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Over 150 Parliamentarians, Ministers, and Ex-Presidents From 26 Countries Warn of Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro's Plans for an 'Insurrection' on 7 September
"We are gravely concerned about the threat to Brazil’s democratic institutions."
GLOBAL
We, elected representatives and leaders from around the world, are sounding the alarm: On 7 September 2021, an insurrection will endanger democracy in Brazil.
Right now, President Jair Bolsonaro and his allies -- including white supremacist groups, military police, and public officials at every level of government -- are preparing a nation-wide march against the Supreme Court and Congress on 7 September, stoking fears of a coup in the world's third largest democracy.
President Bolsonaro has escalated his attacks on Brazil's democratic institutions in recent weeks. On 10 August, he directed an unprecedented military parade through the capital city of Brasilia, as his allies in Congress pushed sweeping reforms to the country's electoral system, widely considered to be one of the most trustworthy in the world. Bolsonaro and his government have threatened -- several times -- to cancel the 2022 presidential elections if Congress fails to approve these reforms.
Now, Bolsonaro is calling on his followers to travel to Brasilia on 7 September in an act of intimidation of the country's democratic institutions. According to a message shared by the President on 21 August, the march is preparation for a "necessary counter-coup" against the Congress and the Supreme Court. The message claimed that Brazil's "communist constitution" has taken away Bolsonaro's power, and accused "the Judiciary, the left, and a whole apparatus of hidden interests" of conspiring against him.
Members of Congress in Brazil have warned that the 7 September mobilization has been modeled on the insurrection at the United States Capital on 6 January 2021, when then-president Donald Trump encouraged his supporters to "stop the steal" with false claims of electoral fraud in the 2020 presidential elections.
We are gravely concerned about the imminent threat to Brazil's democratic institutions -- and we stand vigilant to defend them ahead of 7 September and after. The people of Brazil have struggled for decades to secure democracy from military rule. Bolsonaro must not be permitted to rob them of it now.
Signed,
Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, Former Prime Minister, Spain
Fernando Lugo, Fmr President, Paraguay
Adolfo Perez Esquivel, Nobel Laureate, Argentina
Noam Chomsky, Professor, USA
Yanis Varoufakis, Member of Parliament, Greece
Ernesto Samper, Fmr President, Colombia
Jeremy Corbyn, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Cori Bush, Member of the House of Representatives, USA
Jean-Luc Melenchon, Member of the National Assembly, France
Gustavo Petro, Senator, Colombia
Caroline Lucas, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Golriz Gharahman, Member of Parliament, New Zealand
Larissa Waters, Senator, Australia
Helmut Scholz, Member of the European Parliament, Germany
Manon Aubry, Member of the European Parliament, France
Gonzalo Winter, Member of the Chamber of Deputies, Chile
Heinz Bierbaum, President of the Party of the European Left, Germany
Ricardo Patino, Fmr Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ecuador
Unai Sordo, General Secretary of Comisiones Obreras (CCOO), Spain
Cornel West, Professor, USA
Maria Jose Pizarro, Member of the House of Representatives, Colombia
Juan Somavia, Fmr Director-General of the International Labour Organization, Chile
Rafael Correa, Fmr President, Ecuador
Oscar Laborde, President of Mercosur Parliament, Argentina
Carlos Ramirez-Rosa, Member of the Chicago City Council, USA
Manuel Bompard, Member of the European Parliament, France
Rafael Michelini, Senator, Uruguay
Nelson Larzabal, Member of the Chamber of Representatives, Uruguay
Celso Amorim, Fmr Minister of Foreign Relations, Brazil
Ana Isabel Prera, Fmr Ambassador, Guatemala
Hugo Yasky, Secretary-General of Central de Trabajadores de la Argentina (CTA), Argentina
Mehreen Faruqi, Senator, Australia
Thierry Bodson, President of the Federation Generale du Travail de Belgique (FGTB), Belgium
Denis de la Reussille, Member of the National Council, Switzerland
Marco Enriquez-Ominami, Fmr Member of the Chamber of Deputies, Chile
Aida Garcia Naranjo, Fmr Minister of Women and Social Development, Peru
Jordon Steele-John, Senator, Australia
Martin Torrijos, Fmr President, Panama
Liliam Kechichian, Senator, Uruguay
Nicolas Viera, Member of the Chamber of Representatives, Uruguay
Zarah Sultana, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Claudia Webbe, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Martin Buschmann, Member of EU Parliament, Germany
Kenny MacAskill, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Mick Whitley, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Marion Fellows, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Bell Ribeiro-Addy, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Mohammad Yasin, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Tony Lloyd, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
John McDonnell, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Kate Osborne, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Ian Byrne, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Pauline Bryan, Member of the House of Lords, United Kingdom
Lloyd Russell-Moyle, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Prem Sikka, Member of the House of Lords, United Kingdom
John Hendy, Member of the House of Lords, United Kingdom
Gerardo Pisarello, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Cecilia Britto, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Argentina
Gabriela Rivadeneria, Fmr President of National Assembly, Ecuador
Aina Vidal, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Daisy Tourne, Senator, Uruguay
Eric Calcagno, National Deputy, Argentina
Omar Plaini, Senator, Argentina
Marcela Aguinaga, Fmr Minister of the Environment, Ecuador
Rafael Mayoral, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Fernanda Vallejo, National Deputy, Argentina
Idoia Villanueva, Member of the European Parliament, Spain
Lucia Munoz Dalda, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Marita Perceval, Senator, Argentina
Ricardo Oviedo, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Argentina
Maite Mola, Vice-President of the Party of the European Left, Spain
Andres Arauz, Fmr Minister of Knowledge and Human Talent, Ecuador
Alicia Castro, Fmr Ambassador, Argentina
Adolfo Mendoza Leigue, Senator, Bolivia
Barry Gardiner, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Jon Cruddas, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Mary Kelly Foy, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Apsana Begum, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Maurizio Landini, General Secretary of Confederazione Generale Italiana del Lavoro, Italy
Kim Johnson, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Diane Abbott, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Tahir Ali, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Sira Rego, Member of the European Parliament, Spain
Manu Pineda, Member of the European Parliament, Spain
Richard Burgon, Member of Parliament, United Kingdom
Ivan Cepeda Castro, Senator, Colombia
Daniel Caggiani, Fmr President of the Mercosur Parliament, Uruguay
Guillaume Long, Fmr Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ecuador
Jose Roselli, National Deputy, Argentina
Guillermo Carmona, National Deputy, Argentina
Arlindo Chinaglia, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Brazil
Paola Vega, Member of the Legislative Assembly, Costa Rica
Juan Lopez de Uralde, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Monica Macha, National Deputy, Argentina
Martina Velarde, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Antonia Jover, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Daniel Martinez, Fmr Mayor of Montevideo, Uruguay
Ana Merelis, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Bolivia
Perpetua Almeida, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Brazil
Carlos Ominami, Fmr Senator, Chile
Hugo Martinez, Fmr Foreign Minister, El Salvador
Scott Ludlam, Fmr Senator, Australia
Leila Chaibi, Member of the European Parliament, France
Saul Ortega, Fmr President of the Mercosur Parliament, Venezuela
Monica Xavier, Fmr Senator, Uruguay
Paulao, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Brazil
Cristina Alvarez Rodriguez, National Deputy, Argentina
Lia Veronica Caliva, National Deputy, Argentina
Fotini Bakadima, Member of Parliament, Greece
Ricardo Canese, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Paraguay
Hector Fernandez, National Deputy, Argentina
Alejandro Rusconi, International Relations Secretary of Movimiento Evita, Argentina
Amanda Della Ventura, Senator, Uruguay
Carlos Lopez, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Argentina
Juan Carlos Alderete, National Deputy, Argentina
Ruth Buffalo, Member of the North Dakota House of Representatives, USA
Adrien Quatennens, Member of the National Assembly, France
Cristian Bello, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Argentina
Alberto Grillon, Fmr Senator, Paraguay
Jahiren Noriega Donoso, Member of the National Assembly, Ecuador
Carlos Sotelo, Fmr Senator, Mexico
Nanci Parrilli, Senator, Argentina
Maria Antonieta Saa Diaz, Member of the Chamber of Deputies, Chile
Marcia Covarrubias, Member of the Chamber of Deputies, Chile
Bettiana Diaz, Member of the Chamber of Representatives, Uruguay
Gaston Harispe, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Argentina
Ubaldo Aita, Member of the Chamber of Representatives, Uruguay
Carolina Yutrovic, National Deputy, Argentina
Claudia Mix, Member of the Chamber of Deputies, Chile
Clara Lopez, Fmr Minister of Labour, Colombia
Karol Cariola, Member of the Chamber of Deputies, Chile
Roser Maestro, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Mercedes Perez, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Victoria Donda, National Deputy, Argentina
Benoit Martin, President of the Confederation Generale du Travail-Paris (CGT-Paris), France
Marisa Saavedra, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Miguel Bustamante, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Anton Gomez-Reino, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Pedro Antonio Honrubia, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Joan Mena, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Mar Garcia Puig, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Txema Guijarro, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Pablo Echenique, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Sofia Castanon, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Javier Sanchez, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Pilar Garrido, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Ismael Cortes, Member of the Congress of Deputies, Spain
Julio Sotelo, Member of the Mercosur Parliament, Argentina
Florence Poznanski, National Secretary Parti de Gauche, France
John Ackerman, Professor, Mexico
Karina Oliva, Fmr Gubernatorial Candidate for the Metropolitan Region of Santiago, Chile
Florence Poznanski, National Executive Secretary of the Parti de Gauche, France
Jean-Christophe Sellin, Co-coordinator of the Parti de Gauche, France
Helene Lecacheux, Co-coordinator of the Parti de Gauche, France
Camilo Lagos, President of the Partido Progresista, Chile
Gibran Ramirez Reyes, Professor, Mexico
Katu Arkonada, Network of Intellectuals in Defense of Humanity, Mexico
Eduardo Valdes, National Deputy, Argentina
Nora Del Valle Gimenez, Senator, Argentina
Minou Tabarez Miraval, National Deputy, Dominican Republic
Yves Niveaux, Direction of the PST/POP, Switzerland
Marc Botenga, Member of EU Parliament, Belgium
Felipe Carballo, Diputado Nacional, Frente Amplio, Uruguay
Jose Miguel Insulza, Fmr Foreign Minister, Chile
Mathilde Pannot, Member of the National Assembly, France
Progressive International is an international organization uniting and mobilizing progressive left-wing activists and organizations.
LATEST NEWS
Sanders Slams 'War Criminal' Netanyahu Ahead of New Meeting With Trump to Plan Gaza Ethnic Cleansing
The progressive senator underscored that the Israeli leader has been indicted by the International Criminal Court "for overseeing the systematic killing and starvation of civilians in Gaza."
Jul 08, 2025
U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders sharply criticized Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday as the fugitive from the International Criminal Court met with lawmakers ahead of a second White House meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump to advance plans for the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians from the embattled Gaza Strip.
"As President Trump and members of Congress roll out the red carpet for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, let's remember that Netanyahu has been indicted as a war criminal by the International Criminal Court for overseeing the systematic killing and starvation of civilians in Gaza," Sanders (I-Vt.) said in a statement.
"This is the man Trump and Congress are welcoming this week: a war criminal who will be remembered as one of modern history's monsters," the senator continued. "His extremist government has killed more than 57,000 Palestinians and wounded almost 135,000, 60% of whom are women, children, or elderly people. The United Nations reports that at least 17,000 children have been killed and more than 25,000 wounded. More than 3,000 children in Gaza have had one or more limbs amputated."
"At this moment, hundreds of thousands of people are starving after Israel prevented any aid from entering Gaza for nearly three months," Sanders noted. "In the last six weeks, Israel has allowed a trickle of aid to get in, but has tried to replace the established United Nations distribution system with a private foundation backed by security contractors. This has been a catastrophe, with near-daily massacres at the new aid distribution sites. In its first five weeks in operation, 640 people have been killed and at least 4,488 injured while trying to access food through this mechanism."
Trump and Netanyahu—who said Monday that he nominated the U.S. president for the Nobel Peace Prize—are expected to discuss ongoing efforts to reach a new deal to secure the release of the 22 remaining Israeli and other hostages held by Hamas since the October 7, 2023 attack on Israel, as well as plans for giving Gazans what the prime minister described as a "better future" by finding third countries willing to accept forcibly displaced Palestinians.
Critics said such euphemistic language is an attempt to give cover to Israel's plan to ethnically cleanse and indefinitely occupy Gaza. Observers expressed alarm over Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz' Tuesday affirmation of a plan to force all Palestinians in Gaza into a camp at the southern tip of the strip.
"There is no such thing as voluntary displacement amongst a population that has been under constant bombardment for nearly two years and has been cut off from essential aid," Jeremy Konyndyk, president of the advocacy group Refugees International and a former senior official at the U.S. Agency for International Development, told Reuters.
Most Palestinians are vehemently opposed to what they say would amount to a second Nakba, the forced displacement of more than 750,000 people from Palestine during and after the 1948 establishment of the modern state of Israel.
"This is our land," one Palestinian man, Mansour Abu Al-Khaier, told The Times of Israel on Tuesday. "Who would we leave it to, where would we go?"
Another Gazan, Abu Samir el-Fakaawi, told the newspaper: "I will not leave Gaza. This is my country. Our children who were martyred in the war are buried here. Our families. Our friends. Our cousins. We are all buried here. Whether Trump or Netanyahu or anyone else likes it or not, we are staying on this land."
Officials at the United Nations—whose judicial body, the International Court of Justice, is weighing a genocide case against Israel brought by South Africa and supported by around two dozen countries—condemned any forced displacement of Palestinians from Gaza.
"This raises concerns with regards to forcible transfer—the concept of voluntary transfers in the context that we are seeing in Gaza right now [is] very questionable," Ravina Shamdasani, a spokesperson for the U.N. Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, said Tuesday.
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In 'Serious Blow to Our Democracy,' Supreme Court Allows Trump Mass Firing Order
The high court's decision to "release the president's wrecking ball at the outset of this litigation," said Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, "is not only truly unfortunate but also hubristic and senseless."
Jul 08, 2025
The U.S. Supreme Court on Tuesday lifted a block on U.S. President Donald Trump's February executive order directing federal agency leaders to "promptly undertake preparations to initiate large-scale reductions in force" and a related memorandum.
In response to a lawsuit filed by a coalition of labor unions, local governments, and nonprofits, Judge Susan Illston—appointed to the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California by former President Bill Clinton—had issued a temporary restraining order and then a preliminary injunction, which was upheld by the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals in May.
That legal battle led to the Supreme Court's shadow docket, where emergency decisions don't have to be signed. The Tuesday opinion from the high court's unidentified majority states that Illston's injunction was based on a view that Trump's order implementing his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) "Workforce Optimization Initiative" and a joint memo from the Office of Management and Budget and the Office of Personnel Management "are unlawful."
"Because the government is likely to succeed on its argument that the executive order and memorandum are lawful—and because the other factors bearing on whether to grant a stay are satisfied—we grant the application," the Supreme Court continued, emphasizing that the justices did not weigh in on the legality of any related agency reduction in force (RIF) and reorganization plans.
BREAKING: The Supreme Court allows the Trump administration to resume agency mass-firing plans over the dissent of Justice Jackson, who criticized "this Court’s demonstrated enthusiasm for greenlighting this President’s legally dubious actions in an emergency posture." More to come at Law Dork:
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— Chris Geidner (@chrisgeidner.bsky.social) July 8, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Only Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson publicly dissented on Tuesday. Another liberal, Justice Sonia Sotomayor, wrote in a short concurrence that "the plans themselves are not before this court, at this stage, and we thus have no occasion to consider whether they can and will be carried out consistent with the constraints of law. I join the court's stay because it leaves the district court free to consider those questions in the first instance."
Meanwhile, Jackson argued that "given the fact-based nature of the issue in this case and the many serious harms that result from allowing the president to dramatically reconfigure the federal government, it was eminently reasonable for the district court to maintain the status quo while the courts evaluate the lawfulness of the president's executive action."
She continued:
At bottom, this case is about whether that action amounts to a structural overhaul that usurps Congress' policymaking prerogatives—and it is hard to imagine deciding that question in any meaningful way after those changes have happened. Yet, for some reason, this court sees fit to step in now and release the president's wrecking ball at the outset of this litigation.
In my view, this decision is not only truly unfortunate but also hubristic and senseless. Lower court judges have their fingers on the pulse of what is happening on the ground and are indisputably best positioned to determine the relevant facts—including those that underlie fair assessments of the merits, harms, and equities. I see no basis to conclude that the district court erred—let alone clearly so—in finding that the president is attempting to fundamentally restructure the federal government.
Mark Joseph Stern, who covers the courts for Slate, said on social media that "Justice Jackson's criticism is spot-on, of course. But as Justice Sotomayor's concurrence suggests, SCOTUS' order looks like a negotiated compromise that leaves the district court room to block future RIFs and agency 'restructuring.' So the damage is limited."
"The real test will be what happens once agencies start to develop and implement plans for mass firings—which will, by and large, be illegal," he warned. "District courts still have discretion, for now, to stop them. Will SCOTUS freeze their orders and let unlawful RIFs and restructurings proceed? I fear it will."
Trump’s firings at federal agencies have upended the lives of thousands of workers.These are the people who oversee air safety, food and drug safety, disaster response, public health, and much more.Replacing civil servants with Trump loyalists is right out of Project 2025.
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— Robert Reich (@rbreich.bsky.social) July 8, 2025 at 5:13 PM
The coalition that challenged the order and memo includes the American Federation of Government Employees and four AFGE locals; American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees (AFSCME); Service Employees International Union and three SEIU Locals; Alliance for Retired Americans; American Geophysical Union; American Public Health Association; Center for Taxpayer Rights; Coalition to Protect America's National Parks; Common Defense; Main Street Alliance; Natural Resources Defense Council; Northeast Organic Farming Association Inc.; VoteVets; and Western Watersheds Project.
It also includes the governments of Baltimore, Maryland; Chicago, Illinois; Harris County, Texas; King County, Washington; and both San Francisco and Santa Clara County in California.
"Today's decision has dealt a serious blow to our democracy and puts services that the American people rely on in grave jeopardy," the coalition said Tuesday. "This decision does not change the simple and clear fact that reorganizing government functions and laying off federal workers en masse haphazardly without any congressional approval is not allowed by our Constitution."
"While we are disappointed in this decision," the coalition added, "we will continue to fight on behalf of the communities we represent and argue this case to protect critical public services that we rely on to stay safe and healthy."
Congressman Robert Garcia (D-Calif.), ranking member of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, was similarly critical but determined on Tuesday.
"The Trump-appointed Supreme Court just surrendered to a dangerous vision for America, letting the administration gut federal agencies by firing expert civil servants," he said. " The damage from these mass firings will last for decades, and weaken the government’s ability to respond to disasters and provide essential benefits and services. Oversight Democrats will not sit back as Trump turns the court into a political weapon. We will keep fighting to protect the American people and prevent the destruction of our federal agencies."
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'An Arsenal of Profiteering': Military Contractors Have Gotten Over Half of Pentagon Spending Since 2020
"These figures represent a continuing and massive transfer of wealth from taxpayers to fund war and weapons manufacturing," said the project's director.
Jul 08, 2025
Less than a week after U.S. President Donald Trump signed a budget package that pushes annual military spending past $1 trillion, researchers on Tuesday published a report detailing how much major Pentagon contractors have raked in since 2020.
Sharing The Guardian's exclusive coverage of the paper on social media, U.K.-based climate scientist Bill McGuire wrote: "Are you a U.S. taxpayer? I am sure you will be delighted to know where $2.4 TRILLION of your money has gone."
The report from the Costs of War Project at Brown University's Watson School of International and Public Affairs and the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft shows that from 2020-24 private firms received $2.4 trillion in Department of Defense contracts, or roughly 54% of DOD's $4.4 trillion in discretionary spending for that five-year period.
The publication highlights that "during those five years, $771 billion in Pentagon contracts went to just five firms: Lockheed Martin ($313 billion), RTX (formerly Raytheon, $145 billion), Boeing ($115 billion), General Dynamics ($116 billion), and Northrop Grumman ($81 billion)."
In a statement about the findings, Stephanie Savell, director of the Costs of War Project, said that "these figures represent a continuing and massive transfer of wealth from taxpayers to fund war and weapons manufacturing."
"This is not an arsenal of democracy—it's an arsenal of profiteering," Savell added. "We should keep the enormous and growing power of the arms industry in mind as we assess the rise of authoritarianism in the U.S. and globally."
Between 2020 and 2024, $771 billion in Pentagon contracts went to just five firms: Lockheed Martin, RTX, Boeing, General Dynamics, and Northrop Grumman. By comparison, the total diplomacy, development, and humanitarian aid budget, excluding military aid, was $356 billion. [5/12]
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— The Costs of War Project (@costsofwar.bsky.social) July 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
The paper points out that "by comparison, the total diplomacy, development, and humanitarian aid budget, excluding military aid, was $356 billion. In other words, the U.S. government invested over twice as much money in five weapons companies as in diplomacy and international assistance."
"Record arms transfers have further boosted the bottom lines of weapons firms," the document details. "These companies have benefited from tens of billions of dollars in military aid to Israel and Ukraine, paid for by U.S. taxpayers. U.S. military aid to Israel was over $18 billion in just the first year following October 2023; military aid to Ukraine totals $65 billion since the Russian invasion in 2022 through 2025."
"Additionally, a surge in foreign-funded arms sales to European allies, paid for by the recipient nations—over $170 billion in 2023 and 2024 alone—have provided additional revenue to arms contractors over and above the funds they receive directly from the Pentagon," the paper adds.
The 23-page report stresses that "annual U.S. military spending has grown significantly this century," as presidents from both major parties have waged a so-called Global War on Terror and the DOD has continuously failed to pass an audit.
Specifically, according to the paper, "the Pentagon's discretionary budget—the annual funding approved by Congress and the large majority of its overall budget—rose from $507 billion in 2000 to $843 billion in 2025 (in constant 2025 dollars), a 66% increase. Including military spending outside the Pentagon—primarily nuclear weapons programs at the Department of Energy, counterterrorism operations at the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), and other military activities officially classified under 'Budget Function 050'— total military spending grew from $531 billion in 2000 to $899 billion in 2025, a 69% increase."
Republicans' One Big Beautiful Bill Act passed earlier this month "adds $156 billion to this year's total, pushing the 2025 military budget to $1.06 trillion," the document notes. "After taking into account this supplemental funding, the U.S. military budget has nearly doubled this century, increasing 99% since 2000."
Noting that "taxpayers are expected to fund a $1 trillion Pentagon budget," Security Policy Reform Institute co-founder Stephen Semler said the paper, which he co-authored, "illustrates what they'll be paying for: a historic redistribution of wealth from the public to private industry.”
Semler produced the report with William Hartung, senior research fellow at the Quincy Institute. Hartung said that "high Pentagon budgets are often justified because the funds are 'for the troops.'"
"But as this paper shows, the majority of the department's budget goes to corporations, money that has as much to do with special interest lobbying as it does with any rational defense planning," he continued. "Much of this funding has been wasted on dysfunctional or overpriced weapons systems and extravagant compensation packages."
The arms industry has used an array of tools of influence to create an atmosphere where a Pentagon budget that is $1 trillion per year is deemed “not enough” by some members of Congress. [9/12]
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— The Costs of War Project (@costsofwar.bsky.social) July 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
In addition to spotlighting how U.S. military budgets funnel billions of dollars to contractors each year, the report shines a light on the various ways the industry influences politics.
"The ongoing influence of the arms industry over Congress operates through tens of millions in campaign contributions and the employment of 950 lobbyists, as of 2024," the publication explains. "Military contractors also shape military policy and lobby to increase military spending by funding think tanks and serving on government commissions."
"Senior officials in government often go easy on major weapons companies so as not to ruin their chances of getting lucrative positions with them upon leaving government service," the report notes. "For its part, the emerging military tech sector has opened a new version of the revolving door—the movement of ex-military officers and senior Pentagon officials, not to arms companies per se, but to the venture capital firms that invest in Silicon Valley arms industry startups."
The paper concludes by arguing that "the U.S. needs stronger congressional and public scrutiny of both current and emerging weapons contractors to avoid wasteful spending and reckless decision-making on issues of war and peace. Profits should not drive policy."
"In particular," it adds, "the role of Silicon Valley startups and the venture capital firms that support them needs to be better understood and debated as the U.S. crafts a new foreign policy strategy that avoids unnecessary wars and prioritizes cooperation over confrontation."
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