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Dan Beeton, 202-239-1460, beeton@cepr.net
The US Treasury Department needs to support the full amount of IMF Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) allowed without a congressional vote, as soon as possible, Center for Economic and Policy Research Co-Director Mark Weisbrot and Demand Progress Executive Director David Segal said today.
That amount, according to US law, would be 475.8 billion SDRs, or about $688 billion dollars at today's exchange rates.
The US House of Representatives passed legislation twice last year for an amount more than four times greater, or two trillion SDRs. The legislation instructed the US Treasury, at the IMF, to support this amount. But the Trump administration was opposed, and Republicans blocked matching legislation in the Senate. Earlier this month, new legislation supporting a two trillion SDR issuance was introduced in both the House and Senate. This week, the US Conference of Catholic Bishops and over 200 civil society organizations from around the world called on the G20 group of countries to support an allocation of $3 trillion worth of SDRs.
"This is something that almost all of the 189 member countries of the IMF want, and the majority of the US Congress, too," Mark Weisbrot said. "There's no reason for delay; it was only the Trump administration that was blocking it at the IMF, where the US has veto power over an SDR issuance, and that administration is gone."
There is no cost to the US government for an IMF issuance of SDRs, a reserve asset that the IMF creates and distributes to all its member countries. The Congressional Budget Office has confirmed this.
As many as one million people in the world are currently projected to die from COVID in just the next three months, according to the University of Washington. But millions more could die in the coming year from the indirect effects of the virus, including hunger and disease related to the worldwide recession. It is therefore urgent that these funds be made available quickly.
One of the main advantages of this form of relief is that it is simple and can be relatively quick. It was done in the 2009 World Recession, with the creation of 182.7 billion SDRs. In the US -- whose vote is required to pass this at the IMF -- there is a three-month waiting period after Treasury notifies Congress that it intends to support an SDR issuance at the IMF.
It is also worth noting that the United States lost about two million export-related jobs last year as a result of the world recession, as other countries cut their purchases of US exports. Most of these jobs will come back with a world economic recovery.
A letter from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on February 25 expressed qualified support for an SDR issuance. While this is a welcome development, the letter proposed a number of conditions and concluded, "[W]e look forward to discussing potential modalities for deploying SDRs."
In addition, much of the public discussion has been focused on an SDR allocation valued at 500 billion dollars. This seems to have evolved from the approximately 500 billion SDR limit that can be approved by the Treasury without a congressional vote, as various governments -- including the new US administration -- concluded that Republicans would block any legislation for SDRs in Congress.
But an SDR allocation equivalent to 500 billion dollars would be 27 percent less than the 475 billion SDRs (worth $688 billion) that can be approved without Congress, and that would almost certainly be approved at the IMF if the US were to support it. This is a huge cut for the poorest countries of the world; Ethiopia, for example, would receive 208 million SDRs (worth $299 million), instead of 285 million SDRs (worth $410 million).
This is especially important because only a very small percentage of the SDRs is expected to be converted into hard currency; in 2009 it was less than 2 percent.
However, the new legislation proposed in both the House and Senate provides for two trillion SDRs, just as it did last year. One reason that the greater amount of SDRs would save many more lives is that the SDRs that are not used still have a potentially enormous beneficial effect on the economies of developing countries. They are a reserve asset that, for countries which can show need, can be converted to hard currency such as dollars. Therefore, these additional reserves help lower borrowing costs for poor countries; they also help them avoid balance of payments crises, as debt and fiscal crises, which can have enormous economic and human costs.
"It was a terrible injustice to the world, including to Americans, that Republicans were able to block the international relief that the whole world wanted, for most of last year. It remains a terrible injustice," David Segal said.
"But now the Biden administration can change that with the stroke of a pen. It should move quickly to approve the full amount (475 billion) of SDRs that it can do under US law."
The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) was established in 1999 to promote democratic debate on the most important economic and social issues that affect people's lives. In order for citizens to effectively exercise their voices in a democracy, they should be informed about the problems and choices that they face. CEPR is committed to presenting issues in an accurate and understandable manner, so that the public is better prepared to choose among the various policy options.
(202) 293-5380The State Department said the women were related to the assassinated Iranian military commander Qasem Soleimani, but Iranian media said they had no connection to him.
With a majority of Americans including President Donald Trump's own base demanding a swift end to the war in Iran—and Iran's military capabilities proving difficult to overpower—observers suggested on Saturday that the White House was looking elsewhere to score "victories," as Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that federal agents had arrested relatives of the late Major General Qasem Soleimani, the Iranian military commander who the US assassinated in 2020 during President Donald Trump's first term.
Rubio accused Soleimani's niece, Hamideh Soleimani Afshar, of promoting "regime propaganda" and voicing support for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and said she had been living a "lavish lifestyle" in the US. Afshar's husband has been barred from entering the US and the lawful permanent resident status she and her daughter had has been terminated, said the State Department.
"Are we losing so badly we need to arrest the distant relatives of long-since-dead Iranian commanders?" asked Ryan Grim of Drop Site News.
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick of the American Immigration Council noted that the administration had used the same legal authority to arrest Soleimani's reported family members as it did to detain former Columbia University student organizer Mahmoud Khalil and Tufts University scholar Rümeysa Öztürk for speaking out against US support for Israel—a tactic which is being challenged in court as unconstitutional.
Far-right conspiracy theorist Laura Loomer, who has wielded influence in the White House during the second Trump administration, claimed credit for the arrest of the two women, saying that in communications with the State Department, she had "exposed the fact that Qasem Soleimani’s Niece Hamideh Soleimani Afshar has been living in the United States (Los Angeles, California) where she posts pro-Iranian regime and pro-IRGC content on her social media while she lives a life of luxury."
"She has been arrested and will be deported back to Iran!" she added. "Over the last few months, I have quietly been documenting all of Hamideh Soleimani Afshar’s social media activity. I uploaded it all to a secure file and shared it with [the Department of Homeland Security] and Department of State, and now she has been arrested and she will be deported from our country."
In Iran on Saturday, media outlets were reporting that the two women arrested by US Immigration and Customs Enforcement were not related to Soleimani—who had no nieces, according to journalist Kourosh Ziabari.
Soleimani's daughter told the news outlet Jamaran that "none" of her extended family has ever lived in the US.
Regardless of the women's relation to Soleimani or lack thereof, journalist Ryan Grim said the arbitrary arrest "actively puts innocent Americans around the world at risk."
Rubio's explanation for the detention and his move to revoke the women's green cards is the latest evidence that "the US is now deporting people for thought crimes," said historian Zachary Foster.
Journalist Sana Saeed said the case shows that constitutional protections for due process and free speech, which are supposed to apply to green card holders, "no longer mean anything."
"People cannot lose their green card status simply because of familial relationships, so the justification shifts here to their alleged support for the Iranian government," said Saeed. "But supporting a foreign government is not a criminal offense. And if you begin to treat it as one—as the US government effectively is in this case—then expect a lot more of this."
"It will not stop here, and it will not remain limited to Iranians," she said. "The logic does not contain itself, it expands."
The president demanded once again that Iran open the Strait of Hormuz and said that "all Hell will reign down" on the country if officials don't "make a deal."
As the US military's frantic search continued Saturday for an airman who was aboard an F-15E fighter jet when it was downed by Iranian forces a day earlier, and analysts and Iranian media alike suggested the Trump administration has lost control of its war against Iran, President Donald Trump issued his latest threat against the country—once again appearing to threaten tens of millions of Iranians with war crimes.
Renewing his demand that Iran "MAKE A DEAL or OPEN UP THE HORMUZ STRAIT," the president said he was giving the Iranian government "48 hours before all Hell will reign down on them," appearing to confuse the word "reign" with "rain."
"Time is running out," said Trump in a post on his social media platform, Truth Social.
In his post, Trump did not directly address the ongoing search for the airman, who was one of two who ejected from the fighter jet when Iran reportedly used new air defense systems to shoot down the plane. One crew member was found and rescued on Friday.
Iranian officials were also looking for the missing airman on Saturday, raising concerns that the service member could be taken as a hostage and used as leverage.
The president has said little about the ongoing search, but spoke briefly to The Independent in a phone call Saturday about the possibility that Iran could find the service member first.
"We hope that’s not going to happen,” he said.
Trump's comments on social media, meanwhile, appeared to signal "a countdown to massive war crimes," said New York University law professor Ryan Goodman.
The president has also previously warned Iran with an ultimatum, only to delay the threatened action. He said on March 22 that the US would "hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!" if officials did not reopen the strait—prompting critics to condemn him as a "maniacal tyrant."
The March 22 threat was likely a reference to Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant, the vicinity of which was struck by a projectile on Saturday, prompting condemnation from the International Atomic Energy Agency. Human rights experts have repeated warnings in recent weeks that striking power plants would constitute war crimes.
At least five people were killed and 170 were injured in airstrikes on a petrochemical hub in Iran's Khuzestan province on Saturday morning, in addition to the Bushehr attack.
After his initial threat, Trump later said direct strikes on energy infrastructure would not be launched until April 6, and demanded that Iran open the key waterway before then.
Despite Trump's increasingly belligerent threats of "hell" and destruction of civilian infrastructure, a number of media critics noted on Saturday that mainstream Western news outlets including The New York Times, The Economist, and Bloomberg described Iran's use of air defense systems to shoot down US war planes involved in the invasion as an "escalation from Iran's leadership."
"Does Iran have a right to defend itself? Does Palestine? Does Lebanon?" asked commentator Hasan Piker, noting that the US and Israel have claimed they launched the invasion of Iran to "defend" themselves against an imminent attack, contrary to US intelligence analysis. "Or is it just Israel and America who get to claim self-defense as they engage in wars of conquest?"
The International Atomic Energy Agency warned of "the paramount importance of adhering to the seven pillars for ensuring nuclear safety and security during a conflict."
The director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency on Saturday demanded "maximum military restraint" from the US and Israel as it confirmed reports that strikes had targeted a location close to Iran's Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant, killing at least one person.
In a statement released via social media, the IAEA relayed a message from Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi, who expressed "deep concern about the reported incident."
Grossi warned that nuclear power plants or nearby areas "must never be attacked, noting that auxiliary site buildings may contain vital safety equipment" and stressed "the paramount importance of adhering to the seven pillars for ensuring nuclear safety and security during a conflict."
The IAEA said the attack near the Bushehr plant, Iran's only operational nuclear power facility, was the fourth such attack since Israel and the US began its invasion of Iran on February 28. The plant lies in a city inhabited by about 250,000 people.
A security staff member was killed by a projectile fragment and a building on the Bushehr site was impacted by shockwaves and fragments. Grossi said that no increase in radiation levels was reported.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi also condemned the Bushehr strike and issued a reminder of the "Western outrage about hostilities near Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant in Ukraine" when Russia attacked the site.
"Israel-US have bombed our Bushehr plant four times now. Radioactive fallout will end life in [Gulf Cooperation Council] capitals, not Tehran. Attacks on our petrochemicals also convey real objectives," said Araghchi.
Al Jazeera reported that at least two petrochemical facilities had been hit by the US and Israel in southern Iran’s Khuzestan province, an energy hub in the country. At least five people were injured in those attacks,
Iranian news agency Mehr reported that the state-run Bandar Imam petrochemical complex, which produces liquefied petroleum gas and chemicals as well as other products, sustained damage.
President Donald Trump said late last month that he would delay any attacks on Iran's energy infrastructure until April 6 and said the delay was "subject to the success of the ongoing meetings and discussions.”
He has threatened to destroy Iran's power plants and other civilian infrastructure if Iranian leaders don't end the blockade on the oil export waterway the Strait of Hormuz, which they began in retaliation for the US-Israeli strikes that started more than a month ago and which has fueled skyrocketing global energy prices.
The threat amounted to Trump warning that he could soon commit a war crime, said international law experts.