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Spend More on the Climate, Less on the Military
The U.S. military is beginning to see climate change as a security threat, but the government isn't making it a high enough priority.
As deserts expand and droughts persist, desperate people begin fighting over the water that remains. Elsewhere, rising sea levels create mass migrations. These portraits of human tragedy caused by climate change have become environmental security threats that the U.S. military now worries about.
The U.S. military is taking steps to reduce its own greenhouse gas emissions. Since it produces more emissions than any other institution on the planet, this is good news. But is it enough?
In a word, no. If climate change is the major security threat the military says it is, no amount of military greening will be enough to reverse it. Only wholesale measures to curb emissions across our own economy--and the world's--will do the job. Where will the money come from? Here's one big part of the answer: if arresting climate change is a national security imperative, then we need to devote a substantial portion of our security dollars to that purpose.
How are we doing so far? I have measured the balance of what the federal government spends on its military forces and on climate change since 2008. The climate change budget has more than doubled since then, from $7 to $18 billion. During the same period, military spending has also risen, though at a slower rate: from $696 to $739 billion. As a result, we've cut the gap between them in half. We spent $94 on the military for every dollar we spent on the climate in 2008. We'll spend at a ratio of $41 to $1 in 2011.
Obviously, this is progress. But check out what's happening in China, our primary global competitor. It spends about one-sixth as much on its military as the United States. It invests twice as much in clean energy technology. So its spending balance works out to somewhere between $2 and $3 on its military to every dollar it spends on climate.
And China is on track to become the world leader in both solar and wind technology by next year.
So our 41-to-1 balance looks good compared to where we were, but terrible compared to our main global competitor. The extreme tilt in our budget toward military spending is leaving us way behind in two of the major growth markets of the global economy. For the sake of our economic health and competitiveness, then, as well as for the sake of our security, we need to tilt the other way. The balance between what we spend on traditional military tools and on climate needs to look a lot more like China's.
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5 Comments so far
Show AllThere are many important priorities including national security and the environment. But I think that the continuation of the human cultural traditions trumps them all. National security on an imperial level is a short term fantasy. Better that we should concentrate on the physical security of our nation from all modes of attack. Our physical environment is vitally important, but not more important to human beings than our cultural heritage. The greatest reality staring us in the face is the exhaustion of cheap and plentiful fossil fuels. There are wonderful alternative energy sources upon which our future can be based, but none of them seems to offer the possibility of rapid development that can support the world's current population. So, a collapse seems to loom in our near future. How we manage to negotiate the coming era of chaos is more important than anything else.
Your argument turns reality on its head. Regarding national security: if some foreign entity blew up our mountains, would we not be enraged? If they poisoned our aquifers with heavy metals, would we not feel attacked? If they toxified and depleted oxygen from one of our most productive marine environments, wouldn't we see the need to protect ourselves? My point is that the threat to our security is from within, and from extracting those fossil fuel curses. Besides that, fossil fuels are unfortunately still here in abundance; meanwhile we live in the era of chaos -- caused by the willfully ignorant use of those same fuels. The era of chaos is climate change, not the depletion of fossil fuels.
Please read my comment again. My point was that our national security extends too far beyond our borders while we are totally unprepared for non-traditional assaults on our own nation. But even then, what is the point of spending ALL our treasure on defense if we fail to meet the even greater threat posed by our lack of preparedness for the chaos that will result from the end of cheap and plentiful oil.
michaelps, you are clearly an intelligent and educated man, and I agree that the cultural heritage of humanity is of immense value. (One reason why the US part in the looting of the Baghdad antiquities was such a tragic war crime)
I disagree with you are about the potential for alternative energy in the US. A vast amount of energy potential is available in decentralized solar, wind and bio mass. A rapid transition to more localized economies is also likely and can reduce consumption.
Agriculture must go organic, sustainable and local.
The top heavy US military-industrial-petroleum complex is a major factor in the petrol addiction and has quite effectively opposed any transition that had the potential for decentralized energy production.
German decentralized solar is often producing far more than the grid can handle.
The US should have been pushing alt.energy for the past 30 years, but it still may not be too late for a rapid transition to low watt, high recyclable future.
Of course you can't really run an inperial killing machine on solar. The truth is that the Empire requires vast amounts of oil to maintain. We're in deep shit unless we overthrow the dirty bastards that have been running the show for so long. And that's a damn tall order.
It's going to come down to massive civil disobedience with and or violent coordinated resistance. Just waiting to see how much crap Americans are willing to ignore before they act. I for one am willing to take either route, as long as it remotely promises victory.
But this place reminds me of Brave New World. The docile consumer, perpetually addicted to entertainment and self indulgence culture, may not ever make an effort before it's too late. If even then.