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The NYTimes Finally Reports the Economic Disaster of New Nukes
In a devastating pair of financial reports that might be called "The Emperor Has No Pressure Vessel," the New York Times has blazed new light on the catastrophic economics of atomic power.
The two Business Section specials cover the fiasco of new French construction at Okiluoto, Finland, and the virtual collapse of Atomic Energy of Canada. In a sane world they could comprise an epitaph for the "Peaceful Atom". But they come simultaneous with Republican demands for up to $700 billion or more in new reactor construction.
The Times's "In Finland, Nuclear Renaissance Runs Into Trouble" by James Kanter is a "cautionary tale" about the "most powerful reactor ever built" whose modular design "was supposed to make it faster and cheaper to build" as well as safer to operate.
But four years into a construction process that was scheduled to end about now, the plant's $4.2 billion price tag has soared by 50% or more. Areva, the French government's front group, won't predict when the reactor will open. Finnish utilities have stopped trying to guess.
Finnish inspectors say Areva allowed "inexperienced subcontractors to drill holes in the wrong places on a vast steel container that seals the reactor." The Finns have also cited Areva for "the attitude or lack of professional knowledge of some persons."
Areva hopes to build similar reactors in the US. Its boosters have promised cheaper, cleaner, faster nuke construction with standardized designs like the one at Okiluoto. But "early experience suggests these new reactors will be no easier or cheaper to build than the ones a generation ago" whose price tags soared by 700% and more, and whose completion schedules ran into the decades.
Areva's second "new generation" project at Flamanville, France, is also over budget and behind schedule. Cracks have turned up in critical steel and concrete components, along with revelations that critical work has been done by unqualified welders.
The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission has not approved the Areva design in use at Okiluoto and Flamanville. Four other designs under consideration are also mired in process. Some are still being altered. A post 9/11 issue is their ability to withstand a jet crash, which the 104 US reactors currently licensed to operate were not forced to consider.
The fiascos in Finland and Flamanville have thrown Areva into economic chaos now being mirrored at the Atomic Energy of Canada, Limited. Once touted as a global flagship, AECL sucked up 1.74 billion Canadian dollars in subsidies last year and has been a long-term money loser which the government has now announced it wants to sell.
AECL's natural uranium/heavy water design has flopped in the world market. "Design issues" with its installed plants require heavy maintenance. AECL's Chalk River research facility, which suffered a major accident in 1952 (in which former President Jimmy Carter served as a "jumper") needs 7 billion Canadian dollars for clean-up work. Its 51-year-old medical isotope facility recently popped a major leak that may close it forever.
The Paris-based energy expert Mycle Schneider reports that of 45 reactors being built worldwide, 22 are behind schedule and nine have no official ignition schedules.
Despite the torrent of bad economic indicators, Republicans like Senator Lamar Alexander (R-TN) continue to demand massive government funding for new reactor construction. Alexander says he wants the US to build as many as 100 new reactors here, even though the private sector won't finance or insure them. The media is citing the idea as a $700 billion package, but in fact the project price of building new reactors is on the rise, and by some estimates has already exceeded $10 billion each. The Department of Energy has cited four finalists for $18.5 billion in loan guarantees voted in with the 2005 Bush Energy Plan. Florida and Georgia have raised rates to pre-pay proposed new reactors.
But Missouri has turned down a proposed rate hike for a new Areva project. And green activists have three times beaten proposed $50 billion federal loan guarantee packages to fund "new generation" construction. Grassroots battles are now raging to prevent the re-licensing of aging reactors like Vermont Yankee and New York's Indian Point.
As Congress deals with a wide range of energy-related legislation, the nuclear industry is desperately grabbing for any federal money it can get. One bill after another has been floated with nuclear hand-outs hidden in various nooks and crannies.
As the comparative price of efficiency and renewables plummets, the window may be closing fast on the possibility of building new nukes in the US, raising the industry's desparation level.
This battle will certainly rage for years to come. But the appearance of such brutally bad news from Finland and Canada in the Business Section of the New York Times bodes ill for an industry that, after fifty years, cannot get private funding or liability insurance, cannot deal with its wastes, and now cannot demonstrate the ability to produce new product anywhere near on time or budget.
At very least, Paul Joskow of MIT tells the Times, the rollout of new nukes may be "a good deal slower than a lot of people were assuming."
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18 Comments so far
Show AllI am really sick of those of us on the energy/ecological left criticizing nuclear, which I am not a fan of by the way BUT we have no other ideas and worse yet when folks propose wind ideas in for example Cape Cod it is the supposed "liberals" like Ted Kennedy that veto the idea. Look we are going to have to diversify our portfolio like never before. Do I want nuclear as part of that portfolio? Hell no but I feel like we spend way to much time saying no to nuclear and not nearly enough time kicking our supposed liberal law makers in the butt! Nuclear has so many negatives associated with it but the ones that have 1 negative like wind (ie destroying viewsheds) continue to have zero chance.
Oh my goodness! Calm down and have a cup of tea.
Wind is not the only green option available and technological advances are making solar power and fuel cells more practical every year.
Your problem is that you're stuck with the belief that only highly centralized and capital intensive sources of energy are workable. Green sources can be decentralized, hence the republicans' (read banksters) hatred for them.
q
Hey Q you are right on the issue. The reason why the energy industry does not want to invest in solar is because if solar panels get massed produced the price of the panels will drop like a rock. And then common people would buy them and stop buying electricity from the industry. They don't like that scenario and neither does the government. People who are energy independent is a nightmare to these bastards and they will do what the can to regulate the distribution of solar panels as much as they can.
Nuclear is a desparate measure. It should only be pursued after all other options have proven inadequate. Conservation is the best option.
I certainly won't support nuclear as long as everybody insists on driving around in their own personal vehicles.
Energy conservation is the last thing the elites want. The elites want more than anything to perpetuate US economic dominance in the world. The new cold war is the USA versus China, and the elites love the contest. Like they put formaldehyde in cigarettes to addict smokers, they wish they could put formaldehyde in electric power too, to addict more people, to build more plants. They need to churn more resources, harvest more taxes, build more aircraft carriers, and dominate more areas of the planet.
Here in SE MN, windmills are popping up by the score. My 80 acres are signed up if they choose to put one or two here. Most of the middle of the US is wonderful for windpower as are the coasts. Perhaps a few of our most wild, scenic areas should not have them, but there are plenty of good options.
When Areva ran those cute "piece of the puzzle" ads with the "Talk about it. Talk about it. Talk about it" refrain, I don't think this is what they had in mind! Good work, Wasserman. This is a sleeper issue that will cost us for generations. I wonder how far the same money spent could go with conservation.
Solar power would never work in Florida, right?
When these nukes are still being built in Florida 20 years from now and they give up on the project because renewables have proven to work, I want every Republican politician and nuke industry rep to be personally responsible for returning every cent they stole to the citizens they stole it from.
ATLAW--Thirty years ago I lived in the relatively poor country of Jordan. Like many of my neighbors I had solar panels on my house. I bought them myself and it saved me on electric bills within a couple of months. I only had enough to heat the water but that beat heating it by electricity. When I left Jordan I gave them to a very dear friend to put on her roof. I am still amazed that countries as relatively poor as Jordan have been into solar power for decades while the United States has not even scratched the surface. Except for in the Rockies, I've never seen solar panels anywhere and I lived for decades on the Gulf Coast where sun was plentiful, winter and summer.
Rainborowe
funny how the rest of the planet, the part outside the world of the human, functions perfectly well without electricity...the worm in my garden doesn't use it, nor the bird that would have it, nor the cat watching the bird...they don't wear pants, either...wouldn't it be great...
700 bil. for BIG NUKE INC. not a problem. Dollar one for Single Payer Health for all Americans...Nothing but excuses. Isn't it interesting how Change we can believe in is really just more of the same. Wall st. owns DC that's pretty obvious. So much for Gov't by the people and for the people. It's now Gov't by the Corps. and for the Corps.
The paradigm shift to decentralized, local power (solar, wind, geothermal) will be fought unmercifully by the banksters, energy corporations, and their bribed lackeys in the White House, Congress, and every state and local government. Their power and greed come before everything else, including a healthy planet.
That is why they must be opposed by all of us who care about a sustainable future.
Indeed, AREVA has given itself and the nuclear industry a black eye with horrible management of its first two GenIII reactors.
As a counterpoint, Harvey isn't telling us about the competition. Google some combinations of the following: Westinghouse Shaw Toshiba AP1000 China US. You will find a thriving international consortium building proven, modular, GenIII nukes in China and the US, and around the world.
Westinghouse believes costs could go as low as $1b/reactor as production of standardized components ramps up. Most of the new reactors planned in the US are AP1000s, and if things go as planned, utility bills will be more than competitive with wind or CSP, and their owners will have lots of carbon allowances for sale.
What would be the "return on investment" for the US taxpayer for the grants/loans, insurance, carbon allowances, long-term waste storage costs, and national security costs associated with those nukes as compared to equivalent renewable energy and efficiency/conservation measures? No comparison. But this information has to be withheld from public view ehh? What if relevant information should be made public?
100 reactors in the USA will mean tearing up much of southern Utah for uranium, as in areas near Zion, Arches, and the Colorado river. Fission is a temporary solution at best, and an utter disaster and distraction from what we need at worst.
What exactly are we supposed to do with the waste? Here in WA, that witches brew in Hanford is metastisizing on its own. Geologists who've been there have said they really don't know what all's in it, or what it could do. Its not even stable, in that, it could blow up and out of its tanks. It just sits there, while they try to keep other waste out of the Columbia river.
Fusion, on its way...Fission, FORGET IT.
It is truly tragic what has happened at Hanford, but that is mostly the result of WWII and Cold War activities when long term consequences were less important than maintaining weapons superiority. We definitely do not want that stuff getting into the river and then the oceans. Any actinide element that concentrates in the food chain (like mecury from burning coal) could find its way to our dinner tables.
Multiply that many times in the former USSR. Whole towns were removed from maps, even before Chernobyl.
The US, France, Russia, Japan... are all working on ways to recycle spent fuel, and there is unprecedented international cooperation in making this technology work. It will probably be physical and chemical separation techniques combined with GenIV reactors that can burn the waste with fast neutrons. It obviously isn't ready, because reactor owners are still storing spent rods on site.
The scariest part is human greed and bad judgement. Nuclear waste recycling won't be ready because a Russian company or the government of France says it is. The Republican first principle of no regulation does not apply here, and this stuff has to be kept away from organized crime and true believer terrorists of all stripes.
Maybe you're right.
It's already in the water - and the plume is heading for the Columbia River. We don't hear anything about Hanford anymore - for good reason. It is a catastrophe.