JERUSALEM - The Israeli military is preparing itself to launch a massive aerial assault on
Iran's nuclear facilities within days of being given the go-ahead by its new
Among the steps taken to ready Israeli forces for what would be a risky raid
requiring pinpoint aerial strikes are the acquisition of three Airborne
Warning and Control (AWAC) aircraft and regional missions to simulate the
Two nationwide civil defence drills will help to prepare the public for the
retaliation that Israel could face.
“Israel wants to know that if its forces were given the green light they could
strike at Iran in a matter of days, even hours. They are making preparations
on every level for this eventuality. The message to Iran is that the threat
is not just words,” one senior defence official told The Times.
Officials believe that Israel could be required to hit more than a dozen
targets, including moving convoys. The sites include Natanz, where thousands
of centrifuges produce enriched uranium; Esfahan, where 250 tonnes of gas is
stored in tunnels; and Arak, where a heavy water reactor produces plutonium.
The distance from Israel to at least one of the sites is more than 870 miles,
a distance that the Israeli force practised covering in a training exercise
last year that involved F15 and F16 jets, helicopters and refuelling tankers.
The possible Israeli strike on Iran has drawn comparisons to its attack on the
Osirak nuclear facility near Baghdad in 1981. That strike, which destroyed
the facility in under 100 seconds, was completed without Israeli losses and
checked Iraqi ambitions for a nuclear weapons programme.
“We would not make the threat [against Iran] without the force to back it.
There has been a recent move, a number of on-the-ground preparations, that
indicate Israel's willingness to act,” said another official from Israel's
He added that it was unlikely that Israel would carry out the attack without
receiving at least tacit approval from America, which has struck a more
reconciliatory tone in dealing with Iran under its new administration.
An Israeli attack on Iran would entail flying over Jordanian and Iraqi
airspace, where US forces have a strong presence.
Ephraim Kam, the deputy director of the Institute for National Security
Studies, said it was unlikely that the Americans would approve an attack.
“The American defence establishment is unsure that the operation will be
successful. And the results of the operation would only delay Iran's
programme by two to four years,” he said.
A visit by President Obama to Israel in June is expected to coincide with the
national elections in Iran — timing that would allow the US Administration
to re-evaluate diplomatic resolutions with Iran before hearing the Israeli
“Many of the leaks or statements made by Israeli leaders and military
commanders are meant for deterrence. The message is that if [the
international community] is unable to solve the problem they need to take
into account that we will solve it our way,” Mr Kam said.
Among recent preparations by the airforce was the Israeli attack of a weapons
convoy in Sudan bound for militants in the Gaza Strip.
“Sudan was practice for the Israeli forces on a long-range attack,” Ronen
Bergman, the author of The Secret War with Iran, said. “They wanted
to see how they handled the transfer of information, hitting a moving target
... In that sense it was a rehearsal.”
Israel has made public its intention to hold the largest-ever nationwide drill
Colonel Hilik Sofer told Haaretz, a daily Israeli newspaper, that the
drill would “train for a reality in which during war missiles can fall on
any part of the country without warning ... We want the citizens to
understand that war can happen tomorrow morning”.
Israel will conduct an exercise with US forces to test the ability of Arrow,
its US-funded missile defence system. The exercise would test whether the
system could intercept missiles launched at Israel.
“Israel has made it clear that it will not tolerate the threat of a nuclear
Iran. According to Israeli Intelligence they will have the bomb within two
years ... Once they have a bomb it will be too late, and Israel will have no
choice to strike — with or without America,” an official from the
Israeli Defence Ministry said.