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Every-man-for-himself politics will have to yield to we’re-all-in-this-together; otherwise, it’s going to be far grimmer than it already is.
I didn’t expect to love Yellowknife, the capital of Canada’s Northwest Territories—a lot of the towns of the far north always seem hunkered down to me, a collection of Quonset huts braced against the long winter. Yellowknife, though, was charming: I hadn’t been off the airplane three minutes before the northern lights broke through, a green wave cracking across the sky. The next morning I wandered the shores of Great Slave Lake, past houses perched on the rocks of the vast shore like the most picturesque parts of downeast Maine. In between meetings with First Nations leaders key in the pipeline fights of the last decade, I wandered the trails around the capitol building—among other things, I happened across a pure black morph of a fox, one of the loveliest creatures I’ve ever seen.
And now Yellowknife is being evacuated—its 20,000 residents trying to drive south down the long road towards Edmonton, or being flown out in shifts from its small airport, even as flames and smoke lick at the city limits.
It’s important—in this year that has seen global warming come fully to life—to describe accurately what’s happening on our planet. And one key thing is: the number of places humans can safely live is now shrinking. Fast. The size of the board on which we can play the great game of human civilization is getting smaller.
So far we’re mostly failing the tests of solidarity or generosity or justice that these migrations produce.
Yellowknife this week, and Maui, and Tenerife in the Canary Islands, and Kelowna, a beautiful city in British Columbia’s Okanagan country. The pictures from each looked more or less the same: walls of orange flame and billows of black smoke. In each case many of the people hardest hit were Indigenous; in each case fear and sadness and anger and above all uncertainty. What would be left? When might we return? Could we build back?
The story of human civilization has been steady expansion. Out of Africa into the surrounding continents. Out along the river corridors and ocean coasts as trade grew. Into new territory as we cut down forests or filled in swamps. But that steady expansion has now turned into a contraction. There are places it’s getting harder and harder to live, because it burns or floods. Or because the threat of fire and water is enough to drive up the price of insurance past the point where people can afford it.
For a while we try to fight off this contraction—we have such wonderfully deep roots to the places where we came up. But eventually it’s too hot or too expensive—when you can’t grow food any more, for instance, you have to leave.
So far we’re mostly failing the tests of solidarity or generosity or justice that these migrations produce. The E.U., for instance, has this year paid huge sums to the government of Tunisia in exchange for “border security,” i.e., for warehousing Africans fleeing drought:
‘We all heard that the prime minister of Italy paid the Tunisian president a lot of money to keep the Blacks away from the country,’ Kelvin, a 32-year-old Nigerian migrant, said on Saturday from Tunisia’s border with Libya.
Like other sub-Saharan African migrants, many of whom can enter Tunisia without visas, he had spent several months cleaning houses and working construction in Sfax, scraping together the smuggler’s fee for a boat to Europe. Then, he said, Tunisians in uniforms broke through his door, beat him until his ankle fractured, and put him on a bus to the desert.
But the size of this tide will eventually overwhelm any such effort, on that border or ours, or pretty much any other. Job one, of course, is to limit the rise in temperature so that fewer people have to flee: Remember, at this point each extra tenth of a degree takes another 140 million humans out of what scientists call prime human habitat:
By late this century, according to a study published last month in the journal Nature Sustainability, 3 to 6 billion people, or between a third and a half of humanity, could be trapped outside of that zone, facing extreme heat, food scarcity, and higher death rates, unless emissions are sharply curtailed or mass migration is accommodated.
But even if we do everything right at this point, there’s already extraordinary quantities of human tragedy inexorably in motion. So along with new solar panels and new batteries, we need new/old ethics of solidarity. We’re going to have to settle the places that still work with creativity and grace; the idea that we can sprawl suburbs across our best remaining land is sillier all the time. Infill, densification, community—these are going to need to be our watchwords. Housing is, by this standard, a key environmental solution. Every-man-for-himself politics will have to yield to we’re-all-in-this-together; otherwise, it’s going to be far grimmer than it already is.
Matters are moving quickly now.
"We're all tired of the word unprecedented, yet there is no other way to describe this situation in the Northwest Territories," said a province official.
Nearly 22,000 residents of Yellowknife—the capital of Canada's Northwest Territories—and the surrounding area were rushing to flee their homes on Thursday under an evacuation order, as wildfires posed what the province's environment minister said was a "real threat to the city."
The residents have until noon on Friday to evacuate, with officials advising those who live near Kam Lake, Grace Lake, and in the Engle business district to leave their homes as quickly as possible. The First Nations communities of Dettah and Ndilo, which neighbor Yellowknife, were also ordered to evacuate.
The closest blaze was about 11 miles from Yellowknife as of Wednesday and fire information officer Mike Westwick told reporters at a news conference Wednesday evening that the fire could reach the outskirts of the city by the weekend.
Environment Minister Shane Thompson told the public that with the fire threatening both air and road travel in the coming days, "the window of opportunity right now is going to allow us to evacuate everybody safely."
"We need you to do it now," he told residents.
The evacuation order came as Western Canada faced a heatwave that broke 19 daily temperature records on Tuesday, fueling hundreds of wildfires.
In June, climate scientists were alarmed by rapidly spreading wildfires in the eastern province of Nova Scotia. Wildfires are relatively common in Canada's landlocked western provinces rather than in the Atlantic region and near Yellowknife, which lies just 250 miles south of the Arctic Circle.
"This is the north," said author and climate advocate Naomi Klein, calling the scenes in Yellowknife on Thursday "harrowing."
Three centers in Alberta, which borders the Northwest Territories, were set up on Thursday to house people who are unable to find accommodations.
Officials advised residents to travel away from the city rather than seeking refuge on islands in the nearby Great Slave Lake because the air quality is expected to become unhealthy rapidly as the fire approaches.
For people who were unable to travel out of Yellowknife by car, evacuation flights were scheduled to begin on Thursday.
Following social media reports that Air Canada was price gouging flights out of Yellowknife, the airline assured Canadian Transport Minister Pablo Rodriguez that it would cap prices during the evacuation order.
The fires in the province are just one of many that have devastated communities or are currently threatening devastation as scientists warn that continued fossil fuel emissions are making the wildfires far more destructive than they would be otherwise. Also on Thursday, thousands of people in Tenerife, one of Spain's Canary Islands, were evacuated due to a wildfire that emergency workers were struggling to contain.
"We're all tired of the word unprecedented, yet there is no other way to describe this situation in the Northwest Territories," said Northwest Territories Premier Caroline Cochrane.