World Must Double Food Production by 2050: FAO Chief
MADRID - Global food production, already under strain from the credit crunch, must double by 2050 to head off mass hunger, the head of the UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation said on Monday.
The food crisis pushed another 40 million people into hunger in 2008, Jacques Diouf said here at the start of a two-day international conference on food security.
That brought the global number of undernourished people to 973 million last year out of a total population of around 6.5 billion, he said.
"We face the challenge now of not only ensuring food for the 973 million who are currently hungry, but also ensuring there is food for nine billion people in 2050. We will need to double global food production by 2050," he said.
But Diouf warned the global economic crisis was already undermining efforts to tackle food insecurity as it was making it harder for farmers to get loans to buy materials and new equipment that would boost yields.
"The current economic situation does not make our task easier," he said.
The fall in prices for certain food staples from last year's highs could also discourage farmers from sowing crops, adding to the difficulty in meeting FAO's goal to halve the number of people who live in hunger by 2015, he said.
A combination of factors, including poor harvests, changing diets in emerging economies and a drive for biofuels, have come together to push food prices up, leading to protests in around 30 countries last year.
Ireland's Minister for Overseas Development Aid, Peter Power, said the hunger crisis had not been given the same level of attention as the fight against AIDS, the global financial crisis or climate change.
"This silent tsunami is completely unacceptable," he said to applause from delegates.
But Josette Shearan, the head of the UN World Food Program, the world's largest humanitarian agency, warned the world will only be able to produce enough food for everyone in 2050 if food security is made a top priority.
"If we have to produce twice as much food and we are already in a situation where one out of every six people can't get access to adequate food, this compels us to put it at the top of the agenda," she said.
In a video address, US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said Washington was "committed" to working with other nations to meet the goal of halving the number of people worldwide living in poverty and hunger by 2015.
"We are committed to building a new partnership among donor states, developing nations, UN agencies, NGOs, the private sector and others to better coordinate policies to achieve the Millennium Development Goals," she said.
The gathering is a follow-up to another UN-sponsored summit held last year in Rome to tackle the food crisis, which ended without agreement on issues such as farm subsidies, trade barriers and use of foods to make biofuels.
Diouf said nations and international organizations pledged 22 billion dollars (17 billion euros) during and after the Rome summit in development aid to alleviate hunger, which must be quickly put to use.
More than 40 government ministers and heads of international organisations were attending the meeting, which will be officially closed on Tuesday by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero.
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26 Comments so far
Show AllI'm disappointed that the UN maintains this viewpoint, especially since they have authority and vast media reach in what they say. Similar to others here, I sincerely doubt that 9 billion can live long on earth without making mass death inevitable (and not just our species). We have always had hunger helping to check unrestrained growth - have we now gained enough knowledge to eliminate hunger without the attendant population growth ? There is no solution to this predicament, only better or worse ways of coping. So far our species has responded exactly as you would expect from any critter, more food = more numbers (but still some hunger). We need to focus on socially just ways of stopping population growth in order to avoid a lot more hunger than we have now.
I don't think the world can support 9 billion people. Even if we change our ways, every living thing produces waste products, and humans the most since, being hairless and living in all climates, we rely on technology more than any other animal. Toxins are already building up dangerously in the ocean for instance.
So part of the solution is birth control using all methods that respect and empower women. Another part is better wealth distribution so that we do not have a situation where some people have billions of dollars and multiple mansions and some are eating mud.
Joe
The world population and resources are on a collison course. Technology has outrun Malthus' math for 200 years but the following does not look good:
*9 billion people by 2050.
*Peak oil will make agriculture much more expensive. Depletion of many ores and other non-renewables.
*Global warming is already causing desertification, changing weather patterns, more severe weather. Crop failures in record setting heat may well occur. Glacial melt that supplies billions of people is endangered.
*CO2 in the oceans threatens to to destroy the food chain that depends on organisms being able to produce calcium carbonate stuctures and shells.
*The oceans are already overfished, and some areas of Africa are already replacing fish with "bushmeat", endangering numerous species.
*Fresh water is already in short supply. More people means more water pollution. Aquifers that feed much of American agriculture are being drawn down much faster than can be replenished. Mountain glaciers are retreating.
The options seem to be cap and reduce population, much as China as doing already, continue the technology race with nuclear powered electricity everywhere, and desalination, fish farming, GMOs, cities of hunrdeds of millions, geoengineering..., or let the big die off hit.
"The food crisis pushed another 40 million people into hunger in 2008, Jacques Diouf said "
In other words, 40 million are hungry because they can't afford to pay for the food, not because of lack of food production. Increasing production (or lowering birthrates) won't help the situation. People need access to affordable and healthy food. Support small farmers who provide 80% of what we eat and abolish FAO, the hunger machine.
Here is a good question that I am not intending to acknowledge any bias, but would you be willing to give a part of your paycheck to fund birth control for the people who are too dumb to care?
This assumes that wealthy people aren't part of the problem. They may not have more kids per capita than poor people, but I'll bet wealthy kids grow up to be bigger consumers...McMansions, boats, trips to Aruba, etc.
All in all though, I would help fund sterilization programs as long as they were 100% voluntary. I would even go so far as adding a monetary sweetener to those willing to go through with it.
"All Nature's difference keeps all Nature's peace." Alexander Pope
In regards to your question:
Yes.
Walk in peace.
Is the human mind so blocked that it cannot grasp the concept of ZPG ?
And cannot accept the idea that eliminating the "middleman" (in that case food animals) and revising the human diet , there will be much less pollution, more water available, more green forests, more land accessible for planting , etc..?
ZPG + education = hope for man of the future .
The simple truth is there's no way we'll ever be able to feed 9 billion people. If we don't take serious steps to educate people about the urgency of having smaller families and providing them with the comprehensive sex education and family planning services to do that...we're done for.
Craig Dunkerley
Protein production determines carrying capacity. End Cannabis hemp prohibition, expand the arable base and feed the world. The UNFAO doesn't even recognize hemp as food for humans, let alone teach people about hemp seed nutrition.
I can't help but think of what Daniel Quinn wrote: more food = more people. Unless we think we're different from all other species on this planet...which we're prone to do.
"All Nature's difference keeps all Nature's peace." Alexander Pope
Ever see that experimant with the bacteria in a petri dish?
The bacteria consume all the nutrients and expand their population to the limits of their environment, then crash and die (go extinct).
It only takes a short time before this happens.
Take the ten minutes it takes to watch this:
http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=hM1x4RljmnE
Now tell me that we can techno-fix our way out of this.
We are just now, in the eleventh hour as it were, recognising that our environment, resources and ecomomy are under dire threat.
And all we can do is fingerpoint and bitch about who is resposible, instead of DOING something.
And those who did sound the alarm have been sidelined and ridiculed to the point that they have almost given up.
Walk in peace.
"And all we can do is fingerpoint and bitch about who is resposible, instead of DOING something."
Actually, I'm doing what I can. I leave the bitching to others...and they are legion.
"All Nature's difference keeps all Nature's peace." Alexander Pope
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article4133668.ece
Terrance Mitchell
Redfield, South Dakota
Great.
Crapshoot genetic engineering to make a buck. When does it know to NOT consume all the celulose it encounters outside of the lab? Ever hear of the Monsanto 'Round-up Ready' grains that were not supposed to transfer their altered genes thru wind transmission of pollen, yet ended up contaminating neighboring fields here in Canada?
And tell me oh, great techno guru, where exactly they are going to get the money to upscale this to the point it's actually useful? Yes, it's great trick in the lab. And the labrat in the article admitted it would take over a month to generate enough 'Oil 2.0' to fill ONE gas tank. Now extrapolate that delay (even with large scale production) to the MILLIONS of cars in the US alone.
And what about the thousands of other products that are derived from oil, from aspirin to ashphalt?
I have seen half a dozen similar 'promises' of 'free fuel' from similar sources. And they all crap out.
This is about as viable as the promised (but never delivered on) 'Hydrogen Economy'.
Oh, and keep in mind that this article is from the UK, which is about to undergo an economic implosion as bad as the one that just claimed the government of Iceland.
Walk in peace.
Samosamo, I totally agree. We've been totally ignoring the big elephant in the room..."Who not have more babies? Me, Nah, the mexicans, the indians, not me"...Yes, All of us.
They are cute, but do we really want those cute babies to be 50 year olds in America starving to death?
I think we all have the ability to grow our own food. Permaculture is an awesome way to intensely and naturally grow a lot of food in a small space, but we all have to realize that this planet cannot support an infinite growth of people- It's a FINITE planet!
The dirt under the feet of 18 billion people will not GROW that much food. There isn't enough carbon and nutrients left in the soil. We depleted it a long time ago with intense annual crops like corn and wheat.
There is no way around this except to either do something about population control or Mamma Gaia will find a way to shake off too many people. Floods, earthquakes, nasty viruses, it's a natural homeostasis for the Earth.
I mean, think about an apple. Left to sit on the counter, it will gather mold. The mold will multiply and literally eat the apple, creating more and more and more mold, happily consuming the apple until...whoops. No more apple. Then what happens to all those little bacteria and there children and grandchildren? They DIE.
Not to belabor a point but just a second thought your comment reminds me of, and that were the 'local societies' that actually did a more efficient job providing for the 'tribe' or group what have you and that with the advent of the agricultural societies that ever so slowly began evolving into larger and larger groups which were really cities. But the older societies, tribes, indigenous people of the North America, South American, Australia, Africa whether they were plain hunter gatherers or heavy onto the crops for food(which was, by the way, still more fat and protein base at that time)also had the real spirituality that I believe in which their god was what they saw everyday and the way those people were able to use their individual attributes to feed themselves, protect themselves, just plain provide and wonder at being alive. And I believe they had very astute view of death and what it meant to not keep those that were sure to die alive but allow them to pass on with a dignity I see very little of these days. Now it is all commercial and there is that new generation that doesn't know squat that doesn't come out the tube(msm-tv,radio-magazines,etc), no personal real world discovery and knowledge.
And all in all I believe with the advent of corporations and mainstream media, the real personal and individuality has passed on to imcompetent charlatans trying to make a buck to tell you what you DON'T need to know.
In short, globalization is the worst thing to happen to the human species, people basically did very well without relying on someone across the country to feed them or from the other side of the world.
I suggest the most greedy consumers and the most blithe polluters e.g. citizens of the US have everyone who has reached puberty sterilized.
Everybody is so insistent that there is no harm in the human poplulation to just keep on expanding and expanding as if, yeah, science will find a way to feed everybody and fix everything. Poppycock, in the last 50 or 60 years the earth's human population went from 2,000,000,000 at mid-20th century to 6,600,000,000 people that supposedly inhabit 'fair' earth which is an increase of 3. I would be modern miracle if I were still alive in 2050 and I would think with the 'modern' day thinking and emotional stupidity crap people feed on, I would not want to be here in 2050, when by a similar rise in humans would put the tally at 18,000,000,000 3xmore stupid people. So where and how will all those people be fed? All I have to say is have fun.
And peckinpah, it does have everything to do with overpopulation but hey, ship em off to mars.
Our planet can not sustain the current reproduction rates--and this is an essential factor in warming and related environmental issues as well as hunger. The Bush administration had waged war against family planning and the environment since his first day in office, when he essentially halted our international aid to these essential programs.
Bush’s contribution to over population, as well as his other enviromental crimes, have already caused immeasurable suffering & environmental damage to our planet. Until effective family planning programs can proceed without blockages from such irrational zealots guided by religious right radicals, starvation and environmental degradation from overpopulation can only worsen.
If our new president fails to reverse the dreadful Bush policies, he must assume blame for their catastraphic results.
Those people at the FAO don't seem to have a clue.
How about birth-control as a solution to this problem; those 3 billion don't need to be born, especially not if there's no food waiting for them.
A 1.5% annual increase will do the job indicated in the headline.
But we've had hunger for decades with no shortage of food, but rather a price depressing surplus, which has run LDCs, which are still 73% rural, into poverty. They need the contributiionof their farmers to stimulate their economies.
But the U.S. has had a strong commitment to losing money on farm exports for decades. In pouring out this wealth, we've dumped our farm commodities and contributed enormously to this problem.
This was, what, our "strategic national interest?" Hogwash. It was greedy self interest of grain and other commodity buyers. When farmers complained about this in the 1980s farm crisis, giving these warnings, they were blamed as "bad managers," and Reagan's budget director, David Stockman said low prices were a healthy "shakeout." So have they rationalized the business practice of losing money on exports.
Oh, and it's not subsidies that cause any of this, it's the lowering of price floors and supply management.
With the recent radical change, the price spike fall 2006-summer 2008, resources have poured in, and there are predictions of rampant oversupply again soon. So let's not get on this high horse of catering to the greedy few again, and focusing on oversupply.
The root cause of the food crisis is low farm prices. Let's not forget what we said only a few years ago. "Stop dumping our farm exports!" Go with nffc.net and get the rest of the progressive community to join them. We need to get the sustainable agriculture movement to take positons on world hunger and advocate for policies of price floors, supply management, price ceilings and reserves. So far they've stayed out of it. They must join with NFFC's world view, not keep their America-centric policy focus. We needchange in the movement. We also need the food reform movement to join and not stay out of these crucial issues.
The UN is nothing but a corrupt entity in bed with Big Agri and in support of overprocessed food designed to poison the public. The population will stabilize and people will turn towards conscientous eating as is the ongoing case. Besides, 2050 is way too off which in itself makes this UN claim suspect at best.
Terrance Mitchell
Redfield, South Dakota
How about instead of the impossibilty of doubling our food production we instead focus on cutting the human population?
The Zero Population Growth argument is looking better and better.
Major corporations in Japan are forcing their workaholic sarimen (salary-men) out of their offices in an effort to spend more time with their spouses, in an effort to raise the declining birthrate in Japan. Why? Japan is already one of the most overcrowded techno-hive hell-holes in the world. Many of thier childern have NEVER seen a sunrise.
Besides, if the economic crash proceeds as it appears it is going to, the excesive human population will contract on it's own, due to simple starvation and conflict.
The only way you'll get zero population growth is to do the following:
1. Get society to go real easy on unmarried singles and don't let them feel guilty about not getting married. As for married couples without kids, same here.
2. Completely deregulate women's rights to reproductivity.
3. Get us used to same sex couples, tough but can be done.
Terrance Mitchell
Redfield, South Dakota