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A Triumph for Man, A Disaster for Mankind
It has been one of the elusive goals of seafaring nations almost since the beginnings of waterborne trade, but for nearly 500 years the idea has been dismissed as an impossible dream. Now, as a result of global warming, the dream is about to come true.
No commercial vessel has ever successfully travelled the North-east Passage, a fabled Arctic Sea route that links the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific far more directly than the usual southerly cargo route. (the Independent) Within days, a journey that represents both a huge commercial boon and a dark milestone on the route to environmental catastrophe is expected to be completed for the first time. No commercial vessel has ever successfully travelled the North-east Passage, a fabled Arctic Sea route that links the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific far more directly than the usual southerly cargo route. Explorers throughout history have tried, and failed; some have died in the attempt.
But early next week the German-owned vessels, Beluga Fraternity and Beluga Foresight, are scheduled to dock in the Dutch port of Rotterdam. It is the culmination of a two-month voyage from South Korea across the perilous waters of the Arctic, where an unprecedented ice-melt has at last made the previously impassable course a viable possibility.
The new route could transform Russia's economic fortunes. Throughout history, the country's search for a warm-water port that would provide sea routes open year-round has dominated the geopolitics of the region. But the economic advantages are balanced by the disastrous environmental news that the transit represents.
"This is further proof that climate change is happening now," said Melanie Duchin, Arctic Expedition leader on board the Greenpeace ship Arctic Sunrise, who added that the development put greater pressure on world leaders to agree a major emissions cut at their Copenhagen meeting in December. "This is not a cause for celebration but cause for immediate action," she said.
The 12,000-tonne vessels' summer journey through the Northeast Passage was carried out with 3,500 tonnes of construction materials and parts for a Siberian power station on board. Once completed, the voyage will have shortened the traditional commercial sea route from the Far East to Europe - via the Suez Canal - by more than 4,000 nautical miles.
Russian maritime officials are now hoping that the feat will result in an "Arctic Rush" with the northern sea route becoming a viable summer competitor to the Suez and Panama canals. They have offered to cut ice-breaker fees in the North-east Passage to encourage major shipping companies to start using it.
Nils Stolberg, the President of the Bremen-based Beluga group which organised the commercial voyage insisted yesterday that ships' transit was not an experiment but the first step towards opening the North-east Passage to shipping world wide. He said his company already had new contracts to ship goods along the route from Asia to Siberia next summer.
"We are all very proud and delighted to be the first Western shipping company to have successfully transited the legendary North-east Passage and delivered a sensitive cargo safely through this extraordinarily demanding sea area," he said. He also estimated that the path had saved $92,000 (£55,000) worth of fuel for each ship.
Despite global warming, the Northeast Passage is still seriously hampered by hundred-mile long swathes of shifting pack ice that extend southwards from the North Pole even in summer. The islands off the north coast of Siberia also contain glaciers which cast icebergs into the warming waters of the passage with increasing frequency.
In 1983 a Russian ship was crushed by pack ice it encountered in the passage in the middle of summer. However, the Russian Transport Ministry which operates a fleet of six nuclear powered-ice-breakers to assist Russian and other coastal commercial ships, says that in recent summers the route has rarely been completely impassable. "The ice conditions were far more severe 20 years ago," a spokesman said.
The voyage of the two Beluga vessels was certainly no picnic. Although not thoroughbred ice-breakers themselves, both ships were designed to cope with ice-strewn waters and were accompanied by at least one Russian nuclear ice-breaker during the whole of the trip. The two ships encountered snow, fog, ice floes, and treacherous icebergs which showed only about one meter of their huge underwater volume on the sea's surface.
The most challenging stretch of the voyage came at its northernmost point, the Vilkizi Strait on the tip of Siberia. Half of the sea's surface was covered with pack ice and the captains of both vessels had to call Russian ice pilots on board to shepherd them through. Vlarey Durov, captain of the Beluga Foresight spoke of the stress he experienced from having to keep a constant lookout for ice and the time spent waiting for the seas to clear. But he insisted: "It is an economically and ecologically beneficial shortcut between Europe and Asia... On such voyages the advantage of fewer miles can outweigh the delays in waiting for clear water."
Finding a North-east Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific was the goal of mariners and governments in 16th-century Europe because the route would have shortened the voyage to the newly discovered spice islands of the East Indies by some 2,000 miles - the equivalent of a year's sailing.
However, most expeditions ended in disaster. The first attempt by the British navigator Richard Chancellor took place in 1553 but was brought to an abrupt halt in the winter of the same year when his ships became trapped in the ice. Chancellor abandoned ship and marched across the ice to Moscow where he was entertained at the court of Ivan the Terrible.
His fellow explorer Sir Hugh Willoughby stayed with his crew aboard ship and was discovered frozen to death two years later.
Another attempt in 1597 by the Dutch explorer William Barents ended with his ship being trapped and crushed in the ice. Barents and his crew were forced to spend the winter in a makeshift driftwood hut living on polar bear meat. Barents, after whom the polar Barents sea is named, did not survive either.
If the current voyage ends successfully, such maritime disasters may become a thing of the past. But a separate environmental disaster
may be only beginning to unfold.
- Posted in



51 Comments so far
Show AllThat 'thud' you heard was the canary falling off it's perch in the coal mine....
Walk in peace.
JoannafromCanada
The canary in the coalmine fell off it's proverbial perch a long time ago. The 'thud' that you heard was the slamming shut of the window of opportunity to save-our-selves - not the planet.
SOS!
I heard that thud... and I see the dark at the end of the tunnel.
Oh go ahead and let Russia enjoy its warm water ports. We only have a few years left anyway.
Yeah, but think of how much CHEAPER all that useless stuff will be!
OMG!
I'm gonna remember this planet.
JoannafromCanada
What do you mean? The planet will still be here - YOU will be gone.
Yeah, but think of how much CHEAPER all that useless stuff will be!
OMG!
I'm gonna remember this planet.
Makes me think of children running out to play on the newly exposed ocean floor just before the tsunami hits.
This is not exactly being treated as a wake up call. Except perhaps by Greenpeace, but who listens to them anyway? Even the story doesn't explain the second half of the title, it just focuses on the "dream come true" aspect.
When the people fear their government there is tyranny,
when the government fears the people there is liberty.
~ Thomas Jefferson
BeForKids September 12th, 2009 2:46 pm
Makes me think of children running out to play on the newly exposed ocean floor just before the tsunami hits.
Precisely.
>>> by some 2,000 miles - the equivalent of a year's sailing.
Something wrong with this. It's less than 6 miles a day!
That was back in the early days of sailing ships... subject to the wind... navigating by the stars.. stopping for provisions... and the extra year may refer to the round trip including return with the spices.
i hope that somewhere somebody is launching tons of rockets into the cosmos w/the sum of x years of human culture on a .08 inch mem chip.
more like x years of human stupidness............
www.ageofstupid.net
coming to a cinema near you on 21/22 september...........
There is a solid gold LP with Beethoven, humpback whale songs, basic mathematical equations, and the voices of hundreds of children saying 'Hello' in a multiplicity of languages tacked to the side of one of the Voyager spacecraft, drifting slowly out into the far depths of the galaxy.
This 70's era technology audio record also has locational co-ordinates based on then current stellar data to backtrack to find Earth.
NASA admits that the chances of an advanced, technological species capable of discovering and decoding this information is so infinitesimal as to be close to ZERO.
In a vein of similar idiocy, various agri-business corporations have set up a so-called 'doomsday vault' of important (read valuable to them) plant species in Iceland, with the intent of preserving seed samples against a global disaster. The technology they have installed is the latest bestest. And is totally vulnerable to the very disasters that it is planned to guard against. (BTW, the economy of Iceland collapsed earlier this year, so I wonder who is supplying power to the vault's cooling system...)
The best thing we could be doing right now, as a species, is teaching our children low tech survival skills and trades that can be accomplished with muscle power.
Instead, we are wondering who will win 'American Idle'...
Walk in peace.
I was in grade school in the 1950's when I saw a film extolling science as the bringer of a bright future for everyone.
One possibility was using thermonuclear heat to melt the arctic ice, leaving shipping lanes open.
And I seem to remember a new sea level Panama canal that would have no locks being blasted by H-bombs. There was some concern that not all of the natives would be evacuated, but every effort...
Well there's still the starship powered by nuclear blasts, to take us to another habitable planet...
Luckily, they are stepping up the search for another habitable planet:
http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1915002,00.html
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/kepler/overview/index.html
Some of the New Earth's might be up to 500 light years away. They'll call to see how the Old Earth is doing, once they get there.
Uh Huh.
And just where will you be acquiring your 'Happy Shiny Star Trek Future (TM)' brand FTL vessel to go to these as yet unconfirmed and probably uninhabitable pieces of real estate?
With the soon to be implemented Chinese embargo of rare earth metals to make the exotic magnets and batteries to build hybrid cars and latest computer/mobile phone/iPod alone fer-gawd-sakes, combined with the rapidly depleting base of industrial metals in general, what are you going to build these mythical go-buggies out of? What national economy in the world could withstand it?
And be honest now, would you *really* trust your skinny ass to an interstellar, let alone interplanetary vessel built by the lowest bidder, especially at a time when the International Space Station is due to be de-orbited in the next couple of years, Hubble is on it's last legs, and there are virtually *no* heavy lift boosters capable of a high orbital insertion, let alone anything circum-lunar, anywhere in the world. Not NASA, not JAB, not ESA, not the Russians.
Space travel is as dead as JFK.
Walk in peace.
Can't we just float into space in hot air balloons then set our solar sails and cruise off to a new, clean earth?
Once again, we will make these mythical go-buggies out of... what?
Walk in peace.
They will mine the Asteroid Belt.
Jeez, don't you keep up with the There's A Great New World Coming memos ?
And they will use the Large Hadron Collider to make anti-matter fuel.
Yup, it's all worked out.
Normally, I'm dismally cynical and pessimistic.
But just in case, I've marked off a circle in my back yard to park my personal bubblecopter when it becomes available.
And I'm really looking forward to meals of tasty processed plankton harvested from the oceans!
· Yr Obd't Servant
The Soylent Green has more protein, don't forget...
Love that LONG PIG! It's an old south sea favorite.
...and solves the problem of overpopulation, no need for expensive space faring...
I wouldn't be a bit surprized if a lot of old nuclear fuel rods just happended to find there way along the bottom of the ocean along the track of the northeast passage. It's relatively shallow (about 200 to 300 feet). They could have sealed them so they didn't leak but still kept emitting their heat (for centuries). Maybe Russia wants some beach resorts in Siberia.
That's one I missed, but I was kind of taken with the idea of small,nuclear-powered, personal helicopters, that you could land on your roof-top heliport. I think this was in Popular Mechanics, with a whole lot of other goofiness.
Popular Mechanics is an unending font of techno-fetishist 'cool' gadgetry, with their 'Top Lists' and other assorted techno-utopian 'Happy Shiny Star Trek Future (TM)' consumer garbage that is obsolete the second it hits the shops.
They are also some of the worst offenders when it comes to indoctrinated the young into the media/video game fueling death machine called the US Military.
Let's not forget the now thoroughly discredited 'Physics of 9/11' articles...
Walk in peace.
I think Mechanics Illustrated always served that function.Back in the fifties,they were trying to fuel an interest in trippy industrial technology when we were an industrial country.It certainly roped me in.I liked the motorcycle roadtests.They did one of the last 80" Indian Roadmaster Chief in 1952.I came across a copy of it in the late fifties, and memorized it.Missed my chance to get a Chief a few years later, and wound up with a Vincent.Good move.
Several years back, when Art Bell was doing his Coast to Coast Show, he was talking about some guy in New Mexico that had tied a bunch of helium balloons to a lawn chair for his own personal aircraft. Personal aircraft that's economical and comes complete with a built in giggle factor.
This stunt must have been going around.Somebody did the same thing in LA. and was 10,000 feet up, when a passenger jet headed for LAX spotted him.The recorded conversation between the pilot and the tower were completely deadpan and matter-of-fact.This must have been about 15 years ago.This never would have made it into Popular Mechanics, or the other one.What a shame.
Dontcha ever wonder why we're on the planet Earth? And why the other planets aren't hospitable enough to support our current life forms? Maybe everytime we mess one up we move on to the next. So, it's either gonna get VERY cold or VERY warm next time around. OH! Wait a minute...that's what's happening here. Ye Gods. And by their deeds shall they be known...
Well, as that economics prof said (I paraphrase) "letting the politicians dick around in hopes that they'll suddenly stop being greedy, uncaring arseholes is an experiment we really don't want to be trying with the only planet we have".
Question: Between the vastly increased albedo of the darker water vs. white ice, and the now confirmed early signs of a building methane release from the rapidly melting permafrost on a likely massive scale (methane is a *far* more efficient greenhouse gas), combined with a surge of meltwater from the northern glaciers and Arctic ice packs diluting and therefore easier to warm ocean, plus the continued dumping of megatons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere by man's industrial processes, how long will it take to pass the critical 4 degrees Celsius tipping point where nothing man does will prevent catastrophic climate change?
Answer: We just did.
Walk in peace.
It's been pretty clear for a long time (decades) that this was coming.
Then about 2005, the scientific consensus on global warming went from "Definite problem, almost certainly caused by humans burning fossil fuels" to "Holy shit! Everything is happening much faster than we had predicted!" Field reports since then have only continued to get more alarming.
Yet there remain some (Henry8 for example) who are still able to hold the idea in their minds that perhaps there is some doubt about what is happening or what caused it...
Positive, self reinforcing feedback loops are a bitch.
Just like karma.
Walk in peace.
Galenwainwright, if the planet does anything nasty to us I think we should sue it. Don't you agree?
I mean doesn't the planet know who we are? Haven't the politicians told us that they consider the current situation to be unlikely and in any case haven't they activated the rescue committee?
Could shorter trade routes lessen greenhouse gas emissions?
For individual ships, maybe.
Overall, given more ships will attempt to use the route, and an increased military presence in the area, will ensure that such a decrease will disappear faster than a DC intern's panties.
And another thing. The Baltic Dry Index (which is used to price the cost of shipping)is back in the crapper. So ship owners are desperate to get cargos moving. But they can make no profit doing so. It's a nasty Catch 22.
Walk in peace.
New shipping routes...to get more cheap/exploited-made goods from China and other third-world countries to more first-world gluttonous countries like the USA and EUROPE. And "they" (those silly environmentalists) said global warming was a bad thing....
RIP
You might want to take a look at this:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/article-1212013/Revealed-The-ghost-fleet-recession.html
The world economy is in more trouble than we think.
Walk in peace.
The world economy is in shambles. Nobody seems to know it. I know it, and I'm just a retired old fart.
Why is it a triumph for man when he is the one who screwed up the weather?Tony
Say Galen---
Could you split that dailymail.co.uk website so it doesn't go off the page?
Meanwhile, where you write: "The world economy is in more trouble than we think," what do you think of trying to put all major-nation actions in a context which takes as a GIVEN that Global Warming is here and now and we ain't seen nothin yet given the coming "methane Burp"?
One irony is that Britain and Western Europe would return to an Ice Age due to a reverse of ocean currents...
-30-
Bon voyage humanity! At least we had a good run I mean we did invent the flamethrower, the atom bomb, genocide, and the snoogie but alas our time has come. Perhaps cockroaches will enjoy this warmer world we will leave them- to quote Jeff Goldbloom in Jurassic Park (yeah I went there) "Life always finds a way." Its just too bad the way probably won't include us.
I don't think we will be missed. Everybody has to die only once anyway, why not all at once? Or maybe by attrition. In one century the human race, the greatest plague the world has ever known could exit quietly.
We never have been a happy lot anyway, and we made damn sure the rest of the world suffered with us.
Well, as a friend of mine in St. Petersburg Russia said, when I asked her if she ever thought about emigrating after the Soviet collapse, "I wouldn't miss this for anything". My sentiments exactly.
In the old movie Key Largo, Edward G. Robinson was a super tough gangster. When the hurricane started to pick up, he was showing fear. Bogart a hostage in the hotel said to the gangster, "Why don't you show it your gun?"
Just think of all the guns, nukes, land mines, toxic waste piles and big corporations we can show to the hurricanes, droughts, floods etc.
I bet we can scare the climate back in line with that big military spending (borrowed from China).
.