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U.S. Efforts in Kandahar, Barely Begun, Already Are Faltering
Key military operations have been delayed until the fall, efforts to improve local government are having little impact and a Taliban assassination campaign has brought a sense of dread to Kandahar's dusty streets.
A girl carrying her sister looks on as soldiers from Camp Nathan Smith visit her village of Loy Bala Karz southeast of Kandahar City May 12, 2010. (REUTERS/Nikola Solic) NATO officials once spoke of demonstrating major progress by mid-August, but U.S. commanders now say the turning point may not be reached until November, and perhaps later.
At the urging of Afghan leaders, U.S. officials have stopped describing the plan as a military operation. Instead, they've dubbed it "Cooperation for Kandahar," a moniker meant to focus attention on efforts to build up local governance while reducing fears of street battles.
"We're not using the term 'operation' or 'major operations' because that often brings to mind in peoples' psyche the idea of a D-Day and an H-Hour and an attack," U.S. Army Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal, the commander of U.S.-led international forces in Afghanistan, said Thursday in Washington.
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton echoed him. "This is not Fallujah," Clinton told reporters, in a reference to the house-to-house fighting that drove Sunni Muslim insurgents from the Iraqi town of Fallujah. "Lessons have been learned since Iraq. A lot of lessons."
McChrystal emphasized winning over the local population.
"It's important that we engage the population so that we shape the leaders, the natural leaders, the elders, political and economic leaders so that their participation helps shape how we go forward," he said.
American and Afghan officials, however, so far have made little headway in building a foundation for a respected local government capable of winning the confidence of the nearly 1 million Afghans who live in and around Kandahar.
The largest impediment remains President Hamid Karzai's half-brother, Ahmed Wali Karzai.
A controversial kingpin and reputed drug smuggler who reportedly has been paid by the CIA, he wields virtually unchecked power over the region as the chairman of the provincial council as well as through local militias, security firms awarded lucrative contracts by the U.S.-led international force and an alliance with a small band of powerful tribal leaders.
Karzai denies any wrongdoing, and U.S. officials say they've been unable to uncover incriminating information on him.
Many U.S. defense officials and analysts are concerned that continuing to work with Ahmed Wali Karzai could jeopardize the public support that McChrystal concedes is vital to his plan's success.
Ahmed Wali Karzai "has had four or five years now to prove that he can be successful in restoring order and good governance in the south. But things have only gotten worse on his watch. He is not the man we ought to be working with," said Carl Forsberg of the Institute for the Study of War in Washington.
In a report released last month, Forsberg warned that Ahmed Wali Karzai's growing unpopularity risks boosting support for the Taliban and jeopardizing chances of convincing insurgents to switch sides, a key part of McChrystal's plan.
However, the Obama administration apparently has given up trying to convince President Karzai to replace his half-sibling.
Appearing with Clinton at the U.S. Institute for Peace, President Karzai said Thursday that he raised the question of his half-brother on Wednesday with President Barack Obama and "the issue is resolved as it now stands."
Ahmed Wali Karzai exuded confidence In a McClatchy interview and dismissed any suggestion that the evolving plans were faltering. Asked when he would be able to declare victory, he said the battle was already over.
"We already won," he said Monday. "We are picking up the pieces now."
Since President Karzai traveled to Kandahar six weeks ago for an acrimonious meeting with tribal leaders, however, brazen attacks on tribal elders and local government officials have paralyzed what local governance existed. High-profile community meetings meant to boost confidence in the local government and its U.S. patron have been put on hold.
Ahmed Wali Karzai dismissed the significance of the Taliban assassination campaign.
"Bombs happen in London, bombs happen in the USA, bombs happen in Israel, bombs happen in Pakistan," he said. "Bombs happen in every country. This is something you cannot control. It's not only happening in Kandahar," he told McClatchy.
Despite Ahmed Wali Karzai's declaration of victory, U.S.-led military operations to drive the Taliban out of surrounding strongholds in advance of the main effort in the city are slowly expanding, and U.S. special forces teams are pursuing insurgent leaders inside Kandahar. U.S. military police are also beginning to partner with Afghan police, a process that's to grow significantly in coming months.
McChrystal has spoken about a "rising tide of security."
The tide appears to be rising slowly, though. According to an updated timeline seen by McClatchy, the U.S. troop buildup won't reach its peak until September, around the time that Afghanistan is to hold parliamentary elections and U.S. congressional election campaigns will be in full swing.
One major question is whether there will be enough forces for Kandahar, where McChrystal's plan calls for the deployment of 20,000 U.S. and Afghan troops.
U.S. defense officials and defense analysts said that McChrystal used 10,000 troops in Helmand to gain control of a rural river valley with about 50,000 residents. But in Kandahar, however, Afghanistan's second largest city, with an estimated population of 800,000, he's calling for just 20,000 troops.
"None of this makes any sense," said a U.S. defense official. "If it took you 10,000 (U.S. troops) to do Marjah, there aren't enough troops (for Kandahar)." The official spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak publicly.
American officials heading the government reform and civilian aid efforts in Kandahar declined to discuss the situation there.
Frank Ruggiero, the top State Department official in Kandahar, told Congress last week that the Taliban assassination campaign is threatening the tenuous efforts to create a respected local government.
American officials also describe Gov. Tooryalai Wesa, the U.S-educated Kandahar governor, as largely a "one-man show" who has yet to make significant strides in establishing his authority.
The challenges in Kandahar come amid a growing recognition in Kabul and Washington that efforts in neighboring Helmand province to install a new administration in the former Taliban stronghold of Marjah quickly have stumbled.
Marjah was meant to be the proving ground for McChrystal's counter-insurgency strategy, which emphasizes building governments trusted by local populations over combat operations.
Military leaders now describe Helmand as a "tale of two districts," however. One is Nadi Ali, where British forces are reported to have had some success; the other is Marjah, where Afghan security forces and the nascent Afghan administration still need U.S. Marines to keep the Taliban at bay.
Marjah "is already coming unraveled," the U.S. defense official said. He noted that on the eve of the Marjah offensive in February, McChrystal described how he planned to bring in a "government in a box."
"But when they opened the box, there was nothing in it," the U.S. defense official continued.
McCrystal insisted Thursday that progress was being made in Marjah. But he also conceded that the locals "remain to be convinced" that they'll see an honest local administration.
(Landay reported from Washington. Warren P. Strobel in Washington and McClatchy special correspondent Hashim Shukoor in Kandahar contributed to this report.)
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12 Comments so far
Show All"shape elders" read intimidate and attempt to bribe.
Wesa? is he even a Pashtun?
I suspect Ahmed Karzai will not cooperate with the CIA heroin cartel.
When Ahmed says we already won I do not believe he is referring to the imperialist invaders.
My goodness, there are a couple of terrorist children, where are the gunships and drones to blast those heathens to hell and gone.
-McCrystal insisted Thursday that progress was being made in Marjah. But he also conceded that the locals "remain to be convinced" that they'll see an honest local administration.
That is why you are paying to station armies thousands of miles away in Asia? To provide "local administration"? I wonder if the new Afghan administration will allow BP to operate without permits???
WAR -- A BRAINPOWER SPORT
War is an achievement dictatorship, where those who can rationalize a problem the fastest, do take corrective action the soonest, and out kill all who defy their will.
During my tour in the Vietnam War I wanted a transfer to the 101st Airborne, but did not have the smarts for that. And no way was I qualified for Special Forces, which we called Green Beret, as all were college quality and the cream of our competition based society.
So this war is all about our elite educated middleclass “Special Forces.”
In essence, to see if they are able to out-terrorize and mind petrify
those poor and slow of thought, namely the Afghan peasant class.
Not really a lot of honor in this war, kind of like us rounding up thousands dumb wild horses into a cannon and then butchering then one at a time in the dead of night. Gutless wonders that we be.
SICK, SICK, SICK.......nothing further to say today
Who is paying for our occupation of Afghanistan, our unending war in Iraq and our 725 military installations around the world, With our debt at 14 TRILLION and growing will China continue to finance our adventures? Empires eventually collapse. See Ottoman, Rome, Britain, France etc.
I have been an amateur student of Afghan geography since I discovered an old college textbook of my father's from the 1930s entitled "Travels in Afghanistan." Ironically, written by a Standard Oil geologist who traveled alone hiking and riding on horseback for 9 months throughout that remote and forbidding land looking for possible promising geological formations. Over the years I have read the stories related by several other westerners who have traveled by foot through the more remote areas of that rugged land. I myself have trekked through the neighboring areas of tribal Pakistan.
It's really crazy that after 9 years of attempted occupation that our military is still struggling to gain a foothold in Jalalabad and Khandajar. These are the most accessible cities of Afghanistan and have the least forbidding geography. The more remote parts of the country have always been much more challenging to the outsider and have never been successfully conquered or occupied. The mountainous geography of those outlying areas to the north will never be under the control of the U.S. military if we are there for 100 years. Not at the rate we are going. At some point we will have to declare victory and stop wasting all the money we are spending on the impossible task of occupying a place whose geography simply makes that impossible.
"It's really crazy that after 9 years of attempted occupation that our military is still struggling to gain a foothold in Jalalabad and Khandajar. These are the most accessible cities of Afghanistan..."
"At some point we will have to declare victory and stop wasting all the money..."
"We" have declared victory: May 1, 2003 -- Mission Accomplished.
Do you think they held the USS Abraham Lincoln out at sea just to get a better camera angle and lighting, or do you think the Rovians would want to take advantage of a chance to arrogantly boast and insult international solidarity movements around the world with a "look what 'We' did and there's nothing you can do about it" statement on May Day?
The first public statement then president Bush made after the "invasion" of Iraq occurred at Camp Lajeune where he boasted that "Our first objective was to secure the southern oil fields, 'We' achieved that objective...(woofing by Troops).
During the invasion US Troops stood down as then local commanders offered the assistance of 15,000 local Troops to stop the looting of the National Museum(s) as well as known munitions depots(offer denied).
During the invasion of 26 National Ministries only the Ministry of Oil was protected.
Since the Surge Invasion the situation in Iraq has been classified as a success(victory). This version of success includes the current violence killing and maiming hundreds weekly, and proposals to building Israeli type walls.
Thus for me there's nothing "crazy" about the situation in Afghanistan...well, yeah, that humanity allows it to continue, but it appears to be a well orchestrated occupation...I mean Shell and Exxon signed their 20 year deals this past January; yeah, the same day "Chemical Ali" was executed...so you see: good theatre, good business -- what's crazy with that?
For the betterment of all humanity it would do us wise to change the narrative of what's occurring....but, easier said then done...but it seems the clarifying the true intent of the mission is a good place to start, but most Americans, especially those with ties to the military can't accept the oily truth and set up a protective shield of denial; get past this barrier and we'll be on to something.
*******
Your knowledge and experience of how Afghanistan was once socially accessible to foreigners of many types would be very valuable in breaking down the insulting and belittling narrative of how backward and inept('We' will stand down when they learn to stand up) the humans are in that part of the world.
President (and General) Dwight E. Eisenhower:
"WE WILL BANKRUPT OURSELVES IN THE VAIN SEARCH FOR ABSOLUTE SECURITY."
"Government in a box."
Imperialism in a box.
Everything in nice, politically digestible prepackaged infotainment nuggets for eager consumption by our Congresswhores, Team Oshellgame and the subservient public.
Amurka would save a whole lot more money on a full-blown occupation and all the domestic CIA news programming here in the U.S. just by building the Unocal pipelines underground and satellite targeting a corridor on either side with drones launched from Iraq. But that way all the well-connected war profiteers wouldn't be in on the American tax payer cash cow that is Rumsfeld's "Long War."
McChrystal and his military supporters in the Pentagon continue to use smoke and mirrors to convince the people here that his misguided and flawed military strategy is working and in the long run will succeed. He is afraid to admit defeat probably fearing prosecution for war crimes against the Afghan people. As leader of the US combat troops he is responsible for any crimes committed against the Afghan people and there are many. Why else has he ordered the protection of the people above the protection of his own troops?? To convince everyone here that he has the interests and protection of the Afghanis first in mind.
How can any commander consider the safety of civilians above the safety of his troops?? When it comes to protecting the civilian population how can a soldier distinguish between an innocent civilian and an insurgent? He cannot.
The safety and protection of a commanders troops should be held sacred above all else. McChrystal will fail in Khandahar just as he has in Narjah and will be the turning point in the war. And putting off the operation in Khandahar will not insure any victory of any kind. The operation will only lead to defeat and hopefully the complete withdrawal of all US troops. The sooner the better.
The D-Crapper™ Party continue to be the biggest and most potent force for propagating ShrubCo™'s PNAC scam and try to make it look like they're were against invading Pipe-O-Stan and Iraq.
The 'We Canⓒ' Obomber™ Lemmings™ would be howling if Bush™ were doing the same things Obomber™ is doing now by carrying the PNAC water pail, but becaue it is the 'We Canⓒ' president, they let everything fly: extraordinary renditions, Predator drones killing Pakistani civilians across the border, raping Afghanistan with summary executions of Afghani civilians suspected of being the Taliban.
Same kind of behavior that turned Vietnamese civillians against US soldiers. The people of Vietnam got tired of being killed indiscrimately just like the civillians of Afghanistan are.
Obama™'s Democrapic™ Senators & Congressvolken are only too happy to take contributions from military contractors to keep Halliburton™ happy + keep that pipeline safe in Pipe-O-Stan.
Nancy Fancy 'No More Blank Checks For Bush™' Pelosiⓒ is the biggest and most supportive D-Crapper™ serving the needs of its PNAC masters.
Please Lexus Liberal™ 'We Canⓒ' Obomber™ Lemmings™ -Give Your ™Brain A Chance!
Isn't there a song...
Hopeless, Hopeless, Hopeless...