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News Flash: Greed and Stupidity Can Coexist!
Last week columnist David Brooks of the New York Times published an op-ed setting out two explanatory narratives of our current economic crisis, which he dubbed the "greed narrative" and the "stupidity narrative." Brooks describes the greed narrative (as detailed in Simon Johnson's Atlantic piece "The Quiet Coup" as an explanation of how the growing political power of Wall Street enabled it to write its own rules with minimal governmental oversight or regulation. Brooks then describes the stupidity narrative as the story of the intellectual hubris of bankers who thought that statistical modeling and complex financial instruments allowed them to disregard systemic risk. After describing these two narratives, however, Brooks makes an inexplicable and bizarre move - insisting that we must choose either one narrative or the other, rather than benefitting from the insights of both. "[O]ne has to choose a guiding theory," he asserts without explanation, before stating that he finds the stupidity narrative "more persuasive." However, discarding the greed narrative in favor of the stupidity narrative is the old tale of the blind men and the elephant - a refusal to recognize that both trunk and tail are parts of the same animal.
Both greed and stupidity contributed to the crisis in which we find ourselves, and only a solution that addresses both aspects of the problem has any chance of fixing it. The greed narrative could also be called the political side of the story, while the stupidity narrative could be described as the economic side. The dichotomy between the two is false - it is precisely the political success of Wall Street in enacting its deregulatory agenda that enabled the financial stupidity of a relative few to have such disproportionate consequences - consequences that now threaten the global economy. Indeed, Johnson lists the accumulating political successes won by Wall Street in recent decades that, in hindsight, allowed relatively minor errors in financial judgment to wreak such catastrophic harm: the insistence on free movement of capital across borders; the repeal of Depression-era regulations separating commercial and investment banking; a congressional ban on the regulation of credit-default swaps; major increases in the amount of leverage allowed to investment banks; a minimal SEC role in regulatory enforcement; an international agreement to allow banks to measure their own degree of risk; and an intentional failure to update regulations so as to keep up with the tremendous pace of financial innovation.
A crucial function of government is to protect us from the consequences of the stupid decisions of other people - we should not have to worry that a nuclear power plant operator will decide that certain safety precautions simply aren't profitable or necessary. In the nuclear example, were the government to succumb to industry pressure and repeal certain safety regulations on nuclear plants, any resulting accident would be the result of policy as well as stupidity. In other economic sectors, regulations exist to prevent the profit-maximizing incentives of various industries from creating unacceptable levels of public risk. That such safeguards were systematically dismantled across the financial services industry demonstrates the power of crony capitalism to create a regulation-free zone in which stupidity could flourish.
The reasons for Brooks' unexplained dismissal of the political causes of the current economic crisis become clearer as we come to the policy conclusions of his piece. As a free-market conservative, he wants to argue that only minimal regulation is necessary to fix the current situation, and he seems to fear that recognizing the systemic, political causes of the crisis will justify more aggressive intrusion into the financial sector than he is willing to support. However, although Brooks advocates making banks "more transparent, straightforward and comprehensible" in the short term, in a longer view, the profit-maximizing incentives of banks and bankers will always lead them into complexity and opacity. Banks and bankers have every reason to continue with their practices of brinksmanship - to create the new financial instrument, to make the new market that will give them an edge over their competitors. There is nothing wrong with such behavior, so long as sufficiently robust oversight prevents financiers from imposing unacceptable risks on other people's pensions and 401(k) plans. Only a political system that is not captive to the financial services industry can guarantee such safeguards.
In a democracy, we have put our faith in the prediction that the free market of ideas - in which policy proposals are assessed on their own merits, rather than according to the financial influence of their proponents - will prevent stupid policies from gaining ascendance in the political sphere, just as a free-market economy should prevent stupid economic decisions from surviving in the economic sphere. Crony capitalism creates distortions in both the market of ideas and - as influence is enacted into policy - in the market economy. In both politics and finance, such an oligarchical distortion will prevent the best ideas from being disseminated and properly valued, and will allow bad ideas to prevail irrespective of their policy or economic merit. Short-term fixes will do nothing to prevent this year's crisis from recurring unless we also address the systematic influences that make governmental officials beholden to monied interests rather than to their own constituents. If government officials are in the pocket of Wall Street, how can we expect them to identify and defuse problems before they turn into catastrophes?
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10 Comments so far
Show AllSo Obama must be greedy and stupid since he had the breathtaking audacity to oppose the financial regulation other countries opted for. And actually the idea that the market naturally favors superior innovation is bull--the old example being how superior advertising killed the better Beta over the inferior VHS. It is all in the sales pitch. Or for that mmatter, the classic example of Microsoft deliberately squelching the competitor's innovation. That is what happens with this too big to fail merging that continues at an accelerating pace. What ever happened to anti-trust laws preventing monopolies? No one ever mentions that aspect of it.
He must think we are as stupid, greedy and corrupt as he is.
The master of disaster, the ultimate dictionary example of greed and stupidity is George W. Bush. See: crony capitalism, Harken Energy, Texas Rangers, Arbusto(?) oil.
BTW: David Brooks is an idiot.
I can't really follow your main point due to its vagueness. Your analogies are also bizarre, and not true. Beta and VHS were not significantly different in performance except VHS tapes were longer (and therefore cheaper) and VHS machines were smaller, simpler to build, and more dependable. VHS was an immediate improvement and continued to improve until it was almost gone. The market, including the tape rental folks, certainly did have a part in determining which was the winner.
Microsoft basically has to be a monopoly to do what it does. This may not serve human needs, but it is one natural, although bad, structure for the production of a product both as complicated and ubiquitous as a modern graphical computer operating system. We really only need one because application program interface standards don’t exist, and we must choose an operating system based on which applications it runs, rather than choosing it for its merits.
The standards that both the videotape systems used were set by the government, with lots of corporate and public input. Sadly, this has not happened with computers in the way that it should. Why can’t we buy any operating system and applications? Hardware has been mostly standardized by the market, around Windows. Now that even Apple must use essentially the same box, the time for standards here ought to be at hand. Microsoft is not doing well. Vista is a flop and XP is still the king, but not being sold much. Will the cash strapped public swallow Windows 7? With real competition instead of competing with old versions of its own operating systems, Microsoft could actually innovate and perfect instead of generating obscene amounts of money for products that are virtually test prototypes (even though they are usually dressed up old programs with dubious new features like Vista and Windows 7) when sold. Oh, yeah, they wouldn’t make so much undeserved loot, nor would we have to spend it.
I think your idea of regulation is undeveloped. Regulation and the structure of industries has to be a fluid process that does not destroy incentive, but that serves the public needs, which have to include the environment and a sustainable future. The market serves a function, but this has to be defined by regulation forcing it to serve the needs of people.
You can’t open a porno store next to a school, but you can poison the water supply for an entire city, or enslave an entire population, if you have money to buy the privilege. This is the problem, grossly simplified. Systems set themselves up and cannot be properly knocked down when they malfunction because money, by itself, conveys power. Regulation has to redistribute money and its power.
Sure, greed and stupidity can coexist, but neither is the cause of our financial "crisis". And neither was the lack of regulation. We have always had regulation, it is just that in that last 30+ years the regulation increasingly favored the financial class. The "crisis" was caused by collusion between Wall Street and government. The author talks of "crony capitalism" causing distortions in the market. "Crony capitalism" is redundant; it implies that there is some other kind of Capitalism. This "crisis" was created as a massive transfer and consolidation of wealth to the most wealthy at the expense of the rest of us.
The financial class was responsible for the Great Depression, this is why regulation was introduced to constrain them, like Glass-Steagal. But to paraphrase Mark Twain: "sooner or later the Monarchy gets back into the saddle..."
The "Monarchy," referring to concentrated power, got checked after the crash of 1929, but it was only a matter of time before they got "back into the saddle" and created another "crisis."
Greed and stupidity, whether it's either/or, in the case of David Brooks, or both/and, in the case of Monica Youn, are both distractions to real source of the problem which is systemic, that is, the "crisis" is part and parcel of Capitalism itself.
the banks did not do anything stupid. they made investments which they knew were backed by the american taxpayer. we're the dummies for going along with their current program of collecting on the 'debt.'
Would the free market work if it wasn't oligarchy controlled?
frustrating to acknowledge that might does make right, isn't it? or that only might will defeat might...goes aainst all those feel-goody things we so want to believe...
Acemoab: Money, by itself, conveys power. You wrote that in your last paragraph.
Well, it's wrong. Money, by itself, as on a desert island, has no power at all. That is conferred upon it by the political system of the society at hand. Under monarchy, for a different example, the King has the power even if he has to extract money from the wealthy, who have no influence like that now exercised by Wall Street over our self-styled 'democracy,' which isn't one.
The villain is not capitalism, it's capitalism in a representative structure, which makes the capitol a market for the conversion of money to influence. Change the system and you correct the problem.
A real democracy has no Congress.
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? (Who will guard the guardians, watch the watchers, etc?)
I agree that both greed and stupidity can co-exist but to get where we are you are missing the final part ARROGANCE. My belief is that arrogance is the key to our decline.
This is not news:
Greed and stupidity have ALWAYS gone hand in glove.