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Published on Friday, December 4, 2009 by CommonDreams.org
An Open Letter to Congress From US Scientists on Climate Change and Recently Stolen Emails
As U.S. scientists with substantial expertise on climate change and its impacts on natural
ecosystems, our built environment and human well-being, we want to assure policy makers and
the public of the integrity of the underlying scientific research and the need for urgent action to
reduce heat-trapping emissions. In the last few weeks, opponents of taking action on climate
change have misrepresented both the content and the significance of stolen emails to obscure
public understanding of climate science and the scientific process.
We would like to set the record straight.
The body of evidence that human activity is the dominant cause of global warming is overwhelming. The content of the stolen emails has no impact whatsoever on our overall understanding that human activity is driving dangerous levels of global warming. The scientific process depends on open access to methodology, data, and a rigorous peer-review process. The robust exchange of ideas in the peer-reviewed literature regarding climate science is evidence of the high degree of integrity in this process.
As the recent letter to Congress from 18 leading U.S. scientific organizations, including the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Meteorological Society, states:
These “multiple independent lines of evidence” are drawn from numerous public and private research centers all across the United States and beyond, including several independent analyses of surface temperature data. Even without including analyses from the UK research center from which the emails were stolen, the body of evidence underlying our understanding of human-caused global warming remains robust.
We urge you to take account of this as you make decisions on climate policy.
^ = Member of National Academy of Sciences
Institutional affiliation for identification purposes only
Signed:
David Archer, Ph.D.
Professor
Department of the Geophysical Sciences
University of Chicago
Chicago, IL
William C. Clark, Ph.D.^
Harvey Brooks Professor of International Science, Public Policy, and Human Development
John F. Kennedy School of Government
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Peter C. Frumhoff, Ph.D.
Director of Science and Policy
Chief Scientist, Climate Campaign
Union of Concerned Scientists
Cambridge, MA
Inez Fung, Ph.D.^
Professor of Atmospheric Science
Co-Director, Berkeley Institute of the Environment
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA
Neal Lane, Ph.D.
Professor
Rice University
Former Director, National Science Foundation
Former Director, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
Houston, TX
Michael MacCracken, Ph.D.
Chief Scientist for Climate Change Programs
The Climate Institute
Washington, DC
Pamela Matson, Ph.D.^
Professor
School of Earth Sciences
Stanford University
Stanford, CA
James J. McCarthy, Ph.D.
Alexander Agassiz Professor of Biological Oceanography
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Jerry Melillo, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist and Director Emeritus
The Ecosystems Center
Marine Biological Laboratory
Woods Hole, MA
Edward L. Miles, Ph.D.^
Bloedel Professor of Marine Studies and Public Affairs
School of Marine Affairs
Co-Director, Center for Science in the Earth System, JISAO
University of Washington
Seattle, WA
Mario J. Molina, Ph.D.^
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
Nobel Laureate, Chemistry
San Diego, CA
Ellen Mosley-Thompson, Ph.D.^
Director, Byrd Polar Research Center
Professor of Geography and University Distinguished Scholar
The Ohio State University
Columbus, OH
Gerald R. North, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Sciences and Oceanography
Texas A&M University
College Station, TX
Michael Oppenheimer, Ph.D.
Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs
Department of Geosciences and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ
Jonathan T. Overpeck, Ph.D.
Co-Director, Institute of the Environment
Professor
Department of Geosciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Arizona
Tucson, AZ
Ronald G. Prinn, Ph.D.
TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Science
Director, Center for Global Change Science
Co-Director, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
Alan Robock, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor
Rutgers University
President, Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union
Chair-Elect, Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences Section, American Association for the Advancement of Science
New Brunswick, NJ
Benjamin D. Santer, Ph.D.
Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Livermore, CA
William H. Schlesinger, Ph.D.^
President, Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Millbrook, NY
Daniel P. Schrag, Ph.D.
Sturgis Hooper Professor of Geology
Professor of Environmental Science and Engineering
Director, Harvard University Center for the Environment
Cambridge, MA
Drew Shindell, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
New York, NY
Richard C. J. Somerville, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor Emeritus and Research Professor
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, CA
Warren M. Washington, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Boulder, CO
Donald J. Wuebbles, Ph.D
. The Harry E. Preble Professor of Atmospheric Sciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Urbana, IL
Carl Wunsch, Ph.D.^
Cecil and Ida Green Professor of Physical Oceanography
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
We would like to set the record straight.
The body of evidence that human activity is the dominant cause of global warming is overwhelming. The content of the stolen emails has no impact whatsoever on our overall understanding that human activity is driving dangerous levels of global warming. The scientific process depends on open access to methodology, data, and a rigorous peer-review process. The robust exchange of ideas in the peer-reviewed literature regarding climate science is evidence of the high degree of integrity in this process.
As the recent letter to Congress from 18 leading U.S. scientific organizations, including the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Meteorological Society, states:
“Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver. These conclusions are based on multiple independent lines of evidence, and contrary assertions are inconsistent with an objective assessment of the vast body of peer-reviewed science. … If we are to avoid the most severe impacts of climate change, emissions of greenhouse gases must be dramatically reduced.”
These “multiple independent lines of evidence” are drawn from numerous public and private research centers all across the United States and beyond, including several independent analyses of surface temperature data. Even without including analyses from the UK research center from which the emails were stolen, the body of evidence underlying our understanding of human-caused global warming remains robust.
We urge you to take account of this as you make decisions on climate policy.
^ = Member of National Academy of Sciences
Institutional affiliation for identification purposes only
Signed:
David Archer, Ph.D.
Professor
Department of the Geophysical Sciences
University of Chicago
Chicago, IL
William C. Clark, Ph.D.^
Harvey Brooks Professor of International Science, Public Policy, and Human Development
John F. Kennedy School of Government
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Peter C. Frumhoff, Ph.D.
Director of Science and Policy
Chief Scientist, Climate Campaign
Union of Concerned Scientists
Cambridge, MA
Inez Fung, Ph.D.^
Professor of Atmospheric Science
Co-Director, Berkeley Institute of the Environment
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA
Neal Lane, Ph.D.
Professor
Rice University
Former Director, National Science Foundation
Former Director, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
Houston, TX
Michael MacCracken, Ph.D.
Chief Scientist for Climate Change Programs
The Climate Institute
Washington, DC
Pamela Matson, Ph.D.^
Professor
School of Earth Sciences
Stanford University
Stanford, CA
James J. McCarthy, Ph.D.
Alexander Agassiz Professor of Biological Oceanography
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
Jerry Melillo, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist and Director Emeritus
The Ecosystems Center
Marine Biological Laboratory
Woods Hole, MA
Edward L. Miles, Ph.D.^
Bloedel Professor of Marine Studies and Public Affairs
School of Marine Affairs
Co-Director, Center for Science in the Earth System, JISAO
University of Washington
Seattle, WA
Mario J. Molina, Ph.D.^
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
Nobel Laureate, Chemistry
San Diego, CA
Ellen Mosley-Thompson, Ph.D.^
Director, Byrd Polar Research Center
Professor of Geography and University Distinguished Scholar
The Ohio State University
Columbus, OH
Gerald R. North, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Sciences and Oceanography
Texas A&M University
College Station, TX
Michael Oppenheimer, Ph.D.
Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs
Department of Geosciences and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ
Jonathan T. Overpeck, Ph.D.
Co-Director, Institute of the Environment
Professor
Department of Geosciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Arizona
Tucson, AZ
Ronald G. Prinn, Ph.D.
TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Science
Director, Center for Global Change Science
Co-Director, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
Alan Robock, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor
Rutgers University
President, Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union
Chair-Elect, Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences Section, American Association for the Advancement of Science
New Brunswick, NJ
Benjamin D. Santer, Ph.D.
Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Livermore, CA
William H. Schlesinger, Ph.D.^
President, Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Millbrook, NY
Daniel P. Schrag, Ph.D.
Sturgis Hooper Professor of Geology
Professor of Environmental Science and Engineering
Director, Harvard University Center for the Environment
Cambridge, MA
Drew Shindell, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
New York, NY
Richard C. J. Somerville, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor Emeritus and Research Professor
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, CA
Warren M. Washington, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Boulder, CO
Donald J. Wuebbles, Ph.D
. The Harry E. Preble Professor of Atmospheric Sciences
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Urbana, IL
Carl Wunsch, Ph.D.^
Cecil and Ida Green Professor of Physical Oceanography
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA
- Posted in
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166 Comments so far
Show AllCD should consider limiting comments to 100 words. Might improve the signal-to-noise ratio.
Plonk 'em into your killfile. :-)
Yeah--start with sociopathic right-wing windup dolls like you.
Well done. Like you, I smell a rat. My fellow liberal intellectual Commondreams readers normally so on target in their deep thinking ought to take a 2nd look at the potential motives behind this issue and ask themselves: Why is the only solution offered a massive derivatives market for Wall Street at our collective expense with most all production of relevant technologies to fix the problem all aggregated overseas? If climate predictions are indeed correct, will the proposed solution (cap and trade) really do much about it?
If climate predictions are indeed correct, will the proposed solution (cap and trade) really do much about it?
----------------------------
Of course not. Nor is it intended to. Its real pupose is to maintain the destructive status quo -and the wealth of those who profit from it- awhile longer. The older I get, the more I realise that the genius of the ruling class is always to have fallback positions with new distractions, new obfuscations, so that the rest of us can never be sure what's going on.
Sioux Rose
NIKKI: Your post raises valid and interesting questions. I, too, would prefer to see tax liabilities placed on major polluters, a harm tax aimed at collecting money to be used in global ecological rehabilitation efforts.
You are correct about the limited scope of the discussion, that there are very significant missing links. However, to then use what's not being discussed as "grounds" for throwing the entire climate change debate out is disingenous. (That's not aimed at you, but the less informed posters who seem to be trying that line of fire.)
Sure the carbon tax is another ridiculous ruse brought to us by the same moneymakers who fouled the Wall St temple with their cancerous derivatives. Those bent on greed and destruction will turn every event into such an opportunity. We must remember that the twisted motives on the part of some in power are a separate issue from that of actual climate dissolution. To the extent one is conflated with the other is the extent to which the need for meaningful change is diluted or tragically delayed.
Nikki does not raise interesting or valid questions.
Nikki raises denier taking points that have been answered repeatedly in the scientific literature.
Sioux Rose--you purport to have powers of spiritual perception far beyond those of mortal humans. So why can't you recognize a disruptive right-wing troll?
Jesus, ignoramus. Just read the literature.
Start at www.realclimate.org.
Two questions for GW deniers:
1. If CO2 levels fell from 250 ppm to 150 ppm, would earth undergo 'global cooling'?
2. If CO2 levels rose from 250 ppm to 390 ppm, would earth undergo 'global warming'?
(this should be fun)
ubrew:
if co2 levels fell to 150 ppm we would all be dead. We wouldn't know if it cooled or warmed.
if co2 levels rose from 250ppm to 390ppm, would the earth undergo global warming?
Hard to say with any certainty, as historically, co2 levels have been over 150 times higher and the temp of the earth was 8C less than it is now. And vice versa.
So to answer that question with any certainty is impossible as climatic records show us that there are other forces that can completely overwhelm co2.
The answer to the first question is YES. That's the greenhouse effect. Denying it is like denying gravity, or that the earth is round. Of course, I'm talking of the earth, physically. And you are trying to obfuscate the issue by introduce biology into the matter (we would all be dead). I asked if the EARTH would undergo cooling, NOT if man would be around to measure it.
But, your answer really does say something about you people. I mean, if you aren't around to experience the Earth, who cares if it is cold or warm? That, essentially, is what you are saying, and it is very revealing about how you relate to the Earth and, presumably, to its many diverse inhabitants. If probably goes far to explain your attitude toward the topic of GW.
Unwilling to answer the first question honestly, your answer to the second is useless. You talk of other forcing factors, but of course, my question was in regard to these other factors REMAINING constant. Eons ago, you say, CO2 was higher, yet temperatures were lower. And were these other factors you mentioned as they are today? Of course not. Which makes your comparison to 'eons ago' useless.
Thanks for wasting everybodies time.
What The ...?!!
To Nikki A who asked the question:
"Why has this data and methodology been withheld from the public despite continuous Freedom of Information requests?"
what are you talking about?!! The raw data and methodology have been published many times over by large groups of grad students and professors at each of the esteemed institutions listed above who have been working on it for decades!
How do you come to believe they don't exist or aren't published? Don't you know what a peer reviewed journal is? How folks get PhD's and Masters Degrees?!!
The level of egregious ignorance in your long winded response has offended my sensibilities. Climate models do attempt to include as many of those factors as possible, and relevant available data comes from many sources. The GW deniers call that collusion, trying to frame the debate in their terms, instead of collaboration which it is more accurately called, and is the purpose and method of science.
I described some methods used in prior posts, and these can be "googled" to find relevant articles available at a building you may have not heard about called a library, where they keep lots of books, publications & science journals among other things. I suggest you familiarize yourself with one.
Sorry, but the RAW data has NOT been published.
GCM's are very very poor indicators of future climatic trends. The most important cycle is not well understood....the hydrological cycle. That cycle dwarfs any other green house gas.
When and if that cycle can be modeled out of the chaos that it currently exibits, the GCM's might be useful. Till then, they are a guess at best.
Not so fast. How close to "raw" do you need? Voltages from a mass spectrometer output circuit, or tables of excel data that include the calibration regular intervals? That information could be gotten with a search of reference data after any research output has been published. That's how folks (who can, ...read on)review it. And what the heck would YOU or anyone else do with that raw data anyway?!! 99.9% of the people out there wouldn't know how to read it at all, let alone know what the calibration intervals were, and when dials are re-zero'ed in between batches. Nobody but the researcher would have a clue what methods for analysis would be appropriate. And if you demand to be shown that, there is a process. It's called taking a GRE or graduate records exam, and score high enough to be accepted to pursue a masters or doctorate and get accepted in one of the schools named in the article.
What hubris to pretend like you are. The "raw" data that anyone can see is published with papers from the researchers and their teams. It has appropriate corrections made for calibration error according to published processes, so there's absolutely no skullduggery. It also will typically have some age regression analysis, the method of which is also published, applied so it makes sense on a plot of whatever/time (time is typical for these data sets)
Secondly, I beg to differ that the hydrological cycle is VERY well understood by MANY people, and the contribution of moisture to the thermal performance of our atmosphere is always included! On the overall basis, yes, it has been the primary greenhouse gas, but as the concentrations of the many times stronger heat trapping gases increases, the effect of the CO2 and Methane forcing will shift the hydrologic cycle upwards on the temperature scale, and that can be proven with a simple physics experiment you can google yourself. As a mechanical engineer with lots of experience in successful engineering design of systems relating to non-reacting mixtures (like air with moisture in it), I believe I understand it pretty well, as do those who write GCMs. With respect to a lack of understanding here, I guess you must be speaking for yourself, and on that point I will not argue.
Just because the weather man on TV can't tell us with 100% accuracy when it will rain at our houses or offices, does not mean that these systems can not be modeled, or can not be modeled well. In fact, the accuracy of rainfall forecasts even on local TV comes from GCMs and is getting more accurate every year.
Tucson--great stuff!
Thank you, V. My wife is a climate scientist. She teaches as well, so I don't get a bye week on any of this stuff. Ignorance and half-a$$ed arguements supporting faulty premises upsets me to the point of writing. Have you read these denier posts? Where did that rube get 15 PPM human contribution?!!
Dry British humor, excellently destroying the ClimateGate nitwittery.
http://www.youtube.com/v/7nnVQ2fROOg
I love it!
Since the authors state that the body of evidence that human activity is the dominant cause of global warming and it is so overwhelming, why not provide it in one concisely written document or on a website or something for those of us asked to pay for the conclusions? Is it not just as possible that CO2 is affected by temperature as temperature by CO2? Are there not other explanations like solar variations which also correlate?
I think it a good idea to go green, expand solar, reduce our footprint for a variety of reasons but when the only solution being proposed by Obama/congress is cap and trade which is nothing but a potential 2 trillion dollar derivatives commodity market in carbon credits (bigger than oil) that has Wall Street salivating at the profits literally from thin air at our collective expense, I find myself doubtful about the so called "lack of debate".
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2009/06/could-cap-and-trade-cause-another-market-meltdown
Climate science, like economics, is an inexact science evidenced by how a full 98% of economists missed the crash even when right before everyone's eyes was the most massive asset inflation in history (house prices). I smell group think and protectionism of ones own professional status and that of their profession.
Is it not true that if the IPCC predictions are correct and we stopped all CO2 production in the entire world for 30 years, we would only be able to cool the earth 1degF. Is this not simply impossible even if this inexact science based on mathematical models (just like economics) happens to be correct?
Incorrect Assum: "Climate science, like economics, is an inexact science evidenced by how a full 98% of economists missed the crash"
With so many economists missing the crash, I can see why you distrust climatologists. Just the other day, I had to insult my grocer because of something the mailman said. (/sarcasm)
Sioux Rose
UBREW: Great use of analogy for an apt satirical purpose.
"Public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific technological elite. The prospect of domination of the nation’s scholars by Federal employment,project allocations, and the power of money is ever present – and is gravely to be regarded." - Dwight Eisenhower
http://www.350.org/about/science
A sample of info:
For all of human history until about 200 years ago, our atmosphere contained 275 parts per million of carbon dioxide. Parts per million is simply a way of measuring the concentration of different gases, and means the ratio of the number of carbon dioxide molecules to all of the molecules in the atmosphere. 275 ppm CO2 is a useful amount—without some CO2 and other greenhouse gases that trap heat in our atmosphere, our planet would be too cold for humans to inhabit.
So we need some carbon in the atmosphere, but the question is how much?
Beginning in the 18th century, humans began to burn coal and gas and oil to produce energy and goods. The amount of carbon in the atmosphere began to rise, at first slowly and now more quickly. Many of the activities we do every day like turning the lights on, cooking food, or heating or cooling our homes rely on energy sources like coal and oil that emit carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere. We're taking millions of years worth of carbon, stored beneath the earth as fossil fuels, and releasing it into the atmosphere. By now—and this is the second number—the planet has 390 parts per million CO2 – and this number is rising by about 2 parts per million every year.
Scientists are now saying that's too much – that number is higher than any time seen in the recorded history of our planet – and we're already beginning to see disastrous impacts on people and places all over the world. Glaciers everywhere are melting and disappearing fast—and they are a source of drinking water for hundreds of millions of people. Mosquitoes, who like a warmer world, are spreading into lots of new places, and bringing malaria and dengue fever with them. Drought is becoming much more common, making food harder to grow in many places. Sea levels have begun to rise, and scientists warn that they could go up as much as several meters this century. If that happens, many of the world's cities, island nations, and farmland will be underwater. The oceans are growing more acidic because of the CO2 they are absorbing, which makes it harder for animals like corals and clams to build and maintain their shells and skeletons. Coral reefs could start dissolving at an atmospheric CO2 concentration of 450-500 ppm. These impacts are combining to exacerbate conflicts and security issues in already resource-strapped regions.
The Arctic is sending us perhaps the clearest message that climate change is occurring much more rapidly than scientists previously thought. In the summer of 2007, sea ice was roughly 39% below the summer average for 1979-2000, a loss of area equal to nearly five United Kingdoms. Many scientists now believe the Arctic will be completely ice free in the summertime between 2011 and 2015, some 80 years ahead of what scientists had predicted just a few years ago.
Sioux Rose
MAKES ME: Nice work. Thank you for itemizing all the undeniable FACTS of climate change already underway. The type of persons who argue against the obvious are probably the same sorts that think we WON the "war" in Iraq, and should defend our national interests in Afghanistan, they probably believe in capital punishment, perhaps attend a church regularly, believe in authority figures endorsed by their own club or affiliated group. Some of these believe in End Times, take climate change for "God's" will, and/or presume the earth's living systems are only 6000 years old. Can facts change the thought process of such types?
Of course we are in a warming period. The question is whether humans have much to do with it. It seems more logical that solar activity is more of a factor than a trace gas. If CO2 has been stable at 275ppm for all human history (it actually has varied at least 100ppm), than what caused the 4 other interglacial periods to be 3degC warmer than the present over the last 400,000 years? Perhaps we are the cause for much of the CO2 increase, but concluding this is a "causal" warming factor is only an assumption with no empirical studies that demonstrate 100ppm increase in CO2 "causes" warming. It only correlates somewhat when looking at recent data. It doesn't correlate when looking longer.
Since Cap and Trade is a blatant give away that won't reduce temperature at all, and we see data being fixed around the policy, you would be wise to pay attention.
I think we could solve many problems if we simply focused on eliminating fossil fuels by directly funding energy renewables and storage. For ex. Let's take the trillions and fund free govt Lithium ion batteries for each of our cars which would also serve as energy storage of excess solar/wind energy. The cost of an EV without batteries could be less than $10k. This would do much more than multiple trillions given to Wall Street for a bogus cap and trade derivative scheme.
Sioux Rose
IA: Greed is why the economists missed the crash, it's a blinding force you know. And it is greed on the part of those who prefer to deny the obvious signs of the death of far too many interlocking ecosystems then bother to change their self-centered profligately wasteful lifestyles.
And the idiot above who impugned the reputation of scientists with lifelong dedication to these things as if CD has turned into some Fox "news" forum where fair and balanced means nothing of the sort, instead, what's constantly done are efforts to erode the reputations of persons who expose The Truth, a truth quite inconvenient to those who place greed highest on their ego's totem poles.
Since we are all human, dirt can be found on ANYONE and the right wing will spend millions, maybe billions to discover, uncover, and smear that dirt rather than expose the Light that might set us free from the contrivances on the part of overt militarism, reprobate government services, a failed economic system, and DYING nature everywhere... the same nature WE all depend upon for sustenance. It is to philosophy what M.A.D is to national defense.
" impugned the reputation of scientists "
The content of the emails make the scientists look *very* bad, ergo there is an investigation that will include additional data not known to the public, and Jones presently doesn't sit as Director.
"dirt can be found on ANYONE and the right wing will "
Yes, this is confined only to the roght. :-P
"expose the Light that might set us free "
Yes, let us expose this situation to Light and be set free. No one should be afraid of that since the science part is settled. Since that is true, there was really no good reason for there to be any talk of improper conduct and I'm sure it will all be right in the end.
You dumbass troll--the leading environmental scientists and climatologists in the world have already passed their verdict--nothing in these e-mails even slightly dents the overwhelming evidence of anthropogenically generated climate change.
You need to start plagiarizing from your right-wing loony Web sites again--when you try to think for yourself, you start drooling all over the place.
Greed? Of course, but most economists like scientists are academics or in govt employ that make similar money as one another? The problem with most inexact science is it's reliance and lack of questioning of base assumptions. Then they go about fitting complex math and theories around these incorrect assumptions.
Also, I thought it was only the anti-science republicans that resort to name calling, dismissing civil debate, and accusing people that disagree with them as being part of some ignorant or unpatriotic group. Your many comments prove this is not limited to regressives.
By publishing this letter, the authors (or signers) have done a great disservice to the scientific community in general, and to their own alleged reputations in particular. The letter is sophomoric, riddled with logical fallacies, and shows a very poor grasp of scientific reasoning.
The letter begins with a grand appeal to authority--believe us because we are experts. Other than being an instance of fallacious reasoning, such a beginning also begs the question because the very issue raised in the emails is the competence and intellectual honesty of the writers.
The letter then proceeds to give a list of subject matter to which these unknown authors claim expertise--climate, changing climate, natural ecosystems, human well-being, and the entire swath of human culture and technology. My, this group collectively and distributively claims to know everything--including what does not exist, for no one has yet developed a model of the climate that can explain and predict what has happened and what will happen.
The authors then proceed to appeal to authority again and to commit other fallacies, like bare assertion, by saying that the policy makers and public can take their word for the integrity of climate science! Incredible that such circular and fallacious reasoning should appear in the work of people who claim such a distinguished pedigree.
They then jump right from knowledge into action. Not only do they claim to know everything, but they also know what must be done to combat anthropogenic global warming. They continue with a straw man misrepresentation of people who raise questions about warming and its causality--saying that they oppose action when that is hardly true, as some may oppose one action but not another, or may question why one action is being taken rather than another. Even Jim Hansen, an AGW partisan, opposes the cap-and-trade action.
The emails clearly show a pattern of systematic data manipulation and attempts to discredit and exclude any contrary views from climate publications, yet these authors assert that "opponents" have misrepresented the emails and misled the public.
And on and on it goes. This letter is a shameful, disgraceful, and illogical attempt to divert attention from serious issues of integrity of data and of the so-called research done in climate science. The authors should be ashamed of themselves. They are collectively and distributively unqualified to be holders of Ph.D. degrees and should all resign their positions, burn their degrees, and go and write on the blackboard 10,000 times---"I am not god, nor even a minor deity."
*yawn*
And you are, to demand such things of these people...?
I'm guessing a lawyer.
A lawyer would have better sense.
If you are a US citizen like me you help fund this research. No need for them to be accountable to you and me then?
They're accountable to their bosses. Which, since they are not elected government officials, are not us (or Wall Street, more precisely). As you've pointed out, Phil Jones has temporarily stepped down until an investigation is complete...he's being accountable to his bosses.
"They're accountable to their bosses. "
Can you think a little more broadly perhaps? The issue is political, continued funding for the projects at UEA are subject to political support, and it is altogether proper for taxpayers and voters to call for accountability beyond your narrow definition above.
Are you suggesting American voters vote on whether to fund climate-related research? That'll be nothing less than our doom.
Given the example of the DOE funding UEA projects, no. But Congress could vote on certain dependencies on the money for such contracts or insist on additional accountabilty such as I alluded to. Then you and I can vote for or against those in Congress.
Somehow I doubt this is something that will ever become an issue on whether or not to vote for a congressional representative.
I disagree. It could for example affect turnout for 2010 congressional elections, and account for some seats. It's another log on the fire.
Any votes on cap and trade legislation are more likely to affect voters than this.
And if they presented a thorough argument, including all the advanced mathematics, physics and statistical analysis, you would read it an understand it?
Expertise is bad how??? people with knowledge, training and intelligence (unless it is used in complex money making schemes) are to be distruxted why???
What are you an expert at? Could anyone do what you do for a living? Would you be happy with someone building a 300 ft dam upstream of your home if it wasn't designed by trained and state-licensed as a civil engineers? Would you trust yourself or your loved ones to a hospital where there are no MD's, or RN's or LPN's?
Can you design the computer you are using now - from scratch?
Your CV, please?
Dayahka, you wrote that "The emails clearly show a pattern of systematic data manipulation and attempts to discredit and exclude any contrary views from climate publications ..."
If you are going to make such claims, you should at least quote a few emails that support your claims. I read some of the emails, and I didn't see any evidence of malicious data manipulation. Some of the emails also document debates among the researchers regarding various aspects of the data and its interpretation, but this is of course a natural and healthy feature of science.
I did come across a few emails that I found disturbing, however. One of the researchers mentioned that he got "a lot of static" from the IPCC regarding some caveats that he wanted to include in the report. He said that the IPCC ultimately relented and let him include the caveats. In my opinion, the very fact that the IPCC tried to suppress the inclusion of his caveats is worrisome. If the world is to rely on the IPCC's reports in making decisions of historical importance, the IPCC's scientific integrity must be above reproach. It could be that those at the IPCC who tried to suppress the caveats did so based on the honest conviction that the caveats weren't supported by the evidence; or it could be that they were attempting to tilt the conclusions in the direction that they thought they needed to go. I think this deserves investigation, and if it turns out that the latter explanation is correct, someone needs to be removed from the IPCC.
There were also some emails that relate to "attempts to discredit and exclude any contrary views from climate publications.", but it's not clear to me if was an attempt at suppressing legitimate scientific research because it contradicted CRU's conclusions, or if the contrary research was, as the CRU team seemed to believe, unworthy of publication in a peer-reviewed scientific journal, and they were merely trying to preserve the scientific integrity of climate research. This also needs to be investigated (and it will be investigated), and once again, if it turns out that someone at CRU attempted to corrupt the scientific process, they should be fired (in my opinion).
It's an open letter, not a dissertation or scholarly article, you jerk.
You obviously haven't read the scientific literature in this area. You're just an ideological hack trolling here--probably a paid agent provocateur.
Read the links to the scholarly literature available at www.realclimate.org.
Then get back to us.
I have one thing to say to this mess:
Prove that the warming is from the 15ppm that humans have added to co2.
It is that simple. I have not read one paper that has any proof.
IF anyone else has, please share it.
Thats closer to 150ppm, than 15ppm. But, whats a factor of 10 among friends?
ubrew:
DOE data. Using isotopes it shows what percentage of co2 is fossil based.
It is 15ppm. Unless the DOE is wrong?
The University in question is a contractor with the Department of Energy.
Read the friggin' scientific literature instead of loony-bin right-wing Web sites.
You can find the relevant literature at www.realclimate.org
This is very interesting and if your really open minded, should be considered.
In a paper recently published in the international peer-reviewed journal Energy & Fuels, Dr. Robert H. Essenhigh (2009), Professor of Energy Conversion at The Ohio State University, addresses the residence time (RT) of anthropogenic CO2 in the air. He finds that the RT for bulk atmospheric CO2, the molecule 12CO2, is ~5 years, in good agreement with other cited sources (Segalstad, 1998), while the RT for the trace molecule 14CO2 is ~16 years. Both of these residence times are much shorter than what is claimed by the IPCC. The rising concentration of atmospheric CO2 in the last century is not consistent with supply from anthropogenic sources. Such anthropogenic sources account for less than 5% of the present atmosphere, compared to the major input/output from natural sources (~95%). Hence, anthropogenic CO2 is too small to be a significant or relevant factor in the global warming process, particularly when comparing with the far more potent greenhouse gas water vapor. The rising atmospheric CO2 is the outcome of rising temperature rather than vice versa. Correspondingly, Dr. Essenhigh concludes that the politically driven target of capture and sequestration of carbon from combustion sources would be a major and pointless waste of physical and financial resources.