Dilip Hiro

Articles by this author

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Monday, June 29, 2009
The Clash of Islam and Democracy in Iran: The Islamic Revolution Faces the Classic Dilemma of All Revolutions
By marshalling the regime's coercive instruments, Iran's 70-year-old supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, has, for now, succeeded in curbing the popular, peaceful challenge to the authenticity of Iran's fateful June 12th presidential election. But he has paid a heavy political price.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
China: Defying the Economic Odds
In the midst of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, a new world order is emerging -- with its center gravitating towards China. The statistics speak for themselves. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts the world's gross domestic product (GDP) will shrink by an alarming 1.3% this year. Yet, defying this global trend, China expects an annual economic growth rate of 6.5% to 8.5%. During the first quarter of 2009, the world's leading stock markets combined fell by 4.5%. In contrast, the Shanghai stock exchange index leapt by a whopping 38%.
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Monday, June 23, 2008
No Meeting of Minds in Jeddah
When physicians differ radically on the cause of a malady, they cannot prescribe a cure, and so the patient is condemned to go on suffering. That, in short, is the summary of the deliberations of the oil summit held in the Saudi city of Jeddah on Sunday -- as expressed in medical terms, the patient being the petroleum-consuming world.
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Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Lebanon: The Army's Role
It is tempting to see the current violence in Lebanon as a fight between Shia and Sunni, and as a preamble to a civil war. Tempting but inaccurate. While the Shia in Lebanon are almost unanimous in their support of Hizbullah and its ally, Amal, the Sunnis and Christians are divided in their opposition to Hizbullah.
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Tuesday, April 08, 2008
Iran: A Convenient Culprit
Early reports suggest that in his testimony to a congressional committee today, General David Petraeus will claim that the Iranians assisted the Mahdi Army militia to fight the forces of Iraqi prime minister Nuri al-Maliki in the recent week-long battle in Basra.
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Thursday, March 20, 2008
Bush's Napoleon Moment: Bush could have brought democracy to Iraq but instead, he opted for war
Crossroads crop up in history as they do in personal lives. With hindsight, one can see that if the leader of a powerful nation had taken one road instead of the other, he would have shaped history differently. Napoleon's invasion of Russia was one such example. In recent times, President Bush reached a crossroads as he ratcheted up pressure on Saddam Hussein in early 2003, by assembling a massive military force in the Gulf region.
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Friday, March 14, 2008
Powerless on Oil Prices
With oil prices soaring to $109 a barrel in an election year, the White House is getting jittery.
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Thursday, February 07, 2008
A Nuclear-Free Mirage
As Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, finalizes his report on Iran's nuclear program, the Iranian foreign minister, Manouchehr Mottaki, has been promoting the "historic idea" of a Middle East free from weapons of mass destruction.This overlaps with a goal adopted by the UN security council back in 1991 when resolution 687 talked about "the establishment of a nuclear-we
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Wednesday, September 26, 2007
How the Bush Administration's Iraqi Oil Grab Went Awry: Greenspan's Oil Claim in Context
Here is the sentence in The Age of Turbulence , the 531-page memoir of former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan, that caused so much turbulence in Washington last week: "I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil." Honest and accurate, it had the resonance of the Bill Clinton's election campaign mantra, "I
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Tuesday, September 11, 2007
Wars That Defy Categorization
LONDON - The novelty, suddenness and scale of the attacks on New York and metropolitan Washington on September 11, 2001, left analysts and commentators scrambling to find a suitable label. Was it just another example of suicide bombing albeit on a colossal scale? But in the past, such bombings had been wrought by individuals wearing a belt of explosives. Such was not the case on that fateful day. The attacks stood apart from previous terrorist acts because of the use of passenger-laden civilian aircraft as deadly missiles. That's why 9/11 ended up as a case by itself.
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