International trade is once again becoming a big
issue in presidential politics. Not since Ross
Perot's much ridiculed warning in 1992 of "a giant
sucking sound" -- to describe his prediction of jobs
heading South if NAFTA were approved -- has
trade-related job loss received so much attention.
The new buzzword is "outsourcing" -- companies
moving jobs from low-level telemarketing to high-
end computer software design to places like India
and China. It seems that the outsourcing of higher-
paying jobs has attracted the most prominent
opposition. "Second Thoughts on Free Trade" was
the title of a recent New York Times op-ed on this
subject, co-authored by New York Senator
Charles Schumer.
But isn't this what has been happening to the
majority of the U.S. labor force for 30 years? Now
that international competition is creeping up the
occupational ladder, it seems we have a problem
that is recognizable by people in high places.
Better late than never. But this should help us see how badly the whole issue of how we deal with the "global economy" has been misrepresented in media and policy circles.
In a typical newspaper article or op-ed, politicians or union leaders who criticize agreements such as NAFTA or the WTO are described as "protectionist" or against "free trade." Those who support such commercial agreements are called "free-traders."
But this is completely inaccurate. The proponents
of "free trade" are only in favor of international
competition that drives down the wages of
ordinary workers. They do not support similar
measures to reduce the salaries of doctors, for
example. Quite the opposite, in fact: current law
makes it difficult for foreign professionals to
practice in the United States, and the government
has limited the number of foreign residents in U.S.
medical schools so as not to depress doctors'
salaries.
As a result of this selective application of "free trade," a cardiologist earning $500,000 a year can go to the local Wal-Mart and get a DVD player made in Malaysia for less than $100. He has gained both from "free trade" and the international out-sourcing of our manufacturing sector.
The "free-trader" will respond: yes, but so has the janitor, the security guard, and on up the ladder. But if we add up their gains in the form of cheaper consumer goods, and subtract what they have lost due to the downward pressure on their wages, most workers have suffered a net loss from America's global economic experiment of the last 30 years.
The better-off professionals -- doctors, lawyers, economists -- have all the protection they need from foreign competition. Neither immigration nor outsourcing can lower the cost of their services.
The picture changes drastically as we move below
the 27 percent of Americans who have a college
degree. The protected professionals who write the
rules of global commerce have been eager to
expose as many people below them as possible to
the rigors of international competition.
The result has contributed significantly to the most massive upward re-distribution of income in U.S. history. While income per person has risen more than 85 percent over the last 30 years, the median wage has risen by only about 7 percent.
A few things to note: first, the real wage decline or stagnation suffered by the majority of American workers has been the deliberate objective of those promoting "free trade" in merchandise goods. It is also a logical outcome of such competition, according to standard economic theory.
Second, if the goal of our commercial agreements
were primarily to increase economic efficiency
(thereby benefiting consumers) there is much
more to be gained by introducing international
competition at the high end of the income
distribution. The potential savings to consumers
from such competition among professionals are
enormous -- some 60 to 90 times the savings from
removing the steel tariffs imposed in 2002.
The gains from free international trade in pharmaceuticals are also huge -- but our most important "free trade" arrangements such as the WTO have substantially increased protectionism (in the form of patent protection) in this area.
Third, most of our well-off professionals are doing well not just because they have skills or work hard
-- the same can be said of many mechanics,
carpenters, or skilled factory workers. The main
difference is that these professionals benefit from protectionism that keeps their salaries from being driven down by international competition.
To paraphrase Richard Nixon ("We are all
Keynesians now"), we are all protectionists now.
It's just a question of whose income we are trying
to protect.
Mark Weisbrot is Co-Director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington, D.C.
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