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Climate Change Scepticism Will Increase Hardship for World's Poor: IPCC Chief
Rajendra Pachauri predicts lobbying will intensify to impede progress to agreement on binding treaty in Mexico City
Climate change scepticism is likely to surge in 2010 and could exacerbate "hardship" for the planet's poorest people, one of the world's leading authorities on climate change has told the Guardian.
Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), gives a news conference at the Bella center during the U.N. Climate Change Conference (UNCCC) in Copenhagen in this December 12, 2009 file photo. (REUTERS/Casper Christoffersen/Scanpix/Files)
Writing on environmentguardian.co.uk today, Rajendra Pachauri, the chair of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, also dismisses suggestions that he is personally profiting from policies to tackle global warming.
Climate sceptics gained media attention in the run up to the Copenhagen climate summit after alleging that hacked emails between senior climate scientists showed that an important temperature record was flawed — a charge rejected by governments and scientific bodies. In Australia, sceptics within the party led to the ousting of the leader of the opposition over new climate laws.
Pachauri predicted this year would see further scepticism. "Powerful vested interests are perhaps likely to get overactive in the coming months, and would perhaps do everything in their power to impede progress towards a binding agreement that is hoped for by the end of 2010 in Mexico City," he said. "Those opposed to action on climate change are working overtime to see that they can stall action for as long as possible."
After a weak deal in Copenhagen, Pachauri warned that allowing scepticism to delay international action on global warming would endanger the lives of the world's poorest people. "In the end, knowledge and science will undoubtedly triumph, but delay in reducing emissions of greenhouse gases would only lead to worse impacts of climate change and growing hardship for the most vulnerable regions in the world, which are also unfortunately some of the poorest communities on Earth."
Pachauri, a vegetarian, has previously described western lifestyles as unsustainable and advocated a diet including one meat-free day a week. He singled out lobbyists in the US for attempting to delay America's climate legislation, which is crucial for a global deal but is currently stalled in the Senate. Last year the Centre for Public Integrity found that 770 companies and interest groups hired an estimated 2,340 lobbyists to influence US policies on climate change, while America's oil, gas and coal industry increased its lobbying budget by 50%.
Pachauri said action from President Obama would be needed on top of Senate legislation. "The passage of legislation in that country [the US] will have to be supplemented with several initiatives to be put in place by the executive branch of the government," Pachauri said.
Bob Ward, policy and communications director at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, said Pachauri was right on the level of sceptical activity. "We are already witnessing extraordinary efforts by powerful lobbies, in the US and Australia in particular, which are opposed to the regulation of greenhouse gas emissions. There is a strong alliance of ideologically driven right-wingers, who reject environmental legislation on principle, and lobbyists for some hydrocarbon companies, who place the short-term commercial interests of their clients ahead of the wider public interest. Both have the common goal of delaying restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions, and both use the tactics pioneered by the tobacco industry, hiding their true motivations behind inaccurate and misleading claims about uncertainties in the science."
But Tony Kreindler of the Environmental Defence Fund, which has been following US climate legislation, said the number of climate sceptic lobbyists was now being matched by companies supporting legislation to cap carbon emissions. However, he added: "Opponents of action and the old sceptics will of course ramp up their lobbying this year as well, as they do anytime the Congress is on the verge of making law. We already have a bill through the House of Representatives and a bipartisan effort underway in the Senate. The President made his commitment clear in Copenhagen to legislation because it's in our national interest. This year is not a dress rehearsal, and everyone on both sides gets that."
On the stolen emails, Pachauri said the contents did not impact on climate science, adding that "the allegations made on the basis of the stolen emails have proved incorrect."
The University of East Anglia is currently undertaking an independent review of the hacking incident, led by senior civil servant Sir Muir Russell. The review is expected to be published in the spring, but a university spokesman said today that Sir Russell will "determine his final timescale after completing his initial scoping exercise". He added that the university had also responded to a letter from the science and technology committee of MPs asking for an explanation of the incident. The IPCC is conducting its own review into the stolen emails.
Pachauri also rebutted claims in The Sunday Telegraph that, through advisory roles for Deutsche Bank, Toyota, Yale University, the Asian Development Bank and others, he was reaping personal financial gain from climate change policies that could be influenced by the reports of the IPCC he chairs. The article claimed Pachauri had been silent on the "highly lucrative commercial jobs", the rewards from which "must run into millions".
In response, he said: "The same group of climate deniers who have been active across the Atlantic have now joined hands to attack me personally. As for pecuniary benefits from advice that I may be rendering to profit-making organisations, these payments are all made directly to my institute, without a single penny being received by me."
The Nobel Peace-prize winning Pachauri called for greater activism and more campaigning to press governments into taking strong action on carbon emissions this year. "Society and grassroots action would have to come into their own, not only to ensure that human society takes responsibility for action at the most basic level, but also to create upward pressure on governments to act decisively. If such grassroots efforts do not spread and intensify, nation states may not be able to resolve the differences that exist between them."
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18 Comments so far
Show AllI understand correspondence between Copernicus and Galileo has recently been uncovered that reveals the two conspired to falsify data concerning planetary movements. Clearly there was a conspiracy afoot to secure the two of them lucrative professorships at the University of Bologna. Also, there is talk that they served to gain financially in eclipse forecasting, a hot business in India where local Rajahs would pay out a fortune in emeralds and rubies as rewards to competent astrologers. The shame of it! Perverting science to create the false impression that the Earth revolves about the Sun--and all to line their own pockets!
Don't tell me they hacked into their e-mail accounts too!
That must have been some interesting correspondence, akin to the interactions between Marley and Scrooge reported by C. Dickens, considering that Copernicus had been dead almost 21 years when Gallileo was born.
I guess it involved what is known in the business as "automatic writing".
That's just a giant lie, a conspiracy by dirty stinkin liberal historians to deny that Copernicus and Galileo knew each other. They WERE both alive at the same time, and in fact Copernicus faked his death, went underground, changed his name to Dexter Ala Iddiotta Albaguy and had an affair with Galileo's mother. He became Galileo's mentor and brainwashed him with techniques he learned from Leonardo Da Vinci (who was actually a cross-dresser who WAS Galileo's mother) into believing the Earth was round, and was not the center of the universe. They faked data to prove it, (also bringing Tycho Brahe and Eratosthenes into the vast and secret millennia-long conspiracy that also mastered time travel with LDV's helicopter) and ever since, people have been taken in by it. But neoconservative members of The Family and the CEOs of all the major oil companies know better, and as soon as they dispense with evolution, lung cancer research and the myth of climate catastrophe, will again begin revealing the truth that the earth is flat and Dick Cheney is the direct descendant of Mary Magdelene and the rightful Pope and Archbishop of Canterbury.
And the whackjobs, fully satisfied with & emboldened by the outstanding job they did with healthcare, now move on to climate. By the time they're done, there won't be but a whole in the ozone left to witness the utter stupidity of human kind.
The health of the planet lay in the balance.
Now all life is in the hands of fools.
No, it's still in *our* hands...if we choose to get a grip.
Worth watching:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/all.final.1978-2006.mov
(large file, right click and SAVE AS)
It is a time-lapse of the Arctic Circle since 1978. A good way to watch it is to notice where the circle ends during the first summer shown, and then watch as each summer arrives.
Please post and share widely. It is also a good way to view the "No global warming since 1998" argument... also phrased as "all-time record temps in 1998".
Pachauri and others characterize anyone who is sceptical about any of the wide variety of claims made about climate change as sceptics--and places them into the camp of the bad guys, while at the same time putting all global warming supporters into the camp of the good guys. Pachauri is this guilty of false generalization. He also claims that the emails show nothing to be wrong with the science of climate change, but his own investigation has not yet been completed, so he is speaking ex cathedra, like the pope, and has no more credibility than that. And what would he make of Jim Hansen, probably the most influential climate researcher, that he was glad (and at the time of writing) hoped) the cap-and-trade proposal at Copenhagen would fail?
We need to clarify our terms and make cleaner and clearer demarcations between groups of people. Scepticism, for one thing, is a key ingredient of all science. No scientific claim is ever validated beyond doubt. Science is not religion. Only people into religion or belief-system-like stands reject scepticism.
From what we know geologically, the climate is always changing. Our short, little interglacial may be extended into global warming or it could be leading us into global cooling--in geological terms. Many claim there is not a mere coincidence between the rise in CO2 and warming, but a causal relationship, though that too may be doubted. Others claim that it is not just CO2, but specifically anthropogenic CO2, and this, too, is doubted.
Then there is the issue of what can or should be done about climate change. Do we try to play god and try to keep the current climate just as it is by mitigation? Or, do we adapt to the changing conditions as they arise? And who is most responsible for anthropogenic CO2, if that is indeed the cause of warming? Clearly the US and Canada, and at a much lesser extent Europe and other so-called advanced nations. And so, who should be doing the most? The main culprit or the whole world? If the main culprit, then let the US lead and show the way to mitigation--and not try a scam like cap-and-trade.
Pachauri is of course right in saying that the US lifestyle is unsustainable, but you try telling that to Americans, who believe that everything they do is OK and that they have a god-given right to do as they please. So, please Pachauri, stop blaming so-called sceptics and place the blame where it most clearly belongs--to the greedy, self-righteous, Americans.
Why does anyone think that pumping billions of tons of a greenhouse gas into a closed greenhouse system can have no effect?
Ah, you might say , it will be absorbed by the oceans. No problem. But wait, CO2 acidifies the oceans (yes, it is increasing in acidity and I don't think there is any correlation with sunspots and solar wind etc.) and what effect might that have on plankton?
We don't need no stinkin' plankton - we are humans and infinitely more important than plankton. Yes, but you still need to breathe.
Many claim there is not a mere coincidence between the rise in CO2 and warming, but a causal relationship, though that too may be doubted. Others claim that it is not just CO2, but specifically anthropogenic CO2, and this, too, is doubted.
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You're confusing ideological 'doubt' with the scientific doubt that arises from equivocal evidence.
Recall, if you will, Thoreau's famous example of circumstantial evidence: finding a live trout in your milk. Although not the only possibility, the simplest and best explanation is that someone has watered the milk.
The evidence for humans being the cause of the onrushing catastrophe is the equivalent of that trout.
Moreover, the principle of prudence says that even though real-world evidence can *never* be 100% perfect, it would be monumentally stupid to treat the evidence as anything less. As an econ professor put it: pretending everything will be fine "is an experiment we really don't want to be trying with the only planet we have".
If Rajendra is personally profiting from policies to tackle global warming, that could only be from his support for cancer forever increasing nukes.
Climate change only happens to other people.
unless you happen to be one of those other people and then it happens to you. and you are one of them. we have met the other people and they are us.
it happened (statistically speaking) to the survivors (and not) of katrina/neglect of levees and shoreline storm-absorbing wetland system;
it happens to the roughly 150,000 to 250,000 people who die every year from climate catastrophe;
and to the 26 million current climate refugees;
it's happening to the forest on about 5 million acres in the western US killed by a combination of bark beetles, drought and other forces, and to the people who depend on the forest for their living;
and on and on and on. it's happening to you now. droughts, floods, and the switch to growing biofuels on millions of acres of former food-producing land has raised the price of your food. it and peak oil has raised the price of your gas. it has made your life more difficult in a hundred unnoticed ways as people all over Asia and the Pacific abandon their homes and ways of life and stop growing your food and making your toys and start threatening war (including nuclear war) over resources and 'lebensraum'.
I'm glad the War on Flora is getting into high gear. For we must deprive plant life of its life breath because flora hates our freedoms. And remember too that flora would love to see a great deal of money to made on the deal.
Skeptics of climate change are not the only problem.
You are not green if you eat meat.
Please check out www.worldwatch.org/ww/livestock.
Studies by Robert Goodland and Jeff Anhang show 51% of greenhouse gases are attributed to livestock.
Do your body and your planet good and really go green:
Substitute healthy proteins (tempeh, quinoa, nuts, beans, tofu, seitan, and more) in place of animal products.
Be progressive, be green, be an environmentalist, be compassionate and live a vegan lifestyle.
yeah!
and without all those defacating cows there'd be a lot more room for urban sprawl.
agreed, though, the average diet is totally out of balance with about 90 times more junk food,(it's okay to cheat, but rarely) and five times more meat protein than needed. it mostly goes to waste. waist?
i've seen people start focusing on a better diet and soon find the junk food and excess has lost its savor.
I'm a vegetarian homesteader, so I'm not defending the meat industry or its many horrible practices. But there are places on Earth where eating organically range-fed meat makes more ecological sense than not. That should not become an excuse for eating 12 tons of CAFO beef a year or burning down rainforest to grow burghers, but we have to devise locally appropriate solutions to make this work, and those will be different in different locals. The health harm of small amounts of organic meat is minimal if not zero; in fact it is the diet we grew up with over 4 million+ years. Whether you consider it ethical or not is another question, but we're talking green here, and there are nuances we shouldn't toss out the window with the salad. or something.