The
U.S. news media’s reaction to Ronald Reagan’s death is putting on display
what has happened to American public debate in the years since Reagan’s
political rise in the late 1970s: a near-total collapse of serious
analytical thinking at the national level.
Across the U.S. television dial and in major American
newspapers, the commentary is fawning almost in a Pravda-like way, far
beyond the normal reticence against speaking ill of the dead. Left-of-center
commentators compete with conservatives to hail Reagan’s supposedly genial
style and his alleged role in “winning the Cold War.” The Washington Post’s
front-page headline – “Ronald Reagan Dies” – was in giant type more fitting
the Moon Landing.
Yet absent from the media commentary was the one
fundamental debate that must be held before any reasonable assessment can be
made of Ronald Reagan and his Presidency: How, why and when was the Cold War
“won”? If, for instance, the United States was already on the verge of victory
over a foundering Soviet Union in the early-to-mid-1970s, as some analysts
believe, then Reagan’s true historic role may not have been “winning” the Cold
War, but helping to extend it.
If the Soviet Union was already in rapid decline, rather
than in the ascendancy that Reagan believed, then the massive U.S. military
build-up in the 1980s was not decisive; it was excessive. The terrible bloodshed
in Central America and Africa, including death squad activities by U.S. clients,
was not some necessary evil; it was a war crime aided and abetted by the Reagan
administration.
One-Sided Debate
That debate, however, has never been engaged, except by
Reagan acolytes who chose to glorify Reagan’s role in “winning the Cold War”
rather than examining the assumptions that guided his policies in the 1970s and
1980s. Although it’s largely forgotten now, Reagan’s rise within the Republican
Party was as a challenge to the “détente” strategies pursued by Richard Nixon
and Henry Kissinger – before the Watergate scandal forced Nixon from office –
and later by Gerald Ford. Détente was, in effect, an effort to ease the Cold War
to an end, much as finally occurred in the late 1980s and early 1990s.
Cold Warriors Nixon and Kissinger – along with much of the
U.S. intelligence community – had recognized the systemic weaknesses of the
Soviet system, which was falling desperately behind the West in technology and
in the ability to produce consumer goods desired by the peoples of Eastern
Europe. One only needed to look at night-time satellite photos to see the
disparity between the glittering city lights of North America, Western Europe
and parts of Asia compared to the darkness across the Soviet bloc.
Under this analysis of Soviet weakness, the 1970s was the
time for the West to accept victory and begin transitioning the Soviet Union out
of its failed economic model. Not only could that approach have hastened the
emergence of a new generation of Russian reformers, it would have allowed world
leaders to pull back from the edge of nuclear confrontation. Third World civil
wars also could have been addressed as local conflicts, not East-West tests of
strength.
But American conservatives – and a new group of
neoconservatives who would become the ideological backbone of the Reagan
administration – saw the situation differently. They insisted that the Soviet
Union was on the rise militarily with plans to surround the United States and
eventually conquer it by attacking through the “soft underbelly” of Central
America.
In 1976, then-CIA Director George H.W. Bush gave an
important boost to this apocalyptic vision by allowing a group of conservative
analysts, including a young Paul Wolfowitz, inside the CIA’s analytical
division. The group, known as “Team B,” was permitted to review highly
classified U.S. intelligence on the Soviet Union. Not surprisingly, Team B came
up with conclusions matching its members’ preconceptions, that the CIA had
underestimated the Soviet military ascendancy and its plans to gain world
domination.
Along with the Team B analysis came the theories of
academic Jeane Kirkpatrick, who made a name for herself with an analysis that
differentiated between “authoritarian” and “totalitarian” governments.
In Kirkpatrick’s theory, right-wing “authoritarian” governments were preferable
to left-wing “communist” governments because authoritarian governments could
evolve toward democracy while communist governments couldn’t.
Dark Vision
These two factors – the Team B take on the military rise of
the Soviet bloc and the Kirkpatrick Doctrine’s view of immutable communist
regimes – guided Reagan’s foreign policy. Reagan relied on these analyses to
justify both his massive U.S. military build-up in the 1980s (which put the U.S.
government deeply into debt) and his support for right-wing regimes that engaged
in blood baths against their opponents (especially across Latin America).
As far back as the late 1970s, for instance, Reagan
defended the Argentine military junta while it was engaged in the use of state
terror and was “disappearing” tens of thousands of dissidents. Those tactics
included barbaric acts such as cutting babies out of pregnant women so the
mothers could then be executed while the babies were given to the murderers.
[See Consortiumnews.com's "Argentina's
Dapper State Terrorist."]
In the 1980s in Guatemala, Reagan aided military regimes
that waged scorched-earth campaigns against rural peasants, including genocide
against Indian populations. Reagan personally attacked the human rights reports
describing atrocities inflicted on hundreds of Mayan villages. On Dec. 4, 1982,
after meeting with Guatemalan dictator Gen. Efrain Rios Montt, Reagan hailed the
general as "totally dedicated to democracy" and asserted that Rios Montt's
government was "getting a bum rap." [For details, see Consortiumnews.com's "Reagan
& Guatemala's Death Files."]
Tens of thousands more people died at the hands of
right-wing security forces in El Salvador and Honduras, while in Nicaragua,
Reagan funneled support to the contras, who behaved like a kind of
death-squad-in-waiting, committing widespread atrocities against Nicaraguan
civilians while funding some operations with cocaine trafficking to the United
States. [For details, see Robert Parry's Lost History.]
It followed, after all, that if the Soviet Union were on
the verge of world conquest and if that would mean permanent slavery, then
desperate measures were required. But the problem with the Team B analysis and
the Kirkpatrick Doctrine was that both were wrong.
The evidence is now clear that by the 1970s, the Soviet
Union was in sharp decline both economically and militarily. Rather than some
grandiose strategy for world conquest, Moscow was in a largely defensive
posture, trying to hold in line countries near its borders, such as Eastern
Europe and Afghanistan. The Helsinki Accords for human rights also were putting
the Soviet Union under greater pressure as dissident movements, such as Poland’s
Solidarity, took shape within Moscow’s sphere of influence. [For more on the
doctored intelligence of the Reagan-Bush era, see Consortiumnews.com's "Lost
in the Politicization Swamp."]
Besides greater personal freedoms, Soviet bloc residents
wanted the higher-quality consumer goods available in the West. Even a bigger
threat to Moscow's power was the growing chasm between Western technological
advances and Soviet backwardness. By the late 1970s and 1980s, the reletively
modest assistance that Moscow handed out to friendly Third World regimes, such
as Cuba and Nicaragua, was more show than substance.
The Soviet Union had become a national Potemkin village, a
hollowed-out economy and bankrupt political system with nuclear weapons. Along
with the miscalculations of Team B's strategic analysis, the Kirkpatrick
Doctrine failed to stand the test of time. Democratic governments sprouted
across Eastern Europe and the Sandinistas conceded defeat in Nicaragua – not as
contras marched into Managua – but following a lost election.
Indeed, if the Soviet Union had been what the American
conservatives claimed – a nation marching toward world supremacy in the early
1980s – how would one explain its rapid collapse only a few years later? After
all, the Soviet Union wasn’t invaded or conquered. Its troops did suffer losses
in Afghanistan, but that would no more have brought down a true superpower than
the Vietnam defeat could have caused the United States to collapse.
Bogus History
Despite these facts, the right wing’s historical take on
how the Cold War was “won” has been broadly accepted within the elite opinion
circles of the United States: Reagan’s hard-line stance toward the Soviet Union
caused the communists to crumble. Given how powerful the right-wing media
machine had gotten by the early 1990s, liberals largely chose to cede the Cold
War debate to the conservatives and tried to shift the public’s focus to future
U.S. domestic needs.
So, instead of a soul-searching examination of the
unnecessary loss of blood and treasure, the nation got a feel-good history. Gone
was any reassessment of the alarmist views associated with Ronald Reagan and his
ideological cohorts. Gone were any questions about whether the expenditure of
hundreds of billions of dollars on new weapons systems was justified or whether
the U.S. government should be held accountable for the brutal excesses of
counter-insurgency wars in Central America.
The unpleasant history was shunted aside or covered up.
When declassified U.S. government documents led to a judgment by a Guatemalan
truth commission that the Reagan administration had aided and abetted genocide,
it was a one-day story. When a CIA inspector general confirmed that many contra
units had engaged in drug trafficking and were protected by the Reagan
administration, the mainstream press only grudgingly acknowledged the story.
[For details, see Robert Parry’s Lost History.]
Another little-noticed part of Reagan’s legacy was his
credentialing of a generation of neoconservative operatives who learned the
importance of manipulating intelligence from Team B and about managing the
perceptions of the American people from the Nicaraguan contra war. As Walter
Raymond, Reagan’s chief of public diplomacy, was fond of saying about how to
sell the Nicaraguan conflict to the American people: the goal was to “glue black
hats” on the leftist Sandinistas and “white hats” on the contras.
George W. Bush’s strategy for rallying the American public
behind the War in Iraq – with hyped intelligence about military threats and
extreme rhetoric about the evil of U.S. adversaries – follows the game plan
drawn up by Ronald Reagan’s national security team in the 1980s. [For more
details on the decline of the CIA's analytical division, see Consortiumnews.com
"Why U.S. Intelligence
Failed."]
Arguably, too, another troubling part of Ronald Reagan’s
legacy is the press corps’s stultifying version of recent American history, a
superficiality richly on display in the media paeans to Reagan following his
death.
In the 1980s, while with the Associated Press and
Newsweek, Robert Parry broke many of the stories now known as the
Iran-Contra Affair. He is currently working on a book about the secret
political history of the two George Bushes.
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