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Data from the Fed showing the $4 trillion drop. (Photo: modifified screengrab, Federal Reserve)
Total American household net worth fell by $4 trillion at the end of 2018, sparking fears that the economy may be headed to a downturn.
Data from the Federal Reserve in its quarterly Flow of Funds report showed the decline. The drop was "the single largest quarterly dollar drop on record," according to a blog post on the data by The Big Picture's Barry Ritholtz.
"As a comparison, the U.S. bear market losses from 2007-2009 = $11 trillion dollars," wrote Ritholz.
Reuters reported Thursday that Fed officials fear the decline could lead to a drop in consumer spending and a corresponding contraction of economic growth for the U.S.
Dips in retail spending at the end of 2018, the report said, added to the fear.
Not everyone assumes the worst, however.
According to CNN, the pinch will be felt disproportionately by the wealthy--leaving most households clear of the impact.
The decline does not reflect the average household's balance sheet, since stock ownership is concentrated among the wealthy. Only 18.7% of Americans own stock directly, while about half are invested in the market through through employer-sponsored retirement accounts, according to Pew.
U.S. News and World Report's Andrew Soergel, in an analysis, said that despite the loss of $4 trillion, that decline was based in "a woeful Wall Street run to close out 2018," and that the economy was more likely to continue to grow than not.
Trade uncertainty and anticipation of future Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and monetary policy tightening largely weighed on investors at the end of the year. And although those risks haven't exactly dissipated as the U.S. approaches the end of the first quarter, markets have largely stabilized, and consumers don't seem to be much the worse for wear.
Soergel also pointed to consumer confidence and credit debt as indicators of a growing economy: "credit increases are generally associated with a relatively optimistic consumer whose spending contributes to economic growth."
Total consumer credit debt, however, indicates there may be more trouble ahead, especially since it just hit a familiar amount: $4 trillion.
This country and this world are at a monumental crossroads. US voters have an opportunity to beat back the forces of fascism and confront the billionaires who are rigging the economy, our media system, and our democracy, making it increasingly impossible for ordinary people to get by. We’re not just talking about the election. We’re talking about what must be done once these fascist elements are vanquished from power. We need a bolder set of solutions than what either major party has so far been willing to offer and a working-class movement ready to fight like hell for it. Trump didn't emerge from nowhere. The conditions that fueled MAGA authoritarianism were created by decades of radical neoliberal economic policies and a corrupt political system dominated by corporate interests. They slashed taxes on the super-rich, promising that the benefits would trickle down. They said giveaways to the corporate titans would make life more affordable for the rest of us. It was all bullshit. And when a bitter, betrayed populace searches for someone to blame, right-wing demagogues have little trouble finding scapegoats. People know when they're being lied to, but you won't hear any of this from the corporate media. Only independent journalism—powered and funded by people who believe in building a better world—can deliver truly trustworthy daily news. If you share our vision, please contribute whatever you can to sustain our work. |
Total American household net worth fell by $4 trillion at the end of 2018, sparking fears that the economy may be headed to a downturn.
Data from the Federal Reserve in its quarterly Flow of Funds report showed the decline. The drop was "the single largest quarterly dollar drop on record," according to a blog post on the data by The Big Picture's Barry Ritholtz.
"As a comparison, the U.S. bear market losses from 2007-2009 = $11 trillion dollars," wrote Ritholz.
Reuters reported Thursday that Fed officials fear the decline could lead to a drop in consumer spending and a corresponding contraction of economic growth for the U.S.
Dips in retail spending at the end of 2018, the report said, added to the fear.
Not everyone assumes the worst, however.
According to CNN, the pinch will be felt disproportionately by the wealthy--leaving most households clear of the impact.
The decline does not reflect the average household's balance sheet, since stock ownership is concentrated among the wealthy. Only 18.7% of Americans own stock directly, while about half are invested in the market through through employer-sponsored retirement accounts, according to Pew.
U.S. News and World Report's Andrew Soergel, in an analysis, said that despite the loss of $4 trillion, that decline was based in "a woeful Wall Street run to close out 2018," and that the economy was more likely to continue to grow than not.
Trade uncertainty and anticipation of future Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and monetary policy tightening largely weighed on investors at the end of the year. And although those risks haven't exactly dissipated as the U.S. approaches the end of the first quarter, markets have largely stabilized, and consumers don't seem to be much the worse for wear.
Soergel also pointed to consumer confidence and credit debt as indicators of a growing economy: "credit increases are generally associated with a relatively optimistic consumer whose spending contributes to economic growth."
Total consumer credit debt, however, indicates there may be more trouble ahead, especially since it just hit a familiar amount: $4 trillion.
Total American household net worth fell by $4 trillion at the end of 2018, sparking fears that the economy may be headed to a downturn.
Data from the Federal Reserve in its quarterly Flow of Funds report showed the decline. The drop was "the single largest quarterly dollar drop on record," according to a blog post on the data by The Big Picture's Barry Ritholtz.
"As a comparison, the U.S. bear market losses from 2007-2009 = $11 trillion dollars," wrote Ritholz.
Reuters reported Thursday that Fed officials fear the decline could lead to a drop in consumer spending and a corresponding contraction of economic growth for the U.S.
Dips in retail spending at the end of 2018, the report said, added to the fear.
Not everyone assumes the worst, however.
According to CNN, the pinch will be felt disproportionately by the wealthy--leaving most households clear of the impact.
The decline does not reflect the average household's balance sheet, since stock ownership is concentrated among the wealthy. Only 18.7% of Americans own stock directly, while about half are invested in the market through through employer-sponsored retirement accounts, according to Pew.
U.S. News and World Report's Andrew Soergel, in an analysis, said that despite the loss of $4 trillion, that decline was based in "a woeful Wall Street run to close out 2018," and that the economy was more likely to continue to grow than not.
Trade uncertainty and anticipation of future Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and monetary policy tightening largely weighed on investors at the end of the year. And although those risks haven't exactly dissipated as the U.S. approaches the end of the first quarter, markets have largely stabilized, and consumers don't seem to be much the worse for wear.
Soergel also pointed to consumer confidence and credit debt as indicators of a growing economy: "credit increases are generally associated with a relatively optimistic consumer whose spending contributes to economic growth."
Total consumer credit debt, however, indicates there may be more trouble ahead, especially since it just hit a familiar amount: $4 trillion.