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Why the Euro Is Not Worth Saving
This crisis has exposed the fact that – unlike the EU itself – the eurozone's monetary union was always a rightwing project
The euro is crashing to record lows against the Swiss franc, and interest rates on Italian and Spanish bonds have hit record highs. This latest episode in the eurozone crisis is a result of fears that the contagion is now hitting Italy. With a $2tn economy and $2.45tn in debt, Italy is too big to fail and the European authorities are worried.
Although there is currently little basis for the concern that Italy's interest rates could rise high enough to put its solvency in jeopardy, financial markets are acting irrationally and elevating both the fear and the prospects of a self-fulfilling prophesy. The fact that the European authorities cannot even agree on how to handle the debt of Greece – an economy less than one sixth the size of Italy – does not inspire confidence in their capacity to manage a bigger crisis.
The weaker eurozone economies – Greece, Portugal, Ireland and Spain – are already facing the prospect of years of economic punishment, including extremely high levels of unemployment (16%, 12%, 14% and 21%, respectively). Since the point of all this self-inflicted misery is to save the euro, it is worth asking whether the euro is worth saving. And it is worth asking this question from the point of view of the majority of Europeans who work for a living – that is, from a progressive point of view.
It is often argued that the monetary union, which now includes 17 countries, must be maintained for the sake of the European project. This includes such worthy ideals as European solidarity, building common standards for human rights and social inclusion, keeping rightwing nationalism in check and, of course, the economic and political integration that underlies such progress.
But this confuses the monetary union, or eurozone, with the European Union itself.
Denmark, Sweden and the UK, for example, are part of the EU but not part of the monetary union. There is no reason that the European project cannot proceed, and the EU prosper, without the euro.
And there are good reasons to hope that this may happen. The problem is that the monetary union, unlike the EU itself, is an unambiguously rightwing project. If this has not been clear from its inception, it should be painfully clear now, as the weaker eurozone economies are being subjected to punishment that had previously been reserved for low- and middle-income countries caught in the grip of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and its G7 governors. Instead of trying to get out of recession through fiscal and/or monetary stimulus, as most of the world's governments did in 2009, these governments are being forced to do the opposite, at enormous social cost.
Insults have been added to the injury: the privatisations in Greece or "labour market reform" in Spain; the regressive effects of the measures taken on the distribution of income and wealth; and the shrinking and weakening of the welfare state, while banks are bailed out at taxpayer expense – all this advertises the clear rightwing agenda of the European authorities, as well as their attempt to take advantage of the crisis to institute rightwing political changes.
The rightwing nature of the monetary union had been institutionalised from the beginning. The rules limiting public debt to 60% of GDP and annual budget deficits to 3% of GDP, while violated in practice, are unnecessarily restrictive in times of recession and high unemployment. The European Central Bank's mandate to care only about inflation, and not at all about employment, is another ugly indicator. The US Federal Reserve, for example, is a conservative institution but it is, at least, required by law to concern itself with employment as well as inflation.
And the Fed – for all its incompetence in failing to recognise an $8tn housing bubble that crashed the US economy – has proved to be flexible in the face of recession and a weak recovery, creating more than $2tn as part of an expansionary monetary policy. By comparison, the extremists running the European Central Bank have been raising interest rates since April, despite depression-level unemployment in the weaker eurozone economies.
Some economists and political observers argue that the eurozone needs a fiscal union, with greater co-ordination of budgetary policies, in order to make it work. But rightwing fiscal policy is counter-productive, as we are witnessing, even if it were better co-ordinated. Other economists – including this one – have argued that the large differences in productivity among the member economies present serious difficulties for a monetary union. But even if these problems could be overcome, the eurozone would not be worth the effort if it is a rightwing project.
European economic integration prior to the eurozone was of a different nature. Unlike the "race-to-the-bottom" approach of the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) – which displaced hundreds of thousands of Mexican farmers while contributing to reduced wages and manufacturing employment in the US and Canada – the European Union made some efforts to pull the lower-income economies upward and protect the vulnerable. But the European authorities have proved to be ruthless in their monetary union.
The idea that the euro must be saved for the sake of European solidarity also plays on an oversimplified notion of the resistance that taxpayers in countries such as Germany, the Netherlands and Finland have demonstrated to "bailing out" Greece. While it is undeniable that some of this resistance is based on nationalist prejudice – often inflamed by the mass media – that is not the whole story. Many Europeans don't like to pay the bill for bailing out European banks that made bad loans. And the EU authorities are not "helping" Greece, any more than the US and Nato are "helping" Afghanistan – to take a somewhat analogous debate where those who oppose destructive policies are labeled "backward" and "isolationist".
It appears that much of the European left does not understand the rightwing nature of the institutions, authorities and especially macroeconomic policies, which they are facing in the eurozone. This is part of a more general problem with the public misunderstanding of macroeconomic policy worldwide, which has allowed rightwing central banks to implement destructive policies, sometimes even under leftwing governments. These misunderstandings, along with the lack of democratic input, might help explain the paradox that Europe currently has more rightwing macroeconomic policies than the United States, despite having much stronger labour unions and other institutional bases for more progressive economic policy.
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22 Comments so far
Show AllThe whole purpose of the EU -- and the Euro -- is to break down all barriers faced by multinational corporations in Europe. Everything else is window dressing.
Mr. Weisbrot is nothing but an unabashed shill for the U.S. treasury department which wants the Euro to go away so that it can play the game of divide and rule once again. At this writing the value of the Euro is $ 1.4056, still some 75 percent above its maiden value! Also 1.175 Swiss Francs. Germans living near the border with Switzerland are still filling the gas tanks of their cars at Swiss gas stations. Perhaps his lament should have been that the dollar may go down the drain soon and the Germans can have a bout of what they call "Schadenfreude".
You know Crowsnest I found several statements by Weisbrot very irritating, too.
"And the Fed – for all its incompetence in failing to recognise an $8tn housing bubble that crashed the US economy – has proved to be flexible in the face of recession and a weak recovery, creating more than $2tn as part of an expansionary monetary policy. By comparison, the extremists running the European Central Bank have been raising interest rates since April, despite depression-level unemployment in the weaker eurozone economies."
It was not incompetence that led the Fed to give a pass to the fraudulent lending practices of its member institutions. It was deliberate policy to facilitate the greatest wealth transfer ever from the working people to themselves.
Flexible policy, yeah that's right, bend over homeowners and pensioners, telling them to grab their heels. The homeowners/taxpayers are hit with record spread in what the banks are charged in interest(0%) and what they are charged on mortgages, home equity loans and credit card debt, up to 24%. Pensioners in the meantime are making 1% or less, www.bankaround.com/bank-account/22193/u-s-bank/cd on their deposits. The Fed is bending over backwards in the meantime to foster the false claims that the US deficit is what is responsible for the sluggish economy, citing inflation worries that they refuse to index correctly for COLA increases.
The more I write, the more clear it is that I can support your statement without reservation. He wraps enough toilet paper truth about the European working classes take on their refinancing the debt that investors should have taken a buzzcut on, to try to get us to accept his pile of dog doo on how bad the Euro is.
You're blaming the Fed for all the troubles of the United States economy and that is not right. It was Congress that repealed Glass-Steagall. The Department of Justice refused to indict Wall Street fraudsters. Congress and the President are playing the austerity game, not the Fed.
You may hate the Fed, but in trying to make money available to banks for loans it is without fault. Eurozone bankers want to raise interest rates and plunge member countries into austerity programs. The Fed is following at least a few recommendations of economists like Krugman and Stiglitz.
If you think that of Weisbrot, then you know nothing about him.
The proposition that the Euro is a right wing idea is quite ludicrous, especially when it is European right wing types whom are the leading opponents of the currency. Mark Weisbrot completely omits from his piece how anti-Europe policies are a common plank of right wing parties from Dublin to Tallinn. In fact, if there is anything right wing American think tanks hate, it is the concept of the EU, as it presents another potential challenger to American primacy (current economic woes aside) along with China & India.
The Euro has nothing to do with left-versus-right, and everything to do with multinational corporatism versus local control. In fact, Euro opponents run the gamut from grassroots democrats (small-d, of course) to nationalist authoritarians, whereas Euro supporters include most folks associated with "Christian Democratic" and "Social Democratic" parties.
Weisbrot is talking about rightwing economists, not politicians.
You are confusing the political EU with the monetary eurozone, just as Weisbrot laments too many are.
With the FED throwing money (our money) at our U.S. bankruptcy problem, how can we be so hypocritical as to pretend to be superior to the E.U.'s debt problems? I, for one, prefer that we abolish the FED and look after ourselves. If we go, Europe goes, as the world now exists...bottom line. Maybe, for once in my lifetime, Europe could pick up that tab...but no, they cannot; they have to rescue Greece, Ireland, Spain, Italy, etc., etc.!!! !!!
We had France in NATO until 1966 until the French realized that we would protect them from the Soviets no matter what. They withdrew from NATO and we picked up the military tab to save their butts from the Soviets while the French invested in health care and social programs for their citizens. Consequently, we invested in their social programs. I think no nation on earth benefited more from our involvement than the French. We live in an awfully sad world bent on preserving national interests.
"The euro is crashing to record lows against the Swiss franc,"
Why do the Swiss seem immune to boom and bust?
http://www.vote.org/fossedal
Simple...the Swiss are not part of the European Union.
And they have an arguably superior democratic system than many other countries. I suspect that is ezeflyer's cryptic point.
Swiss army knives aside, the Swiss now spend less than 1% of their GDP on the military. That is just one reason why they are more stable. They also have a well-planned and rational system of public transportation and job training, training for jobs that actually exist. And all those bank deposits.
"And the EU authorities are not "helping" Greece, any more than the US and Nato are "helping" Afghanistan – to take a somewhat analogous debate where those who oppose destructive policies are labeled "backward."
What a stupid analogy!
Compare an occupied country, Afghanistan, to Greece, a non-occupied country. Good Lord!
They are "occupied" by a monetary system and banking system outside of their control. We shall have to see which form of occupation turns out to be the more destructive.
Many have argued for quite some time that capital domination can be more harmful than violent domination.
Exactly right. Empire's new method of conquest/control is thru capture of the monetary system, and establishing independent central banks which then become the actual emperor's "throne", from which the emperor reigns over all the captive nations. The victim nations actually supply the police/military power to enforce their own captivity-to-empire. Our nation is captured by a conquering empire. Paying interest on debt to the central bank is paying TRIBUTE to the conquering empire. It is obvious by now that NONE of our policies are in our nat'l interest, in the sense of our nation being "We the people".
An interesting thread.
It seems the European may not have what it takes to realise the power in their great idea of a European Union.
It also seems Weisbrot is attempting to dream the EU down and the USA up. Given the usual USA war stance and the abject albeit clever fools US'ns have long been and are currently making of themselves there is likely a great deal of prejudicial intent in Weisbrot's article as in it would be great for the USA if the EU collapses and they can pick up the pieces. That the EU is presently turning increasingly towards China while China is turning away from the USA may also have a great deal to do with his piece.
My bet is that Weisbrot's is a piece of propaganda and dishonesty: just like the USA has been proven to be.
Nonetheless it seesm very possible to me that the Euro is not a good idea. It may be that the hangover of a conservative or right wing element he identifies is the determinedly weak link in the EU. This could be an article containing more wisdom in one part of it than in the aggregate.
You will lose your bet.
It always helps to know a little something about the person whose writings you are responding to.
Research Weisbrot a bit and you will find out you are mistaken.
As Weisbrot laments, many confuse the left politics of the EU with the right economics of the Euro. Many in Europe, and many in this thread.
Wow.
Seems little hope for the point of the article to hit home here.
Most folks don't even seem to be able to recall Mr. Weisbrot's many articles published on this site to give context to this piece.
So what hope does he have in getting folks to see the difference between left/right POLITICS and left/right ECONOMIC THEORY in the EU/eurozone?
To me, it seems like the same magic that turns the Fed into a government agency in people's minds is at work here: Simply place the word "Europe" in front of whatever you are doing, and that thing becomes identified with Europe as a socio-political whole!
I'd call it brilliant if I didn't suspect that the "brilliance" of the scheme was only in respect to the dimness of people's understanding. :(
The EU is meant to build up places like Ireland, Greece, Spain.
The Euro is tearing those places down.
It really couldn't be clearer once the fog lifts.
-matti.
P.S. There's a REASON that Denmark, Sweden and the U.K. are in the EU but stayed out of the eurozone. What if it ISN'T because they are evil or selfish?
REASON: Denmark and Sweden didn't wish to become captive "COLONIES" of the Euro-Empire. UK is the host/victim of the emperor's "throne" so naturally stands outside the "strait-jacket" that their "viral" emperors made for Europe. The banksters of the "city of london" (their "wallstreet") are the emperors who rule through their "inter-alpha group" of banks. They are "viral" because they've managed this "sting" without using their own money, or military, police, or physical, tangible assets of any kind (just a smattering of agents deployed in government, think tanks, publishing houses, colleges, etc...). They've also managed to capture the "wallstreet/Fed" entity (since the early seventies "oil shocks"), and thus "recolonized" the USA. It's a transatlantic Euro-empire of purveyors of "bad ideas" that were wildly successful in their marketing of these deadly ideas. It is actually disintegrating as we speak; such a parasitical monster is "contrary-to-nature" and cannot live long.
I agree with just about everything Weisbrot says, except one, not unimportant, detail. Who, exactly, does he mean by the European "left"? If he is using the term in the conventional sense--and he gives no indication that he isn't--it would designate mainstream groups like the French, Portuguese and Greek "socialists". Is Weisbrot saying that these parties--which have been in the forefront of privatization and austerity-- are partisans of the Eurozone because they don't understand its anti-popular nature? Such an interpretation reminds me of American liberals who continue to insist that Obama is a "progressive' who just needs a little more gumption. The leaders of the European "left" understand full well what they are doing, although their rank-and-file may be confused by the socialist label (which may allow the leaders to get away with more than professed right-wingers). But I have a hard time believing Weisbrot is so naive. Is he pulling his punches? Any real fight against the transatlantic austerity drive requires the exposure of false friends as well as open enemies.