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Today's Top News
Tax Day Prompts Rethinking on Climate Policy
It's tax time, and millions of Americans will steel themselves to send Washington more of their hard earned money than they estimated they'd have to. It may feel galling, perhaps because the benefits of our taxes often go unnoticed. We come to expect drivable roads, clean water, responsive police and fire services, benefit payments and health care for our parents or grandparents, and even a world where no nation dares attack us. So, when elected officials propose a new tax, the normal responses range from "what for" to "hell, no."
Growing numbers of environmentalists and average Americans, prefer a simple, straightforward carbon tax that recycles its revenues to the other options on the table. What U.S. taxpayers need today, especially as tax day looms, is a genuine and truthful public debate about the real options available to address climate change. This anti-tax sentiment sometimes leads policymakers to dream up
complicated schemes to collect revenues without seeming to tax anyone.
That's the case, for example, with the convoluted cap-and-trade strategy
for addressing climate change. Climate, at least, is a cause which
passes the "what for" test. But there's a much better way to deal with
it that might not inspire a "hell, no" reaction: apply a fee to all
forms of energy based on how much carbon dioxide and other greenhouse
gases each releases into the climate, and then recycle the revenues as
cuts in payroll and other taxes.
Such a revenue-neutral carbon-based tax has some surprising support, especially compared to the cap-and-trade alternative supported by some industries and by most of Wall Street -- who unsurprisingly want to get their hands on the markets that would trade the scheme's "permits" for producing greenhouse gases. In fact, a recent survey conducted by Hart Research found that Americans prefer a carbon tax over cap-and-trade by a two-to-one margin.
Some politicians are catching up with the people. Following the lengthy and contentious health care debate, officials from Sen. Lindsey Graham to Interior Secretary Ken Salazar have declared the cap and trade bill "dead." This changing political landscape has led even diehard cap-and-trade supporters such as Senator John Kerry to rethink the approach. And with the end of the Democrats' filibuster-proof majority in the Senate, almost all of Washington now see that only a bipartisan effort can pass climate change legislation. At least, we may be over the first hurdle: To draw support from both parties, it has to earn the public's support.
The new political viability of a carbon-based tax certainly reflects, in important part, its ability to recycle its revenues back into the pockets of Americans. So we end up taxing what we want less of, namely greenhouse gas emissions, and cutting the tax burden on what we want more of, such as people working.
Beyond that also lies its powerful appeal as the most effective way to beat climate change: by setting a certain and stable price on greenhouse gas emissions -- which neither cap-and-trade nor EPA regulation is designed to do -- a carbon-based tax creates the economic incentives for businesses to develop the new fuels and technologies we need to control global warming, and the incentives for the rest of us to adopt those new fuels and technologies.
A few diehards continue to defend emission-trading markets, and some
others want to go forward with the system in a more limited way. But in
all of its forms, cap-and-trade depends on financial markets to trade
its permits to produce greenhouse gases; and as Europe's current
experiment with this approach demonstrates, those markets produce
volatile prices, large-scale financial speculation, and a troubling vulnerability to manipulation. In
Europe, these permit markets also have produced a range of new financial
derivatives. Following the pivotal role such risky instruments played
in the 2008-2009 financial meltdown, the last thing U.S. taxpayers
should accept is another round of trillion-dollar Wall Street betting,
this time based on energy instead of housing, and likely to eventually
need another huge taxpayer bailout.
Even if the financial shenanigans that accompany cap-and-trade were
somehow banished -- and none of the new proposals for "cap-and-trade
light" manage that trick -- the scheme will ultimately fail to provide
taxpayer value by setting us on a true path to clean energy. That's
because, once again, cap-and-trade systems are incapable of creating a stable price for carbon.
Instead, the price moves up and down with energy demand - an average of
more than 20 percent per-month in Europe's version -- necessarily
weakening people's impulses to prefer more climate-friendly fuels and
technologies. The result is that greenhouse gas emissions continue to
rise in Europe despite cap-and-trade.
Now, compare that result with the record in Sweden, which enacted a carbon tax 19 years ago. Today, Sweden's greenhouse gas emissions are 8 percent lower than they were in 1990, while the Swedish economy has expanded 45 percent, after inflation.
To be sure, some cap-and-trade advocates are trying to address the
scheme's most obvious shortcomings. Senators Maria Cantwell and Susan
Collins have introduced a "cap-and-dividend" plan that would auction
emission permits to major polluters each month, allow only those
polluters to trade the permits among themselves, limit the volatility in
the prices of those trades, and return 75 percent of the proceeds to
taxpayers. It's real progress over the Waxman-Markey bill from the
House. But it won't prevent shadow markets in permit derivatives from
springing up as they have in Europe, and significant price volatility
remains.
These deficiencies help explain why most economists and climate
scientists, along with growing numbers of environmentalists and average
Americans, prefer a simple, straightforward carbon tax that
recycles its revenues to the other options on the table. What U.S.
taxpayers need today, especially as tax day looms, is a genuine and
truthful public debate about the real options available to address
climate change. Once they get that, a genuine, bipartisan consensus
should emerge around the best response, a revenue-neutral carbon-based
tax.
- Posted in
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29 Comments so far
Show AllHumans can't bring the C02ppm down no matter what the lies
from Hanson and Gore tell us even if we were to shut down
all emisions today.
However , taxing carbon emissions will bring some revenue
in for a very bankrupt government.
Baboon: "taxing carbon emissions will bring some revenue
in for a very bankrupt government"
thanks for not reading the article.
How appropriate--Baboon. First, it's James Hansen, not Hanson. At least get your facts straight before making a fool of yourself. More importantly, if we were to replace the great forests, stop killing off the plankton, and stop pumping huge amounts of CO2 and now CH4 into the atmosphere we could restabilise the greenhouse gas concentrations at a lower level. You betray your true background including Gore, Gore is a publicist and not a very effective one. Hansen and his colleagues do give us some hope.
Tnx for correcting the 'baboon'.
Of course the only way to reduce carbon is to tax it ... despite what Paul "Shifty" Krugman says ...
Instead of a revenue neutral carbon tax we should disperse revenues on a per capita basis so the people could afford the inevitable higher prices that a carbon tax would bring with set asides for exporting industries to remain competitive and an import tariff to levy the carbon tax on imports.
With each and every person getting a carbon tax rebate they could then more easily adjust their lives to a new paradigm of $6 gas and hefty utility bills and be able to afford making their houses energy efficient and buying super efficient cars.
Agreed. Using carbon tax revenues to reduce other taxes is a terrible idea, since it won't send any signal about reducing your carbon footprint.
And in future, once those other taxes have been eliminated, pressure will also build to get rid of the carbon tax.
Tax and 100% rebate on a per-capita basis is the only way to go.
I believe that is Hansens plan. Most families in America would find it immediately beneficial, as they aren't using enough energy to be taxed much, but would get the dividend anyway.
But under either cap and trade or a carbon tax all their goods would go up in price.
With a carbon tax and per capita redistribution they would be partially compensated for the inevitable increase in all goods and services.
Well. I don't know. I'm a big fan of Krugman, and found his (long) writeup on cap n trade recently to be very well thought out. I was pro fee n dividend, before. Now, after reading Krugman, I'm kinda on the fence. Either way, something has to be done.
Krugman can not be trusted ... His method is to introduce an answer amenable to the left only to drag unsuspecting admirers by compromise into supporting corporate legislation. The recent health care debate and subsequent corporate health care bill are only too good of an example. Krugman professing single payer\Medicare for All yet recommending, in the end, this health care bill that institutionalizes the health care companies and big pharma profits ... On many issues he uses this ploy hence my nickname for him: "Shifty".
Krugman is like Obama, he says one thing but does another. Sanders and Kucinich have joined the liars club too.
Good grief, people. One can try to accomplish things, or one can be a far-out leftist who preaches to the choir. Everyone has to choose. I'm glad we have both.
On the carbon tax\ cap and trade debate.
Cap and trade, as described in the article is correct. It can and will be gamed by Wall Street, the polluting industries and politicians for excess profits and political donations.
The only transparent remedy is a carbon tax and a per capita distribution with export subsidies and import carbon taxes, lest the environment suffer and the money be diverted while the public suffers the cost increases and industry moves abroad.
I couldn't agree more. It's long past time to put good public policy above political expediency and to heed the advice of virtually all the world's leading scientists and economists by taking a serious look at a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
A revenue neutral carbon tax leaves the burden of the tax on those least able to afford it ... The cost of all goods and services would go up sparing those that could afford the increase and damning those that are struggling.
What is needed is a carbon tax that is redistributed per capita as to help people that can least afford price increases the chance to rearrange their circumstances to lead a lifestyle with a smaller carbon footprint.
We still need an actual cap though, otherwise the rich can just keep on polluting.
No we don't need a cap with a carbon tax ... The vast preponderance of CO2 is generated by industry and the general population ...
What we would need is regulation to force all energy generation to be as clean as commercially possible ...
The carbon tax itself would lower CO2 if steep enough. This however would raise prices for those who could least afford it. The proceeds of the carbon tax should be distributed per capita to help pay for these increases while allowing people the time and money to become more energy efficient.
Any product that generates unaccounted for cost, must carry a levi, a tax, in order to reduce it's further production.
Starting now, tax waste of every kind.
We are all paying money to acquire corporate products sheathed in toxic waste. Go figure!
Considering so many of the reasonable things that can't get done in our national community... lowering the age for medicare, ending the killing in South Asia, the list goes on this is a policy initiative in the right direction. Its simplicity is a significant advance over cap and trade programs. The fossil fuel industries will of course strongly oppose it. Clearly we have made a Faustian bargain with coal and oil and the hour is fast approaching midnight. Our dependence on these commodities is mind boggling and a carbon tax is sure method in our monetized culture.
The nuclear horror is a separate issue and its proponents unmoved by the disposal dilemma, but at least we can move the carbon and pollution issues forward.
Talk of Crap and Trash green house taxes contributes flatulence.
Ongoing middle east asian wars are still a money bleeding folly of nonsense.
The ground soil of society corrupted by poisons, drugs, banks and financial crappy-ness
While rulers mouth delusions of being gods that consume forever material happiness.
A direct emissions tax is far too honest,
It will only be allowed to work if the rich can profits infest.
.
"It will only be allowed to work if...". Sure, those tendencies are there. But pls don't make the error of passive grammar constructions ("It will ... be allowed") which basically erect an unspecified and unassailable regime of "the rich". The elite isn't that unified, by far.
Regardless, we still have to implement clean energy sources like wind and solar. Even with conservation and changes in transportation, we will always need energy. Taxed or not, fossil fuels will continue to pollute, acidify the ocean and foment wars. They will become increasingly scarce. Nuclear power is dangerous and also depends on some somewhat scarce mineral resources.
The revenues from any carbon tax should be segregated from other funds and used exclusively to develop and deploy renewable clean energy sources owned by the public. In today's economic and moral climate, I do not trust big private industry to develop anything that requires patience and thought based on being "incentivized." They do not do that anymore. They go for the big, the quick and the dirty profit.
Joe
Yah Joe, but it will be done one home at a time. Decentralization of solar and wind by consumers on their own homes is the smart way to achieve personal energy independence. Washington will engineer "cap and corruption" to the wealthy only. Politicians can only be depended upon to shine up their bald heads and hang for sale signs around their necks. They are traitors.
Hey stone - I hear what you are saying about corruption of government. It is a valid concern. The current federal government, although cleverer with public relations than the last bunch, seems to ignore or get rid of their most ethical and intelligent personnel. (Van Jones and Dawn Johnson are two sad examples).
I still believe it is necessary to perfect and manufacture solar panels and windmills socially, perhaps through grants to universities or small companies. Individuals cannot do that one by one. Ideally I would like something on the scale of the TVA or the Manhattan project, although, like you, I do not trust the government to handle these things in an honest way and not make it a gravy train for their favored corporate bosses.
Still, the average person cannot personally improve the technology and manufacture the components required. In addition, they probably would have trouble retrofitting new technology to old homes and office buildings. As technology improves, different incentives can go to homeowners, apartment buildings and developers to utilize these technologies, and other useful design practices like passive heating, etc.
I really want to see the manufacturing happen here in the US to provide jobs. Maybe some of those rich dudes like Soros will take the bait. Maybe the UMW can get settlements from Massey and run such projects.
Joe
jclientelle
"I still believe it is necessary to perfect and manufacture solar panels and windmills socially, perhaps through grants to universities or small companies"
True, but its hard to do. Remember the Spanish experience and others.
Joe
I can't see any carbon tax of any kind being passed in the current climate. Cap and Trade was transparently a bad idea and nothing but a windfall for energy producers and control for the government. The bad actions of some of the climate change believers has damaged any actiion far more than they care to admit. No one trusts them now. Gore was exposed by his lies and exaggerations in his film, more loss of credibility.
How anyone sells carbon taxes in this climate I don't know. And acting unilaterally, there is no measurable benefit. Minute at best.
Carbon tax, who will collect, who will monitor, and who will cheat. It is too late, the climate will change, maybe faster than anticipated. Too many people. War, Pestilence, Famine, or birth control for all. It is an easy choice, but not made by many. Viagra is covered on US medical insurance but birth control is not.
The government collects the tax at the well-head, at the mine, at the dock where tankers unload, at the pipeline where oil is transported into the country. The tax is laid on energy producers, not consumers. It is fairly easy to monitor. It should be easy to catch cheaters.
Yes, the climate will change, but we may be able to avoid catastrophe if we act now.