President Trump’s attempted removal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook is a flagrant violation of the law. The Federal Reserve Act is clear: Fed governors can only be removed for serious misconduct, and there’s no credible basis for that. By targeting Governor Cook—who brings vital expertise to economic policymaking and is the first Black woman to ever serve on the Fed Board—Trump undermines both the rule of law and extremely hard-won progress toward inclusive leadership in our economic institutions.
Further, this move radically undermines what Trump says his own goal is: lowering U.S. interest rates to spur faster economic growth. Instead, it will likely raise interest rates over the long term and lead to higher costs for working people.
Why will this happen? The interest rates that truly influence economic growth are long-term rates generally set in financial markets. These longer-term rates are usually strongly influenced by the Fed’s decisions over the shorter-term rates it controls directly—but that’s only because the Fed has, until now, been seen as a non-political, evidence-based institution. If the Fed instead becomes politicized, its influence will falter, and changes it makes to short-term rates will have far less effect on the long-term rates that influence economic growth.
Presidential capture of the Fed would signal to decision-makers throughout the economy that interest rates will no longer be set on the basis of sound data or economic conditions—but instead on the whims of the president. Confidence that the Fed will respond wisely to future periods of macroeconomic stress—either excess inflation or unemployment—will evaporate. As a result, investors will demand higher premiums to hold on to U.S. Treasury bonds (and other long-term bonds), because without faith that the Federal Reserve will tamp down inflationary pressures when they appear, they will need reassurance—in the form of higher long-term interest rates—to hold on to these investments.
These higher long-term rates will ripple through the economy—making mortgages, auto loans, and credit card payments higher for working people—and require that rates be held higher for longer to tamp down any future outbreak of inflation. In the first hours after Trump’s announcement, all of these worries seemed to be coming to pass.
The source of the allegation of mortgage fraud against Governor Cook is also extremely concerning: a public announcement by the head of the Federal Housing Financing Authority (FHFA), the agency that oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The FHFA has access to mortgage information for tens of millions of U.S. households—access that could be abused by a politically-motivated agency looking to harm perceived political opponents of the president. This seems clearly to be what is happening in the Cook case. Under an honest and well-run administration, any potential impropriety identified by FHFA staff in the normal course of their activities would have been referred (without public notice) to the Department of Justice, which would have conducted an investigation without any public comment. Only if the allegations rose to the level of an indictment would a public announcement be made. That the FHFA has been weaponized to find damaging allegations against a perceived political opponent of the president is deeply worrying.
EPI urges the courts to act quickly to overturn this unlawful dismissal and to reaffirm the independence of the Federal Reserve, which is critical to the health of our economy and our democracy.
