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The Choking of China - and the World
China's boom spells disaster for the world's environment

When the journalist Jonathan Watts was a child, he was told, like so many of us: "If everyone in China jumps at exactly the same time, it will shake the earth off its axis and kill us all." Three decades later, he stood in the grey sickly smog of Beijing, wheezing and hacking uncontrollably after a short run, and thought - the Chinese jump has begun. He had travelled 100,000 miles criss-crossing China, from the rooftop of Tibet to the deserts of Inner Mongolia and everywhere, he discovered that the Chinese state was embarked on a massive program of environmental destruction. It has turned whole rivers poisonous to the touch, rendered entire areas cancer-ridden, transformed a fertile area twice the size of Britain into desert - and probably even triggered the worst earthquake in living memory.
"The planet's environmental problems were not made in China, but they are sliding past the point of no return there," Watts argues in his new book When A Billion Chinese Jump - the essential starting-point for this conversation. The uber-capitalist Communists now have the highest emissions of global warming gases in the world (although the average Chinese person still emits a tenth of the average American). We are all trapped in a greenhouse together: environmental destruction in China becomes environmental destruction where you live. This story will become your story.
So Watts stands in the village in Guandong province where the world's old motherboards - yours and mine - are sent to die. There, children pick through the old computers, breaking down every reusable part, like they were the globe's intestine. But the children sicken with lead poisoning, and develop brain damage, cancer, and kidney failure. Even when the kids get to sit in a classroom, they have to wear masks, to protect them from the mountains of garbage.
So he goes to meet the environmental activists who are trying to stop this poisoning of their children, and watches as - terrified - they are carried away to prison. (Imagine if Al Gore had been imprisoned for exposing Love Canal, and was still in solitary, and you get the idea.)
So he ventures out on a ship with an international band of scientists to save the last Yangtze dolphin - an animal that was swimming though China's rivers 10 million years before the first human, and was a common sight not long ago. But gradually he realises he is too late. They are all dead. He says: "Man had wiped out his first dolphin? The end of a species after twenty million years felt terrifyingly momentous. This was not just a piece of news. It was even more than history. It was an event on a geological timescale."
So he watches as the globe warms and China's deserts stretch further and deeper with each passing year. So he stands and stares as the Himalayan glaciers - where most of Asia's great rivers begin - melt and die, with two thirds on course to vanish by 2050.
This is not an unambiguous story. This destruction is not being pursued out of wickedness: it is happening as a side-effect of a benevolent impulse. The Chinese people are determined to rise from poverty to prosperity. Forty years ago, China was starving. Today, it is in surplus. Some Chinese argue: if environmental damage is the price we pay for whiplash development, why not? You Europeans and Americans destroyed your environments, felled your forests, trashed your habitats all through your Industrial Revolution - and when you were rich enough, you cleaned it up. Yes there is a cost, but it is less than the cost of staying poor forever. How dare you lecture us, when most of our emissions are from factories you have outsourced to make goods and process waste for you, and when you refuse to even make tiny cuts in your emissions are home?
There's some justice in these responses. Your contribution to global warming (and mine) vastly exceeds the average Chinese person's. Every successful environmental treaty in history began with the biggest polluters cutting back first. Yet we are refusing to do it, and far from urging China to go green, our governments are doing the opposite. It wasn't mentioned in the industrial quantities of journalistic hot air that accompanied Hu Jintao's trip to Washington D.C., but the Obama administration is currently suing the Chinese government at the World Trade Organization to stop them from subsidizing wind farms, saying it represents ‘unfair competition.' A seventy-a-day smoker riddled with lung cancer isn't really in a position to lecture a younger man to stop smoking, especially if he's trying to steal his nicotine patches.
But if this debate dissolves into a game of mutual finger-pointing - you're the worst! No, you are! - then we will be trapped in a spiral of mutual environmental destruction. The argument that China will simply clean up the damage when they're rich doesn't work, alas, for two reasons. Firstly, 700,000 people are dying every year in China as a result of the extreme pollution, according to the World Bank. They can't be compensated at some later date with a wind farm. Secondly, and even more crucially, the West "cleaned up" largely by exporting its pollution to poor countries like China. As Watts puts it: "This model relied on those at cleanup stage being able to sweep the accumulated dirt of development under a new and bigger rug. When this process reached China, it had already been expanding for two centuries. Now "the waste [is] getting too big and the rug too small." Where is China going to export it to? For how long?
The alternative is to fuel China's development (and our own continued existence) with clean energy sources - the mighty power of the wind, the Sun, and the waves. If you believed the gassbaggery of America's most influential columnist, Thomas Friedman, you'd think it had already happened. He is forever telling readers of the New York Times that China is becoming a ‘green superpower.' The truth is much more complex. Some 69.5 percent of China's energy needs come from the dirtiest and most planet-cooking fuel of all: coal. At the same time, the Chinese government is significantly increasing funding for renewables - but as an addition, not a replacement. This is a crucial distinction. If you ate a KFC bucket and a Weightwatcher's meal for lunch, nobody would say you were on a diet. The Weightwatchers' has to replace the KFC. In the same way, the renewables have to replace the coal, not just form an additional add-on. That's not happening today. Not at all: coal burning is increasing.
Partly, this is because the Chinese government has less control than foreign observers assume. Watts says: "China's political system is neither dictatorship nor democracy. At the top, the state lacks the authority to impose pollution regulations and wildlife conservation laws, while at the bottom citizens lack the democratic tools of a free press, independent courts, and elections to defend their land, air and water." Inbetween there stand corporations and corrupted local governments bent exclusively on profit and growth, whatever the cost. So "when it comes to protecting the environment, the authority of the authoritarian state looks alarmingly shaky." Yet at the same time, China's leaders are - like ours - refusing to pursue the big projects that could haul us out of these dilemmas.
Watts interviews some visionary Chinese scientists who show the real alternative. One of the most fascinating - Professor Li Can, of the Dalian National Laboratory for Clean Energy - shows him how all of China's country's energy needs could be met without any carbon emissions at all, using technology that already exists. You would need to cover a third of the Gansu and Xinjiang deserts with photovoltaic solar power cells. It would turn the barren deserts into the country's greatest asset. There have been similar proposals for harnessing the Sahara to power Europe, and America's deserts to power the US - but none of our leaders have been visionary enough to do it. So humanity is left largely addicted to the filthy coal of millennia, steadily baking us all.
It's in the interviews with Chinese environmentalists like Li, and the ordinary victims of eco-destruction, that the question asked most frequently about China books - is it pro- or anti-China? - is exposed as fatuous. Is it ‘anti-China' to warn the country is driving at high speed into an ecological wall? Is it ‘pro-China' to cheer that on? Chinese culture is divided - like ours - between the people who want to preserve our
habitat, and the forces of ecocide. This argument has been going on in China for a very long time. As early as the Eastern Zhou period - 700-256 B.C. - there was a saying: "People who are of ruling quality but are not able to respectfully preserve the forests, rivers and marshes are not fit to become rulers."
In fact, anxiety about ecological destruction is the theme of some of China's most popular and disturbing recent artworks. The mega-seller novel ‘Wolf Totem' by Jiang Rong is the story of a young Han Chinese man who is sent to live with the nomads of Inner Mongolia - and watches in horror as his people vandalistically turn the lush grasslands into desert. The movie ‘Still Life' follows a Sichuanese migrant who returns home after a decade away, only to find his village is empty rubble, about to be flooded for the Three Gorges Dam.
Indeed, the immediate blowback from the country's casting aside of natural processes becomes most plain when you look at its dams. China has 87,000 mighty steel and concrete dams, directing the nation's water-supplies along largely man-made routes. The nation will clear away millions of human beings if they are in the way of taming nature in this way. It's at the centre of the new China's sense of itself: the current President, Hu Jintao, is a trained hydroengineer. It's hard not to feel a flicker of awe: they have taken on the oldest rivers and unimaginably vast torrents of water, and for a moment, they seem to have won.
But not for long. By 1980, 2796 dams had failed, with combined death toll of 240,000 people. After the construction of the Three Gorges dam, it soon began to trigger landslides and deadly waves. The rivers feeding it were not able to flush out garbage - so the water became carcinogenic and threatened people in 186 cities. But the most startling effect followed the Zipingpu dam - which may well have caused the Sichuan earthquake.
When the plans were first unveiled to build the Zipingpu dam on an ancient faultline, many scientists warned it was a bad idea. True, the faultline had been dormant for millions of years. But, as Watts puts it: "Each time it filled and emptied, more than 300 million tons of water rose and fell. It was like a giant jumping up and down on a cracked surface. Several leading scientists speculated that the result was a reservoir-induced earthquake." Less than two years after reservoir first filled, the Sichuan earthquake struck, killing around 68,000 people. Discussion of this question was suppressed in China. But many distinguished scientists have argued that the country's worst recent "natural" disaster wasn't natural as all, but a direct result of government policy.
This compresses all the fears about China's current ecology-trashing binge into one single event, like a dark metaphor. What if you take on nature, and lose? What if your progress today is triggering a catastrophe tomorrow that will leave you worse off than you were in the first place? Yes, a billion Chinese have jumped. If they jump towards renewable energy sources - as their bravest and smartest citizens advocate - they will show humanity how to save itself, and be lauded by future generations as heroes. But at the moment, they are jumping off a cliff.

21 Comments so far
Show AllIn no place on earth does there exist self contained industrial civilisation that is truely sustainable. The incomplete recycling of all materials is the rule. Energy waste products are global. Heavy metal toxins wash out to sea and enter the fish food chain, or whats left of it after extreme harvasting by us.
For how many more years can China achieve near 10% growth in both income and waste pollution, before a die-off from cummulative mass poisoning? As the world manufacturing and waste center of last resort, the current growth and trade patterns will last probably till the next global economic resource crisis, due to convulse any time soon in the next few years.
Do not worry about China. We and they cannot last.
Hari is correct I informed others back in the 80's that the undoing of the USSR and Eastern Block was going to be pollution, not war. It was war, and just as much pollution. The Marxist industrialization model was defined within a 19th Century world view. It never defined the need to take out the garbage. There was never a "Silent Spring" in Russia and never will be in China. West Germany's effort to clean up East Germany after reunification almost bankrupt the former. Not only will China poison its people, it will destroy the world environment and bring down the world economic order.
China and the United States are at about the same point, going in opposite directions. The problem is that the ecosystem can't afford another giant, run-away authoritarian country set on improving life for it's people at any cost. It's way past time for a united humanity to begin solving the ecological problems of the world. Way past time.
I had to move from Tucson to Arivaca because of my COPD. I know what it's like to choke on the atmosphere. I can't visit my brother in the Sacramento area because of the smog. I can't even breathe very well in my old home town, San Francisco--in spite of the sea breezes and fog. Those of us with COPD are the canaries in the mine. Except this is no mine, this is the entire planet. More and more I'm glad I'm old enough not to have to suffer what this world will be like in 15 or 20 years.
A good summary by mssrs. Hari and Watts.
A more nuanced look at why it is so difficult to achieve any lasting cleanup must include mention of the manner in which lower-level officials, who often are also owners in local factories, skirt edicts from central authorities.
There are simply huge amounts of corruption.
Enforcement, given the small number of people employed by the equivalent of our EPA, is virtually impossible.
When the inspector comes to test the river, the outlet pipe is closed. When he leaves, it is re-opened. And make no doubt about it, factories use China's rivers as open sewers. Of course, they also serve as drinking water for countless millions.
The rapid onset of industrialization has overrun society's capabilities to regulate or rein it in.
People are aware, if only of their immediate vicinity, and there are many public demonstrations or riots against polluters or corporate land-grabs. These have so far accomplished little.
Here is one example of the impunity that factory polluters enjoy:
http://www.pacificenvironment.org/article.php?id=2901
so, what is the problem? It is happening over there.
We share the same ocean and the same atmosphere. Our pollution here too is a problem to people worldwide.
Great article. I had no idea the pollution was that bad in China. I guess all I heard was the PR about how committed China has been to solar technology.
VERY sad news... the poisoning of people, the demise of a dolphin species, and the link between the 3 Gorges Dam and that earthquake. I never saw that data published before.
Siouxrose,
Been lots of PBS type specials about China and its non-existent environmental laws. National Geographic did a great spread awhile back detailing this. Same thing happened when the Soviet Union collapsed and now many parts of the old Republic have places that are worse than any United States Superfund Site.
All this is of course, the corporate dream. No accountability for any of their destruction. Anything goes to make a buck.
And its not just the environmental destruction. We read all the time about tainted products and some of it just boggles the mind. Radioactive drywall that ends up in housing like it did in Florida. Or my all time favorite for yuck factor: Hair bungees that turned out to be made from used condoms. Takes recycling to a whole new level.
P.S.
I've been really busy lately so I didn't get around to giving you a reply yesterday on the male violence thing. You can find my post here, though I gotta warn you its a bit lengthy - took 4 parts.
Guns, Mental Illness and American Manhood
by Jackson Katz
KrazyKatz January 24th, 2011 8:24 pm
PPS.
Just got Evolving Toward Eden and since I've read many of your posts thought I'd give the book a go.
KRAZY: I deeply appreciate your taking the time to give that volume a look. By the way, I have had no TV for more than 4 years. That may explain why I was in the dark about the degree of China's pollution. I only view it when I visit others, and it seems to me that most ARE addicted to that medium.
Evolving Towards Eden should have retained its title at inception: "2020: After the Transition." The work channeled through me. I purchased my first place, a townhouse in Key West on October 15, 1990 the day I began it... and all 232 pages were turned in, edited and all, by the contest deadline, December 21, 1990.
All through its transmission the concept of "The Transition" was intimated, yet I didn't know what it meant. Now in the year 2011, it's very clear to me what it is!
If you find any mangled passages, please know that I spent many months fine-tuning the last draft, but later discovered that large texts, attempted to be saved on my computer's A-drive frequently posted the messsage, "There is no room left on the disk." Naturally I then saved on the C-drive.
This book was turned into the self-publishing venue in either 2004 or 2005. During that interval, Florida had 7 hurricanes, and I spent time taking care of my father before he passed over, and then my daughter's first born in Puerto Rico. I'm relating that because I never had a chance to review the galleys on a line-by-line basis; and it wasn't until I self-published two books later that I realized the copy did NOT hold (or retain) all the corrections I'd spent SO MANY HOURS embedding into the work. I have notes for a letter to Bill Gates. I think this stuff merits if not a lawsuit, his financing my next few books.
Apart from that, I hope you find merit in the work. I am trying to complete a new book right now (and to this day, not sure the changes will be retained. This one is being done straight onto the C-drive of the laptop.) Since CD posted TOO MANY articles this weekend and the past 2 days, it's quite a task to keep up with my own work, and yesterday's threads! I feel overwhelmed by TOO MUCH information. I wonder if others prefer it when they keep their articles to about 12 per day? Some of the articles are quite long, and others followed by upwards of 200 comments. It's a full time job to keep up, yet many of us WORK! Or try to!
Thanks for the interest, Krazy. If you have any comments, I hope you can write to me directly. (If you google my name you can find the way to contact me.)
Mark Hertsgaard wrote about his experiences in China - and Thailand - in his book "Earth Odyssey: Around the World in Search of Our Environmental Future" which was first published in 1998 if I remember correctly.
China has made no secret of the fact that it is willing to create massive pollution in the quest for economic development, and then intends to later use its aquired wealth to clean up the environment. In other words, they know they are gambling.
Two million die a year from pollution out of 3 billion- we have 50,000 die on highways-- --one % or so of China's population-- hmm! We are in for a long wait till the Chinese change!
The countries that are fueling China's factories must stop buying- hmm another long wait.
When 20% or more start to die a year, I think the moneyed classes may react- but not until the losses are really significant.
I visited several cities in China a few years back. Every single one was completely smogged in except one. We were reassured by the man in the hotel lobby that the smog would surely return the next day because a storm and come in and temporarily blown all the brown haze away. He was correct. The next morning we were greeted by the brown-burnt umberish sun which you could stare directly at without squinting. The air was acrid and you could taste the ozone in your mouth. All the waterways were full of trash and as modern as everything looked in the big cities it was not uncommon for people to pee on the street. We had to giggle when a couple stopped their child right in the middle of the sidewalk and pulled it's pants down so it could pee right in the middle of the side walk; mind you, not in the bushes or a few feet over into the gutter, but right in the middle of the sidewalk. Then add in the bizarre mix of hundreds upon hundreds of bikes flowing like water around everything including the new found infatuation with cars. And, of course, throw in the ox and cart moving along with all that. Surreal is the best description like a scene from downtown in "Blade Runner."
The details are vital even if they are viewed in a sensational light.
The observation that it is China's problem is facetious and very dangerous, putting this book (given that this review is accurate and balanced)squarely into the bracket of propaganda.
The truth is it is not China's problem. It is our problem and they are us.
There's something that doesn't add up about these two points, knowing the population of China is about 4 times as big as the USA's.
"The uber-capitalist Communists now have the highest emissions of global warming gases in the world (although the average Chinese person still emits a tenth of the average American)."
Transnational corporations look for ways to get around progressive laws that benefit the environment, health, labor, safety, fair wages, and human dignity, as well as laws for preventing fraud, corruption, abuse and exploitation. And they have found that ways exist in the Third World, and that STILL includes China and India.
The crime is that the transnational corporations are then allowed to import their would-be-illegal-if-domestically-made goods back into domestic areas that have laws against such heinous behavior as exists in Chinese manufacturing and power production. Because no legal domestic manufacturer can compete with a product that does not bear the added expense of ethical behavior. And this is part of what has happened to the United States. As in NAFTA and WTO and so on, America has surrendered its self-governance for the good of its people to the giant transnational corporations.
To the detriment of all life on this planet.
Oh, of course, Cave Canem Republicans (clamoring for "competitiveness - against desperate people who will work for food... so we have to create those people to compete" and "preventing capital flight - capital that will ruthlessly and instantaneously go to where the exploitation is worst and the profit highest... so we have to become that place) would simply get rid of ALL the rules concerning the environment, health, labor, safety, fair wages, fraud, corruption, et al, and have the average person in a dog-eat-dog, on-your-own race to the bottom for that dollar, along with the rest of 'the rabble' in the 2-dollar-a-day slave-world. Dollars that will be controlled by the Republican Right-wing Rich, of course, thus controlling society.
And if allowed, the Republicans will damn the global environment simply for the love of money, the filthy lucre, the pirate booty; hey, who needs the environment anyway, right? How many politicians can the environment buy? And Democrats of course will sit on their hands, not knowing what else to do.
To the detriment of all life on this planet.
Well said. Tariff and regulations are possibly the biggest part of the answer. No use blaming China, we helped create it. It's time we stop helping to create it. Then we can go back to blaming them...
"Yes there is a cost, but it is less than the cost of staying poor forever.
How dare you lecture us, when most of our emissions are from factories you have outsourced [...]
There's some justice in these responses."
No, there is ZERO justice in these responses. To pretend there is justice in these responses is to perpetuate the myths/lies.
First, material wealth is not the key to human happiness. The Chinese are misguided on that, and so is the author of this article.
Second, by pointing out the plunder and exploitation perpetrated by the USA the Chinese cannot justify their own plunder and exploitation. The author is misguided on this too.
Both the USA and China are engaged in mindless needless plunder and there is no justification to be found in any of it. The author is just telling you what you want to hear so you'll buy his book.
There is no way China's growth could have exploded like it did over the last 30 years without energy and electricity coming from fossil fuels. There is also no way this growth could have been achieved with the "pollution controls" the West uses. The West only started using these "pollution controls" after the air, water & land pollution became intolerable to most. The West is merely the template for China and China has become a massive market for western based multinational corporations.
Contrary to what was stated in the article there is no way China (or us, for that matter) can eliminate the use of fossil fuels. This energy utopia is not achievable in the near future, it is a long way off, unfortunately. China (and soon India) has found a new love - automobiles. This alone will put unbelievable pressure on energy requirements and subsequent pollution.
The only thing which will disrupt this state of affairs is the production of fossil fuels, which may be nearing or at peak production, depending on source of information. Once this happens, all bets are off......
Whether authoritarian or democracy, only a few men control policy in both countries. China has the advantage of not having to deal with a Congress to set policy into motion. Men are highly competitive and proud. The US policy makers are very concerned about losing world supremacy and China is concerned about the US foreign policy, lack of diplomacy, and military might.
Both countries are highly dependent on foreign oil and both countries have large coal deposits. The US has strategic political control over most foreign oil and that concerns China. In China’s zeal to catch-up with other world players, they are forced to use coal as their primary energy source, but have a very aggressive policy of phasing-in clean energy. With their huge population, the conversion will take decades.
US policy makers do not have the will to do what is necessary to quickly phase-in clean energy. All policy in the US is controlled by large corporations that do not want to lose their supremacy in the world markets. They realize that we must at some point bite the bullet, but are pacing the change with our largest competitor -- China and peak oil.
There were about 1.9 billion people on Earth in 1910 and now there are around 7 billion. The problems of the environment created by countries and their people need to be taken into context with the inability to manage ourselves politically that would enable nearly everyone who is capable to have an equal opportunity to experience self-realization. Perhaps, what is needed is more time and more room to enable our species to solve these and other problems. Solve aging and find a means to travel to another earth-type planet in another solar system which will give us the time and maybe the intelligence to make life an uplifting experience for each person living for the longest time imaginable. Please comment on what I have written!
There are no other habitable planets in our solar system. The next nearest solar system-- in the unlikely event that it contains habitable planets-- is several lifetimes' journey away. Do you realize what the cost of sending even a few people there would be? Get out of your sci-fi fantasy -- all our problems must be solved here on earth.