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Answer to the People, Not Greedy Elites
Argentina's president came under fire for sacking the head of the central bank – but why should such institutions be 'independent'?
The domestic and international press response was overwhelmingly negative, with complaints that this would "kill central bank independence".
Leaving aside the question of whether it is a good idea to use these reserves to pay off international creditors – something that perhaps only the future will tell – is there a good reason why central banks should be "independent" of their elected governments?
The business press, which has the support of the vast majority of economists on this question, thinks there is. The basic argument is that if the central bank is not able to determine monetary policy free of "political considerations", then politicians will force the bank to be "too loose" with monetary policy and the country will end up with dangerously high levels of inflation.
This would seem to be a tough argument to swallow for anyone who believes in representative democracy. Fiscal policy – the government's decisions with regard to spending and taxation – is also a major determinant of economic activity. There are important tradeoffs that affect the livelihood, income and employment of most of the population. Yet in the US, these decisions are entrusted to our elected representatives in Congress, together with the executive.
There is no obvious reason why monetary policy – the central bank's decisions with regard to interest rates and money supply – is so different from other major policy decisions that it should be specially insulated from the electorate. There is no valid analogy, for example, to the independence of the judiciary – which is based on a theory of separation of powers, or checks and balances, ostensibly to limit abuses of power or infringements on civil rights and liberties.
The argument for an independent central bank is more purely an elitist argument. It really boils down to the idea that monetary policy is too important for the "uneducated" masses to have an influence over it.
Ironically, the reality is quite the opposite: monetary policy is an area where pressure from the majority is sorely needed. There is a grand conflict of interest between the financial sector and the rest of society. This has become more painfully obvious in the last two years, as the unmitigated greed of this bloated collection of special interests collapsed the US economy and dragged a good part of the world down with it. Our conception of central bank "independence" is so extreme that Ben Bernanke, who was a Federal Reserve governor since 2002 and chairman since 2006, could not even be denied reappointment – despite his enormous share of responsibility for an economic train wreck that caused millions of people to lose their jobs and homes. He sat on his hands while an $8tn housing bubble accumulated, thus guaranteeing the collapse that followed. But our financial sector is so politically powerful that even this minimal level of government oversight – refusing to reward one of the worst failures imaginable – was seen as too offensive to the financial markets.
But even in normal times, the financial sector generally prefers higher interest rates and lower employment than the vast majority of citizens would choose. Most people want the economy to be closer to full employment, and appreciate rising wages. A central bank that is "independent" of the public's needs and wants, and caters primarily to those of the financial sector, is therefore going to cause a lot of needless suffering.
For example, prior to the late 1990s, the Federal Reserve subscribed to a theory called the Nairu (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment). The Fed would tend to raise interest rates when unemployment fell below a presumed Nairu, thus slowing the economy, raising the unemployment rate, and reducing the growth of wages – on the theory that this was necessary to keep inflation from getting out of control. Before the 1990s, the Nairu for the US economy was generally considered to be between 5.8% and 6.6%. The empirical evidence for this theory was always very weak. After unemployment fell below 4.5% in 1997, and inflation still did not accelerate, Fed chair Alan Greenspan finally realised that this theory was wrong – and eventually abandoned it.
And now, International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief economist Oliver Blanchard, with a new paper Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy (pdf), offers that the preferred 2% inflation target of most central banks may be too low. He asks whether 4% would be better. The paper questions other central bank orthodoxies and is likely to cause a bit of a stir in the economics profession.
The problem of "independent" central banks is even more serious for low- and middle-income countries than for the rich countries, since they need more co-operation from the central bank with regard to development policy.
In Argentina's case, it is questionable whether the country could have even begun the remarkable economic recovery that started in 2002, in which the economy grew more than 60% in six years, if its central bank had the kind of independence that the US Federal Reserve has. One of the government's most important economic policies required the central bank to target a stable and competitive real exchange rate, something that would be anathema to most central bankers. (Interestingly, Blanchard also now suggests that central banks in emerging market economies may have good reason to pay attention to exchange rates and try to reduce their volatility.)
Here in the United States, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee meets every six weeks to set policy, including short-term interest rates. Five of the 12 voting members are regional Fed presidents, chosen by local boards where the banking industry is heavily represented. The CEO of JP Morgan Chase sits on the board of the powerful New York Fed.
As sometimes happens, the business press – with the help of much of the economics profession – has turned reality on its head. The problem is not that central banks need to be "independent" of political influence – rather they need to be held accountable to the public instead of answering to the all-powerful financial sector.
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29 Comments so far
Show AllGood for Presidenta Fernández!
Please stop referring to these parasites as "elite". They are anything but.
Right?? The 'elite' should be known for what they are BOOKIES.
Good anaolgy!
Elite: privileged minority: a small group of people within a larger group who have more power, social standing, wealth, or talent than the rest of the group ( takes a singular or plural verb )
Seems to fit, except for the talent part.
Besides what one one call them? Aristocracy, beau monde, bon ton, chosen, cream, high society, nobility, oligarchy, plutocracy, the few? Take yer pick.
Gary
“The rule in the art world is: you cater to the masses or you kowtow to the elite; you can't have both”
-- Ben Hecht
Talent can be applied to altruistic or devious causes. This is an example of a devious application of talent.
Anybody can defraud people and run off with their money. However, it helps if one has a high social standing with which to create a false sense of trust by their future victims.
For an excellent look at Obama's strategy for serving the elite by destroying such programs as Medicare, Social Security, and public education, see
"A Joint Mission for the Corporate Elites: The Great Bi-Partisan Deception," by Shamus Cooke, at
http://counterpunch.org/cooke02162010.html
If anyone has read that, no one is commenting.
Methinks too many writers here are captivated by the celebrity quality of the democratic pundits like Solomon and super star Obamageddon.
Thanks for bringing this rip off to my attention.
Blood sucking vampires.
What one would call them is what they are; parasites.
For a revealing background on the "central bank" see The Beast from Jekyll Island.
The fed is a private institution whose primary purpose is to wring as much money as possible from the country whilst stopping just short of financial ruin and then distributing that money to the rich who set it up in the first place.
Abolishing the fed is one of the few points on which I agree with libertarians like Ron Paul.
It was, and continues to be a massive fraud and a dispiriting example of how effective naming and endless spin can distort the perceptions of the people.
Weisbrot is right on target with his argument that monetary policy should be democratic. Marx was largely right that economics dominates politics. If the economic & monetary decisions are independent of the political process, democracy is a fiction. US political history has clearly proven Marx right on this issue.
He was right on a number of things. His ideas on commodity fetishism and alienation border on psychic considering he died in 1883.
"If the economic & monetary decisions are independent of the political process, democracy is a fiction."
One of the main goals of neoliberalism is to ensure that those decisions are made independent of the political process.
Looks like Argentina is due for some CIA intervention. Between this article and the North Dakota bank article, we have a couple of good articles about the need to nationalize the banking industry in this country. Unfortunately, it's like water off a duck's back.
"is there a good reason why central banks should be 'independent' of their elected governments?"
That question may possibly be relevant to Argentina. The more pertinent and more immediate issue for the U.S. is whether the "republic's" government should be independent of the banksters.
"The business press, which has the support of the vast majority of economists on this question, thinks there is. The basic argument is that if the central bank is not able to determine monetary policy free of "political considerations", then politicians will force the bank to be "too loose" with monetary policy and the country will end up with dangerously high levels of inflation.
This would seem to be a tough argument to swallow for anyone who believes in representative democracy."
Though studies have shown otherwise, the American public has been convinced that democracy doesn't work for setting monetary policy. They tend to think its so complicated that only economists can make sense of it.
Other studies have shown that economists have a worse record of correct predictions than bookies do.
Countries in which the public is involved in monetary policy have higher per-capita incomes than those in which the public has no say in it. Further, they have no boom and bust economy like those with private central banks do.
Well, expecting transparency accountability from central bank systems would be great. However we don't even have transparency and accountabiltiy in the political system.
Besides, if central banks are independent or not, the threat of politicization still exists. Of course structures can be built for public oversight and input.
Political democracy is meaningless without economic democracy.
But economic democracy is impossible without political democracy.
Chicken and egg
Representative democracy is meaningless without grassroots democracy.
Bah. I was told yesterday that the U.S. is NOT a democracy. It's a republic.
I'm not quite sure how "the people" can be sovereign without a democratic voice, but apparently the U.S. has accomplished that somehow.
It's a democratic republic. The whole republic part of it is to prevent mobocracy. That is, the simple majority hammering minorities. The checks and balances part of the government were created for the same reason. They didn't build in any mechanisms to prevent corptocracy but then, Wal-mart was just a gleam in some Walton's eye back in that day.
I understand. I was being sarcastic. But thanks.
Some people actually seem to think that republican and democratic forms of governance are mutually exclusive concepts.
I still find it mind-blowing that people worth 50 million dollars, 100 million, and especially those worth much more, are still clawing way for more money and more power. These people seem to be caught up in a psychopathology of egotism and greed that is almost unbelievable.
Our whole way of life is pathological, and the intransigent, adolescent human ego is the heart of that pathology, at every level.
Agree, reminds me of:
"If you only knew, how a man who has a lot can't wait to get more"
'If you only knew' - Van Morrison..
Results of murder are in acts of greed.
No one knows better than the Argentines what NOT to do.
Go President Fernandez! How would you like a northern province?
“The Government should create, issue, and circulate all the currency and credits needed to satisfy the spending power of the Government and the buying power of consumers. By the adoption of these principles, the taxpayers will be saved immense sums of interest. Money will cease to be master and become the servant of humanity.”
Abraham Lincoln