Apr 28, 2022
More than a billion people on the Indian subcontinent have been suffering for weeks amid a record-breaking heatwave, and with temperatures expected to approach 117oF in the next few days, observers are warning that such deadly conditions are likely to become the norm in the absence of immediate and far-reaching climate action.
"Residents have described daily life as hellish, taps are starting to run dry, and soaring demand for electricity to power air conditioners has caused long and regular power cuts," The Timesreported Wednesday. "In northern India, forest fires are destroying agricultural land. Vulnerable people have been advised to stay indoors."
\u201cExtreme heat grips #India and #Pakistan\n@indiametdept: temperatures on 27 April were 43-45\u00b0C, will rise in next 2 days\n@pmdgov: Temperatures in parts of #Pakistan are 5-7\u00b0C above normal. \nRapidly melting snow and ice risks triggering glacier lake outburst floods\n#ClimateChange\u201d— World Meteorological Organization (@World Meteorological Organization) 1651138991
Although heatwaves are common in India, especially in May and June, scorching temperatures arrived early this year, a clear manifestation of the fossil fuel-driven climate emergency, according to Clare Nullis, an official at the World Meteorological Organization.
Last month was India's hottest March in more than a century and one of its driest, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), and relief is nowhere in sight, with the region's annual monsoon season still weeks away.
Extreme heat is expected to intensify over the weekend in India and neighboring Pakistan. Forecasters at the IMD said Thursday that temperatures in parts of central India surpassed 114oF on Wednesday and are projected to approach 117oF in the northwestern part of the country in the next two days with "no significant change thereafter."
As the New York Timesreported, "Heat-related watches were in effect on Thursday afternoon for all but a few of India's 28 states, encompassing hundreds of millions of people and most of the country's major cities. An alert--one notch up in severity--was in effect for the northwestern state of Rajasthan on Thursday, and would come into effect for other central and western states starting Saturday."
"Pakistan's Meteorological Department also warned that in regions dotted with glaciers, the heat could lead to so-called outburst floods, in which water spills from glacial lakes into populated areas," the newspaper added. "In 2013, an outburst flood in the northern Indian state of Uttarakhand led to flooding that destroyed villages and killed several thousand people."
\u201c"Residents have described daily life as hellish, taps are starting to run dry and soaring demand for electricity to power air conditioners has caused long and regular power cuts." ... Why aren't more people talking about this? \n\nhttps://t.co/t9psILCxkm\u201d— Pippa Neill (@Pippa Neill) 1651128707
"The subcontinent's scorching weather is a reminder of what lies in store for other countries in an era of climate change," the New York Times noted. "Climate scientists say that heatwaves around the world are growing more frequent, more dangerous, and lasting longer. They are certain that global warming has made heatwaves worse because the baseline temperatures from which they begin are higher than they were decades ago."
Roxy Mathew Koll, a climate scientist at the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, told BBC News that several atmospheric factors are at play before adding that global warming is "the root cause for the increase in heatwaves."
Chandni Singh, senior researcher at the Indian Institute for Human Settlements and a lead author at the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), made clear that the devastating effects of extreme weather disasters are borne disproportionately by the poor.
"Poor people have fewer resources to cool down as well as fewer options to stay inside, away from the heat," said Singh.
Calling this week's deadly heatwave in India and Pakistan "a horrifying event" that "should dominate the news everywhere," environmentalist and author George Monbiot warned that the dire situation provides "a glimpse of what is likely to become routine."
\u201cThe deadly heat this week in India and Pakistan should dominate the news everywhere. It's a horrifying event in its own right - and a glimpse of what is likely to become routine.\u201d— George Monbiot (@George Monbiot) 1650961499
Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist and previous IPCC contributor, pointed out that the heatwave currently hammering the subcontinent is occurring in the context of 1oC and 1.2oC of warming in India and Pakistan, respectively.
The United Nations warned last year that even if governments around the world fulfill their current greenhouse gas-reduction pledges--few of which are backed by legislation or dedicated funding--the planet is barreling toward a "catastrophic" global temperature rise of 2.7oC by 2100.
Based on the world's current emissions trajectory, India and Pakistan are expected to experience 3.5oC of warming by century's end, according to country-level projections from researchers at Berkeley Earth.
\u201cThe extreme heat wave hitting India this week comes on top of 1C warming that country has already experienced.\n\nHowever, on our current emissions trajectory (SSP2-4.5) India is headed for around 3.5C warming by the end of the century: https://t.co/9x4GjSobEe\u201d— Zeke Hausfather (@Zeke Hausfather) 1651090052
Climate scientist Peter Kalmus told Common Dreams earlier this month that "if we don't rapidly end the fossil fuel industry and begin acting like Earth breakdown is an emergency, we risk civilizational collapse and potentially the death of billions, not to mention the loss of major critical ecosystems around the world."
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