EMAIL SIGN UP!
Most Popular This Week
Popular content
Today's Top News
Brown Shoots: Obama's Missed Opportunities for Economic Change
As spring dawns, the economy's green shoots have been trampled once again, first by the economic fallout from Japan's tsunami, and again by rising worldwide commodity prices.
The disruption of Japan's production revealed the soft underbelly of globalization -- the reliance on vulnerable global supply chains only as strong as their weakest link. Rising food and energy prices produce a toxic stew of inflation and unemployment.
This depressing news, of course, has political as well as economic consequences. Politically, it means that the incumbent party -- Obama's -- faces even tougher going in 2012.
Economically, rising inflation makes it that much harder for the Federal Reserve to keep resorting to very low interest rates to levitate a sick economy. At some point, the Fed's natural inflation-phobia will kick in, even though higher food and energy prices have nothing to do with overheated demand (with unemployment stuck near double digits, demand is still too low, not too high.) But as in the late 1970s, stagnation could turn into stagflation.
And the Republicans in Congress are compounding the crisis of prolonged recession and joblessness by slashing everything in sight -- throwing more people out of work.
Faced with the prospect of having to defend the administration's performance in an economy of still high unemployment, you might think the White House would be doing everything possible to highlight the Republicans' responsibility for the weak economy -- the perverse budget cuts, the unpopular assault on unions, the direct attack on Social Security.
Instead, the president has doubled down on his strategy of "more-bipartisan-than-thou." As the New York Times' Michael Shear wrote in a smart and skeptical piece last week,
"As they prepare to wage political war against President Obama, the potential 2012 Republican candidates are doing everything they can to draw sharp distinctions with him.
But Mr. Obama isn't cooperating.Rather than emphasize his differences with potential Oval Office rivals or Republican adversaries on Capitol Hill, the president is taking every opportunity he can to embrace members of the other party as co-conspirators in his efforts to confront the country's challenges.
According to Mr. Obama, the two parties have cooperated -- or are showing signs of being willing to work together -- on education reform, tax cuts, energy security, economic growth and potential changes to an entitlement system that has become a drain on the nation's budget."
This must be occurring in a parallel universe somewhere. Republican collaboration with Obama is certainly not happening on earth. The president and his political advisers are evidently gambling that as the Republican budgeters and GOP presidential contenders grow more reckless and more extreme, he will just look more reasonable and more presidential.
Doubling down on bipartisanship did not exactly work in 2010, when the Dems lost 63 House seats, their worst off-year performance in modern times. Because of the Republicans' sheer extremism, it may work to re-elect the president by a narrow margin in 2012 -- but not to rekindle the enthusiasm of the groups that elected him in 2008 as a force for believable change.
Presidential elections are won or lost state by state, and you have to wonder how this strategy will rally economically distressed voters to the Democrats in key swing states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, or even Illinois.
At best, Obama wins narrowly next year, but the Democrats suffer huge losses in the Senate, where the numbers are stacked against them (11 Republicans up, compared to 23 Dems) and gains in the House but not enough to take back control.
There is latent support for a president to lead as the champion of hard-pressed regular people. But Obama keeps passing up the opportunities history deals him.
The Republican assault against public employees in Wisconsin, Ohio, Indiana, and elsewhere produced the largest gain in the approval ratings for unions in decades. By margins of nearly two to one, the public rejects the conclusion that public workers should take pay or benefit cuts to solve fiscal crises.
You wouldn't have expected government employees to be the poster children for broad economic distress, but the effort to blame the recession and the budget crisis on nurses, teachers, cops and firefighters backfired. Regular people saw these workers as their neighbors and fellow members of a beleaguered middle class, not as their oppressors.
You might have expected a Democratic president to seize this teachable moment to point out that the collapse of the economy and of government revenues was caused on Wall Street, not in state capitols or at union bargaining tables. But this president was too busy making amends for the hurt feelings of big business, preparing to unveil the next loophole in enforcement of the Dodd-Frank Act, and sending his fundraising associates to Wall Street with wheelbarrows to collect donations for his campaign.
Comments
Note: Disqus 2012 is best viewed on an up to date browser. Click here for information. Instructions for how to sign up to comment can be viewed here. Our Comment Policy can be viewed here. Please follow the guidelines. Note to Readers: Spam Filter May Capture Legitimate Comments...


8 Comments so far
Show All"You might have expected a Democratic president to seize this teachable moment to point out that the collapse of the economy and of government revenues was caused on Wall Street"... No, YOU might have thought that, but I, and to read the comments on other articles, most of CD's readers, figured this out some time ago. Dems & Reps are good cop/bad cop. It'd be nice if CD wouldn't present us with this slop from Democratic Party apologists. Oh, and it's not Obama's personality or anything about him at all. It's the intentional structure of America, with government, business and media (hence the entire culture) in the total thrall of bankers (& their corporate lackies).
Kuttner is a Democratic Party shill-hack.
You got in ahead of me, rudyspeaks, while I was busy blowing off my big bazoo and trying to play catch-up in another CD weekday of expanding articles!
I'd even copied the exact same quote, and intended to write, "No, YOU...", etc.
Poor Kuttner. Like Robert Reich, he seems to be a decent, well-meaning sort. But he really is doomed to think inside an obsolete political box-- and a small, flat box at that, like the kind gift neckties or gloves come in.
OS,
The incredible and nauseating return of Kuttner and others to the "missed opportunity" meme has finally conviced me that Kuttner is an animatronic device with "defend the democrats at all costs" software. Machines possess no imagination.
Abyssus abyssum invocat
To expect a Democratic President to do much of anything these days is a very good way to be disappointed. Democrats are ...? I'm not sure what their tag should be. For awhile there I was thinking Obama was a closet Republican or just a dumb fool when he went along with their deal on the wealthy tax breaks. Now I'm just back to drawing a blank about him, as I have since before the election.
I've been wondering if the attacks on Unions across the country has pushed more people to join the Unions? Anyone hear anything along those lines?
WTF???? "...Obama keeps passing up the opportunities..." He hasn't passed up any opportunities at all to betray the ones who elected him, to keep the wars going, to start new ones, to keep gitmo open, to stick it labor, to fatten the fat cats, to make the bankers happy, to peddle US weapons aroung the world, to launch drone strikes, to revive the Nuclear industry, etc,etc,etc. If Kuttner is expecting him to do otherwise, then his credentials as a commentator must be questioned. There is no evidence that Obama is doing anything other than what he intended and intends to do. Wake up, Kuttner!
WHO CARES ABOUT THIS "BIPARTISAN" BULLSHIT??
Neither party deserves to have tougher going in 2012. They ALL deserve to be out on their collective asses. Notice they're doing a great job of keeping us out of wars and removed from the clutches of a soul-killing corporate monstrosity. Better yet, find a Black Hole and provide mandatory, one-way transportation - ASAP!
Well of course the 'green shoots' are brown, the author of this essay should of never accepted the Friedman economic plan of DESTRUCTION & MANIPULATION, would yield anything substantial. The author might also accept that QE3, is further nurturing, toward the goal of substantial growth 'Friedman style', ...when in reality it is more leverage, actualized stress, laced with poison.
In my reality, this agricultural alliteration to Friedman economics is 'just another lie', that only the worst leaders implement.
So instead of bashing the world leaders, I will show you from the agricultural perspective. The worst kinds of poisons in your food...INTENTIONALLY grown for you by cheap ungraceful AMERICAN farms. There is lots of poison in your thousands acre tract, and only room for one crop, no weeds, no flowers, no home for a mouse, no laborers with smiles. Your cattle scream as the hide smokes...the high nitrogen chicken litter and sawdust...INTENTIONALLY provided to fatten em up, sweetened with only a handful of corn, to make the young ones eat. And when you rip the forest right out, was anything good replanted by the ungraceful?
Friedman economics expects, always expecting, green shoots & substantial results all the while they are doing it wrong ~~ without Grace.
And their Friedman excuse is some form of this: " nobody ever said to you, life is fair" ....so the Friedman plan CHOSE death, destruction, corruption, and INTENTIONALLY refuse ~~ Honour.
whocares;)