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Economics experts say poll results showing that the majority of Americans have not benefited from the GOP tax plan were "entirely predictable—despite Republican claims to the contrary last year." (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

'Entirely Predictable': Most Americans Say They Are Not Seeing Paycheck Boost From GOP Tax Scam

"This is not surprising at all," said one economics expert

Jessica Corbett

The #GOPTaxScam is living up to the moniker it earned from critics last year, according to a new poll that shows the majority of Americans are not seeing paycheck increases from the plan that Republicans forced through Congress in December.

"This was entirely predictable—despite Republican claims to the contrary last year."
Helaine Olen, Washington Post

A new CNBC poll found that less than a third of those surveyed earlier this month reported taking home more money because of the new tax code, compared with 16 percent who said they were unsure and 52 percent who said their take-home pay did not go up. 

There were clear income level and partisan divides in the results. Of those who reported an increase, more than 42 percent earn over $75,000 per year, and 52 percent of Republicans claimed they saw an increase, compared with only 20 percent of Democrats and 19 percent of Independents.

While CNBC reporter Steve Liesman claimed the results were "quite astonishing," they did not shock many economics experts who warned last year that the plan was designed to primarily benefit deep-pocketed campaign donors at the expense of working families.

"Am I surprised? Of course not!" declared Helaine Olen, a finance blogger for the Washington Post. "This was entirely predictable—despite Republican claims to the contrary last year."

Michael Linden, policy and research director for the Hub Project and a Roosevelt Institute fellow, outlined in a tweet why the results were "not surprising at all."

Pointing to analysis from the Tax Policy Center, which predicted that the average middle-income household would take in an extra $930—or less than $18 per week—because of the GOP tax plan, Olen wrote, "That's enough for an extra lunch at Chipotle (average check: $12) but won't even cover a steak dinner at Outback Steakhouse."

CNBC's findings align with a Politico/Morning Consult poll released last month, which found that only 25 percent of registered voters polled saw an increase in their income, while 51 percent had not. And, like the CNBC respondents, Morning Consult's co-founder and chief research officer Kyle Dropp said, "Our polling shows high-income earners are more likely to have noticed an increase in their paychecks as a result of the tax bill."

While low- and middle-income workers aren't seeing the "laughably untrue" benefits promised to them by GOP lawmakers who fought for the tax scam, the plan—which slashed the corporate tax rate from 35 to just 21 percent—has been a boon to businesses, particularly those in the fossil fuel industry, according to recent analysis.

"Perhaps Republicans can take comfort from the long view: The individual tax cuts are set to expire at the end of 2025, even as the corporate cuts, which overwhelmingly benefit the wealthy, continue," quipped Olen. "Maybe ordinary voters won't notice that their tax cut disappeared even as those enjoyed by the rich live on in perpetuity."


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