Posing Unprecedented Threats, Cyclone Aims for War-Ravaged Yemen
Cyclone Chapala 'on pace to become the strongest cyclone on record in the Arabian Sea,' says meteorologist.
This post may be updated.
Meteorologists are warning Friday that a potentially record strong cyclone in the Arabian Sea heading towards Oman and Yemen threatens the area with severe winds and years' worth of rain in a matter of days.
Cyclone Chapala, whose rapid intensification was helped by warmer-than-average water, is now the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane, packing winds of 155 mph. It could intensify further to the equivalent of a Category 5.
"Chapala is also on pace to become the strongest cyclone on record in the Arabian Sea," said Accuweather Senior Meteorologist Jason Nicholls.
Though it's expected to weaken to a Category 1 when it makes landfall late Monday, Chapala could still bring devastation.
Striking land at that strength, writes meteorologist Jon Erdman, is "a very unusual, if not unprecedented occurrence for Yemen or southwest Oman."
"We do expect it will weaken before it makes landfall," said Clare Nullis, spokeswoman for the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). "It will probably be more on the lines of Category 1. But even so there will be very high gale force winds in an area that is just not used to seeing this," she said.
The WMO warns that the most serious damage could come from very heavy rainfall which could overwhelm local infrastructure and trigger flooding and landslides.
According to the UK Met office: "Rainfall is [...] likely to prove hazardous, with this system possibly producing up to 500mm (almost 20 inches) of rainfall in a 48 hour period. This is likely to cause severe flooding if it falls over a town or city. This part of Yemen usually sees less than 100mm (roughly 4 inches) of rain during the whole year."
WMO's Nullis also told reporters that though it was not possible to attribute climate change to this one storm, she added that "with climate change, we're really heading into unknown territory."
"We have to be prepared to face the unexpected," she said.
An Urgent Message From Our Co-Founder
Dear Common Dreams reader, It’s been nearly 30 years since I co-founded Common Dreams with my late wife, Lina Newhouser. We had the radical notion that journalism should serve the public good, not corporate profits. It was clear to us from the outset what it would take to build such a project. No paid advertisements. No corporate sponsors. No millionaire publisher telling us what to think or do. Many people said we wouldn't last a year, but we proved those doubters wrong. Together with a tremendous team of journalists and dedicated staff, we built an independent media outlet free from the constraints of profits and corporate control. Our mission has always been simple: To inform. To inspire. To ignite change for the common good. Building Common Dreams was not easy. Our survival was never guaranteed. When you take on the most powerful forces—Wall Street greed, fossil fuel industry destruction, Big Tech lobbyists, and uber-rich oligarchs who have spent billions upon billions rigging the economy and democracy in their favor—the only bulwark you have is supporters who believe in your work. But here’s the urgent message from me today. It's never been this bad out there. And it's never been this hard to keep us going. At the very moment Common Dreams is most needed, the threats we face are intensifying. We need your support now more than ever. We don't accept corporate advertising and never will. We don't have a paywall because we don't think people should be blocked from critical news based on their ability to pay. Everything we do is funded by the donations of readers like you. When everyone does the little they can afford, we are strong. But if that support retreats or dries up, so do we. Will you donate now to make sure Common Dreams not only survives but thrives? —Craig Brown, Co-founder |
This post may be updated.
Meteorologists are warning Friday that a potentially record strong cyclone in the Arabian Sea heading towards Oman and Yemen threatens the area with severe winds and years' worth of rain in a matter of days.
Cyclone Chapala, whose rapid intensification was helped by warmer-than-average water, is now the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane, packing winds of 155 mph. It could intensify further to the equivalent of a Category 5.
"Chapala is also on pace to become the strongest cyclone on record in the Arabian Sea," said Accuweather Senior Meteorologist Jason Nicholls.
Though it's expected to weaken to a Category 1 when it makes landfall late Monday, Chapala could still bring devastation.
Striking land at that strength, writes meteorologist Jon Erdman, is "a very unusual, if not unprecedented occurrence for Yemen or southwest Oman."
"We do expect it will weaken before it makes landfall," said Clare Nullis, spokeswoman for the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). "It will probably be more on the lines of Category 1. But even so there will be very high gale force winds in an area that is just not used to seeing this," she said.
The WMO warns that the most serious damage could come from very heavy rainfall which could overwhelm local infrastructure and trigger flooding and landslides.
According to the UK Met office: "Rainfall is [...] likely to prove hazardous, with this system possibly producing up to 500mm (almost 20 inches) of rainfall in a 48 hour period. This is likely to cause severe flooding if it falls over a town or city. This part of Yemen usually sees less than 100mm (roughly 4 inches) of rain during the whole year."
WMO's Nullis also told reporters that though it was not possible to attribute climate change to this one storm, she added that "with climate change, we're really heading into unknown territory."
"We have to be prepared to face the unexpected," she said.
This post may be updated.
Meteorologists are warning Friday that a potentially record strong cyclone in the Arabian Sea heading towards Oman and Yemen threatens the area with severe winds and years' worth of rain in a matter of days.
Cyclone Chapala, whose rapid intensification was helped by warmer-than-average water, is now the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane, packing winds of 155 mph. It could intensify further to the equivalent of a Category 5.
"Chapala is also on pace to become the strongest cyclone on record in the Arabian Sea," said Accuweather Senior Meteorologist Jason Nicholls.
Though it's expected to weaken to a Category 1 when it makes landfall late Monday, Chapala could still bring devastation.
Striking land at that strength, writes meteorologist Jon Erdman, is "a very unusual, if not unprecedented occurrence for Yemen or southwest Oman."
"We do expect it will weaken before it makes landfall," said Clare Nullis, spokeswoman for the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). "It will probably be more on the lines of Category 1. But even so there will be very high gale force winds in an area that is just not used to seeing this," she said.
The WMO warns that the most serious damage could come from very heavy rainfall which could overwhelm local infrastructure and trigger flooding and landslides.
According to the UK Met office: "Rainfall is [...] likely to prove hazardous, with this system possibly producing up to 500mm (almost 20 inches) of rainfall in a 48 hour period. This is likely to cause severe flooding if it falls over a town or city. This part of Yemen usually sees less than 100mm (roughly 4 inches) of rain during the whole year."
WMO's Nullis also told reporters that though it was not possible to attribute climate change to this one storm, she added that "with climate change, we're really heading into unknown territory."
"We have to be prepared to face the unexpected," she said.


