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    An Urgent Message From Our Co-Founder

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    polling

    A shopper looks at Statue of Liberty replicas.

    Gallup Gets the Headline Wrong: Trump’s Poor Scores on the Economy Are the Real Story

    The more important story in Gallup’s recent findings is that Independent voters have soured on Donald Trump, with two-thirds disapproving of his economic performance.

    Martin Burns
    Apr 02, 2025

    As a self-confessed polling nerd, I have studied polling for decades. One of the more interesting things I have done in my life is worked as an analyst for a prominent Democratic polling firm. There is no organization with a better reputation than Gallup. Founded way back in 1935, Gallup is truly the gold standard. Their nonpartisan reputation is without question. However, Gallup has not been perfect: It predicted New York Gov. Thomas Dewey would beat President Harry Truman back in 1948 and it had Gerald Ford edging out Jimmy Carter back in 1976. Despite these misses, you could always depend on Gallup to uphold the strictest methodological ethics and, even more importantly, they would report their data without any spin. Sometimes I liked what the Gallup reported, other times I did not.

    So, when Gallup released new polling data last Thursday, I eagerly clicked on the link. I was wondering if President Donald Trump’s job approval was trending up or down. The headline of the Gallup press release was “Republicans, Men Push Trump Approval Higher in Second Term.” I was perplexed by the sub-header which said “Black, Hispanic adults more approving of Trump in second term, but still disapprove of him overall.”

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    62% of Americans Agree US Government Should Ensure Everyone Has Health Coverage

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    Public sentiment regarding the nation's for-profit healthcare system—an outlier among wealthy nations—has dominated the national news in recent days following last week's killing of an insurance executive in New York.

    On Monday, just hours before a suspect in the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was arrested by police, a new Gallup poll found a 62% majority in the U.S. believe the government should ensure all Americans have healthcare coverage—the highest percentage in more than a decade.

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    Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonald speaks Sunday at a press conference at Wynn's Hotel in Dublin

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    The left-wing Irish party Sinn Fein on Sunday tied for the top spot in national polls ahead of elections on February 8 that will determine which political party will lead the country going forward.

    "People want change," the party tweeted Sunday. "Sinn Fein can bring that change."

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