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Oil-Rich Saudis Try to Stave Off Revolution With Cash
CAIRO -- As Saudi Arabia's 86-year-old monarch returned home from back surgery, his government tried to get ahead of potential unrest in the oil-rich country Wednesday by announcing an unprecedented economic package that will provide Saudis interest-free home loans, unemployment assistance and sweeping debt forgiveness.
In this photo released by Saudi Press Agency, King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, right is welcomed by Saudi officials, upon his arrival at King Khaled airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Wednesday, Feb. 23, 2011. King Abdullah has returned after an absence of three months, after surgery on his back in New York and convalescing in Morocco. The total cost was estimated at 135 billion Saudi riyals ($36 billion), but this was not largesse. Saudi Arabia clearly wants no part of the revolts and bloodshed sweeping the already unsettled Arab world.
Saudi officials are "pumping in huge amounts of money into areas where it will have an obvious trickle-down by addressing issues like housing shortages," said John Sfakianakis, chief economist for the Riyadh, Saudi Arabia-based Banque Saudi Fransi. "It has, really, a social welfare purpose to it."
The most prominent step was the injection of 40 billion riyals ($10.7 billion) into a fund that provides interest-free loans for Saudis to buy or build homes. The move could help reduce an 18-year waiting list for Saudis to qualify for a loan, Sfakianakis said.
Another 15 billion riyals ($4 billion) was being put into the General Housing Authority's budget, while the Saudi Credit & Savings Bank was to get 30 billion riyals ($8 billion) in capital. The bank provides loans for marriage and setting up a business, among other things, and is supported by the Saudi government.
Other measures included a 15 percent cost of living adjustment for government workers, a year of unemployment assistance for youth and nearly doubling to 15 individuals the size of families that are eligible for state aid. The government also will write off the debts of people who had borrowed from the development fund and later died.
While Saudi Arabia has been mostly spared the unrest rippling through the Middle East, a robust protest movement has risen up in its tiny neighbor, Bahrain, which like others around the region is centered on calls for representative government and relief from poverty and unemployment.
There are no government figures in Saudi Arabia that provide a national income breakdown, but analysts estimate that there are over 450,000 jobless in the country. Despite the stereotype of rich Saudis driving SUVs, large swaths of the population rely on government help and live in government-provided housing. The nation has a rapidly growing population of youths - about two-thirds of the population is under 29 - many of whom are chaffing under the harsh religious rules that keep the sexes largely segregated.
A Facebook page calling for a "March 11 Revolution of Longing" in Saudi Arabia has begun attracting hundreds of viewers. A message posted on the page calls for "the ousting of the regime" and lists demands including the election of a ruler and members of the advisory assembly known as the Shura Council.
King Abdullah returned to the situation Wednesday after spending three months in the United States and Morocco getting treatment for a bad back. The economic sweeteners were announced before his plane landed.
The unrest in Bahrain, a Gulf Cooperation Council member state, is what has most worried Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab nations. Their worries, in turn, translate into concerns in the broader global oil market since most of those nations are key OPEC members. Saudi Arabia, alone, sits atop the world's largest proven reserves of conventional crude.
A disruption in crude supplies from the Gulf would make the current, two-year-high levels of over $100 per barrel, appear cheap. Oil prices have already spiked because of Libya's unrest.
Investment bank Goldman Sachs said in a research report that the Bahrain protests spotlight how the Gulf states are also vulnerable, noting that the unrest in the island nation and in Libya "increase the risks of major supply disruptions."
While analysts largely discount the kind of wide-scale protests in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates that have rocked the rest of the Arab world - and it's not possible to know if the Facebook campaign has much support from within Saudi Arabia - leaders need to pay attention to the issues raised by the demonstrators, they say.
Abdullah, viewed as a reformer, has sought to address similar complaints before.
He has worked to ensure that the government has first and final say on all religious edicts - a step aimed at weeding out the conflicting and often increasingly austere messages put forward by competing clerics.
He has also set up a coed postgraduate university, and is pushing hard to complete a series of mega-projects to help diversify the country's economic base and provide jobs for young Saudis.
Boosting the financing for development and housing funds will help address a key gripe of many Saudis, and the cost of living adjustment will help offset inflation in the kingdom, which stood at about 5.3 percent in January. Banque Saudi-Fransi, in a research note released late Wednesday, said the country is trying to stem the spiraling cost of housing by building 200,000 new units per year through 2014.
But few other Arab nations have had much success in using money to quash the protests.
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak offered it as a carrot in the first days of the protests, but was ousted shortly thereafter. The 15 percent pay and pension raise he promised, however, remains in effect for public sector employees. Others, like Jordan and Yemen have looked to boost subsidies, and Jordan is reviving a government body that ensures the prices of basic commodities are within reach of the poor.
But Jordan, like other Arab countries where the protests are still ongoing, is not in the clear, and Saudi Arabia's leaders are watching closely, hoping to stave off a contagion within their borders.
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19 Comments so far
Show AllSaudi Arabia is indeed doing the right thing by spending billions of dollars to improve the quality of life of its more vulnerable citizens. This will probably succeed in staving off revolution.
However this cannot be seen as a substitute for political reform in an absolute monarchy where political freedoms are few and far between and where women, among other things, are legally forbidden from driving. Saudi Arabia should continue with its social welfare programs but at the same time should expand religious and political freedoms, expand women's rights and end political repression in all its forms. Political freedoms and socioeconomic wellbeing go hand in hand and one should not be seen as a substitute for another.
In the long run, no amount of band-aid will buy the people's support for a royal dictator. The bullshit kingdom is going down.
Why do you doubt that? They wouldn't be bribing the people with loans, etc., if they weren't frightened about going down.
suhail_shafi,
Everything you say is logical but the timing of these actions speaks volumes about the motives of the Saudi rulers.
THEY DON'T WANT TO CHANGE ANYTHING!
They don't have the remotest idea or respect for the concept of democracy and human rights.
The Saudis maintain control through fear. When the fear goes (and it's going) the monarchy is toast.
When I read things like the monarch declaring a holiday for the people on coming back from his medical visits, I want to throw up. Who in the hell do these arrogant creeps think they are that a gesture like that is supposed to make everybody sing their praises? Such incredible arrogance and narcissism! These fat fellows are nervous and scared. They aren't wise, good or any other made up propaganda honorific ascribed to them by their fascist media.
The age of the cult of the personality, the benevolent dictator father figure and bowing and scraping required in their presence is OVER.
I've been wondering how much longer it would take for the Sauds to start standing up to one of the worlds wealthiest and most selfish and self serving regimes in the world. Their 36 billion welfare gift is but a drop in the bucket of the families wealth. I can't remember now many of the 911 hijackers were Sauds but it seems like something like at least 14. They are not a happy nation. It will be interesting to see how much longer the people will put up with their self serving royalty.
Concerning the 9/11 hijackers and/ or 9/11,---- the day will arrive when all find out they were conned---big time! Arabs took the blame.
Correct!
This whistleblower (former US government contact with Iraqi Government) has written a book detailing how she was told OVER A MONTH BEFORE 9/11 how the US government would use the coming attack on New York as a pretext to attack Iraq. When 9/11 occurred, the Iraqis even offered to buy one million cars a year from the USA and Bush said no!
http://extremeprejudiceusa.wordpress.com/
2010/10/10/extreme-prejudice-by-susan-lindauer/
excellent post suhail_shafi. Thank you. I would only add, that having all those billions of dollars in their coffiers and not returning it and sharing it with the people who really earned it before this, is in itself criminal.
I notice nothing goes to the indentured servants they keep
Why settle for handouts when they can have it all?
"Investment bank Goldman Sachs said in a research report that the Bahrain protests spotlight how the Gulf states are also vulnerable"
Notice how the Associated Press continues to quote a completely discredited, despised entity, Goldmun Socks, thereby pushing the people to consider it legitimate or authoritative. This only makes the Associated Press a joke in my mind. We should deprive it of fossil fuel so we can watch it shrivel up and blow away. Look at all the waste of energy by ... DAS KAPITAL!!! We on the far left, in stark contrast, make the legitimacy of production our top priority. The solutions are as old as the hills, and everyone knows it.
Who can believe in the value of money these days? Governments (or their buddies) can print as much as they need to manipulate whoever they choose. A future built by scammers is looking pretty wretched.
-- The Crash Course - Chris Martenson: The Crash Course seeks to provide you with a baseline understanding of the economy so that you can better appreciate the risks that we all face. http://www.chrismartenson.com/crashcourse
-- American Dream By The Provocateur Network : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZPWH5TlbloU
-- http://dieoff.org
-- Five Fundamental Errors in Modern Economics: http://www.jayhanson.us/page241.htm
All this is interesting in combination with this:
Saudi Arabian reserves overstated by 40 percent, global production plateau imminent
http://www.grist.org/article/2011-02-11-saudi-arabian-reserves-overstated-by-40-global-production
and what you know.. saudi getting ahead of us in housing without mortage
Of all the countries experiencing revolution right now, it would be most fun to watch this one go down, as they are by far the most corrupt.
What is happening on a broader level is that an enormous imbalance/divide--in this case economic--is attempting to rectify itself. Since this imbalance is global, the waves are spreading like a wildfire. That said, violent and destructive protests/riots might backfire, if they lead to even further impoverishment. People cannot revolt with the same consciousness and expect a different result, since many are unknowingly complicit with the status quo. The same is true here in the United States. People must first wake up to the huge disconnect within themselves, or the uprisings will only make things worse.
All the H. of Saud has are US T-Bills.
That means .... 36 Bn. $ will be "repatriated" to US
taxpayer debt.
You and your children and grandchildren will be paying
for this "generous" Saudi gesture for their entire lives.