a visibly messed up old man
in Detroit said to me, “I need $9.50 for my prescription, Mister. I beg
you,” but he wasn’t a beggar. That’s so Third World. Actually, he
wasn’t even a panhandler. I started the conversation. On freeway ramps
into downtown, people stood with signs, begging, like they do all over
America. Just look around you. In Richmond, I talked to a Vincent
who grew up in Syracuse, then studied at Penn State. Divorced, with
children 22, 16 and 12 years old, he had worked as a registered nurse
most of his life. His last job was as a waiter at Red Lobster. Business
was bad, so they cut his hours, then let him go. Taking out a title
loan, he lost his car, then apartment. Vincent had been on the streets
six weeks. His oldest kid was in college, the younger ones had been
living with him, until everything fell apart and they had to go to their
mom. This last fact humiliated him more than anything else, he said.
I’ve
been broke many times, but I’ve never been homeless. More than once,
I’ve gone to the supermarket with 26 pennies, the exact price for a
packet of instant noodles. I waited until there was no line, so I could
brave the cashier alone. Once, getting uppity, I counted out 159 pennies
for a can of SPAM. As I added up, a line formed behind me. Once, down
to two bucks, I bought a loaf of bread and stick of butter and survived
for several days. I’ve made ketchup soup. Thankfully, those days are
long gone. I’ve moved to the upper reaches of poverty. Never say never,
however, which is, incidentally, the slogan of a new GMC ad. Bumper
sticker in Detroit, “OUT OF A JOB YET? KEEP BUYING FOREIGN.” On license
plate of the same car, “I WORK FOR FORD. I DRIVE A FORD.”
After a
three-mile-hike, here we are, finally, inside Sugar House. Serving up
drinks and cleavages, slim waitresses weave through the lardy crowd,
made jiggly by decades of transfat and fizzy corn syrup. Baby boomers,
most of them. Judging by weight per rear end, we’re not yet a poor
country. In the semi dark, gamers are fixated, like dumb infants, by the
cartoon characters, blinking lights and bright colors of the slot
machines. GOLD RUSH. AFRICAN DIAMOND. FORTUNE COOKIES. CASH FEVER. CASH
FOR LIFE. CASH INFERNO. Tired of being mugged, folks can take a breather
by glancing up at a football game on TV. From an unseen corner, a live
band plays classic rock, evoking nostalgia for less desperate times.
Ads for casinos are always filled with perfect, straight teeth smiles.
White, black or beige, they are all tickled stupid by serial windfalls.
For mere pocket change, they get to climax over and over, it seems,
until Kingdom Come, at least. By contrast, real life chumps are
uniformly grim. Suckers only laugh as they walk in, if that. Bored with
this spectacle, I head back downtown. On the way home, I would pass a
group of “Israelites” railing that the white man is the devil, and that God hates faggots. Next to them, a white guy holds a sign, “FUCK THESE ASSHOLES.” I would chance upon a man evacuating himself on Market Street, one of city’s two main arteries. By City Hall, I would see a woman coughing so violently that she may not make it through this winter, should she remain on the streets.
This is your America, America, but don’t worry, the recession is over.
- Posted in




74 Comments so far
Show AllGood write. Good pictures. Terrible situation.
I've got no constructive ideas about the trouble, but I'd urge you to keep writing. America needs your voice.
Neither does this author. That's the problem.
Au contraire, Ico, it's not a problem at all. An observer does not have to offer a solution. The role of the observer is to observe accurately and to relate his observations so that you are touched and moved to action. If you want solutions, read other material.
The author held up and icon, and you are invited to clast it.
Ideally it is you who are supposed to create a solution. Got one handy?
everybody who reads this website knows the solution. Massive violence against institutions of the state. We've tried third party politics, it's going nowhere. We've tried internet organizing, but people are too busy logging their bowel movements on facebook. I hear all the comparisons to the great depression, but at least back then, there were motherfuckas shooting up banks - and the people cheered them on!
All this crap about nonviolent direct action makes me want to puke. Never before in human history has so much theft by the ruling class gone unanswered by violence. And there are a quarter billion privately held firearms in this country. Americans are too stupid to know an opportunity if it bit their fat asses. The theft will go on.
I agree with everything you say except why the theft will go unanswered, but frankly, I'm baffled by the passivity m'self.
Depressing as hell, an ugly portrait. Indifference is a human quality that no amount of searing artwork is going to change. Dinh seems to spray contempt everywhere. At what point did Vietnamese students decide to start firing recoilless rifles at their invaders? When they decided their system was so hopelessly compromised that they would probably die before they were ever free? No right or wrong here apparently, just a number of questions that people could ask.
No, he's not spraying contempt _ he is exposing it.
Well said.
Rich: A favored right wing tactic is to confuse the message with its messenger. It's far easier to say "Off with his head!" then to take in the awful truths of our time. I'm seeing this tactic used both in MSM and this forum, increasingly.
Hi Siouxrose,
Well said.
Speaking of awful truths, could you tell me (I used to be AGG before I was banned in January) what the reaction was when you told your friend with the 13 year old son wanting a more realistic 'gun' to kill the bad guys in his video game that she was encouraging violence and death associated with the mars archetype? I know you didn't SAY that but I figured you must have shown your feelings somehow. There are video games that teach life and loving and respecting fellow beings on this planet. They are fun and entertaining. They teach a lot of biology and even help the kids in their studies. They can be quite violent because they deal with predation in nature but that is part of our biosphere. Your friend is probably ignorant of the world of multimedia that helps rather than hurts humane thinking. I don't want to give you a guilt trip (I know, mission impossible) but I was ostracized by my entire war loving family for constantly telling it like it is. I hope you are walking the talk.
let us remember that the Vietnamese - if their system was "so compromised" - became like that because of Foreign, Western interventions. first it was the French, and when the french couldn't hold on to their "far east" empire, they actually asked the USA to "help" - the USA took over - and we had the Vietnam war.
the VIETNAMESE - whether against the french or chinese or americans simply wanted THIS:
"OUR OWN COUNTRY , independent , as we have been before".
I had occasion to discuss this with 2 vietnamese women - those among the "refugees" that , of course, were part of what the USA had to take responsibility for its 30-year involvement, after their country was destroyed by american interference.
and I asked them - on a day that I knew they were celebrating between the two of them because it was , months ago, Vietnam's 50th anniversary since the Americans were DEFEATED and left and vietnam was unified AGAIN as it originally was before the westerners came to colonize:
so I told and asked them:
"congratulations, i am aware that today they are having a big celebration in your home country ..."
they were enthusiastic in their quiet way and told me:
"oh yes, thank you...we are so happy and so proud -- because it means that at LAST WE ARE INDEPENDENT AGAIN. Vietnam is Vietnam again , as ONE, and THAT is ALL we ever wanted".
and u know what? neither of them hold ANY grudges against the americans. I asked them :
"what do you really feel about what america has done to your country? and your fellow vietnamese decades ago? destroying and bombing, etc?"
they told me:
"we forgive america".
while america has NEVER apologized to the vietnamese. just as it has NEVER issued an apology , much less reparations to the Native Indians, or for that matter, to all other countries it has devastated with its imperialism. on the contrary, america THINKS it "must go on" as it has.......
those people are NOT CONFUSED. whether as americans themselves as refugees making a new life after their country was devastated decades ago...or as vietnamese in their own land continuing to pick up where they left off after the war...they KNOW who was the INVADER and DESTROYER ..and who is are the people of their own land simply wanting to be left alone to be WHO they are: vietnamese, not servants to a foreign power..and THAT"s why they couldn't be defeated.
if anyone is confused -- it is AMERICA.
The Photo Blog tells the unknown side of US. Really sad and depressing to see people in the condition they are shown in those pictures.
Excellent photographs showing the human side of story.
Unknown to you.
What a country.
Exactly.
By the way, thanks for welcoming me back. I enjoy your comments as well.
As to the current topic, I recently was researching organic eggs at Wickipeda. I learned a lot about chickens and their social behavior (pecking oder). Chickens are a lot like us. Seldom are young but full grown roosters introduced to a group because the pecking order is upset. However, when the oldest chickens are systematically removed (for slaughter), the pecking order is quite stable and the hens happily keep on laying at up to 300 eggs per year. Chickens are MANAGED to be PRODUCTIVE for humans.
Perhaps our elite has been studying chicken society for centuries and in the 20th and 21st centuries they are 'increasing the efficient management of homo sapus' (you and me).
But there seems to be some hope. It turns out that In 2006, scientists researching the ancestry of birds "turned on" a chicken recessive gene, talpid2, and found that the embryo jaws initiated formation of teeth, like those found in ancient bird fossils. John Fallon, the overseer of the project, stated that chickens have "...retained the ability to make teeth, under certain conditions...".
With all due respect for Siouxrose and all other peace loving, mars eschewing folks, perhaps it is time to grow some teeth, metaphorically or physically speaking. PR games may convince us that we have a happy life as free range organic chickens but we are all still headed for the slaughter on behalf of our elite. Mr. Dinh is trying to show people the real world. RichM is right on to slam anyone trying to obfuscate the motives behind this article. We are being screwed and tatooed on a daily basis. I am a pacifist but I admit it is drivng me nuts to watch this slow motion catastropghy while calloused elites like Warren Buffett counsel us to "not be negative because it is counterproductive" (gotta keep the pecking order stable and those hens laying). Can these people be any more brazen about their disdain for common decency? I don't know but I fear we are going to find out.
Paul Craig Roberts claimed that the FBI raids in Chicago are confirmation that we now officially live in a police state. Orwell mixed with Huxley. We have the casinos and betting mentioned by Orwell as distractions along with the brutal police tactics. Simultaneously we have the Huxley PR la la land 'everything is great!' 24/7 news media and our myriad 'soma' drug clones to make us feel good. It's all of a peace.
I believe that anyone who honestly feels good or tries to say 'it's always been this way in human affairs' is deluded or complicit. We need to feel BAD about our present daily reality or we are not human. Stop running away from the pain with drugs and movies. It won't help. Face the evil and call them out on it. If they kill us for stating the truth, at least we will die with dignity. I will never physically fight them but I'll run my mouth off as long as I can breathe.
WOW, Agelbert. Thanks for the info and comments. Absolutely right about the Mix of Orwell and Huxley!!
Thanks brother. If I didn't believe in the continued existence of the soul after our body dies, I would not be a pacifist. In the book "The Brothers Karamazov", there is a quote: "If God does not exist then ALL THINGS ARE PERMITTED".
I believe that is a logical statement and it explains our elite's constant predation and brazen bullying to a tee. It's all here and it's all now! That is how they think. Oh, I'm sure many of them want to preserve nature and reign in corporate excesses for the same reason (to keep garden earth for their greedy selves). Humane behavior by many leftists like myself is sometimes tied into the ecosystem, harmonious, holistic outlook. The elites scoff at that. They see the bulk of humanity as excess eaters now that machines can do the grunt work AND, in the 21st centruy, the basic thinking required to do menial service jobs. They don't need us except for perverse entertainment (porny, prostitution, sport killing, etc.). I firmly believe that they will kill us in the most cost efficient, painless way as possible. We will go on. We will laugh in their faces when they finish on planet earth and realize what utter fools they have been. But in the mean time, we must continue to call them what they are; calloused killers.
Thanks, agelbert. Yes, I think we chickens need to grow some teeth (or grow a pair?), and rise up, instead of lying down like road kill. I keep trying to figure out the most effective way to do that - how to organize, how to get the people to rise up and make the rich and powerful stand up and take notice. What will it take for people to rise up?
I hope you are right that we will go on and that these killers/destroyers will get their comeuppance, eventually. I don't believe in retribution, but I do yearn for justice. And those pictures posted by Linh Dinh are so horribly unjust, it makes me weep. The banksters, robber barons and hedge funders, the insurance companies, war profiteers and pharmaceutical companies, the Big Ag and oil company polluters, all cry: "Give us MORE MONEY! We want it ALL!" And our government is handing it all over to them, while simultaneously telling working folks, unemployed, uninsured, sick, hungry and homeless that they must sacrifice MORE. And people are literally dying in the streets. Like I said, what a country.
You are very welcome.
There is a way. See my comments to Two Americas. The shrinks call it passive agressive behavior. It works. However, it isn't fun and it does require consistency. Ironically, the elite are the ones 'organizing' us. They WANT us to fight and rebel! They WANT to take the first of us who raises his fist against the state and squash him like a bug in order to serve as an example. It's the old way of repression. Some of us may fall into that trap. I believe most of us won't. Why? Because we are on to them. We know what they want from us and we won't give it to them. Moreover, we understand (perhaps for the first time in history because of the internet) that THEY are the ones who live off of OUR labors. Sure they've got resources but we can castrate them with our inaction. We are RIGHT. We are HUMANE. And we know it.
Hard times aren't coming. They are here. Passive agressive is the way to go.
Well said. Amen.
"Anyone who honestly feels good or tries to say 'it's always been this way in human affairs' is deluded or complicit. We need to feel BAD about our present daily reality or we are not human. Stop running away from the pain with drugs and movies. It won't help. Face the evil and call them out on it. If they kill us for stating the truth, at least we will die with dignity. I will never physically fight them but I'll run my mouth off as long as I can breathe."
Self-defense, and defense of others is not violence. Surrender and retreat is not peace.
Thank you, sir. If more people would stop twisting themselves into wishful Oprah the 'secret' knots about who is doing what to whom, we would be able to calmly face our government and the elites in the media and SAY and DO this.
1) Sure, you are the big bad boss.
2) Sure, you can manipulate most of us to our detriment and your profit.
3) Sure, you can ruin our lives, steal our pensions and kill us if you feel like it.
4) It doesn't matter. You are still a pack of neanderthal, war loving crooks.
5) We will ALL now reduce our cooperation with you to ZERO.
6) We will eat DIRT, if need be to close down all your financial fun and games.
7) We will STOP all insurance payments.
8) We will NOT go to hospitals or bury our dead.
9) We will NOT report crime.
10) We will NOT pay taxes.
And because of all of the above, the USA will default on debt and YOU, the ELITE will be impoverished and the laughing stock of you pal predators in other countries. You stupid intelliBURROS couldn't stop and you ruined the whole economy. You threw us all in the jungle claiming it was the 'free market' (more like a free fire zone). Well guess what, dorks? You are about to join the rest of us. When Venus gets angry, she can kick Mars's ass without even raising her fist.
Unfortunately, the number of homeless begging on the streets here in this town seems higher than I've ever seen.
And here in Vermont, many people in small towns are in shock because of friends and relatives turning to drugs and ransacking houses with doors that nobody ever had to lock before. Vermont has a slow motion depression going on. We are the first sate to begin the 'silver tsunami' (majority over 65) in a couple of years. The fact that the OFFICIAL unemployment is down here is very misleading. Most of the youth leave the state or have moved in with their folks and are not getting unemployment. The old folks have pensions so everything looks hunky dory. Ah, but what happens when a bunch of tweens don't have jobs and are depressed? DRUGS. No money for drugs? VISIT the neighbor's house when he ain't there. And finally, the 'kids' start getting thrown out of their digs and end up on the street in Burlington. And then there is even more crime. Granted, the increase in crime in Vermont is NOT violent crime; it's property theft. We are still sort of civilized, I guess. But give us time.
And we are in great shape compared with most of the country. The police here is NOT happy thpugh. It's hahd work to be a cop in Vermont now. At least they have a job.
Remember folks, if you want to be assured employmnet and job security in a police state, your best bet is to join the ______. You may need to leave your conscience behind, though.
good writing...
counting pennies in the store is not the only way to eat...food is all around...
this list is not definitive, it was found in one Google...there are many such lists and sites out there, at least, for the moment...
http://www.wilderness-survival.net/plants-1.php
Wilderness survival sites may not help people who live in cities.
I know at least two sites that have loads of practical, proven to work advice for the homeless, whether they are hipster, newly homeless via mortgage meltdown or long-time street survivor.
http://guide2homelessness.blogspot.com/
http://www.donrearic.com/homeless.htm
http://home.earthlink.net/~astrology/confessi.html
Oh, and BTW, many of the tips and tricks for wilderness survival work just fine in the city, thank you very much.
Non Serviam - I will not serve.
dubet,
I think I'll just call you the Marie Antooinette of the month.
Yeah, sure, tell a starving person he just needs to go gathering wild edible plants in the woods.
dandelions are everywhere...we have bunches of daylilies...and, of course, more conventional veggies...
simply trying to expand one's mental list of available options...
a starving person may not need to be...
what one considers food, and how one gets it, are subjects that will receive much more attention soon than they may be now...
I see the beggars under city overpasses, too. They're just falling over themselves picking their way through fields of alternative food crops that grow in those places - garbage, mould, dead vermin, crumbled concrete - all yummy options for the adventurer.
Jeez, "Marie-antoinette" is right.
dubet is right. Food is growing all around, not just in the woods. Here are a few that may be growing near anyone; Poke, Purslane, Burdock, Dandelions, Plantain, and mushrooms (tricky, think white on wood is good). It won't cure homelessness, but can carry one through.
I meet homeless people frequently. I talk to them. Most are wary at first because they quickly realize that most people hold them in contempt. The stories vary. I've never met a scary one.
I used to travel and camp a lot and families started to move into campgrounds a couple of years ago with as much stuff as they thought they could salvage.
These are tragic times and will grow worse. Learn the edible plants and share the knowledge. I started with Ewell Gibbons' "Stalking the Wild Asparagus." Speaking of which, it grows beside the roads all over southern Wisconsin.
Correct.
Of course the food is free, and it is everywhere. It is the gathering, treating, distributing and storing that are the problem.
I agree with you that all of the talk about foraging, homesteading, grow your own, disconnecting from corporations - laudable ideas though they may be - are the modern day equivalent of "let them eat cake."
Sep 29, 2010
from ASIATIMES
WHO'S THE CURRENCY MANIPULATOR?
By Hossein Askari and Noureddine Krichene
The US Federal Reserve's decision to buy more and more bonds and other securities, and to inject even more liquidity has jolted the capital markets. It pushed the price of gold to over US$1,300 per ounce on September 24, before settling at a record nominal price of $1,294 and added more instability to currency markets, with the US dollar depreciating relative to the euro, yen, and other major currencies.
It also fueled tensions between the US and China over exchange rate manipulation, with a confrontation with China on September 24 as the House Ways and Means Committee passed a bill that would allow President Barack Obama to impose sanctions on China if it was determined that China was manipulating its
currency (although this will be easily endorsed by the full House, which is set to consider the legislation this week, it is unlikely to be taken up any time soon in the senate).
Economic and financial uncertainty stand at unprecedented levels. In this climate, it will be difficult to predict how far gold will rise, how far the dollar might fall, and how far and how fast competitive devaluations could intensify? Will other major powers accept a deep appreciation of their currencies relative to the dollar, with the implied loss of competitiveness in export markets at a time of economic fragility?
The Fed is promoting speculation and economic conflict. Speculators are overwhelmed with cheap money and abundant liquidity to reap speculative profits. Such an unstable environment could be hardly conducive to investment, renewed hiring and job creation, and thus lasting economic growth. Thus far, only uncertainty, unemployment, economic stagnation and the fear of future inflation have been the end results of Fed policy. The fear of inflation and uncertainty has fueled the flight to safety, to gold. Central banks as well as investors, who have experienced persistent losses in the real value of their financial assets from rapid depreciation of reserve currencies, have little option but to run to gold.
The statement by the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement on September 21, 2010, maintained:
The pace of recovery in output and employment has slowed in recent months. Household spending is increasing gradually, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software is rising, though less rapidly than earlier in the year, while investment in non-residential structures continues to be weak. Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. Housing starts are at a depressed level. Bank lending has continued to contract, but at a reduced rate in recent months. ...
The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period. The Committee also will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings. ...
The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and is prepared to provide additional accommodation if needed to support the economic recovery and to return inflation, over time, to levels consistent with its mandate.
The clear objective of maintaining such an unprecedented loose monetary policy is to re-establish full employment; and most pointedly, the Fed even reminded market observers of its dual mandate of maintain price stability and full employment. Since it maintains that inflation is nowhere on the horizon, then all that matters is employment.
It would appear that the Fed's simplistic principle is: near-zero interest rates and abundant money printed out-of-thin air will make banks shovel money to consumers and firms; consumers will spend lavishly; firms will invest as cost of capital is near zero making every project undoubtedly profitable; aggregate demand will be boosted, and full-employment quickly established.
The mechanics are simple. Every layman understands them. It is all but a fairytale. Unfortunately, a great puzzle cannot be ignored. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's dramatic monetary expansion ever since August 2007, in form of sharp reduction in interest rates and unprecedented liquidity injection, disrupted economic growth and sent the unemployment rate from 4 percent down to over 10% in 2009 and 9.6% in 2010; and stocks markets crashed, wiping out trillions of dollars in pensioners' wealth.
ARTICLE : WHO'S THE CURRENCY MANIPULATOR ..continued
=-========================
The excessive monetary expansion under Bernanke's predecessor, Alan Greenspan, forcing interest rates to 1% during 2003-2005, fired up speculation, housing prices bubbles, and ended in general bankruptcies and trillions of dollars in bailouts. Concomitantly, the US fiscal deficits reached historic peacetime records at 13% of gross domestic product (GDP). The financing of fiscal deficits through more and more money printing points to a government that is bankrupt.
The Fed has pumped about $1.5 trillion in new liquidity. Where does all this money come from? Out of thin air. It is a form of counterfeiting. It is akin to the central bank (the Fed) grabbing real wealth from someone and gifting it to someone else in the same fashion as a counterfeiter takes away real wealth without offering any compensation in return. While the counterfeiting act is the same, the perpetrator is different; in one instance, it is the government, and in the other instance it is a criminal called a counterfeiter, who, if caught, is jailed.
Real growth needs real capital accumulation and real investment. Since a counterfeiter is not creating any real wealth, his counterfeiting cannot induce economic growth even though his real spending is rising. A combination of extremely low interest and massive redistribution of real wealth creates considerable distortions in prices and income distribution.
It would appear that the FOMC decided that economic conditions warrant "counterfeiting and distortions" for an extended period of time. How far into time this period should extend? So far, three years have elapsed without the US being able to pull out of recession. The Japanese lost decade may imply an extended period, exceeding a decade.
Could there be a miracle in our future with money counterfeiting turning out to be the last best strategy for restoring economic growth and financial order? If so, it would mean that any country can print an unlimited quantity of money and achieve economic prosperity. But since printing money has never created real capital, so badly needed for economic growth, printing money can in the end only turn out to be inflationary and destructive for economic growth.
If Bernanke's theory of cheap money cum full employment is valid, it is not obvious why economic recovery has slowed during a period of unprecedented monetary expansion and near-zero interest rates. This policy should at least have helped to maintain recovery and not decelerate it. It is unclear what further quantitative easing could achieve on top of what it has not achieved so far?
Somehow, the Fed has been trapped into a vicious circle of aggressive monetary policy that has precipitated high unemployment and, three years hence, failed to restore sustained and significant economic growth. The Fed's monetary stance is paving the way to more intractable financial conditions, intractable fiscal deficits, rife speculation, and more bankruptcies. The Fed is apparently unable to adopt sound monetary policy.
Bernanke is religiously attached to monetary magic, that money helicoptering is the way to economic growth. John Maynard Keynes coined such magic "turning stone into bread". Bernanke will not admit why his policy backfired in 2007-2008. He has simply denied any link between such unprecedented expansionary monetary policy and the housing price bubble, commodity price bubble, and financial collapse. He has claimed that researchers at the Fed have found substantive evidence of the absence of any link between low interest rates and housing prices. Despite the economic misery of the the last three years, he appears unmoved by gold hitting $1,300 and the dollar falling.
A pragmatic policymaker would drop policies that have repeatedly failed, while an ideologue would remain strongly committed to his ideology for decades. Bernanke and his supporters are earnestly yearning for short-term results in the form of a rebound of the economic activity. How the monumental fiscal deficits and unprecedented liquidities are dealt with is not relevant as in the long-run we are all dead. It is like a patient who suffers from a serious tumor, yet the doctor only gives him opium to relieve the pain and does nothing to cure him.
article : WHO'S THE CURRENCY MANIPULATOR? ....continued
=======================
While the Fed had learned little from its errors, capital markets and banks have become vigilant to the devastating risks of such loose monetary policy. The flight to gold is a clear sign that the Fed is highly unlikely to change course in the foreseeable future and the risk of high inflation or even hyperinflation cannot be discounted. Banks have learned their lesson that excessive liquidity can only be pushed to subprime markets and can never be recovered.
Does un-backed money creation create wealth? The answer is no, but instead it might destroy wealth.
Imagine that every worker in the US wakes up in the morning to find a bag full of dollars at his or her doorstep, say $1 million, with a tag saying that this is a gift from uncle Ben to spend and to enjoy. How many workers will show up for work on that happy day with everyone becoming millionaire? Very few if any.
But other results are immediate. Suddenly, output falls dramatically. Since everyone wants to spend and not work, goods have to be imported from China. The result is a fall in output and exports and sharp rise in imports, not forgetting a dramatic depreciation of dollar and a jump in inflation.
Now imagine a different channel of gifting, where corporations instead of workers are given billions of dollars in free cash by uncle Ben. They have no longer any incentive to increase production or sales since they have plenty of cash to distribute to shareholders. They may even reduce production and discharge labor.
Whether cheap money made out-of-thin air is handed over free or in form of loans, the result is the same. It leads to a drop in output and employment. Hard-won money means hard work by workers and by corporations to expand output and employment. In the past, some prominent economists have even gone so far as to argue that un-backed credit could lead to famine and starvation.
As mentioned above, congress, appalled by the United States' large trade imbalances, is preparing to "shoot the messenger" through a punitive bill targeting China. Trade imbalances in any country are created by credit policy, a principle long and widely known, named the monetary approach to balance of payments. The US trade imbalances are the result of the Fed's unrestricted credit policy and fiscal deficits and have little to do with China, Japan, or any other country.
In large part, US fiscal deficits were luckily financed by China; otherwise, inflation would have devastated the US economy. Overly expansionary credit policy pushed US current (external) account deficits to 6-7% of GDP during 2005-2006. The present unorthodox credit policy can only worsen trade imbalances and unemployment, regardless of the bills adopted by the US Congress targeting China.
As to currency manipulation, the Fed has manipulated the dollar through near-zero interest rates and lax credit policy. The manipulation of interest rates is an indirect manipulation of exchange rates. The US dollar at one point depreciated from roughly $0.80 against the euro to $1.60 in April 2008. Today, the Fed is again forcing a depreciation of the dollar relative to the yen, euro, and other currencies. Yet, these trading partners have not even made a peep in protest.
A countervailing bill will not solve trade imbalances and exchange rate instability. It may only hasten more exchange instability as every country in the world would act to protect its export competitiveness, through competitive devaluations. A US bill will not impinge China's export competitiveness as a country may establish, as currently is the case of Japan, competitiveness through more innovation, reduction of labor cost, and price discounts.
So far, US policymakers have been unwilling to admit that monetary policy is not a panacea for all that plagues the economy. The administration has lost two years without bringing about its promised change. The return to Harvard University of a staunch Keynesian, Larry Summers, who has indicated his intention to leave his post as White House economic adviser, may indicate a loss of faith in Keynesianism, as in many European countries that have opted for austerity.
The November elections are close. A clear message about the administration's economic performance will be sent. There is a real risk that the Obama administration will not be able to change course, restrain monetary and fiscal policy, and address the real problems facing the US economy.
Hossein Askari is professor of international business and international affairs at George Washington University. Noureddine Krichene is an economist with a PhD from UCLA.
(Copyright 2010 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)
TEDDY: Thanks for presenting an interesting read. More and more I see the U.S. stock market as the greatest illusion known to man (and woman). The article you shared allows us to view what's going on from outside this bubble of delusion.
Actually, the stock market is not as bad as you think, if we are talking about buying stocks in corporations. If you use the old-fashioned Graham-Dodd approach to investing, you buy stock in a well-run company and hold it for decades. If you chose the right company, your investment will have paid off.
On the other hand, trading in markets of securities based on securities, based on securities, etc., is an illusion. Money is being transferred from one account to another (and fees are collected) without any productivity backing up the securities.
That is the smoke and mirrors approach to investing which either brings in the big bucks or bankruptcy.
There is no such thing as buying stock from a well-run company. A company that is well-run could not possibly be engaged in a lot of stock trading. Examine each and every company that trades big. In most of those companies, pleasing the stockholder at the expense of the employees and even the customers is one of the fundamental norms in finance. In essence, the company is slitting its own wrists just to prop up its "values". Such dangerous moves only increase the risks of investing in those companies in the first place. Another thing to consider is that companies can also engage in deceptively buying back their own stock. As good as a stock market may look, it is never really a safe place to invest. In fact, the more out of control a stock market gets, the greater the symptom that unemployment and underemployment are going up unrecorded.
Good article at counterpunch by Pam Martins.
That article proves that porn, war, and greed are always inter-related. If one of them exist, then all three of them would exist at large in any society.
Posting deleted. Misplaced.
Jennifer Bedingfield....
your words reflect Socrates:!
"ALL FOREIGN WARS are nothing but RAPE (porn), PILLAGE(war), and THEFT (greed) of Otherpeople's national treasures".
I barely knew Socrates based on my limited knowledge I had acquired in school. I didn't even realize that what I said actually reflects Socrates. I need to go back and get a more thorough study of that man. Thanks !
SIOUXROSE ...
here's another article that I think succinctly explains (excerpts here only, but i put the link too) - what many of us , one way or another, have long suspected. at least I've always suspected this to be the case when I would put it to friends this way, crudely, :
"THE USA is the world's bigges WELFARE state...and DEBTOR nation...it actually is floating on an ocean of DEBT to other nations, INCLUDING weaker ones, because of its Dollar manipulation...with NO INTENTION of ever paying them back, but actually making other countries PAY the USA for using its Dollar and making them pay for allowing the USA to be the NON-PAYING debtor to THEM, on the dollar, which is backed up by nothing much except the government's SAY-SO that the USA economy is as vibrant as it claims even if it's actually NOT, and would NEVER have been in that position UNLESS it had the scheme of being A DEBTOR that does NOT INTEND TO PAY at all. so, in reality, the "greatest power and most wealthy country" on earth is really and has for a long time been on the rest of the WORLD's WELFARE PROGRAM..."
I've always argued it, more or less, that way for over a decade. although i admit it was just my "opinion" or suspicion.
this article and , i believe, others , explain it in the real expert way.
==========================
http://www.professorfekete.com/articles%5CAEFGotterdammerung.pdf
GÖTTERDÄMMERUNG
The Twilight of Irredeemable Debt
Antal E. Fekete
Gold Standard University
Wagner’s opera Götterdämmerung is about the twighlight of pagan gods. The most powerful of the latter-day pagan gods that has been guiding the destinies of humanity for the past two-score of years is Irredeemable Debt. Before August 14, 1971, debts were obligations, and the word “bond” was to mean literally what it said: the opposite of freedom. The privilege of issuing debt had a countervailing
responsibility: that of repayment.
On that fateful day all that was changed by a stroke of the pen. President Nixon embraced the woolly theory of Milton Friedman and declared the irredeemable dollar a Monad, that is, a thing that exists in and of itself. According to this theory the government has the power to create irredeemable debt ― debt that never needs to be repaid yet will not lose its value ― subject only to a “quantity rule”, e.g., it must not be increased by more than 3 percent annually. This idea is so preposterously
silly that “only very learned men could have thought of it”. If the thief is thieving modestly, then he will not be detected. It never occurred to the professors of economics and financial journalists that a modest thief is an oxymoron, a contradiction in terms.
GOOTERDAMMERUNG. article continued
===================
How did they get to believing in irredeemable debt? The explanation is most likely found in Schiller’s dictum: “Anyone taken as an individual is tolerably sensible and reasonable. But taken as a member of a crowd ― he at once becomes a blockhead”. Economics professors and financial journalists are no exception.
For a time it appeared that Milton Friedman was right. The world has become dedicated to the proposition that it is possible, even desirable, to expand irredeemable debt in order to make the economy prosper. Never mind the default of the U.S. government on its bonded debt held by foreigners. Never mind people victimized by theft. Thanks to the quantity rule, they will never notice
the difference.
For all its seductive attractiveness Friedmanite economics is ignoring the effect of
irredeemable debt on productivity. It watches debt per GDP and is happy as long as this ratio stays below 100 percent by a fair amount. However, what should be watched is the ratio of additional debt to additional GDP. By that indicator the patient’s condition could be diagnosed as that of pernicious anemia. It set in immediately after the dollar debt in the world was converted into irredeemable debt.
The increase in GDP brought about by the addition of $1 of new debt to the economy is called the marginal productivity of debt. That ratio is the only one that matters in judging the quality of debt.
After all, the purpose of contracting debt is to increase productivity. If debt volume rises faster than national income, there is big trouble brewing, but only the marginal productivity of debt is capable of revealing it.
Before 1971 the introduction of $1 new debt used to increase the GDP by as much as $3 or more. Since 1971 this ratio started its precipitous decline that has continued to this day without interruption. It went negative in 2006, forecasting the financial crisis that broke a year later.
The reason for the decline is that irredeemable debt causes capital destruction. It adds nothing to the per capita quota of capital invested in aid of production. Indeed, it may take away from it. As it displaces real capital which represents the deployment of more and better tools, productivity declines. The laws of physics, unlike human beings, cannot be conned. Irredeemable debt may only create make-belief
capital.
By confusing capital and credit, Friedmanite economics obliterates truth. It makes the cost of running the merry-go-round of debt-breeding disappear. It makes capital destruction invisible.
The stock of accumulated capital supporting world production, large as it may be, is not inexhaustible.
When it is exhausted, the music stops and the merry-go-round comes to a screechy halt. It does not happen everywhere all at the same time, but it will happen everywhere sooner or later. When it does, Swissair falls out of the sky, Enron goes belly-up, and Bear-Sterns caves in.
The marginal productivity of debt is an unimaginative taskmaster. It insists that new debt be justified by a minimum increase in the GDP. Otherwise capital destruction follows ― a most vicious process. At first, there are no signs of trouble. If anything the picture looks rosier than ever. But the seeds of destruction inevitably, if invisibly, have sprouted and will at one point paralyze further growth and production.
To deny this is tantamount to denying the most fundamental law of the universe: the Law of Conservation of Energy and Matter.
The captains of the banking system in effect deny and defy that basic law.
They are leading a blind crowd of mesmerized people to the brink where momentum may sweep most of them into the abyss to their financial destruction. Yet not one university in the world has issued a warning, and not one court of justice allowed indictments to be heard from individuals and institutions charging that the
issuance of irredeemable debt is a crude form of fraud, calling for the punishment of the swindlers issuing it, whether they are in the Treasury or in the central bank.
The behavior of universities and courts in this regard could not be more reprehensible.
Rather than acting to protect the weak, they act to cover up plundering by the mighty.
The inconspicuous beginnings of
"Wagner’s opera Götterdämmerung is about the twighlight of pagan gods. "
Actually Wagner's setting was based on myths involving the Teutonic or, pagan gods, but the meaning was a condemnation of 19th Century capitalism. Whether that has any bearing on the rest of the author's concepts, it doesn't help to get the introduction wrong.
"Luck favors the righteous"
The National Motto, as we all know, is no longer "In God We Trust". The National Motto is actually "Fuck You". But this is admittedly crude, angry and too short. I like "Luck Favors the Righteous". It will look good on our paper money when the face of George Wanker Bush appears on every denomination.
And here I thought that the national motto is "Money Talks, Bullshit Walks", famously uttered by convicted Philly congressman Ozzie Myers, a casualty of the ABSCAM sting.
The Politicians beg for votes
The Business people beg for business
Those seeking work beg for work
The homeless in the street beg for spare change.
Perhaps all are but beggars upon the earth?
Life is good. What an experience! It's always best to forgive.
The deep concern that comes into view when truth appears brings a measure of comfort and strength...to take another step toward that which feels right in your own heart. We go on.