According to the editors of the New York Times, the
Washington Post, and the Los Angeles Times, with
Republicans taking over the House, and measured unemployment at 9.6%,
now is the time for President Obama to "show leadership" by pushing
for (so-called) "free trade agreements" negotiated by former President
George W. Bush. (Democrats "show leadership" by betraying the people
who elected them - that's a standard editorial theme.) But what the
nation's editorialists won't tell you is that this agenda would be a
big electoral loser for President Obama, because the public opposes
it; in particular,
Republican and independent voters don't
support these agreements
.
The
Washington Postsaid:
Trade is one issue on which the Congress elected on
Tuesday is potentially an improvement over its predecessor. The
Democratic majority in the House was heavily influenced by organized
labor and hostile to trade...Democrats also denounced free-trade pacts
with South Korea, Colombia and Panama left over from President George
W. Bush's administration and still unratified....Now that the
Republicans are in the majority, all three trade agreements have
better prospects....
The New York Timessaid:
President Obama has now committed to winning approval of a
free-trade pact with South Korea that was signed by the Bush
administration in 2007 but never voted on in Congress because of
staunch Democratic opposition...The president must not stop there.
Trade deals with Colombia and Panama have also languished without
Congressional action. And he must press to revive stalled global trade
negotiations...Getting these trade deals through Congress won't be
easy, although Mr. Obama may find new allies in the
Republican-controlled House. American trade unions, an important
Democratic constituency, are decidedly unenthusiastic.
The Los Angeles Times said:
The wide differences between Republicans and Democrats on
economic policy don't leave much room for compromise over the next two
years. But Tuesday's takeover of the House of Representatives by the
GOP raises hopes for progress on at least one important initiative: It
might help President Obama win approval of a U.S.- South Korea
free-trade pact...It's questionable whether Obama will have the
political courage to upset the Democrats' political base by seriously
pushing for the trade deal.
These three editorials all appeared within a day of each other.
The view of these editorialists is clear: "free trade agreements" are
good for America. The only reason we don't have more of them is that
Democratic elected officials have been cowering from the terrible
threats of labor unions.
But there is a key problem with this story. Despite the tireless
efforts of the nation's editorialists, the American people don't
believe it, and their failure to take instruction on this point from
the nation's editorialists is greater among
Republican voters and independents.
The same week that these editorials appeared, the Pew Research Center
for People and the Press published
results of its recent
public opinion polling on "free trade agreements."
(Like the nation's editorialists, the Pew Center uses the favored
terminology of those who support these agreements, referring to them
as "free trade agreements" - without quotes - even though they have
increased barriers to trade, for example by
limiting
the trade in patented medicines
. )
Overall, Pew found that 35% say that "free trade agreements" have been
good for the United States, while 44% say they have been bad for the
U.S. Among Republicans, 28% said "free trade agreements" have been
good for the US, and 54% said that they have been bad. Among
independents, 37% said that they have been good, and 46% said that
they have been bad. Among Republicans who say they agree with the Tea
Party, 24% say that "free trade agreements" have been good for the
U.S., while 63% say they have been bad.
When Pew asked about specific effects of "free trade agreements," the
responses were even more negative: 55% said "free trade agreements"
lead to job losses in the U.S., compared with just 8% who said these
agreements create jobs; 45% said "free trade agreements" make wages
lower, while only 8% said they make wages higher; 43% said they slow
the economy down, while 19% said they make the economy grow. These
results were similar across party lines.
When Pew asked people how "free trade agreements" have affected them
personally, the response was also more negative than when they were
asked about how these agreements affected the U.S. overall: 26% said
they have been helped, and 46% said they have been hurt. These results
were similar across party lines.
There was one group of people who clearly derived benefits from "free
trade agreements," according to the Pew poll: people in developing
countries,
in the imagination of Americans. 54% of Pew's
American respondents said these agreements were good for people in
developing countries, while just 9% said they were bad.
The obvious explanation for this result is this: Americans are awash
in a sea of media propaganda that claims that "free trade agreements"
are good for America and good for other countries, like the three
editorials cited above. However, when it comes to judging the impact
of these agreements on the U.S., they weigh the media propaganda
against their own personal experience. That explains why their
assessment of the effects is even more negative when they are asked
about specific effects, or their own direct experience, because those
questions focus attention away from the media slogans.
But in judging the effects on other countries, most Americans have no
independent basis of information to weigh the media propaganda
against. Certainly, the same media who are haranguing Americans in
support of "free trade agreements" cannot be expected to lead the way
in educating them about what people in other countries think of these
"free trade agreements."
In November 2005, the Bush Administration's effort to create a "Free
Trade Area of the Americas" collapsed at the summit in Mar del Plata,
Argentina. It wasn't U.S. Democratic politicians or U.S. trade unions
that finally created Waterloo for the Bush Administration's "free
trade" jihad. It was opposition to this agenda in Latin America. This
story has never really been told in the U.S. media, because it's
inconvenient for the "free trade" ideology.
But Oliver Stone's recent documentary,
South of the Border,
tells this story. The film is
now available
on DVD
, and the DVD includes portions of an interview with
Brazil's outgoing President Lula that weren't in the movie as shown in
theaters. In the interview on the DVD, Lula presents a view of the
"free trade agreement" agenda that you are very unlikely to ever see
in the
New York Times or the Washington Post:
Oliver Stone: 2005 at Mar del Plata, the "free trade
agreement" was rejected. Was that a good thing or a bad thing?
Lula: It was great...It was not a free trade agreement. It was a
process of commercial colonization by a very rich nation against
poorer nations.