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The Financial Crisis: How and Why Congress Should Play for Time
Here's the situation: Thanks to its own inability to control itself, Wall Street is now facing a crisis unmatched since the Great Depression. Unfortunately, a collapse of the financial sector would not only hurt rich investors, it would devastate the global economy. So, government action is imperative.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke say immediate Congressional legislation is imperative. And Congress is adjourning at the end of this week, with Members eager to get back to their districts and states to campaign.
But there is no way to handle the complexity of a $700 billion bailout in a few days.
There are some really hard questions about how to structure a Wall Street bailout program. Financial firms have to be subsidized, but they also have to feel some serious pain. Figuring out who to subsidize, and how much, is tricky. Determining how to ensure taxpayers get the best and fairest payback from the subsidized financial institutions is complicated. And developing a transparent and accountable structure to administer a $700 billion program buying and selling exotic securities is no easy matter.
Meanwhile, it would be unconscionable to bail out Wall Street but not protect homeowners and renters in homes that may be foreclosed on. Between allegedly super-sophisticated Wall Street hot shots and people who were fooled into taking bad mortgages -- or who have the misfortunate of renting from a landlord who's being foreclosed on -- it's obvious who is more deserving of government assistance. But Congress and the President have not been able to agree on plans anywhere near commensurate with the scale of the problem over the past year-plus. It's very hard to see how a proper and sufficiently scaled system of protection and assistance for homeowners and vulnerable renters is agreed upon in a few days.
The current financial mess is the outgrowth of a quarter-century rollback of regulations that controlled what financial firms could do, and protected financial titans from their own worst instincts. Wall Street is chastened right now, but it is a 100 percent certainty that the speculative culture will reemerge with a vengeance -- and in much shorter order than many now seem to believe -- unless regulatory standards are imposed to prevent a repeat of the current disaster. Legislation affording Wall Street what may be the biggest bailout in history is the time to attach new, robust regulatory rules. There are a lot of good ideas floating around about sound financial regulation, but the details are extraordinarily intricate and convoluted. It's not the kind of thing you can easily handle in a few days, even if you burn the candle at both ends.
Given the time pressure and the realities of the legislative process, is there anything Congress can do, other than make some minor adjustments to the Paulson proposal that asks Congress to give the Treasury Secretary $700 billion and trust him to make good decisions?
Yes. Congress can play for time.
Here are two ways Congress can give itself more time to do justice to the bailout legislation.
Option One: Congressional leadership commits itself publicly to doing bailout legislation. The leaders commit to a hard date -- maybe a week from Friday, maybe two weeks -- and announce that the Congress will reconvene on that date, with a guaranteed vote on the same day. They might even usher through legislation now that limits the length of debate and guarantees an up-or-down vote. The urgency to act now reflects Wall Street's crystallized panic. An assurance of pending action should quiet the panic enough for the economy to continue to function.
A variant of this idea is that Congress commit to adopt bailout legislation in a lame duck session, after the election. Even with a guaranteed vote, this option would enable more extended investigation, hearings and debate. But it would drag the process out longer, and a judgment would have to be made that the financial markets could remain calm enough, for long enough.
Option Two: Congress adopts the Paulson plan this week, with two major modifications. Instead of the requested $700 billion, Congress appropriates $100 billion. Congressional leaders commit to reconvene in a lame duck session, and guarantee a vote on the remaining $600 billion. However, the $600 billion package includes provisions that direct how the bailout is to be conducted, includes protections for homeowners, and imposes meaningful regulatory standards. The second key feature of the initial appropriating legislation is that it specifies firms benefiting from the $100 billion bailout fund agree to accept the terms imposed on the $600 billion bailout fund. That way, only the most troubled firms step up right away for bailouts, and no firm is able to escape the conditions imposed after Congress has more time to think through the implications of the bailout deal.
There is real urgency to act. But Congress still has the ability to dodge the Paulson steamroller and buy some time to do legitimate legislating.
- Posted in



29 Comments so far
Show AllThey will capitulate, that's what Democrats do. My only "hope" is that they will at least slow down and do less damage then they usually do.
I hope (but doubt) the Democrats will have the stomach to say "NO" to this outrageous power grab by the Wall Street crooks.
However, I can just imagine that in the next few days (or hours) Bush will go on T.V. to make some announcement about how "dire" everything is and that we need to put Paulson in charge "or else" (without oversight, or accountability or adherence to the law!) and the American public will simply go back to sleep.
What Bush and his wealthy cronies are trying to do is so BLATANT, it just stuns me that people are not out in the streets throwing bricks at bank windows.
Are we gonna just TAKE THIS????
These guys need to be STOPPED, and PROSECUTED!!!
Mr. Weissman analyzes the current Wall Street crisis and legislative steam roller operation inside the DC beltway correctly in my opinion, except for his assertion that "Wall Street is chastened right now....." Who are you kidding?
To be chastened, one first has to be capable of feeling shame. These high rolling Masters of the Universe feel no shame whatsoever. What they sense is a closing window of opportunity to take the money and run, run right now before the Bush regime surrenders the keys to the store in January, 2009.
As a parliamentary tactic, Weissman's Option #2 is better than Option #1. It is amazing how many painful fundamental institutional issues legislative bodies can act upon (for better or for worse) in a post-election lame duck session. The simplistic idea that Paulson will be handed a blank check for $700 billion dollars to distribute as he sees fit in the waning days of the Bush imperium is a proposal that's dead on arrival.
What's really looming on the horizon is an enormously complex process of apportioning blame, apportioning pain, and setting up the needed long term statutory and regulatory reforms the US financial system desparately needs now that the consequences of deregulated greed run amok have become obvious to all willing to look without ideological blinders on.
The days of the fox guarding the henhouse are over. Time to take the toys away from the boys.
Bill from Saginaw
It is over? Have you heard that some of the Republican types like Newt Gingrich are threatening to not let congress give Wall Street free money unless it is accompanied with additional deregulation measures? Is that chutzpah or what?
Yet another writer who still refuses to accept that Congress doesn't give a flying f**k about We The People. Guess he didn't hear about the $1.1 BILLION the "financial services industry" bribed said Congress with since 2001...
You pretend that delay is an answer. It is not... as you well know. That you would attempt to sway opinion with this falsehood is counter-productive.
Learn how to say NO!
Teach others to do the same.
Your use of time as a mask to hide your support of the "Dividend Payout" has not gone unobserved.
OPTION #.3 Tell Hank and Ben, "hey, we need to let the GAO do its job and tell us what this bailout will really cost so we will wait for their report". This would give the Congress a chance to review the bailout plan plus have the Government Accounting Office go over the financial details. I know, too logical.
Without anarchy there will be no change
Option 3--
Revoke the The Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 and Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 and reinstate the Glass-Steagal act which since 1933 was more than sufficient to prevent such shenanigans as we are witnessing today.
Henry Paulsen, Robert Rubin, and any other Wall Street insiders are automatically recused from any involvement in any Federal intervention plans due to conflict of interest and their own Wall Street or legislative activities contributing to the current debacle.
Appoint a bi-partisan blue ribbon commission to review both the causes within and possible reforms to the obviously broken system. that is evident. Their report would be due by 1/20/09 for consideration by the incoming President and new Congress and Senate.
Place a one year moritorium on forclosure for any subprime mortgages currently past due.
Expand the FBI probe from just the Wall Street firms to include all relevent regulatory agencies responsible for protecting the public from such outrages.
Public lynchings for Alan Greenspan, Robert Rubin, Phil Gramm, Henery Paulsen, for starters. (well I can dream can't I?)
Poet
Good ideas. And I totally agree with the article that payment should be delayed until we know what we are paying for. All the stock, bond and loan information is computerized and centrally available at SIAC and DTC.
Let the taxpayers in on the good investments, not just the stuff in the fat cats' litter box.
Joe
It will be interesting to see the Leader Who Cried Wolf face dubious public to sell 'No Bank Left Behind'. (Dubya vs. Dubious) (I left my credibility in Iraq.)
The same public who has heard for 20 years how the Private Sector should be left alone.
That's "alone" not "a loan"...
Sioux Rose
POET & BILL FROM SAGINAW: Excellent posts! I wish you two were ON the regulatory commisions! Or would-be review boards! We are very likely to get insiders who just use bandaids and a DAM IS BREAKING!
I've said it before and I will say it again: Take the bail out money from those who have benefitted and profited from this debacle's building in the first place: the very rich. They own 90% of all the wealth in this country, now, why do WE have to be the ones who pay for the mess they made?
We the citizenry have been shafted of our jobs, our futures, our children's futures, our health care, and our homes for the last 28 years, at the very least. In that time, the money has gone in one direction only, straight up, to those who already had far more than they will ever need. Now they have everything else that we should have had a share of, and they want another $700,000,000,000.00 from us. I say no, take it from those who have it. They stole it from us in the first place, they paid far less in taxes than we do on it, and they don't work for it other than to steal it. Our wages haven't gone up enough to keep up with inflation since 1973, where are WE supposed to get another dime to keep paying for the benefit of the rich?
I say no, get it from those who have already stolen it from us. They profitted, let them cough up to fix the mess they have made. We ALREADY paid for it, in more ways than one. There is NO proof that giving the rich, the greedy, and the selfish any more money will help anyone but them. They get to keep their 13 or 14 houses, their cars, their yachts, their artwork, and we get to eat shit. I say enough is enough. Time for those who caused this to clean it up. And if that leaves them scraping for enough to eat, then too damned bad. They can learn how the rest of us live, then.
Karma is a bitch.
It's the same trick! If you take the money from the rich they won't spend and the economy collapses. See? If the rich lose money they won't give people jobs. See? It is BULL. No money has disappeared. They are using the same trick they used before to go to war. It is all BULL. The money got moved around, that's all. The ones who have the money will lend it, what else will they do with it? This is a trick to get the money they lost back from fools! Don't be a fool. Don't believe this story. lizard
They will say the same thing! If you take the money from the rich they won't spend, they won't give people jobs etc. It is a trick! A scam! The money has only changed hands, it hasn't disappeared. They want to sucker you into paying for their loss. It is all BULL. The ones who took the money will lend it or spend it or save it. What else can they do? Even if they burnt it, it wouldn't be a problem because you can print more to replace it. It is all about who wins and who loses.The hard times are indeed coming but not because of this. This is a symptom only. The economy of the US in trouble because it consumes more than it produces. That hasn't changed. The bill has to be paid. They want the suckers to pay it instead of them. Don't be a sucker. Don't buy this story. It is pure BULL..........................lizard
Carolyn Griffn
Do only one thing. Create insurance for the money market accounts. I have had $2,000 of my life's saving stolen already and I live on Social Security. I have to have money to pay for property tax, fees, insurance, etc. I don't dare get sick. I have lived through donating $10,000 to Neil Bush when a stock held in an account at Shearson-Lehman was churned into Lincoln Savings and Loan unbeknownst to us. They have been crooks for a long time. It's time they paid back to the country!
Carolyn Griffn
Do only one thing. Create insurance for the money market accounts. I have had $2,000 of my life's saving stolen already and I live on Social Security. I have to have money to pay for property tax, fees, insurance, etc. I don't dare get sick. I have lived through donating $10,000 to Neil Bush when a stock held in an account at Shearson-Lehman was churned into Lincoln Savings and Loan unbeknownst to us. They have been crooks for a long time. It's time they paid back to the country!
The greed and the sellout by our elected servants leads me to believe the only
answer is to borrow the Guillotine from France and do what has to be done.
Opal
Yes, I agree with the author. This is far too complelx to be rushed. And we the people should have the opportunity to understand the situation and monitor the process.
Why should we believe anything they tell us about how urgent the situation is?
Impeach!!! Do it now before Bush and Cheney destroy the country. Call Nancy Pelosi our first female president, caretaker until Obama assumes office, PUT IMPEACHMENT back on the TABLE tomorrow.
Nancy Pelosi
(202) 225-4965
(415) 556-4862
http://www.house.gov/pelosi/contact/contact.html
Not worth the time it takes to write her. She's been guarding Bush's ass since Day #1. It's like asking Rove to impeach Bush. Good luck.
Why no work program? cuz they are literally trying to kill off the middle class and poor and this is one of the steps to do it.
If you can't afford shelter, food and clothing, you will die on the streets.
The bar is being raised. Now they want to strain an already strapped populace.
I was working as a housing social worker in SW Ohio when a tornado hit Xenia OH in the early 1970s. Within two days some of our welfare workers including myself had been mobilized to Xenia in an emergency office, and ALL the primary bureaucratic forms were already in place on our desks to handle the lines of citizens seeking various forms of aid. There were no computers, everything was on paper, like the Canadian ballot. We delivered.
This readiness did not happen by magic. Government reaction to disasters had then been anticipated. Today we have the TOTAL FAILURE of Katrina. Today there is no "readiness (what with half the National Guards in Iraq, including their equipment...) The current fiscal disaster has been building for years, many leading economists and journalists had been predicting it (you know the list, starting probably with Dean Baker). So why the sudden demand from the Bush Administration for a Rush to Judgment? This is the greatest Ponzi scheme in the history of the world, and we poor people are supposed to pay twice again for it?
First kill all the Republicans; then kill most of the Democrats, and think of yourself as Samurai. Do it before the "election." -Will Sheakespeare
-30-
"First kill all the Republicans; then kill most of the Democrats"
What?
Spoken like a true communist, Stalin and Pol Pot would be proud... and you wonder why people don't care about your communist agenda...
And you want to keep the sellouts who are giving you the middle finger? Damn !
Time? Maybe there's no "sudden" crisis at all -- just the usual speculating crap that's driven this sorry excuse for a country the past couple centuries. Congress should appropriate exactly zip, and impeach -- and arraign -- this administration on its last day if necessary.
snydly
$10 B PER WEEK . DRAFT NADER to administer it.
I stand with Ralph Nadar and ask, "Why bailout at all? What is the bailout for? It doesn't remotely help those small homeowners whose homes arebeing fzoreclosed. It's pure and simple an economic 9/11 and the hoi polloi's (Bush, McCain, Obama, Pelosi, Rubin, Gramm et al) are asking to swallow the same nonsense they feed us during the original 9/11 charade when we were told we had to invade Afghanistan and Iraq.
We musn'tsd a.low ourselves tobe herded again into another ill-thoughtout, snap decision b ased on fear and panic.
I say No bailout unless thebailout directly provides relief to those whose homes have been foreclosed, to those who have lost their jobs to offshore NAFTA agreements.
In the real world, if Main Street conducted its economic business in the same caeless, crooked, illegal way that Wall Street and its Washingtron insider lackeys have done we would have to file for bankrupcy with no relief and would probably be doing a lot of hard time in prison. Obama and McCain both voted to limit what Main Street folks could do in regard to claiming bankruptcy and tort cases against big corporations. Let them both likewise vote to do the same to big corporations. Instead of limiting how mjuch money the big CEO's are personally going to realize form this economic 9/11 bailout, Congress, Bush, Obama, McCain should be saying they are going to see to it that a whole parcel of these CEO's should also expect to do hard time whether the bailout happens or not.
Michael Polidori
Well... If only Bush had opened his speech about this plan with an apology for his administrations gross incompetence in handling the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and the American economy... Then we would have had a clear picture that he is supremely NOT qualified to speak about this bailout...
What do we need to do? The very first thing is to pass our Fiscal Year 2009 budget BEFORE we borrow to buy bad paper…
Then we get out of the WTO GATT and NAFTA which have destroyed the American economy… All politicians are talking about rebuilding the American economy, but on what? What are Americans going to do, build, manufacture, or offer to the world to get our exported dollars back? The only thing we have is American quality and ingenuity… but they have to be protected in order for them to flourish… Copyright and patent infringements are rampant and American businesses and jobs are suffering for it… So much for the protections proffered by our free trade agreements and the WTO…
We should negotiate trade agreements with other countries one on one… We should require worker and environmental protections similar to ours… With those countries that have a similar standard of living and worker/environmental protection we can have “Free Trade”… with all other countries we can have “Fair Trade” based on how compliant they are with our laws and regulations and how they are bringing their standard of living up to ours…
Third, protect American Homeowners by giving bankruptcy judges the authority to renegotiate these bad loans which seem to be at the center of the crisis (or is it the lack of jobs that is causing the foreclosures and bankruptcies?)…
Our regulatory framework is being blamed for the excesses of Wall Street. That’s another crock, Wall Street thieves will find a way around any regulatory framework we try to impose on them... If they are stopped from lobbying to build corruption fostering practices into legislation they will simply lie to observers, auditors and regulators. But let's assume we can build meaningful regulatory rules. When this framework is revamped, do it without input from Wall Street… We have enough smart folks in government to do this if we eliminate tampering from lobbyists… So force the thieves to lie and put severe criminal penalties in this framework along with the ability to go after personal assets (here and abroad, cash and land) for people that aren’t responsible enough to do their jobs honestly… Far reaching and enforced criminal penalties could be the bite that regulations need…
AFTER that is done then we can have a discussion on what form a bailout takes and what price we should pay for this bad paper (that apparently NO ONE believes is a good buy, because no one with money is stepping up to buy it)…
Some side issues… Bernanke and Paulson have been threatening American workers with unspecified and unexplained catastrophe if we do not pass this bailout immediately… Right on cue, after the House rejected the bill, we have reports of denials of loans to meet payrolls, buy Ford cars and do road construction in two states…
The Patriot Act, which defines speech as terrorism if such speech causes fear panic or suffering, should be brought to bear on the henchmen (Bernanke and Paulson) and the enforcers who are actually doing damage by denying loans to try to force the issue of raiding the treasury of money that it doesn’t have… Let’s have the FBI and the Department of Justice do some threatening of their own against these criminals and see how they like it… That should make a few heads spin…
Oh, and the last thing that should be part of this Federal borrowing of $700,000,000,000… No one in the financial markets or the banking industry or in the Federal Reserve or the Treasury or the GAO let anyone know about this impending disaster… They all share culpability and responsibility… That loan to the US Government should be INTEREST FREE until profit is realized from the resale of this bad paper… then the profit should be shared between the lenders of this money and the American taxpayer, with a strict provisions that taxpayer profit PLUS the cost of the bad paper be used to pay down the debt… That one is VERY important... We cannot let our own greedy representatives get their hands on that borrowed money when it starts to flow back into the Treasury... It must all be used to pay down the debt...
Michael Polidori