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Greece at a Crossroads
Now that the Greek government has survived a confidence vote in Parliament, the stage is set for further confrontations in the lead-up to next week’s decision on whether to accept the new “austerity” plan demanded by the “troika” – the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the European Central Bank (ECB), and the European Union (EU).
While the origins of the crisis in Greece are many, there are a number of fundamental elements.
Part of the problem began when Greece adopted the Euro, which brought sharp increases in the cost of living and meant that the government had no way to manage the value of its currency.
Another difficulty is the political system itself, which is seen by most Greeks as an incompetent and self-serving “pathokratia” (pathocracy). The main parties have done little to modernize the Greek state, its economy, or the unfair tax system.
Also, as Andre Gerolymatos (Chair of Hellenic Studies at Simon Fraser University) noted:
“A major part of the Greek debt crisis is the result of excessive military expenditures forced on the country by the German military industrial complex.” As long as Greeks were borrowing to buy weapons, Germany was unconcerned about the debt.
(This is particularly “ironic”, since Germany experienced the largest national bankruptcies in the 20th century, not to mention the unimaginable destruction inflicted on Greece in the Second World War).
Another blow was struck by the global recession of 2008, sparked by financial speculators in the United States. The fallout hit the Greek economy hard, increasing unemployment.
Moreover, U.S. financial derivatives played a role in the crisis. The N.Y. Times reported that, “Wall Street tactics akin to the ones that fostered subprime mortgages in America have worsened the financial crisis shaking Greece.”
A further burden is the over 2 million refugees who have fled to Greece from the Middle East, North Africa, and Eastern Europe. (That would be equivalent to the U.S. taking in 60 million immigrants). Neither the Greek government nor the EU have provided sufficient resources to address the problem.
Last year, in the face of these multiple crises, the troika demanded cuts in public spending as well as tax hikes in return for a $145 billion loan to help Greece pay foreign creditors.
Public sector wages were slashed 20%. My cousin Maria, who has taught high school for 27 years, found her pay cut from roughly $2,000 to $1,600 per month.
In addition, more than 400,000 workers lost their jobs, including 20% of the public sector. The unemployment rate for youth is over 40%.
When I was in Greece last month, I saw scores of small businesses – both in Athens and in wealthier suburbs like Kifissia - that had been forced to close because of the lack of customers.
While these harsh measures benefited many European banks, it made the economic crisis in Greece even worse.
It is grossly unfair to punish the farmers, workers, and small business owners (a large sector in Greece) for a crisis that they did not create.
Polls have shown that around 80% of Greeks agree that sacrifices must be made, but they feel that the measures demanded by the troika are, “unfairly aimed at the poor while wealthy tax evaders and corrupt politicians got off lightly”, according to pollsters.
As one Greek put it: “This is not about me. This is about my children. Their future is not very bright.”
Now the troika is demanding more of the same: 28 billion euros in tax hikes and spending cuts, and further reducing public services, jobs, and (already low) pensions
Greece would also be forced to privatize up to $50 billion of pubic enterprises.
The imposition of these hardships would further damage the economy.
Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman agrees that, “slashing spending in the face of high unemployment is a mistake,” as it throws even more people out of work, reduces effective demand, and delays economic recovery.
And how will making Greeks poorer help them pay their debts?
There is a realistic alternative. Some form of debt reduction and restructuring, combined with an economic stimulus, and reforms to the Greek government, would help the economy recover without imposing even more suffering.
“The European authorities have more than enough money to finance a recovery programme in Greece, and to bail out their banks if they don't want them to take the inevitable losses on their loans. There is no excuse for this never-ending punishment of the Greek people”, according to Mark Weisbrot of the Center for Economic and Policy Research.
To understand why such harsh policies are demanded, one must begin with the question, “Who benefits?” In short, it is wealthy speculators, banks, and other major financial institutions who are insisting that their investments be protected, no matter the human cost.
U.S. banks alone hold over $40 billion in loans to Greece, while the liability of European banks is $162 billion.
In the 1980s, when an earlier “debt crisis” hit poor countries, the U.S.-dominated IMF imposed the same kinds of “structural adjustment policies” so that foreign speculators (mostly American) got their money.
The result was a “lost decade” (and more), as poverty, inequality, unemployment – and debt – increased. Greek writer Takis Fotopoulos (Inclusive Democracy) argues that the troika’s demands will have similar results – what he calls “the Latin-Americanization of Greece”.
However, Greeks are fighting back, inspired by similar struggles in Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain, Egypt, and even Britain. Demonstrations and strikes are continuing in an attempt to force the Greek Parliament to say NO when the deal comes to a vote next week.
One banner at Syntagma Square in Athens read, “No Pasaran” (“They Shall Not Pass”), the Spanish slogan used by anti-fascist forces in the 1930s, as well as by Nicaraguans resisting the U.S. “contra” terrorist war in the 1980s.
We will know the outcome of this latest battle for justice in a few days.
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14 Comments so far
Show AllThe Euro turned out to be a bad idea for a lot of countries in Europe (UK & I think Denmark kept their own currencies). Greece may just have to let that fantasy go and return to a currency it has control over. The EU is not one country, but a collection of sovereign states. Maybe they jumped the gun w/ the Euro / some of those countries are a lot poorer than some others ....
"“A major part of the Greek debt crisis is the result of excessive military expenditures forced on the country by the German military industrial complex.” As long as Greeks were borrowing to buy weapons, Germany was unconcerned about the debt."
"U.S. banks alone hold over $40 billion in loans to Greece, while the liability of European banks is $162 billion."
And, missing from this discussion, is the fact that Goldman was using accounting tricks to hide all of it from the electorate.
Should the Greek people pay for these debts through the subsequent embezzlement of their public assets and labor contracts, and a virtual "fire sale" of Greece to whom? Goldman and company(ies.) Hell no!
"And, missing from this discussion, is the fact that Goldman was using accounting tricks to hide all of it from the electorate.
Should the Greek people pay for these debts through the subsequent embezzlement of their public assets and labor contracts, and a virtual "fire sale" of Greece to whom? Goldman and company(ies.) Hell no!
.."
Goldman was using accountring tricks to hidethe debt from the Greek people, true. It was doing so because it was paid by the Greek government at the time to do so, though. Goldman are scum, but it is the politicians who are responsible for this mess.
Greece is a very beautiful country and it deeply saddens me to see it in such a difficult time. I hope their economy recovers soon.
HOPE IN THE FORM OF THE "ODIOUS DEBT" LEGAL TRADITION. I have lived in Greece (specifically Crete) for extended periods since the 1980s, I know the Greeks as people who work extremely hard, and have witnessed tremendous destruction there, ecological as well as economic, and most of it in the name of a specious "development." Corporate capital from northern Europe comes in, uses overwhelming money to build luxury spots, and then confines the world's tourists inside them so that not a penny is spent in local businesses: the only thing they leave is in the rest rooms. Whole streets of old family businesses wiped out. Golf courses stealing massive amounts of water for a game almost no Greeks play. Bankers exploiting the Greeks' still-deep fear of Turkey. Well, as in the case of Ecuador---which amazingly defeated the IMF, World Bank and other criminals---I hope the Greeks take up the little-known legal method called "odious debt" (which even the U.S. used very quietly to get most of Iraq's debts from Saddam Hussein cancelled). "Odious debt" means debt that was incurred without the people's knowledge, debt that disserves the majority of citizens, and debt that could never have been repaid by the country concerned. It means a committee of citizens (not the usual insiders) evaluates all the debt contracts to see which are most illegitimate---in Greece's case, most of it---and acts accordingly to dissolve it. Good Lord, I hope the Greeks do this: it's real, it's "legal," and it has worked for more than one victimized country (which is why the U.S. was so quiet about it, don't want that to "catch on," do we!). There's an excellent 1-hour film about this at The Real News Network right now---a must-see for Americans as well. For there is no reason to make ordinary people pay and suffer for the crimes of the planet's greed-bag financiers. ANCIENT LIGHTS dot org
Very nice summation - thanks for your personal anecdotes from Greece - very helpful.
Odious debt - from Wikipedia:
"The lenders have committed a hostile act against the people, they cannot expect a nation which has freed itself of a despotic regime to assume these odious debts, which are the personal debts of the ruler.[1]"
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This suggests that the Greek electorate must first cast off their elected government, and replace it with a government both willing and capable of challenging The Western Way, i.e., Naomi Klein's "Disaster Capitalism."
In what very much resembles a fractal geo-political world, if the Greeks could pull this off, might that not be a model for the rest of us?
Or are we in a Catch-22 here?
Representative democracies turn out to be no such thing. They 'appear to be', but are not.
Again I am reminded of the US constitutional lawyer and individual anarchist Lysander Spooner:
1) The 'Trial by Jury" was meant to be the major check on a representative democracy, but does not exist as envisaged, and is all but powerless to fulfill this function, i.e., a check on the power of the government.
2) The US Constitution is not a valid contract - never was; isn't now.
3) Natural Justice is the way forward; direct democracy/inclusive democracy...
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I have only the hope that the manifest, and increasing, trials and tribulations of the current era will generate sufficient energy to transform our world.
Manysummits
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Nice Jack. An idea worth its salt.
We know now that Greece was fudging the books from the day it became a member of the EU. We also know now that Goldman Sachs 'advised' the Greek government to keep borrowing money and go into debt. What I don't know is who are the parties in Brussels who let all this happen - knowingly or unknowingly, i.e. sound asleep while supposedly 'watching the store'. To me the EU/Brussels is nothing more than a bureaucratic dictatorship.
So, the Greek gov was lying about the books. But the fault lies with the people in Brussels, because they took their Greek governement at its word?
"But the fault lies with the people in Brussels, because they took their Greek governement at its word?"
No, the fault lies with the economics departments the world over who have preached these failed policies over and over again, despite the fact that they have been a disaster in practice.
Why is Ireland (who reduced corporate and individual taxes more than any other country, who deregulated their financial industry more than others, they were held up by the IMF as the model to follow before the crash) in the same boat as the more social democratic countries in West Europe? Why is the US in the same position that poorer countries are in now? They have seen in recent decades an explosion in debt in all segments of society (not just the government). Household debt went up by a third between 1995 and 2003 alone. Why has wealth inequality exploded in all these countries in recent decades? Why have many of these countries seen de-industrialization? Why have all of these economies been hollowed out and financialized?
What stops people from seeing this as a systematic problem? I get the idea from people like you that there is no connections here, because people like you analyze each situation as if they are in a vacuum.
The simple fact is that the who neo-classical/neo-liberal economic model is in the same position now that Communism was in about 20 years ago. The system has failed so horribly, across the board, that it makes no more sense to analyze Greek's situation in isolation than it did Poland's in the late 1980's.
These policies (mass privatizations, deregulation, reduced taxes, etc) have failed poor countries, medium income countries and rich countries. They have failed countries lead by left wing, centrist and right wing parties. They have horribly failed.
Analyzing Greece in isolation makes sense only to a point. These policies aren't sustainable, they do not work what so ever (assuming by work we mean improving the lives of working people, the general population) and the alternatives not being considered need to be.
People think that the left or the opposition to these policies have to win a revolution to stop these policies. They don't. The revolution itself would end these policies because it would make it so that the system simply couldn't function. For a system to sustain itself it has to give people in a country a stake in the system, so the calls for radical change are beaten back. Fewer and fewer people have a stake in the system now and, as I said, these neoliberal failures are not isolated. They are worldwide and they are radicalizing people.
What I find ironic is the reaction of the pro-capitalist left. They say things like "this system has gone too far" or "I don't have a problem with capitalism, but it has to be...blah blah blah". It is the same damn system that has pillaged the developing world for decades! It is the same damn policies.
When left of center government rail against capitalism at international conferences, THIS is what they are railing against because this is all capitalism has been to them. The anomaly has been the social democratic capitalism, the welfare state capitalism of the West, the capitalism humanized my market socialists. That is the exception to the rule. The only difference really is that the guns are now turned on us, and we don't like the system.
Well, next time Chavez rails against capitalism at the UN or something, think about WHAT he is harshly criticizing. You'll probably find that he's right and you just didn't see the system for what it was.
Excellent commentary. We still have far too many , even on these boards, that think Capitalism can be salvaged by passing a few laws.
Capitalism IS the root cause of the problem and not the salvation.
What we are seeing is the ultimate end game being visited on the Countries that championed it for the past decades and had their blinders on as to what it was doing to the rest of the world while the "First World" lived high off the hog on the misery of those others.
I too feel too many think the fix is going back to that system. Not only is there no going back, but that system was immoral and unjust.
Yep, no such thing as a "kinder, gentler capitalism". As far as "These policies aren't sustainable, they do not work what so ever (assuming by work we mean improving the lives of working people, the general population)" the system works for the elites (obviously) and will continue to do so until we rise up against them.
The Greek national debt divided by the number of Greeks comes to $34,000
The US national debt divided by the number of Americans comes to $35,000.
Need we say more?