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It's Not Just BP's Oil in the Gulf That Threatens World's Oceans
WASHINGTON - A sobering new report warns that the oceans face a "fundamental and irreversible ecological transformation" not seen in millions of years as greenhouse gases and climate change already have affected temperature, acidity, sea and oxygen levels, the food chain and possibly major currents that could alter global weather.
It's not just oil that threatens the planet's oceans.
The report, in Science magazine, brings together
dozens of studies that collectively paint a dismal picture of
deteriorating ocean health.
"This is further evidence we are well on our way to the next great extinction event," said Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, the director of the Global Change Institute at the University of Queensland in Australia and a co-author of the report.
John Bruno, an associate professor of marine sciences at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and the report's other co-author, isn't quite as alarmist, but he's equally concerned.
"We are becoming increasingly certain that the world's marine ecosystems are reaching tipping points," Bruno said, adding, "We really have no power or model to foresee" the impact.
The oceans, which cover 71 percent of the Earth's surface, have played a dominant role in regulating the planet's climate. However, even as the understanding of what's happening to terrestrial ecosystems as a result of climate change has grown, studies of marine ecosystems have lagged, the report says. The oceans are acting as a heat sink for rising temperatures and have absorbed about one-third of the carbon dioxide produced by human activities.
Among other things, the report notes:
- The average temperature of the upper level of the oceans has increased more than 1 degree Fahrenheit over the past 100 years, and global ocean surface temperatures in January were the second warmest ever recorded for that month.
- Though the increase in acidity is slight, it represents a "major departure" from the geochemical conditions that have existed in the oceans for hundred of thousands if not millions of years.
- Nutrient-poor "ocean deserts" in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans grew by 15 percent, or roughly 2.5 million square miles, from 1998 to 2006.
- Oxygen concentrations have been dropping off the Northwest U.S. coast and the coast of southern Africa, where dead zones are appearing regularly. There is paleontological evidence that declining oxygen levels in the oceans played a major role in at least four or five mass extinctions.
- Since the early 1980s, the production of phytoplankton, a crucial creature at the lower end of the food chain, has declined 6 percent, with 70 percent of the decline found in the northern parts of the oceans. Scientists also have found that phytoplankton are becoming smaller.
Volcanic activity and large meteorite strikes in the past have "resulted in hostile conditions that have increased extinction rates and driven ecosystem collapse," the report says. "There is now overwhelming evidence human activities are driving rapid changes on a scale similar to these past events.
"Many of these changes are already occurring within the world's oceans with serious consequences likely over the coming years."
One of the consequences could be a disruption of major ocean currents, particularly those flowing north and south, circulating warm water from the equator to polar regions and cold water from the poles back to the equator. Higher temperatures in polar regions and a decrease in the salinity of surface water due to melting ice sheets could interrupt such circulation, the report says.
The change in currents could further affect such climate phenomena as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Scientists just now are starting to understand how these phenomena affect global weather patterns.
"Although our comprehension of how this variability will change over the coming decades remains uncertain, the steady increase in heat content in the ocean and atmosphere are likely to have profound influences on the strength, direction and behavior of the world's major current systems," the report says.
Kelp forests such as those off the Northwest U.S. coast, along with corals, sea grasses, mangroves and salt marsh grasses, are threatened by the changes the oceans are undergoing, the report says. All of them provide habitat for thousands of species.
The polar bear isn't the only polar mammal that faces an escalating risk of extinction, the report says; penguin and seal populations also are declining.
"It's a lot worse than the public thinks," said Nate Mantua, an associate research professor at the University of Washington's Climate Impacts Group.
Mantua, who's read the report, said it was clear what was causing the oceans' problems: greenhouse gases. "It is not a mystery," he said.
There's growing concern about low-oxygen or no-oxygen zones appearing more and more regularly off the Northwest coast, Mantua said. Scientists are studying the California Current along the West Coast to determine whether it could be affected, he added.
Richard Feely, a senior scientist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle, said the report in Science seemed so direct because one of the authors was Australian.
"Australians come at you full-bore and lay it on the line," Feely said.
Even so, he said, the condition of the oceans is indeed deteriorating.
"The combination of these impacts are tending to show they are additive," he said. "They combine to make things worse."
Asked what the oceans will be like in 50 years if trends aren't reversed, Bruno, the UNC professor, said that all the problems would have accelerated and there'd be new ones. For instance, he said tens of thousands of species found only in the Pacific might migrate across the top of North America as the sea ice melts and enter the Atlantic, where they've never been.
Bruno said a 50-year time frame to consider changes in the ocean was way too short, however.
"I am a lot more worried about 200 to 300 years out," he said.



16 Comments so far
Show AllEver since I read the book "Under a Green Sky" by Peter Ward when I read an article like this I am more convinced that we are well underway and the scope of the damage is being hidden from public purview.
We have forgotten the extent to which our own health is tied to the health of our environment. It is incumbent upon us to stop acting as though man is in total control. Mother Nature always has something to say. We are just not listening.
It's nothing short of the sixth, global extinction event.
What an amazing irony! The only species to develop not just culture, but language and history and technology--all the tools to create sustainability--kills itself instead (fully aware of its suicide)! Remember, in a global extinction event, no species, not even humans, gets to pick its mode of demise. Farewell, all! Goodnight, moon!
Why do you think I believe that human evolution has been defective? We're the terminator species, a mutant animal. As we implode on ourselves in our perceived "superiority" to the animals, we are taking all of them down with us. That's humanity's greatest crime against life. And the planet that sustains them.
I don't think human evolution has been defective, just unsuccessful. In the end, we have simply done no better than every other animal species that has gone extinct. It may seem like a crime, but it's just evolution at work. Natural selection is truly blind justice, and I believe the planet will enter a brand new spate of evolution after the Anthropocene.
"You can gaze out the window,
Get mad and get madder.
Throw your hands in the air, say
'What does it matter?'
But it don't do no good to get angry
So help me I know.
"For a heart stained in anger
Grows weak and grows bitter.
You become your own prisoner
As you watch yourself sit there
Wrapped up in a trap
Of your very own chain of sorrow."
--John Prine
"In the end, we have simply done no better than every other animal species that has gone extinct."
I take your point, but we have already taken so many species with us. Perhaps intelligent cockroaches will do better.
What really shocks me is that there are many Americans who even deny climate change is real. I am no expert but from the books, articles, and interviews with people who do know, I know that the facts presented prove that climate change is real.
The oceans are dying. One of my nightmares is all the oceans become one big dead zone. The oceans that we all grew up with are dying. I just want to weep everytime I see that volcano of oil and other dangerous gases plus the other chemicals that BP is pouring into the ocean. Everything in life is interconnected and I believe that there is much more going on than they are telling us. I just keep praying that God will stop the oil, but what if man is so proud and arrogant that he doesn't learn that greed has no place in our government and move forward in a different direction that is better not only for the environment but would help the economy with Green jobs. I don't have much faith left that we can get the corruption out of our government.
Yep we are Taost ! How do we stop ? Even if everybody stopped everything right now,would it be enough ? If we had listened in the 70's, and moved to green technology then,today the cost would be relavent.The oil & coal companies bought science and technology ,they prevented progress ,and convinced everybody it would be "allright". So they could get rich cheap. What a shame........
'BP's oil'? It isn't BP's oil, and it isn't BP's ocean.
It isn't Nestle's water packaged in those harmful plastic bottles, either.
RIGHT! Is the "average" human capable of waking up?
I've been getting this vibe that we will have to go back to being hunter/gather/organic farmers, if it's not too late. We may "evolve" to develop a taste for rat meat in succeeding generations. Bon appetit.
I am afraid it is way to late to return hunter/gatherer which was the paleolithic age and farming has been our downfall for 10,000 years since we became farmers at the beginning of the neolithic age. It has allowed us to overpopulate, overcrowd, and hence allowed us to become obese and disease ridden because of having to live to close together. Sorry because of the population numbers it will be impossible.
There isn't any going back to the days of the Tribes now. The Beast of Civilization even now comes closer and closer with each passing second to remote Tribes that still live the old way or original way upon Creator's earth without all of the man made crap or little of the man made crap. Still free or as close to as free of the cash register world.
And man invented money and the beep beep beep machines of the Europeans became a reality upon Creator's earth. Beep beep beep they go as they scan the product codes of the market of the Beast of Civilization where everything is bought and sold.
Step into my time machine and go back 1000 years from now and tell the Tribes, they will have something they call beep beep beep machines to scan all the products of their market of the Beast of Civilization where everything is bought and sold.
Tell them they will be dreaming and plotting and scheming all sorts of ideas to somehow save their world. But at that time The Golden Rule will apply. Those have the gold will make the rules.
Tell the Tribes, you aren't going to miss anything by never seeing their world, but if you ever wanted to study an insane asylum world based on the Selling and Marketing of the Beast of Civilization it would be one swell opportunity.
Wouldn't have bothered me in the least to have lived 1000 years ago and never laid eyes on this world. Tell them we will be under European rule then. Under their Government of Rome with it's Senate, mighty legions upon the earth, and their taxes.
I wonder or almost wonder if Jesus knew when he said, render unto Caesar what is Caesar's, that while it may look like Caesar is building some really grand swell world upon the earth all Caesar's world will eventually do is become Hell on Earth.
Only been around 115 years since the last of the Tribes were rounded up so the Europeans could build their Grand Swell Vision of Life upon Creator's earth that according to what I read they don't consider is working out to well at all in many various ways.
Who could have ever predicted such a thing?
Life is good. What an experience! It's always best to forgive.
It has allowed us to overpopulate, overcrowd, and hence allowed us to become obese and disease ridden because of having to live to close together. Sorry because of the population numbers it will be impossible.
------------------------------------------
0.5 live birth per person, then mandatory sterilisation. Any male who impregnates more than one woman loses his dangly bits. Any woman who refuses to name her partners so they can be tested for paternity gets her pregnancy aborted and herself sterilised then. Anyone who tries to duck out gets sterilised and a prison sentence.
It's the only hope we have.
The reason that science needs to fix (study-research) these problems is because science created them. The only thing science does is insure scientific survival. It is like a parasite, but very good at telling just how bad they misjudged things.
Well, I wonder what will follow us in two or three billion years. My guess would be descendants of the tube worms and other crustaceans that live near the volcanic vents on the deep sea floors. They do not rely on the Carbon-Nitrogen-Oxygen environment that we do, and that we are rapidly destroying.
Of course, Cockroaches may still survive on our poisoned planet and that would give them a head start.
And it was such a beautiful planet.