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John Fullerton: Fossil Fuels & Stranded Assets [Excerpt]The Laura Flanders Show streams at www.grittv.org. In this excerpt from a forthcoming interview with John Fullerton of Capital ...
The planet is getting hotter and sooner or later, world governments are going to be forced to take action. Regulation may not be happening fast enough to stop the irreversible damage predicted from a 2-degree (Celsius) rise in global temperature, but action will happen eventually and some investors are beginning to show concern. Just last week, Bloomberg L.P. released a "Carbon Risk Valuation Tool " intended to help its high-end portfolio managers assess the risk of so called 'stranded assets' . The tool estimates that BP stands to lose 43% of its stock value if governments ever get serious about regulating emissions. To understand "stranding" better, I talked earlier this month with John Fullerton, a former oil and gas investor for JP Morgan:
"The reality is that climate change and finance are still viewed as separate worlds... Mainstream investors still dismiss it as "not our issue,"" said Fullerton, President and Founder of The Capital Institute.
Continued investment in fossil fuels is creating what is called a "carbon bubble" he explained. A bigger, more malignant financial dilemma than its predecessor, the housing bubble; in order for the world to reduce emissions, climate scientists estimate that two-thirds of today's fossil fuel reserves need to stay in the ground. The UN Climate Chief Christiana Figueres told energy executives as much, when she addressed a coal industry conference last month. "It's time honestly assess the financial risks of business as usual," said Figueres.
But "stranding" enough fossil fuel to head off climate catastrophe will be costly for the countries with publicly-held reserves, for the energy companies and the people whose pension funds are currently invested in them. Energy companies, Fullerton estimates, would need to take a $20 trillion write-off, way more than the estimated $2 trillion lost in the subprime mortgage meltdown.
How likely are companies to take action themselves? "Not likely" says Fullerton. A better bet is that investors, out of self-interest, will wise up. If not self-interest, then public pressure. A campaign has been growing across college campuses demanding that universities divest from fossil fuels, as they once campaigned for divestment from apartheid South Africa.
So far the results have not been encouraging. Says Fullerton of Brown and Harvard's decision not to divest:
"The president of [Brown] issued a long and thoughtful statement on their decision on why they should not divest, and to be honest, I fully sympathize with all of the economic arguments...but I do think if we look back at that letter, maybe even only five years from now, and substitute the word fossil fuel perhaps with the word slavery we will be aghast at how we thought about this issue. Our leading public institutions are letting us down"
The pressure on college boards is rising - in the US and abroad thanks to campaigns like 350.0rg's "Fossil Free."
Dear Common Dreams reader, It’s been nearly 30 years since I co-founded Common Dreams with my late wife, Lina Newhouser. We had the radical notion that journalism should serve the public good, not corporate profits. It was clear to us from the outset what it would take to build such a project. No paid advertisements. No corporate sponsors. No millionaire publisher telling us what to think or do. Many people said we wouldn't last a year, but we proved those doubters wrong. Together with a tremendous team of journalists and dedicated staff, we built an independent media outlet free from the constraints of profits and corporate control. Our mission has always been simple: To inform. To inspire. To ignite change for the common good. Building Common Dreams was not easy. Our survival was never guaranteed. When you take on the most powerful forces—Wall Street greed, fossil fuel industry destruction, Big Tech lobbyists, and uber-rich oligarchs who have spent billions upon billions rigging the economy and democracy in their favor—the only bulwark you have is supporters who believe in your work. But here’s the urgent message from me today. It's never been this bad out there. And it's never been this hard to keep us going. At the very moment Common Dreams is most needed, the threats we face are intensifying. We need your support now more than ever. We don't accept corporate advertising and never will. We don't have a paywall because we don't think people should be blocked from critical news based on their ability to pay. Everything we do is funded by the donations of readers like you. When everyone does the little they can afford, we are strong. But if that support retreats or dries up, so do we. Will you donate now to make sure Common Dreams not only survives but thrives? —Craig Brown, Co-founder |
John Fullerton: Fossil Fuels & Stranded Assets [Excerpt]The Laura Flanders Show streams at www.grittv.org. In this excerpt from a forthcoming interview with John Fullerton of Capital ...
The planet is getting hotter and sooner or later, world governments are going to be forced to take action. Regulation may not be happening fast enough to stop the irreversible damage predicted from a 2-degree (Celsius) rise in global temperature, but action will happen eventually and some investors are beginning to show concern. Just last week, Bloomberg L.P. released a "Carbon Risk Valuation Tool " intended to help its high-end portfolio managers assess the risk of so called 'stranded assets' . The tool estimates that BP stands to lose 43% of its stock value if governments ever get serious about regulating emissions. To understand "stranding" better, I talked earlier this month with John Fullerton, a former oil and gas investor for JP Morgan:
"The reality is that climate change and finance are still viewed as separate worlds... Mainstream investors still dismiss it as "not our issue,"" said Fullerton, President and Founder of The Capital Institute.
Continued investment in fossil fuels is creating what is called a "carbon bubble" he explained. A bigger, more malignant financial dilemma than its predecessor, the housing bubble; in order for the world to reduce emissions, climate scientists estimate that two-thirds of today's fossil fuel reserves need to stay in the ground. The UN Climate Chief Christiana Figueres told energy executives as much, when she addressed a coal industry conference last month. "It's time honestly assess the financial risks of business as usual," said Figueres.
But "stranding" enough fossil fuel to head off climate catastrophe will be costly for the countries with publicly-held reserves, for the energy companies and the people whose pension funds are currently invested in them. Energy companies, Fullerton estimates, would need to take a $20 trillion write-off, way more than the estimated $2 trillion lost in the subprime mortgage meltdown.
How likely are companies to take action themselves? "Not likely" says Fullerton. A better bet is that investors, out of self-interest, will wise up. If not self-interest, then public pressure. A campaign has been growing across college campuses demanding that universities divest from fossil fuels, as they once campaigned for divestment from apartheid South Africa.
So far the results have not been encouraging. Says Fullerton of Brown and Harvard's decision not to divest:
"The president of [Brown] issued a long and thoughtful statement on their decision on why they should not divest, and to be honest, I fully sympathize with all of the economic arguments...but I do think if we look back at that letter, maybe even only five years from now, and substitute the word fossil fuel perhaps with the word slavery we will be aghast at how we thought about this issue. Our leading public institutions are letting us down"
The pressure on college boards is rising - in the US and abroad thanks to campaigns like 350.0rg's "Fossil Free."
John Fullerton: Fossil Fuels & Stranded Assets [Excerpt]The Laura Flanders Show streams at www.grittv.org. In this excerpt from a forthcoming interview with John Fullerton of Capital ...
The planet is getting hotter and sooner or later, world governments are going to be forced to take action. Regulation may not be happening fast enough to stop the irreversible damage predicted from a 2-degree (Celsius) rise in global temperature, but action will happen eventually and some investors are beginning to show concern. Just last week, Bloomberg L.P. released a "Carbon Risk Valuation Tool " intended to help its high-end portfolio managers assess the risk of so called 'stranded assets' . The tool estimates that BP stands to lose 43% of its stock value if governments ever get serious about regulating emissions. To understand "stranding" better, I talked earlier this month with John Fullerton, a former oil and gas investor for JP Morgan:
"The reality is that climate change and finance are still viewed as separate worlds... Mainstream investors still dismiss it as "not our issue,"" said Fullerton, President and Founder of The Capital Institute.
Continued investment in fossil fuels is creating what is called a "carbon bubble" he explained. A bigger, more malignant financial dilemma than its predecessor, the housing bubble; in order for the world to reduce emissions, climate scientists estimate that two-thirds of today's fossil fuel reserves need to stay in the ground. The UN Climate Chief Christiana Figueres told energy executives as much, when she addressed a coal industry conference last month. "It's time honestly assess the financial risks of business as usual," said Figueres.
But "stranding" enough fossil fuel to head off climate catastrophe will be costly for the countries with publicly-held reserves, for the energy companies and the people whose pension funds are currently invested in them. Energy companies, Fullerton estimates, would need to take a $20 trillion write-off, way more than the estimated $2 trillion lost in the subprime mortgage meltdown.
How likely are companies to take action themselves? "Not likely" says Fullerton. A better bet is that investors, out of self-interest, will wise up. If not self-interest, then public pressure. A campaign has been growing across college campuses demanding that universities divest from fossil fuels, as they once campaigned for divestment from apartheid South Africa.
So far the results have not been encouraging. Says Fullerton of Brown and Harvard's decision not to divest:
"The president of [Brown] issued a long and thoughtful statement on their decision on why they should not divest, and to be honest, I fully sympathize with all of the economic arguments...but I do think if we look back at that letter, maybe even only five years from now, and substitute the word fossil fuel perhaps with the word slavery we will be aghast at how we thought about this issue. Our leading public institutions are letting us down"
The pressure on college boards is rising - in the US and abroad thanks to campaigns like 350.0rg's "Fossil Free."