Subscribe to Common Dreams News Updates
Most Popular This Week
Popular content
Today's Top News
Industry Ignored Its Scientists on Climate
For more than a decade the Global Climate Coalition, a group representing industries with profits tied to fossil fuels, led an aggressive lobbying and public relations campaign against the idea that emissions of heat-trapping gases could lead to global warming.
Steam billows from a factory near the US Capitol building in Washington, DC. (AFP/File/Tim Sloan)
"The role of greenhouse gases in climate change is not well understood," the coalition said in a scientific "backgrounder" provided to lawmakers and journalists through the early 1990s, adding that "scientists differ" on the issue.
But a document filed in a federal lawsuit demonstrates that even as the coalition worked to sway opinion, its own scientific and technical experts were advising that the science backing the role of greenhouse gases in global warming could not be refuted.
"The scientific basis for the Greenhouse Effect and the potential impact of human emissions of greenhouse gases such as CO2 on climate is well established and cannot be denied," the experts wrote in an internal report compiled for the coalition in 1995.
The coalition was financed by fees from large corporations and trade groups representing the oil, coal and auto industries, among others. In 1997, the year an international climate agreement that came to be known as the Kyoto Protocol was negotiated, its budget totaled $1.68 million, according to tax records obtained by environmental groups.
Throughout the 1990s, when the coalition conducted a multimillion-dollar advertising campaign challenging the merits of an international agreement, policy makers and pundits were fiercely debating whether humans could dangerously warm the planet. Today, with general agreement on the basics of warming, the debate has largely moved on to the question of how extensively to respond to rising temperatures.
Environmentalists have long maintained that industry knew early on that the scientific evidence supported a human influence on rising temperatures, but that the evidence was ignored for the sake of companies' fight against curbs on greenhouse gas emissions. Some environmentalists have compared the tactic to that once used by tobacco companies, which for decades insisted that the science linking cigarette smoking to lung cancer was uncertain. By questioning the science on global warming, these environmentalists say, groups like the Global Climate Coalition were able to sow enough doubt to blunt public concern about a consequential issue and delay government action.
George Monbiot, a British environmental activist and writer, said that by promoting doubt, industry had taken advantage of news media norms requiring neutral coverage of issues, just as the tobacco industry once had.
"They didn't have to win the argument to succeed," Mr. Monbiot said, "only to cause as much confusion as possible."
William O'Keefe, at the time a leader of the Global Climate Coalition, said in a telephone interview that the group's leadership had not been aware of a gap between the public campaign and the advisers' views. Mr. O'Keefe said the coalition's leaders had felt that the scientific uncertainty justified a cautious approach to addressing cuts in greenhouse gases.
The coalition disbanded in 2002, but some members, including the National Association of Manufacturers and the American Petroleum Institute, continue to lobby against any law or treaty that would sharply curb emissions. Others, like Exxon Mobil, now recognize a human contribution to global warming and have largely dropped financial support to groups challenging the science.
Documents drawn up by the coalition's advisers were provided to lawyers by the Association of International Automobile Manufacturers, a coalition member, during the discovery process in a lawsuit that the auto industry filed in 2007 against the State of California's efforts to limit vehicles' greenhouse gas emissions. The documents included drafts of a primer written for the coalition by its technical advisory committee, as well as minutes of the advisers' meetings.
The documents were recently sent to The New York Times by a lawyer for environmental groups that sided with the state. The lawyer, eager to maintain a cordial relationship with the court, insisted on anonymity because the litigation is continuing.
The advisory committee was led by Leonard S. Bernstein, a chemical engineer and climate expert then at the Mobil Corporation. At the time the committee's primer was drawn up, policy makers in the United States and abroad were arguing over the scope of the international climate-change agreement that in 1997 became the Kyoto Protocol.
The primer rejected the idea that mounting evidence already suggested that human activities were warming the climate, as a 1995 report by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had concluded. (In a report in 2007, the panel concluded with near certainty that most recent warming had been caused by humans.)
Yet the primer also found unpersuasive the arguments being used by skeptics, including the possibility that temperatures were only appearing to rise because of flawed climate records.
"The contrarian theories raise interesting questions about our total understanding of climate processes, but they do not offer convincing arguments against the conventional model of greenhouse gas emission-induced climate change," the advisory committee said in the 17-page primer.
According to the minutes of an advisory committee meeting that are among the disclosed documents, the primer was approved by the coalition's operating committee early in 1996. But the approval came only after the operating committee had asked the advisers to omit the section that rebutted the contrarian arguments.
"This idea was accepted," the minutes said, "and that portion of the paper will be dropped."
The primer itself was never publicly distributed.
Mr. O'Keefe, who was then chairman of the Global Climate Coalition and a senior official of the American Petroleum Institute, the lobby for oil companies, said in the phone interview that he recalled seeing parts of the primer.
But he said he was not aware of the dropped sections when a copy of the approved final draft was sent to him. He said a change of that kind would have been made by the staff before the document was brought to the board for final consideration.
"I have no idea why the section on the contrarians would have been deleted," said Mr. O'Keefe, now chief executive of the Marshall Institute, a nonprofit research group that opposes a mandatory cap on greenhouse gas emissions.
"One thing I'm absolutely certain of," he said, "is that no member of the board of the Global Climate Coalition said, ‘We have to suppress this.' "
Benjamin D. Santer, a climate scientist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory whose work for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was challenged by the Global Climate Coalition and allied groups, said the coalition was "engaging in a full-court press at the time, trying to cast doubt on the bottom-line conclusion of the I.P.C.C." That panel concluded in 1995 that "the balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate."
"I'm amazed and astonished," Dr. Santer said, "that the Global Climate Coalition had in their possession scientific information that substantiated our cautious findings and then chose to suppress that information."
- Posted in

13 Comments so far
Show AllAh, George Will, it's time for you to weigh in once again to refute the lefty NY times and these lefty scientists. It's obvious now that all scientists are lefty communists if our major energy producers can't even find one or two real American righty-Christians to promote the real corporate truth about climate. Please, Mr Will, you know you can do it. A few beguiling adverbs, a glorifying symbolism, a few score lance-pointed adjectives, well of course, you understand.
>>> "I have no idea why the section on the contrarians would have been deleted,"
No idea? None? Not even the obvious one, that the "contrarians" have only political arguments, not technical ones?
Mammon is hell on earth.
These folks are the real terrorists.
Sorry, but if the Earth hass been cooling for the last ten years, the conclusions wouldn't seem true would they?
Declaring something to be true doesn't mean it is. Or repeat a lie enough times and people believe it. In the 70's it was the coming Ice Age........same bunch. Then it was Global Warming....oops, the Earth is actually cooling.....the ozone hole is actually growing smaller (claiming that what little was done here in the US caused this would be grounds for commitment), now its climate change....a truth, except the claim is its man made.
The science for this claim? Computer models, and only that. Hope they are better than the economic models the economists used.
Belief in a theory is fine, but claiming its supported by real science when it is obviously not........................
"The science for this claim? Computer models, and only that."
Thomas, are you not at all persuaded by the retreat of glaciers, thinning and breaking ice sheets, the openning of the Northwest Passage, shifting migration patterns, and other such observations? You know we won't have indisputable "proof" until after the fact, but don't these observations constitute some evidence you might consider?
FastEddie:
Retreat of glaciers? That has been happening since the end of the last Ice Age. The Northwest Passage was open in 1944, (St Roch sailed it).
We have been cooling for the past 6,000 years. Earth was a much nicer place for humanity during the peak temps of the current period.
OK, just put the word "accelerating" in front of all my examples.
TM,
Please stop lying or allowing yourself to be fooled by people who are lying. All your assertions have been disproven many many times. Earth is heating. There is no straight line to disaster but a jagged edge with ups and downs, none of which change the general direction or ultimate outcome of the rising levels of both greenhouse gases and temperature. The Earth is heating. That is bad.
...
In the 70s some people wondered about a coming ice age. There was never agreement about it, and the current overwhelming scientific evidence of heating was beginning to pile up and become accepted by most informed scientists even then. George Will and others who have used this falsehood as evidence against the science of global warming are either lying themselves or listening to people who are lying. When you say "same bunch", for example, you are making a clearly false claim proven wrong repeatedly. Why would you do that?
...
Yeah, that's why Carlyle called economics "The Dismal Science"--as a joke, of course, because not everything that uses math IS science. Ponder this: Many people have always rejected the spurious claims of the authoritarian, so-called "free market" religionists who so devastated our world even before the current difficulties. The people who've rejected those claims are often called liberals, progressives, environmentalists, socialists etc., and the vast majority among them who have studied enough and been educated well enough in the workings of actual science also accept the science of climate change. Not sure what computer models neoconservatives use or used but I know this: Neoconservatives use neoconservative assumptions. GIGO.
And how about that ozone hole? There had been a general global decline in the protective ozone layer since the 1970s (with short-term ups and downs and a seasonal cycle, especially in the Antarctic ozone hole). In 2000, the ban on many ozone-destructive chemicals went into effect after scientific evidence, denounced by the makers of those chemicals and originally some media and conservatives, finally became accepted--that the chemicals were causing ozone-layer depletion, which would lead to higher cancer rates and worse. International action was taken based on that scientific knowledge, especially by the countries who produced most of the chemicals, and since then the prognosis has improved a little. It will take some time (est. til 2025) for ozone to be substantially replenished. There's a lag between action by people and response by the atmosphere.
We'd do well to remember that now.
You'd do well to realize that computer models are only one of hundreds of tools in dozens of scientific fields that have confirmed that human-caused global warming is real, dangerous, must be prevented, and still probably can be. We have to act now and stop listening to people who are either lying, stupid or crazy.
Great post
Good Evening.
When you say the earth is heating and assume that that is bad, what do you base your assumptions on?
I am curious, as the earth was much warmer 6,000 years ago than it is now, and was a much more pleasant place for humanity. I had thought with the warming cycle of the 1980-1998 period that we may approach MWP temps, however, it now is becoming apparant that we are not going to warm enough to get to those temps.
AGW is not a proven science, it is a theory, that as time goes on is losing credibility every day as the climate is not behaving as the models have predicted.
Climate science is an infant science, mostly because the data needed to correctly model climate lacks uniformity and some of the data, through new teck, is now only being gathered.
What is apparant from the newest data is that the sun affects climate much more so than was given credence even 10 years ago. Solar winds, while not a source of TSI, are a source of protection to earth. Those winds have deminished in strength by around 28% since the late 90's, and our temps have fallen accordingly.
A better understanding of climate is deff in order before "Chicken Little" has a leading role in policy.
Anewone
Please stop this nonsense. Please. You are wrong on all counts. Before you post again, look at the science, the real science and all the science, not the selective, misleading and false data on conservative websites but the overwhelming amount of data that leads to the conclusion that
Earth is heating.
We are doing it.
That will be bad for us and bad for the majority of species.
Don't take my word for it. Look at the British Defense Ministry's Hadley Center Report.* Look at the Princeton report about the same time. Look at the IPCC report(simply a survey on the international science done to that point). Look at the thousands of studies in hundreds of fields that show AGCC is a theory in sort of the same way the Pythagorean theorum (A squared + B squared = C squared) is a theory--unprovable (in this case except by ignoring the science and crashing the system, dooming our children or grandchildren to be witnesses to the end of civilization) but known to be true just the same.
And please take a course or ask someone or do SOMETHING to try to understand what science actually is and how it works. Either that or quit the job that has you trying in vain to hold back the tide of increased understanding of global climate catastrophe and the actions that will save us from it.
* for example: http://climateprogress.org/2008/12/21/hadley-study-warns-of-catastrophic-5%C2%B0c-warming-by-2100-on-current-emissions-path/
www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/myths/4.html
www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Sf_UIQYc20&feature=channel_page
www.youtube.com/watch?v=y15UGhhRd6M&feature=channel_page
These employees,the scientists, are hired to advise--if their findings are destructive of the employer's business model, they are of very little use.
www.StudentsForTheEarth.org