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Stimulus Time: The Fierce Urgency of Now
To arrest this downward spiral, the Obama team is talking about an economic stimulus package of about $800 billion over two years. Some are complaining that this is too much. But it is actually not so large considering the size of the problem we are facing. It is about 2.7 percent of GDP. The recent increase in military spending plus tax cuts for the rich - compared to 2001 levels -- adds up to about the same.
Even if we take into account the rest of our red ink, and we actually hit the dreaded "trillion-dollar deficit" in 2009, how extreme would this be? A trillion-dollar deficit would be about 6.7 percent of GDP. In 1983, coming out of our last deep recession, President Reagan ran a deficit of 6 percent of GDP. And the current recession could easily be worse than that one. We really don't know where the bottom is yet.
The Obama stimulus also differs from the deficit spending that we accumulated in the Bush (or Reagan) years in a profound way. Tax cuts for the rich - and much more horrifically in the case of spending on the Iraq war - are unnecessary and socially destructive. By contrast, President Obama is proposing to spend money on things that we actually need.
State and local governments will need at least $100 - $150 billion next year to keep from cutting back on their employment and education and making the recession much worse. We will need increases in food stamps, unemployment insurance, and Medicaid spending for the poor - who are most at risk of suffering from the destruction caused by the excesses of Wall Street financiers and the government officials who failed to police them.
Obama's plan will also include spending to repair our roads, bridges, and schools - much of which is long overdue. There will inevitably be tax cuts in the package, but at least these will go to working and middle class people, unlike the bulk of the Bush tax cuts.
Two things that could turn the stimulus package into an even more positive force for change would be health care and environmental spending. The federal government can subsidize health insurance for the uninsured, with public sector insurance like Medicare, as President-elect Obama promised during his campaign. This would advance health care reform while also providing jobs and spending in the health care sector. To begin the transition to a less fossil-fuel based economy, the federal government can also subsidize mass transit, the retrofitting of buildings to make them more energy efficient, and start to build a 21st century electricity grid that can handle wind and solar energy sources.
The exact details of the package are not as urgent as its size and the speed with which it is implemented. President Bush and his Republican party have unforgivably destroyed thousands of businesses and hundreds of thousands of jobs by delaying the package until Obama takes office. Further delays by Republicans in Congress should be met with mass outrage.
If anything, the Obama team's proposed stimulus may not be enough. Nobel laureate economist Paul Krugman has suggested four percent of GDP, or $600 billion for just next year. He may well be right. Better to err on the side of caution, than risk falling into a deeper hole that is even more difficult to get out of.
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10 Comments so far
Show AllObama’s “stimulus package”. Reported: $ 100 billion for business; $ 200 billion for “middle class”.
Obama’s explanation: “this is not a political ploy. During my campaign I have promised a tax cut for the “middle class”. No word about promises to business.
You know what this is? It is Bush III!
Already, half of Obama's bill looks no different from Reagan's or Bush II's versions. And with corrupt senators and reps likely to amend it to suit the wealthy and corporate interests, we'll be lucky if the final version isn't 80% Republican. I'm keeping my fingers crossed on this one. Besides, now that Obama supported bailing out Wall Street in addition to more war spending, where's he gonna get the money for this stimulus shit from ?
Between the Big Corp. and Big Gov't people we can forget ever seeing much of the so called stimulus. It will all go to these same special pleaders. I mean look if your a poor CEO u just lost half your 401K and maybe even your private jet how much can one poor CEO suffer in a month? As for Big Gov't employees, I mean what will happen if all these people with solid Gold health care , Gov't pensions and nice big salaries have to not get their annual raise and more tax supported benes? Life's a bitch for these folks isn't it? NOT!!
And yet you're supporting the elites like an asshole. Maybe Popeye the Sailor can beat the crap outta you and teach you some lessons.
Notice how blutodog cries victim for bad CEOs just like he does for the Israeli neocons. Like the Palestinians and Jews sick and tired of bombing out Gaza, the hardworking employees are written off by this shithead.
Where will this 800 billion + come from? Will will borrow it from abroad or more likely print it. The USD will be debased and hyper inflation will take hold. This will make the current disaster seem like nothing.
Sooooooo, to get out of this giant bushole, we keep on digging some more????
First of all, when you're broke and in debt how do you make things worse?
Well by going deeper into debt.
Also, money has to have resources to back it up or it's just paper. Where are these resources coming from? And how many wars will it take to keep these resources flowing into the corporations that use them? How much environmental damage will come from it?
You must also consider that Obama has lied about every thing so far. So if he does start handing out money, you can be sure the middle class will be last on the list and his buddies on Wall Street, in the military and at the banks will be first.
People need to understand where we are. Resources are finite. The population of the planet increases at three people per second. War is required to protect the resources that are left. But things are running out, which is why the world economies are faultering.
Mr. Obama just wants to keep skipping merrily down the same path as Bush.
FYI, we're borrowing from China to finance these wars, economic scams and bailouts, and building and shipping WMDs around the world. China will have to pull the plug someday sooner.
A significant aspect of Obama’s economic stimulus plan must involve investment towards long-term innovation. Before Sunday, the task of carrying out that vision seemed to be on shoulders of Bill Richardson. The next Secretary of Commerce, whoever that may be, will be a central figure in supporting the private sector in bringing about the next business revolution.
Read an article on the importance of funding innovation in the coming administration ...
http://globalinvestmentwatch.com/2009/01/07/the-next-innovation-cycle/