US Takes the Russian Route to Afghanistan
Wonder What They're Thinking in Moscow
The American press has noted that with its eighth anniversary coming up this war has not only long since passed the duration of our involvement in the Second World War but may soon become our longest running war - depending on how you date the beginning of America's participation in the Vietnam War. But in Russia I suspect they'll pay more heed to another benchmark of futility - the date on which our war in Afghanistan matches theirs in duration, or, more properly put, the date on which it matches the length of the Soviet Union's war in Afghanistan, which began in late 1979 and ended in early 1989.
Many have called that war the Soviet Union's Vietnam. A couple of years after the last troops came home there wasn't even a Soviet Union any more. Some say that Afghanistan is the reason there wasn't. Of this we can't be certain, but what we do know is that the Soviet war effort did not turn out too well.
To be sure, the US seems unlikely to follow the USSR into oblivion over the next few years, regardless of how badly our Afghanistan War may go. But as the date on which we match the Soviets approaches, we might hope that it could at least sober our decision-makers up - and maybe wise them up a bit as well. Arrogance of power or ignorance of history - it's hard to say which is more significant in Washington these days.
Consider the amendment that Representative Jim McGovern (D-MA) offered to the recent supplemental budget appropriating funding for America's two wars. It was the most modest of measures, asking only that the Administration "submit to Congress a report outlining the United States exit strategy for United States military forces in Afghanistan." As McGovern argued during debate, "This should not be controversial." But demand anything of the White House and the antiwar President who supposedly lives there? The effrontery! The Administration and the House leadership were having none of it and rounded up every vote they could against an amendment that would have required little more of them than that within six months time they concoct an excuse for continuing this war.
The good news for the Administration was that it prevailed handily, by a 278-138 margin. The bad news was that they lost the House Democrats by 131-114. In other words, the White House now retains carte blanche regarding the Afghanistan War at the sufferance of the Republican Party. Now, the Republicans are generally a pretty dependable pro-war party and all, yet there are signs that they may not prove reliable allies indefinitely.
Take the opinions recently penned by Gene Healy of the Cato Institute for the generally right wing Examiner newspapers: "The new bipartisan conventional wisdom is that in order to fight al-Qaida, we'll have to keep fighting bloody counterinsurgencies in "failed states." Why anyone believes that is a mystery. ... Afghanistan wasn't a "dumb war" at the outset; unlike Iraq, it was a necessary war. But staying looks less and less wise every day." The Administration might do well to take note and maybe start paying a bit more heed to the people who got them where they are.
Meanwhile, it may well be true that Russia's decision to become enablers for US plans to get heavier into Afghanistan are motivated by appreciation of the fact that "the United States and NATO forces in Afghanistan are effectively defending Russia's southern flank," as Margelov is reported to believe. But you've got to figure that there'll be a few vodka toasts in Moscow when the day comes that we've been there even longer than they were. I know that when I read the July 4 headline that said, "Russia Opens Route for U.S. to Fly Arms to Afghanistan," I couldn't help but think - Those Russians, they sure have a sense of humor.
Twitter
StumbleUpon
Facebook
Delicious
Digg
Newsvine
Google
Yahoo
Technorati
8 Comments so far
Show AllThe CIA was instrumental in getting Russia involved in Afghanistan. Maybe they see this as revenge.
NOBODY has ever "won" a war in that country. There is a lot to be said for how the cost of it is weighing heavily on America and weakening us, just as it did the Soviet Union.
In recent weeks there was a meeting in Russia of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. One of the things which China is pushing for, is replacing the US dollar as the world's reserve currency. Maybe this is just one step in the process.
If the dollar loses its place as the world's reserve currency, it will create a depression that make today's economic problems look like a speed bump.
Read this article, if you haven't already:
http://www.commondreams.org/view/2009/06/15-0
Were I Russia and concerned about the USA as a threat I would encourage The US to stay on in Afghanistan, expand the Wars to Iran and Pakistan...waste hundreds of billions of more in dollars.
This money is all borrowed from China and Russia and the Middle East these countries all debating ending the US dollar as reserve currency.
With the US dollar no longer the reserve currency, it can no longer be printed at will to pay for goods and resources.
The more the USA wastes on these wars, the more dollars it prints up to finance them, the stronger the case to be made that the US dollar is a failed currency.
End of Empire.
As with Iran, Russia has common enemies with the United States in Afghanistan. Also, there Russia route gives the Russians a sense of security. This is because they have the power to cut us off, if they so choose. Which probably makes them feel alot better about Obama adding additional troops to a neighboring country.
What's the Russian for: "Sure, we'll be happy to help you bleed yourself to death."
Gallagher ends this piece with an ever so sincere "Walk in peace", but lost in the middle is this ridiculous statement, "unlike Iraq, it was a necessary war." Absolute nonsense! Gallagher walks in two directions simultaneously.
The US must have cut a deal with Russia for use of the Transoxiana Pipeline.
The US must have seen the Russian and Central Asian move towards China and offered Russia the pipeline as a counter to growing Chinese influence in the area.
This will also provide more revenue for the Pakistanis and their Port of Gwadar - offsetting the loss of revenue from the Guadar - Northern frontier - China pipeline, currently and possibly permanently disrupted by the US and Pakistani counter-insurgency efforts.
It's interesting that US efforts are focused on Helmund Province where 75% of the Afghan opium crop exists. The Herat - Kandahar - Quetta -Gwadar will run right through Helmund Province.
It's all about energy. It's all about containing China. It's all about keeping Russia on our side.
EXACTLY.
this is the classic "divide and conquer" ...
Divide Russia "from" china in their emerging cooperations ...then ISOLATE each of them -- as before.
China and Russia aren't THAT foolish.
"WE ARE A NATION OF TECHNOLOGICAL GIANTS AND MORAL MIDGETS"
DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING, JR.
It must be remembered that the Russian experience in Afghanistan culminated in the disintegration of the USSR and the abandonment of thousands of Russian troops in Afghanistan with no resupply or evacuation...
With today's foundering economy, who wants to bet on history repeating itself?
Walk in peace.