Skip to main content

Sign up for our newsletter.

Quality journalism. Progressive values. Direct to your inbox.

A prominent Donald Trump sign on display in West Des Moines, Iowa. (Photo: Tony Webster/cc/flickr)

A prominent Donald Trump sign on display in West Des Moines, Iowa. (Photo: Tony Webster/cc/flickr)

What Landslide? New Polling Shows Clinton and Trump Still Neck and Neck

Despite the never-ending torrent of bigotry and obfuscation, support for Republican candidate remains strong

"Trumplosian," Clinton landslide, the downfall of the GOP.

With just over two months to go, pundits have all but called the results of the 2016 presidential election. But despite the never-ending torrent of bigotry and obfuscation streaming from the mouth (and fingers) of the Republican candidate, new polling shows that Donald Trump is still neck and neck with rival Hillary Clinton.

As of Monday, the USC Dornslife/LA Times tracking poll had the two candidates locked in a virtual tie, with Trump leading slightly at 44 percent and Clinton polling at 43.6 percent.

That survey uses a slightly different method than most, asking roughly 3,000 randomly recruited voters on a regular basis about their support for Clinton, Trump, or another candidate. The poll is updated daily "based on the weighted average of poll responses over the previous week," which the Times explains, "means the results have less volatility than some other polls."

Nonetheless, the findings follow other more traditional polls that also found Trump gaining ground. The latest Morning Consult poll published Sunday showed Clinton's lead being halved, dropping from six points over Trump for the period between August 18-20 to just three points August 24-26. The pollsters note that the race "hasn't been this close since late July," with the Democratic candidate now polling at just 43 percent to Trump's 40.

The survey looks at the scandals and missteps that continue to plague the two leading candidates—from the controversial ties of the Clinton Foundation to Trump's failing outreach to minority voters—and notes that both "are still highly unpopular, with 58 percent of voters saying they have an unfavorable view of Trump and 57 percent saying the same about Clinton."

What's more, the race grows even tighter when third-party candidates are factored in.

"Independents remain stubbornly divided in three camps: 35 percent say they will vote for Clinton; 34 percent prefer Trump; and 31 percent are undecided," the poll states. When pitted against Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, "Trump's gains on Clinton tighten to within the margin of error." In such a match-up, Clinton only leads Trump by two points, 39 percent to 37 percent.

The Real Clear Politics (RCP) Average, which includes the LA Times poll but not the Morning Consult survey, most recently showed Clinton enjoying a six-point lead over Trump. However, RCP also found that margin shrinking to just four points when third-party rivals were factored in.


Our work is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). Feel free to republish and share widely.
We need your help.

Support progressive journalism.

Common Dreams is not your average news site. We don't survive on clicks or advertising dollars. We rely entirely on your support. And without it, our independent progressive journalism simply wouldn’t exist. Every gift of every amount matters.

Join the fight and support our common dreams today.

'Sorely Disappointed' by Court Ruling, Pipeline Foes Demand Biden 'Act Immediately to Stop Line 3'

"Every day President Biden refuses to stop the Line 3 pipeline is a slap in the face to environmental justice communities and a renewed breaking of his promises on climate and Indigenous rights."

Brett Wilkins, staff writer ·


300+ Progressive Groups Urge Corporations to Ditch ALEC for Pushing Voter Suppression Bills

"If corporations really believe in protecting our democracy and the right to vote, they must end their affiliation with ALEC," said one advocate.

Kenny Stancil, staff writer ·


Reality Winner's Release From Federal Prison Met With Calls for Full Pardon for the NSA Whistleblower

Winner will serve the rest of her five-year sentence under the supervision of a halfway house.

Julia Conley, staff writer ·


Analysis Highlights Biden Proposal to End $84 Billion Gift to Big Oil Buried in Trump Tax Scam

"We can stop this insane corporate welfare and use it to pay for a renewable energy future."

Andrea Germanos, staff writer ·


Intent on Appeasing Manchin, US Blocks G7 Progress on Phasing Out Coal

"Once again Joe Manchin is casting a heavy shadow."

Julia Conley, staff writer ·