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At a sunrise ceremony on the Canal de la Villette in central Paris, representatives of the Kichwa community of Sarayaku from the rainforests of Ecuador announced the arrival of a hand-carved 30-foot long traditional Amazonian canoe. The 10,000 km journey, three months in the making, marks the first time an Amazonian canoe of this kind has arrived to France.
The canoe brings with it an urgent message for the global decision-makers inside the UNFCCC Conference of Parties (COP) 21 currently underway in Paris. The Sarayaku Canoe of Life will be on display from Tuesday to Friday at the Indigenous Pavilion in the Climate Generations space at the COP, after which it will be on display at Paris City Hall until mid-January.
"Some 500 years ago the conquistadores came to our lands on boats, bringing devastation and death," said Felix Santi, President of Sarayaku. "Our canoe is a symbol of life and peace from the heart of the Amazon to show the world that our forests are still living and to tell those negotiating a climate treaty that indigenous rights and voices must be a fundamental part of any agreement that hopes to address climate change."
Today's ceremony comes on the heels of a flotilla action on Sunday that brought together indigenous people from the Arctic to the Amazon in a call to keep fossil fuels in the ground and urged governments to respect their collective indigenous rights. Though the Sarayaku Canoe of Life had not yet arrived, Sunday's action was inspired by their vision of bringing a canoe from the Amazon to Paris.
The canoe is shaped in the form of the rare Hummingbird Fish that lives in the depths of Sarayaku's sacred lagoons inside their 300,000+ acre territory. It joins a delegation of ten community members already in Paris who have been sharing their message inside the COP21 official and civil society spaces. The delegation is calling on world leaders to keep fossil fuels in the ground, defend indigenous rights, and protect the "Living Forests" of indigenous territories as fundamental solutions to the climate crisis.
The "Living Forest" concept includes the intrinsic spiritual value of the rainforests for indigenous peoples and the need to leave sub-soil carbon resources in the ground. Recent studies show that more than 80% of all fossil fuels are unburnable and must permanently remain in the ground if we are to avoid a 2deg C temperature rise that scientists warn is a critical threshold for climate stability. Studies also show that the carbon stored in the Amazon's indigenous territories and protected areas - many of which are threatened by fossil fuel development - is sufficient to either destabilize or significantly contribute to the stabilization of the planet's atmosphere depending on the collective impact of development projects.
"We are both contributing to climate change solutions by keeping the oil under our territories permanently in the ground and keeping our forests intact above ground" said Patricia Gualinga, international representative for Sarayaku. "We are calling for a new definition and protection of forests - the Kawsak Sacha, or 'living forest' - that will ensure protection and recognition of critical primary forests like those in Sarayaku."
Like most indigenous peoples, the Kichwa community of Sarayaku is on the front lines of climate change. "Our medicine people and elders have been talking about climate change for a long time. It's only now that the scientists are catching up," said Ena Santi, the women's representative for Sarayaku. We have seen our rivers go dry or abnormally flood. Recently, for the first time, hail fell in our community - in the middle of the Amazon. We are the ones that know what the earth needs, and we need world leaders to listen to us."
Despite Sarayaku having communal land title, the Ecuadorian government and foreign petrochemical companies have long sought to extract oil from beneath Sarayaku territory. The community waged an unprecedented campaign to keep oil extraction at bay, including winning a case before the Inter-American Human Rights Court of the Organization of American States (OAS) against the Ecuadorian state. In 2012, the Court ruled against the government, affirming the rights violations suffered by community members when the military sought to enter their territory by force. In November of this year, the government once again announced plans to auction off oil concessions in early 2016 for lands that overlap Sarayaku territory.
Meanwhile, the official party negotiations for a climate accord have left highly uncertain the inclusion of indigenous rights and human rights language in the binding agreement. The bracketed human rights text is an ominous sign that even basic language of respect for indigenous peoples and their rights is not palatable to governments that seek to continue with business as usual at great peril to the planet and humanity. The current scenario underscores the ongoing denial of decision-makers that somehow view the climate problem as separate from rights of indigenous peoples.
Amazon Watch is a nonprofit organization founded in 1996 to protect the rainforest and advance the rights of indigenous peoples in the Amazon Basin. We partner with indigenous and environmental organizations in campaigns for human rights, corporate accountability and the preservation of the Amazon's ecological systems.
"He’s the Jim Cramer of Iran war predictions," said one critic.
Conservative commentator Dave Rubin, who for months has been a top booster of President Donald Trump's illegal war with Iran, was inundated with mockery on Sunday after a viral video exposed months' worth of his failed predictions about the conflict.
The video, which was posted on social media Saturday, begins with Rubin telling viewers to not listen to any of the prognostications being made by critics of the war, which Trump launched in late February without any authorization from Congress.
"I'm pretty good with predictions," Rubin says. "And my prediction here is that everything the media is now going to say about Iran—it's going to close the Strait of Hormuz, and energy prices are going to go crazy—none of this is going to come to pass."
Iran war: greatest hits from the last 12 weeks pic.twitter.com/9pgXyvmsgF
— Dave Rubin Clips II (Parody) - Retired Jan.20/2025 (@DaveClips) May 24, 2026
The video then cuts to Rubin wrongly predicting that gas prices during the conflict "will continue to come down," before switching to claims that Iran lacks the military capability to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed in the face of US military power.
"If the United States wants to keep the Strait of Hormuz open, which it does," says Rubin, "and Donald Trump says we'll escort ships through if we have to, it's going to stay open."
From there, the video shows Rubin hyping of the prospect of Iranian dissident Reza Pahlavi swooping in to take over the country after the war, and then getting fooled by a fake artificial intelligence-generated video of Iranians giving thanks to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for bombing their country.
The video compilation of Rubin's failed predictions drew immediate ridicule from critics.
"He’s the Jim Cramer of Iran war predictions," joked Krystal Ball.
Commentator Adam Mockler wrote of Rubin that "it’s brutal watching him make failed predictions week after week."
Journalist Glenn Greenwald argued that the video should be the last nail in the coffin of whatever credibility Rubin had left.
"Imagine having sat through and listened to all of this Israeli propaganda, which turned out to be (predictably and completely) false," commented Greenwald, "and then thinking there was some value in continuing to listen to this person."
The Bulwark's Tim Miller said that while he knew Rubin was "a smooth-brained hack," he still "couldn’t even fathom how bad these war takes would be."
Political analyst Omar Baddar, meanwhile, said the video should erase any doubt that Rubin is "the dumbest man on the internet."
The Trump administration last week sued Minnesota after it passed a law banning prediction markets from operating in the state.
A Sunday report in The New York Times revealed how the Trump administration is using a key government agency to shut down any efforts to regulate online betting markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
According to the Times, the administration has stacked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) with industry insiders who have systematically "mowed down" staffers at the agency who have expressed interest in providing oversight on prediction markets.
Among other things, the report documented how multiple officials at CTFC have been put on leave simply for asking questions about the betting markets' ties to members of President Donald Trump's family or for having past experience enforcing regulations related to cryptocurrencies.
What's more, the Times found that even being an industry insider isn't enough to guarantee good standing in the agency. Brian Quintenz, who was tapped by Trump to lead CTFC last year, saw his nomination withdrawn after he drew the ire of Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss for refusing to support their cryptocurrency exchange's complaint against the agency.
Revelations about industry insiders rolling over regulators at CTFC come as the Trump administration is fighting any attempts by states to regulate prediction markets.
As explained in a Thursday report from CNBC, the Trump administration is "fighting a multi-front battle to stop the state actions and assert its regulatory authority," with CTFC arguing that it is "the only entity that can regulate" betting platforms.
16 different states are engaged in legal proceedings against the platforms, and Minnesota last week passed a law to ban them outright, which immediately drew a lawsuit from the administration.
The new Minnesota law, which is scheduled to take effect in August, bans prediction markets "from hosting, creating or advertising in the state," according to ABC News.
In an interview with ABC, Minnesota state Rep. Emma Greenman (D-63B) said she authored the legislation because she has grown increasingly concerned about young people in the state seeing their finances drained from placing online bets.
"We're seeing studies come out that say [the companies] are targeting 18- to 21-year-olds," said Greenman, "and we are seeing gambling starting younger and younger."
CFTC Chair Michael Selig last month warned states against trying to regulate prediction markets, which he said would "circumvent the clear directive of Congress."
"Our message to Wisconsin is the same as to New York, Arizona, and others," said Selig. "If you interfere with the operation of federal law in regulating financial markets, we will sue you."
"Nothing was accomplished by Operation Epic Fury except putting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in charge of Iran and the Strait of Hormuz," said one critic of the war.
President Donald Trump revealed on Saturday that he is mulling a deal that would end his illegal war with Iran, and some hawks within the Republican Party are expressing alarm.
According to a Sunday report in The New York Times, many details of the agreement to end the war remain murky, with the fate of Iran's enriched uranium up in the air. US and Iranian officials have also given contradictory messages about the proposed deal's contents, suggesting there is much work still to be done before any agreement is finalized.
Regardless, three hawkish GOP senators on Saturday raised major concerns about the contents of the deal, warning against accepting any agreement that will leave Iran in a stronger position than before Trump illegally launched a war against it without any authorization from Congress in late February.
"If it is perceived in the region that a deal with Iran allows the regime to survive and become more powerful over time, we will have poured gasoline on the conflicts in Lebanon and Iraq," wrote Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), who lobbied Trump to attack Iran repeatedly before the start of the war. "A deal that is perceived to allow Iran to survive and possess the ability to control the [Strait of Hormuz] in the future will put Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Shia militias in Iraq on steroids.
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), another longtime Iran hawk, said he was "deeply concerned" about what he's been hearing about the deal and expressed particular worry about Iran getting relief from US sanctions while still maintaining the ability to shut down the Strait of Hormuz.
"If the result of all that is to be an Iranian regime—still run by Islamists who chant 'death to America'—now receiving billions of dollars," Cruz wrote, "being able to enrich uranium and develop nuclear weapons, and having effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, then that outcome would be a disastrous mistake."
Sen. Roger Wicker (D-Miss.) was even blunter in his condemnation of the reported agreement.
"The rumored 60-day ceasefire—with the belief that Iran will ever engage in good faith—would be a disaster," Wicker wrote. "Everything accomplished by Operation Epic Fury would be for naught!"
Ben Rhodes, a former deputy national security adviser for President Barack Obama, challenged Wicker's claims that Trump's illegal war had achieved anything of value.
"Nothing was accomplished by Operation Epic Fury," Rhodes wrote, "except putting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in charge of Iran and the Strait of Hormuz."
Rhodes' criticism was echoed by Stephen Wertheim, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, who wrote that "everything accomplished by Operation Epic Fury is already for naught."
Ali Vaez, director of the Iran Project at the International Crisis Group, accused the Iran hawks of being delusional for thinking further bombing would force Iran to capitulate.
"DC's Iran hawks got two wars, nearly every conceivable sanction designation, a blockade, threw a wrench in global economy," Vaez wrote, "and will still claim that just a little more pressure and a touch more bombing will magically yield the concessions they still won't be satisfied with."