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US Diluted Loan Rules Before Crash
WASHINGTON - The Bush administration backed off proposed crackdowns on no-money-down, interest-only mortgages years before the economy collapsed, buckling to pressure from some of the same banks that have now failed. It ignored remarkably prescient warnings that foretold the financial meltdown, according to an Associated Press review of regulatory documents.
In this file photo, a foreclosure sign stands on top of a sale sign outside an existing home for sale in the west Denver suburb of Lakewood, Colorado.The Bush administration backed off proposed crackdowns on no-money-down, interest-only mortgages years before the economy collapsed, buckling to pressure from some of the same banks that have now failed.(David Zalubowski/AP Photo)
"Expect fallout, expect foreclosures, expect horror stories,"
California mortgage lender Paris Welch wrote to U.S. regulators in
January 2006, about one year before the housing implosion cost her a
job.
Bowing to aggressive lobbying - along with assurances from banks that the troubled mortgages were OK - regulators delayed action for nearly one year. By the time new rules were released late in 2006, the toughest of the proposed provisions were gone and the meltdown was under way.
"These mortgages have been considered more safe and sound for portfolio lenders than many fixed rate mortgages," David Schneider, home loan president of Washington Mutual, told federal regulators in early 2006. Two years later, WaMu became the largest bank failure in U.S. history.
The administration's blind eye to the impending crisis is emblematic of its governing philosophy, which trusted market forces and discounted the value of government intervention in the economy. Its belief ironically has ushered in the most massive government intervention since the 1930s.
Many of the banks that fought to undermine the proposals by some regulators are now either out of business or accepting billions in federal aid to recover from a mortgage crisis they insisted would never come. Many executives remain in high-paying jobs, even after their assurances were proved false.
In 2005, faced with ominous signs the housing market was in jeopardy, bank regulators proposed new guidelines for banks writing risky loans. Today, in the midst of the worst housing recession in a generation, the proposal reads like a list of what-ifs:
-Regulators told bankers exotic mortgages were often inappropriate for buyers with bad credit.
-Banks would have been required to increase efforts to verify that buyers actually had jobs and could afford houses.
-Regulators proposed a cap on risky mortgages so a string of defaults wouldn't be crippling.
-Banks that bundled and sold mortgages were told to be sure investors knew exactly what they were buying.
-Regulators urged banks to help buyers make responsible decisions and clearly advise them that interest rates might skyrocket and huge payments might be due sooner than expected.
Those proposals all were stripped from the final rules. None required congressional approval or the president's signature.
"In hindsight, it was spot on," said Jeffrey Brown, a former top official at the Office of Comptroller of the Currency, one of the first agencies to raise concerns about risky lending.
Federal regulators were especially concerned about mortgages known as "option ARMs," which allow borrowers to make payments so low that mortgage debt actually increases every month. But banking executives accused the government of overreacting.
Bankers said such loans might be risky when approved with no money down or without ensuring buyers have jobs but such risk could be managed without government intervention.
"An open market will mean that different institutions will develop different methodologies for achieving this goal," Joseph Polizzotto, counsel to now-bankrupt Lehman Brothers, told U.S. regulators in a March 2006.
Countrywide Financial Corp., at the time the nation's largest mortgage lender, agreed. The proposal "appears excessive and will inhibit future innovation in the marketplace," said Mary Jane Seebach, managing director of public affairs.
One of the most contested rules said that before banks purchase mortgages from brokers, they should verify the process to ensure buyers could afford their homes. Some bankers now blame much of the housing crisis on brokers who wrote fraudulent, predatory loans. But in 2006, banks said they shouldn't have to double-check the brokers.
"It is not our role to be the regulator for the third-party lenders," wrote Ruthann Melbourne, chief risk officer of IndyMac Bank.
California-based IndyMac also criticized regulators for not recognizing the track record of interest-only loans and option ARMs, which accounted for 70 percent of IndyMac's 2005 mortgage portfolio. This summer, the government seized IndyMac and will pay an estimated $9 billion to ensure customers don't lose their deposits.
Last week, Downey Savings joined the growing list of failed banks. The problem: About 52 percent of its mortgage portfolio was tied up in risky option ARMs, which in 2006 Downey insisted were safe - maybe even safer than traditional 30-year mortgages.
"To conclude that 'nontraditional' equates to higher risk does not appropriately balance risk and compensating factors of these products," said Lillian Gavin, the bank's chief credit officer.
At least some regulators didn't buy it. The comptroller of the currency, John C. Dugan, was among the first to sound the alarm in mid-2005. Speaking to a consumer advocacy group, Dugan painted a troublesome picture of option-ARM lending. Many buyers, particularly those with bad credit, would soon be unable to afford their payments, he said. And if housing prices declined, homeowners wouldn't even be able to sell their way out of the mess.
It sounded simple, but "people kind of looked at us regulators as old-fashioned," said Brown, the agency's former deputy comptroller.
Diane Casey-Landry, of the American Bankers Association, said the industry feared a two-tiered system in which banks had to follow rules that mortgage brokers did not. She said opposition was based on the banks' best information.
"You're looking at a decline in real estate values that was never contemplated," she said.
Some saw problems coming. Community groups and even some in the mortgage business, like Welch, warned regulators not to ease their rules.
"We expect to see a huge increase in defaults, delinquencies and foreclosures as a result of the over selling of these products," Kevin Stein, associate director of the California Reinvestment Coalition, wrote to regulators in 2006. The group advocates on housing and banking issues for low-income and minority residents.
The government's banking agencies spent nearly a year debating the rules, which required unanimous agreement among the OCC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., Federal Reserve, and the Office of Thrift Supervision - agencies that sometimes don't agree.
The Fed, for instance, was reluctant under Alan Greenspan to heavily regulate lending. Similarly, the Office of Thrift Supervision, an arm of the Treasury Department that regulated many in the subprime mortgage market, worried that restricting certain mortgages would hurt banks and consumers.
Grovetta Gardineer, OTS managing director for corporate and international activities, said the 2005 proposal "attempted to send an alarm bell that these products are bad." After hearing from banks, she said, regulators were persuaded that the loans themselves were not problematic as long as banks managed the risk. She disputes the notion that the rules were weakened.
In the past year, with Congress scrambling to stanch the bleeding in the financial industry, regulators have tightened rules on risky mortgages.
Congress is considering further tightening, including some of the same proposals abandoned years ago.



14 Comments so far
Show AllAgain Folks,
They always show the money presses busy on TV whenever they talk about the bailouts... but nobody seems to know how much new currency has been printed this year so far.
Last year only around 800 billion US in the world and about halve that is circulating in the USA... So one bank bailout is equal to all the US money in the World and that is just about one tenth of what has been promised to inject into the system so far.....
So far it is just a pyramid scam.
It is gonna take more than all the liberals to solve this, It is gonna take the Right wing and Left wing together because the middle doesn't have a clue.
If they printed just a trillion bucks, inflation would go up as fast as the deficit... we are in big Deep shit and this is just the beginning. It is time to renounce the crooks and kick em out of the temple. Jesus was right on!
http://wiki.answers.com/Q/How_much_actual_physical_currency_prin
"You're looking at a decline in real estate values that was never contemplated," per the American Bankers Association.
Right! Like real estate prices have never tanked before! Like even though lots of folks perceived the housing bubble and predicted the crash, no one could have seen this coming!
And these are the "smart" people? The "experts"? God help us all.
(BTW, countries where the banking regulators never abdicated responsibility have avoided the kind of melt-down experienced in the US. Doesn't mean that other national economies aren't affected by our bad performance, but at least they're not compounding the problem. FWIW, a lot of those countries are the ones with significant Social Democratic movements -- the kind of responsible government McCain decried as "socialism". Draw your own conclusions.)
US Diluted Loan Rules Before Crash
The Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005
was signed into law by President George W. Bush on April 20, 2005.
How many new Debtor's Prisons has KBR built so far at taxpayer expense?
Must blood run in the streets before America gets an honest government?
Excellent article. A lot of good quotes.
Where are all these geniuses who said everything was hunky-dory, off in their villas on the French Riviera?
I'd dispute the quote from the article that this crisis: "has ushered in the most massive government intervention since the 1930s." The reality is that the government is hardly intervening at all, just handing trillions of tax dollars over to these criminal banksters.
As far as I know, banks are still issuing ARMS, including ones where the borrower doesn't even have to pay all the interest.
This crisis started before Bush and will continue under Obama, who's appointed some of the same clowns responsible for it. Like Lawrence Summers, who was Clinton's Treasury Secretary was instrumental in revoking the Depression-era Glass-Steagall Act, and in deregulating derivatives.
Unlike previous times, the masters of the US cannot be wrong and cannot make mistakes.
I found the repeated vague references in the early parts of this article in reference to unnamed "government regulators" and "agencies" very frustrating. For what journalistic reason were the banks, mortgage lenders, and industry spokespersons identified by name, and the tax-supported public regulatory entities consistently shielded in anonymity?
Perhaps a clue is found right at the end of Matt Appuzo's piece. He writes that "the government's banking agencies spent nearly a year debating the rules, which required unanimous agreement among the OCC, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Reserve, and the Office of Thrift Supervision - agencies that sometimes don't agree."
No shit, Sherlock.
I don't doubt for a minute that Appuzo is correct. Yep, I bet unanimity was required among four different federal bureaucratic entities, each of which was beholden to its own financial industry clientele, subject to its own Congressional oversight, and each of which zealously guarded its own piece of the regulatory turf. So what asshole (or collection of assholes) set up this self-defeating rule making structure in the first place?
As the Church Lady used to say on SNL, could it be the Devil?
What strikes me is how Mr. Appuzo's analysis of what went wrong, resulting in the big Wall Street meltdown/bailout crisis, is so eerily reminiscent of the 911 Commission's investigatory approach and bottom line: shucks folks, the left hand just couldn't get coordinated with the right hand, despite everybody's best intentions.
So let's blame it all on some isolated evil doers somewhere near the the bottom (al Quaeda, jihadists, greedy unsophisticated borrowers, crooked mortgage brokers, etc.), along with a failure to communicate among some faceless mid-level bureaucrats.
Surely we can all then agree to simply move on - vowing to venture forth to sin no more - since obviously it would be grossly unfair to ask who has profited from the catastrophe, or to pinpoint political accountability for such a colossal, monumental fuck up upon the elected and appointed officials at the top of the governmental power heirarchy whose job it was to safeguard the public's interest in precisely the subject matter at hand.
Why, to focus inquiry or accountability in such directions would be downright un-American.
Bill from Saginaw
Why would anyone want to be in debt forever? That's essentially what an interest only loan is. I would love to know how these were packaged to the home buyers.
All banks saw were potential profits. They seem to have forgotten that the bigger the profit the higher the risk. They go up in tandem. And of course, big-business-friendly government, ALL THREE BRANCHES, goes right along and rubber stamps these idiotic proposals. Now we've hit the big one, with all caps.
It may be too late for the US. I think we passed the point of no return quite some time ago. The only thing that will save the people is a completely reworked nation, perhaps broken into several, with all new forms of government, socialist based. The first thing these new countries' governments should do is disavow the past debt from the defunct and bankrupted United States, and start over fresh. The times will still be quite bad, but not as bad as it will be if we "stay the course".
"Why would anyone want to be in debt forever? ...I would love to know how these were packaged to the home buyers."
I believe buyers were told their homes would increase in value, and by quite a lot. Therefor, these were wise investments. Buyers could sell in a year or three for a nice profit. Or, they could refinance (before the ARM rates reset) when interest rates fell, and take "cash out" at that time.
It was all founded on the lie that home prices would always continue to rise . . . basically a big ponzi scheme.
Notice that gas prices went though the same speculative bubble and bust. When gas prices were predicted to continue to rise (due to supply and demand) speculators bought gas and then sold it later at a profit. This speculative buying increased the demand for gas, and caused the price of gas to jump from $2/gallon to $4/gallon. As soon as world recession caused demand to grow more slowly, the speculators stopped making these trades and the gas price bubble burst. Hence, $1.75/gallon gas.
Another similarity: Reagan/Bush Republican anti-regulatory policies (some were implemented by Bill Clinton) allowed such toxic speculation to happen. The solution: re-regulation.
So now we know that the Bush Adminstration lied about banking and security regulation just like they lied about intelligence--after having been told better that their policy was not based on reality. (I know, I know, they "make their own reality.")
Actually this is correct and anyone who suspects that nobody could be that stupid except on purpose is precisely right. If you will read Naomi Klein's, "Shock doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism", the scales of incredulity fall from your eyes and you see the most audacious and brazen thievery ever committed by any group against another.
I wonder how many Secret Service, Federal Marshall, National Guard, and Northcom storm troopers will be required to protect the Crawford Texas ranch and Kennebunkport from being torched once the reality sets in. Ron Susskind you need to write another expose comparable to the one you did on the Iraqi war. Call it "No Honor Among Thieves".
Poet
Alas, the economic meltdown was only one of any number of possible side effects of George's insistence that he wear a pair of "Joo Janta 200 Super-Chromatic Peril Sensitive Sunglasses*" while attending all negotiations. He maintained it was "cool", added extra bravado to his all-American swagger and was sure to give him a position of relaxed superiority over any opponent with any issue and at any venue.
*Specially designed to help people develop a relaxed attitude to danger. At the first hint of trouble, they turn totally black and thus prevent you from seeing anything that might alarm you. [Douglas Adams]
Welcome to the land of TRUE Wage Slavery.
The perfect vehicle to create a nation indebted servitude was carried out.
But I could be wrong !
I cannot conceive of a scenario where these so called "regulators" were unaware of what the consequences of their actions would be.
Either they are total idiots, or they believe the Public or idiots.
Pk
This was all a set up for the looting of the treasury that is occurring now. No surprise there. Bush's one proven ability is that of corporate raider...take over a company, a ball team, a country, and bankrupt it to the benefit of himself and a few cronies. The man belongs behind bars for the rest of his life.
Yes!
Bush bowing and scraping before his "base" while ignoring sound advice from those who are NOT members of his base, imagine my shock. :)