Nov 22, 2020
The alarming possibility of a military attack on Iran--a nation that has long been in the sights of war hawks in the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Israel--was immediately invoked by foreign policy analysts Monday following reports that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met in secret late Sunday with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
First divulged by unnamed Israeli officials and publicly denied Monday morning by the Saudi foreign minister, the reported covert meeting in Neom, Saudi Arabia comes on the heels of news last week that U.S. President Donald Trump asked his senior advisers for options to bomb Iran's primary nuclear energy site, prompting Iran to vow a "crushing response" to any attack.
"So Netanyahu secretly visited Saudi Arabia yesterday... Are Bibi and the Saudis preparing an attack against Iran?"
--Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft
Trump's request for military strike options came days after he lost the presidential election to Joe Biden, who has pledged to act quickly to reenter the Iran nuclear agreement that Trump violated in May of 2018. Contrary to baseless and ongoing allegations by the U.S. and Israel, Iran says it is not developing and has no plans to develop nuclear weapons--a claim U.N. inspectors have repeatedly verified in recent years.
The context of the Trump administration's aggressive posturing and militaristic threats against Iran fueled critics' concerns following word of the secret meeting between MbS, Netanyahu, and Pompeo, which was also reportedly attended by Yossi Cohen, director of the Israeli spy agency Mossad.
"It is extremely alarming that the warmongers most reliant on Trump's blank checks are secretly meeting in the middle of the night as the clock nearly runs out on the Trump administration," tweeted foreign policy analyst Omar Baddar. "Do they have Iran in the crosshairs?"
Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, echoed Baddar's fears and raised the additional concern that the "actual target" of the meeting was "the incoming Biden team, with the aim of deterring the U.S. from seeking diplomacy with Tehran."
\u201cSo Netanyahu secretly visited Saudi Arabia yesterday...\n\nAre Bibi and the Saudis preparing an attack against Iran? Is it a psyop aimed at goading Iran into war?\n\nOr is the actual target the incoming Biden team, with the aim of deterring the US from seeking diplomacy with Tehran?\u201d— Trita Parsi (@Trita Parsi) 1606119049
Despite the public denial by Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan--who tweeted early Monday that "the only officials present" at the meeting "were American and Saudi"--unnamed Saudi officials told the Wall Street Journal that Netanyahu attended the meeting with Pompeo and MbS.
Among the topics discussed at the hours-long meeting, according to the Journal, were Iran and normalization of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Both Netanyahu and Pompeo refused to comment on the meeting, but neither denied that it took place.
\u201cABSOLUTELY rare Israeli flight direct to new Saudi mega-city Neom on Red Sea shore\n\nIt was Bibi's ex-fav bizjet t7-cpx. Back to Tel Aviv after 5 hours on ground\u201d— avi scharf (@avi scharf) 1606107672
Joe Cirincione, a distinguished fellow at the Quincy Institute, warned in an op-ed last week that while unlikely, an attack on Iran by either the U.S. or Israel is a possibility worth taking seriously and guarding against.
"A member of Netanyahu's cabinet, Settlements Minister Tzahi Hanegbi, flatly predicted in early November that Israel will attack Iran if Joe Biden is elected president," Cirincione pointed out. "Ominously, the U.S. Central Command announced... that it moved a detachment of F-16 fighter-bombers from Germany to the UAE, across the Gulf from Iran."
Returning the U.S. to compliance with the Iran nuclear agreement, argued Cirincione, "would allow the United States to establish a more robust relationship with Iran with regular contacts--as was the case during the Obama administration--that would reduce the risks of conflicts that could escalate, intended or unintended, into a war that would make the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan look trivial in comparison."
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