Does Paris Climate Deal Provide Enough Nails to Seal Fossil Fuel Industry's Coffin?
More than 150 nations set to sign COP21 climate agreement on Friday, but many questions remain
More than 150 nations, including the U.S. and China, are expected to sign the Paris Agreement on climate change on Friday--Earth Day--marking a huge step in the fight against global warming and the next phase for a growing and vibrant climate movement.
The magnitude of the single-day signing "clearly demonstrates the degree of support internationally for moving forward on climate," said David Waskow, the director of the international climate initiative at the global research organziation World Resources Institute.
The deal aims to keep any further warming "well below" 2degC by working to reduce greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible.
With that in mind, the COP21 agreement "could be the next nail in the coffin of the fossil fuel industry" says 350.org executive director May Boeve, "if governments actually follow through on their commitments."
That's the big question, of course--to what extent, and at what speed, governments will actually adhere to the pledges laid out in the Paris Agreement.
And even if they go whole hog, that won't be good enough, according to a new analysis from Climate Interactive and MIT's Sloan business school. That analysis shows that full implementation of the current pledges would result in expected warming by 2100 of 3.5degC (6.3degF)--far past the consensus threshold. To limit warming to no more than 2degC, "deeper, earlier emissions cuts are needed," the groups say in their Climate Scoreboard.
That, in turn, would "catastrophic to the ecosystem of the world, including the ice culture of the Indigenous Peoples of the Arctic," said Tom Goldtooth of the Indigenous Environmental Network, which on Wednesday joined other grassroots groups in releasing a report (pdf) that denounces the COP21 deal as a "dangerous distraction."
Fortunately, the Paris Agreement provides a mechanism for the nations of the world to increase their commitments and submit stronger pledges by 2020.
"It is like driving to an important meeting," said Andrew Jones of Climate Interactive. "You could get there safely if you leave now. Or you could wait, drive too fast, and risk a horrible accident. If we improve the Paris pledges now, we can limit warming below two degrees. If we wait and only ratchet up pledges post-2030, then we'd have to reduce greenhouse gas emissions at a reckless and costly rate, scrapping much more of the existing fossil energy infrastructure before the end of its practical life."
Learn more in this video:
Indeed, the Washington Post wrote on Wednesday, "a drumbeat of grim scientific findings has underscored that staving off the worst consequences of global warming may take far more aggressive actions" than those laid out in the climate accord.
Pointing to everything from record-breaking temperatures to rising seas, WaPo journalists Chris Mooney and Brady Dennis said the Paris deal is "only a start to what must be a more aggressive effort to mitigate the worst effects of climate change."
Boeve, of 350, agrees, though she sees an alternate route to making change. "The fossil fuel industry is pushing our climate to the brink faster than anyone expected," she says, "as record temperatures are proving, along with extreme weather related events. We are all at risk from a warming planet, so we are left with no choice but to scale up nonviolent direct action."
"As the transition from dirty energy to clean and efficient energy systems grows stronger and faster," she says, "communities and private citizens around the world will continue to hold decision makers accountable to their promises, and to science."
We are at a crossroads
This country and this world are at a monumental crossroads. In a few short weeks, US voters will have an opportunity to beat back the forces of fascism and confront the billionaires who are rigging the economy, our media system, and our democracy, making it increasingly impossible for ordinary people to get by. We’re not just talking about the election. We’re talking about what must be done once these fascist elements are vanquished from power. We need a bolder set of solutions than what either major party has so far been willing to offer and a working-class movement ready to fight like hell for it. Trump didn't emerge from nowhere. The conditions that fueled MAGA authoritarianism were created by decades of radical neoliberal economic policies and a corrupt political system dominated by corporate interests. They slashed taxes on the super-rich, promising that the benefits would trickle down. They said giveaways to the corporate titans would make life more affordable for the rest of us. It was all bullshit. And when a bitter, betrayed populace searches for someone to blame, right-wing demagogues have little trouble finding scapegoats. People know when they're being lied to, but you won't hear any of this from the corporate media. Only independent journalism—powered and funded by people who believe in building a better world—can deliver truly trustworthy daily news. Our Fall Campaign is underway, and we need your help. To power our newsroom through the rest of the year, we need to raise $125,000 by midnight on October 31. So if you share our vision, please contribute whatever you can to sustain our work. |
More than 150 nations, including the U.S. and China, are expected to sign the Paris Agreement on climate change on Friday--Earth Day--marking a huge step in the fight against global warming and the next phase for a growing and vibrant climate movement.
The magnitude of the single-day signing "clearly demonstrates the degree of support internationally for moving forward on climate," said David Waskow, the director of the international climate initiative at the global research organziation World Resources Institute.
The deal aims to keep any further warming "well below" 2degC by working to reduce greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible.
With that in mind, the COP21 agreement "could be the next nail in the coffin of the fossil fuel industry" says 350.org executive director May Boeve, "if governments actually follow through on their commitments."
That's the big question, of course--to what extent, and at what speed, governments will actually adhere to the pledges laid out in the Paris Agreement.
And even if they go whole hog, that won't be good enough, according to a new analysis from Climate Interactive and MIT's Sloan business school. That analysis shows that full implementation of the current pledges would result in expected warming by 2100 of 3.5degC (6.3degF)--far past the consensus threshold. To limit warming to no more than 2degC, "deeper, earlier emissions cuts are needed," the groups say in their Climate Scoreboard.
That, in turn, would "catastrophic to the ecosystem of the world, including the ice culture of the Indigenous Peoples of the Arctic," said Tom Goldtooth of the Indigenous Environmental Network, which on Wednesday joined other grassroots groups in releasing a report (pdf) that denounces the COP21 deal as a "dangerous distraction."
Fortunately, the Paris Agreement provides a mechanism for the nations of the world to increase their commitments and submit stronger pledges by 2020.
"It is like driving to an important meeting," said Andrew Jones of Climate Interactive. "You could get there safely if you leave now. Or you could wait, drive too fast, and risk a horrible accident. If we improve the Paris pledges now, we can limit warming below two degrees. If we wait and only ratchet up pledges post-2030, then we'd have to reduce greenhouse gas emissions at a reckless and costly rate, scrapping much more of the existing fossil energy infrastructure before the end of its practical life."
Learn more in this video:
Indeed, the Washington Post wrote on Wednesday, "a drumbeat of grim scientific findings has underscored that staving off the worst consequences of global warming may take far more aggressive actions" than those laid out in the climate accord.
Pointing to everything from record-breaking temperatures to rising seas, WaPo journalists Chris Mooney and Brady Dennis said the Paris deal is "only a start to what must be a more aggressive effort to mitigate the worst effects of climate change."
Boeve, of 350, agrees, though she sees an alternate route to making change. "The fossil fuel industry is pushing our climate to the brink faster than anyone expected," she says, "as record temperatures are proving, along with extreme weather related events. We are all at risk from a warming planet, so we are left with no choice but to scale up nonviolent direct action."
"As the transition from dirty energy to clean and efficient energy systems grows stronger and faster," she says, "communities and private citizens around the world will continue to hold decision makers accountable to their promises, and to science."
More than 150 nations, including the U.S. and China, are expected to sign the Paris Agreement on climate change on Friday--Earth Day--marking a huge step in the fight against global warming and the next phase for a growing and vibrant climate movement.
The magnitude of the single-day signing "clearly demonstrates the degree of support internationally for moving forward on climate," said David Waskow, the director of the international climate initiative at the global research organziation World Resources Institute.
The deal aims to keep any further warming "well below" 2degC by working to reduce greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible.
With that in mind, the COP21 agreement "could be the next nail in the coffin of the fossil fuel industry" says 350.org executive director May Boeve, "if governments actually follow through on their commitments."
That's the big question, of course--to what extent, and at what speed, governments will actually adhere to the pledges laid out in the Paris Agreement.
And even if they go whole hog, that won't be good enough, according to a new analysis from Climate Interactive and MIT's Sloan business school. That analysis shows that full implementation of the current pledges would result in expected warming by 2100 of 3.5degC (6.3degF)--far past the consensus threshold. To limit warming to no more than 2degC, "deeper, earlier emissions cuts are needed," the groups say in their Climate Scoreboard.
That, in turn, would "catastrophic to the ecosystem of the world, including the ice culture of the Indigenous Peoples of the Arctic," said Tom Goldtooth of the Indigenous Environmental Network, which on Wednesday joined other grassroots groups in releasing a report (pdf) that denounces the COP21 deal as a "dangerous distraction."
Fortunately, the Paris Agreement provides a mechanism for the nations of the world to increase their commitments and submit stronger pledges by 2020.
"It is like driving to an important meeting," said Andrew Jones of Climate Interactive. "You could get there safely if you leave now. Or you could wait, drive too fast, and risk a horrible accident. If we improve the Paris pledges now, we can limit warming below two degrees. If we wait and only ratchet up pledges post-2030, then we'd have to reduce greenhouse gas emissions at a reckless and costly rate, scrapping much more of the existing fossil energy infrastructure before the end of its practical life."
Learn more in this video:
Indeed, the Washington Post wrote on Wednesday, "a drumbeat of grim scientific findings has underscored that staving off the worst consequences of global warming may take far more aggressive actions" than those laid out in the climate accord.
Pointing to everything from record-breaking temperatures to rising seas, WaPo journalists Chris Mooney and Brady Dennis said the Paris deal is "only a start to what must be a more aggressive effort to mitigate the worst effects of climate change."
Boeve, of 350, agrees, though she sees an alternate route to making change. "The fossil fuel industry is pushing our climate to the brink faster than anyone expected," she says, "as record temperatures are proving, along with extreme weather related events. We are all at risk from a warming planet, so we are left with no choice but to scale up nonviolent direct action."
"As the transition from dirty energy to clean and efficient energy systems grows stronger and faster," she says, "communities and private citizens around the world will continue to hold decision makers accountable to their promises, and to science."